Message Detail
Board: ARCHIVE - SpC2k5 to SC2k6
Topic: SC2k7 Oracle Challenge Discussion Topic
From: Haste_2 Posted: 8/27/2007 6:08:30 PM
Here is the first, simpler way I introduced to estimate four-character results. I prefer assigning character their BL x-stat as I'm used to that format.

Let's use those same four characters: Cloud, Mega Man, Ryu, and Terra. I noticed creative used the SC2K5 x-stats, so I'll apply those here.

51.90% - Cloud
38.79% - Mega Man
29.98% - Ryu
18.65% - Terra

Now, since I don't want to do complicated math, I'll assign Cloud a value I'd roughly expect him to have. I'll say Cloud gets 40%. Now, let's figure out Mega Man's percentage from there. Do the math (38.79/51.90/2) to find that Mega Man gets 37.37% on Cloud. Then, divide that from Cloud's expected percentage on Mega Man (62.63%, of course). Mega Man's strength proportion is .5967 of Cloud's, so multiply it by Cloud's 40%. Mega Man gets an expected 23.87% if Cloud gets 40%.

Okay, that seemed complicated at first, but it's really not...and it's simple to do in practice. Anyway, do the same thing for Ryu and Terra. Ryu gets 16.24% and Terra gets 8.76%. Now, when you add all their percentages together, it adds up to.. 88.87%. So, divide it all by .8887, and you get...

Predicted Results:
45.01% - Cloud
26.86% - Mega Man
18.27% - Ryu
9.86% - Terra

There we go. I'll show the next method in the next past, which is fairly similar... but it makes more sense to me to use.


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