Message Detail
Board: ARCHIVE - SpC2k5 to SC2k6
Topic: SC2k7 Oracle Challenge Discussion Topic
From: Kaxon Posted: 9/6/2007 10:09:25 PM
Match # 4 Results
Scorpion 36.64%
Midna 24.71%
Kratos Aurion 21.09%
Agent 47 17.56%

Day 4 brought us our first true upset of the contest... Scorpion, who was supposed to finish behind Midna, blew her away by almost 12% of the vote. 118 out of 175 oracles had Midna finishing in first and Scorpion second, while only 30 had them in the correct order. The consensus predictions were: Agent 47 - 12.35%, Kratos Aurion - 22.43%, Midna - 34.55%, Scorpion - 30.67%. In addition to the main showdown, Agent 47 also outperformed expectations by 5%, meaning he got almost 50% more votes than he was expected to.

Best Five Picks:
1) expaniol - Agent 47 16.13% - Kratos Aurion 20.45% - Midna 27.40% - Scorpion 36.02% (+48.65)
2) neonreaper - Agent 47 15.00% - Kratos Aurion 22.50% - Midna 24.00% - Scorpion 38.50% (+48.36)
3) ECW RVD420 - Agent 47 18.24% - Kratos Aurion 20.84% - Midna 22.17% - Scorpion 40.21% (+48.24)
4) Legendary Curt - Agent 47 19.00% - Kratos Aurion 23.00% - Midna 21.00% - Scorpion 37.00% (+48.14)
5) The Real Truth - Agent 47 20.00% - Kratos Aurion 19.00% - Midna 26.00% - Scorpion 35.00% (+48.13)

Despite the big surprise today, we still had some fairly high scores. Expaniol had the best prediction, his first time in the top 5 (this being his first contest). Neonreaper is second, also his first time in the top 5 in his first contest. ECW RVD420 gets third (his 10th top 5), followed by NoDiceCurt and The Real Truth.

Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=match&match=4

Current Leaderboard:
1) AmazingKirby - 189.15
2) The n00b Avenger - 188.90
3) Haste2 - 188.38
4) ps2rulezzz - 188.30
5) expaniol - 187.99

Leaderboard shakeup! Former leaders Kleenex and transience drop 10 spots and 14 spots, respectively. AmazingKirby moves up from fifth to take over the top spot. The n00b Avenger climbs to second, making his first leaderboard appearance of the season, and Haste2, no stranger to the leaderboard, moves up from 6th to 3rd. Ps2rulezzz drops one spot to fourth, while today's top predictor expaniol jumps a whopping 50 places to fifth.

Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=total&match=4
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Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.

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