Message Detail
Board: ARCHIVE - SpC2k5 to SC2k6
Topic: Oracle Challenge - BATTLE ROYALE Match 3
From: King Morgoth Posted: 11/15/2006 4:14:09 AM
Welcome to the Oracle Challenge, the contest that tests your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!

The Challenge

You will try to predict the percentage of the vote that each competitor in the Battle Royale will receive. The winner will be the person who predicts all five matches of the Battle Royale the most accurately.

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. Your predictions must start with the name of the character and end with your predicted percentage. You must include a prediction for every character in the Battle Royale match. Example:

Link 37.16%
Cloud 20.81%
Snake 17.38%
Sephiroth 16.21%
Samus 8.43%
Mario 0.01%

Always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use a weird format.

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your prediction was to the actual outcome for each character. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most points at the end of the final match. For each character you predict you can earn anywhere from 0 and 50 points. This means that the first match is worth up to 300 points. For each character, you score 50-x points, where x is the difference between your prediction and their actual result. Example:

Your guess: Link with 35%
Actual result: Link 40%
Your score: 50 - (40-35) = 45 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of a prediction for each character in the match.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else's. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made five minutes before the usual start time of that match's poll (approx. 11:55pm EST, 10:55am CST, 8:55pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to a previous entry.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule and to reduce confusion.
ANYONE CAUGHT CHEATING (Including but not limited to deleting changes after the start of a match) WILL IMMEDIATELY BE DISQUALIFIED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CONTEST.

6) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page <http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users>, I already know about it).
7) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)

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