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SpC2k5 - Oracle Challenge - Round 1 - Ruin / Triforce Divisions
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 5/5/2005 2:11:32 AM | Message Detail
don't worry about it, I'm beginning to see/remember just how much fun contests are to run.

it's so much nicer to have the summer when you don't actually have to do anything...
---
One who knows nothing can understand nothing.
"Revenge is a dish best served cold." - Old Klingon Proverb
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 5/5/2005 2:20:09 AM | Message Detail
This was posted in the other topic:

Let'ssay My guess for Link's % was 55. By what you have written that wouldbe 50 - (55-60) which would be equal to 55points. So basically what I'msaying is, should it be an absolute value? Or did I miss somethingsomewhere about underpredictions?

"Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-2x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)"
So yeah it's [50 - difference], not [50 - (prediction - result)]
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SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!
From: Starion | Posted: 5/5/2005 3:25:33 AM | Message Detail
I'm just posting my previous picks here for reference with one change.

Mushroom Division
-----------------------
Dr. Wily 52.15%

Jenova Division
-----------------------
Sephiroth 83.10%
Vergil 51.25%
Lavos 52.33% <-----changed
Liquid Snake 58.80%
---
A soda a day invites tooth decay.
From: Salient | Posted: 5/5/2005 3:59:56 AM | Message Detail
Blargh. Change Wily to 58.03%.
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: Rufus Shinra 18 | Posted: 5/5/2005 4:24:24 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Wily with 63.25
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Nel mezzo del cammin di nostra vita - mi ritrovai per una selva oscura - che la diritta via era smarrita
From: smelly crap | Posted: 5/5/2005 4:25:51 AM | Message Detail
*tag*
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If you want to make fun of an illiterate person, write it to them.
From: Lagoona | Posted: 5/5/2005 6:47:26 AM | Message Detail
.In my re-posting my predictions from the last topic I didn't update a change I had made already, so just to make things clear:

CHANGE again:
Dr. Wily vs Ultros - Dr. Wily with 61.85%

---
Nobody's perfect, I'm nobody.
From: Darkash | Posted: 5/5/2005 8:37:06 AM | Message Detail
Is it just me, or are these battles way too close? Talk about watching my spot drop!
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Winner of The GOLD Triforce in scientist pg's riddle contest!
From: GoldenMew | Posted: 5/5/2005 8:54:50 AM | Message Detail
Kefka with 73.42%
Wesker with 51.02%
M.Bison with 54.42%
Ridley with 61.08%

Ganondorf with 82.82%
Ansem with 53.91%
Dr. Robotnik with 52.10%
Kuja with 51.96%
---
AIM: MewThatsGold
MSN: goldenmew@gmail.com
From: Kaxon | Posted: 5/5/2005 10:56:56 AM | Message Detail
What's going on with this contest? Two days in a row...
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SC2k4 Oracle ranking: 4th
Supporting CATS and Ultros in the Spring Contest.
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 5/5/2005 11:18:30 AM | Message Detail
*cough*

You know, somehow this resultbrings to mind a certain gentleman, I can't recall the name, but Ibelieve he posted something to the effect of...

Ocelot with 62.71%

*starts chant*
OHH VAH RAY TED
*clapclapclapclap clapclap*


Ryu H., anyone?

(See, I knew you should have joined me in taking Wily, KM.)

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://geocities.com/cyber1166/gamefaqs
From: franmars | Posted: 5/5/2005 11:28:03 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE
Wily with 59.00%
From: Z1mZum | Posted: 5/5/2005 12:22:15 PM | Message Detail
Oh jeeze, another change.

I guess Dr. Wily with 60.94%
---
I'm charming, but I dip into the Prozac now and then.
Team Six!
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 5/5/2005 12:38:10 PM | Message Detail
What's going on with this contest? Two days in a row...

This is starting to remind me of SC2k3, nobady knows what's going on and I'm getting my ass kicked pretty bad.

Ryu H., anyone?

(See, I knew you should have joined me in taking Wily, KM.)


Tsk tsk tsk, I was the one who brought up Ryu H. ~ Ocelot =P. And damn, I'll have to start listening to myself sometime.

Results for day 2 coming up next!
---
SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 5/5/2005 12:56:34 PM | Message Detail
I'm just reposting these ^_^

Dr. Wily vs Ultros- Wily with 60.66%

Jenova Division
Sephiroth vs Ramirez- Sephy with 85.55%
Vergil vs Ghaleon- vergil with 60.66%
Lavos vs Mother Brain- Lavos with 60.66%
Liquid Snake vs Officer Tenpenny- Liquid with 70.00 (This one is lowered, after seeing Ocelot Bomb today.)



---
Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. The sweetest guy around. ^_^
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 5/5/2005 1:30:55 PM | Message Detail
Match #2 Results:
Sigma 53.49%
Andross 46.51%

Veryfew expected Andross to put up such a fight, preventing Sigma fromgetting a convincing win. There were 83 predictions for Sigma and 5 forAndross; the consensus was Sigma with 60.45% and the average was aso-so 41.38 points

Current Leaderboard:

1) jonthomson - 97.84
2) MegatokyoEd - 97.66
3) Garsha - 96.27
4) My Immortal - 96.23
5) fortybelowsummer - 95.36

Yesterday'smatch turned the standings upside-down, and 5 new people make it on theleaderboard. The gaps between contestants are growing bigger but it'sstill very close (53 people within 10 points of the lead)

Full standings: http://oraclechallenge.tripod.com/spc2k5/oracle02.html

Best Five Picks:

1) SlayerofDeitys - Sigma 53.24% (+49.75)
2) MegatokyoEd - Sigma 54.02% (+49.47)
3) jonthomson - Sigma 54.78% (+48.71)
4) My Immortal - Sigma 54.92% (+48.57)
5) Starion - Sigma 52.00% (+48.51)

SlayerofDeitys,MegatokyoEd and My Immortal all get a Top 5 on their second predictionever. jonthomson and Starion both get their 6th All-Time Top 5.

Complete match ranking: http://oraclechallenge.tripod.com/spc2k5/match02.html

Biggest jumps

Starion, +58, from 76th to 18th
SlayerofDeitys, +54, from 82nd to 28th
alpha door, +48, from 69th to 21st
Paratroopa1, +47, from 56th to 9th
GoldenMew, +47, from 63rd to 16th
---
SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 5/5/2005 2:51:03 PM | Message Detail
Change

Wily with 50.01%
---
Spring 2005 Contest Score: 1/1 --- T-1
From: Camden | Posted: 5/5/2005 3:09:28 PM | Message Detail
Damn, I needed to take an upset somewhere in my bracket, so I put Ocelot over Bowser. That blew up right in my face...

Change: Wily with 61%
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Don’t worry. Have a nectarine. –Christopher Walken
If you buy me a pack of bubble gum, you can have the monkey for free. –Lady in Winters
From: PeaceOut64 | Posted: 5/5/2005 3:26:59 PM | Message Detail
Change: Wily with 60.5%
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My goal since I joined theLeafs has always been to have on the ice a team as good as our fans. Wehave never quite gotten there. Some day we will. - Ken Dryden
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 5/5/2005 5:13:00 PM | Message Detail
I gave you credit KM! In the next line. You just had to, um... read between the lines, I guess. Go Wily!

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the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://geocities.com/cyber1166/gamefaqs
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 5/5/2005 5:22:57 PM | Message Detail
Well, we are gonna curb this pick down a bit.

Wily with 53.83%

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
Fighting Illini (37-2): #2 in the nation, #1 in our hearts
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 5/5/2005 5:55:06 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Dr. Wily with 53.36%

(All other picks unchanged)
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: Lieutenant Kettch | Posted: 5/5/2005 8:36:22 PM | Message Detail
Wily with 51.50%
From: plasmabeam | Posted: 5/5/2005 8:42:03 PM | Message Detail
Ruin Division
Kefka with 78.08%
Wesker with 74.43%
M.Bison with 58.98%
Ridley with 53.13%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf with 86.36%
Ansem with 64.11%
Sin with 51.32%
Kuja with 57.79%

Mushroom Division
Dr. Wily with 58.92%

Jenova Division
Sephiroth with 88.34%
Vergil with 66.54%
Lavos with 57.39%
Liquid Snake with 78.49%

---
Spring Contest '05 - 3 points
next pick: Dr. Wily
From: Ringworm | Posted: 5/5/2005 8:48:42 PM | Message Detail
Up 39 spots = Good!

Todays match = BAD!!!!

Change to Wily with 59.38%. This is a hard match to decide on their relative strengths.
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~ Ringworm ~
From: StopPokingMe | Posted: 5/5/2005 9:46:39 PM | Message Detail
Changes:
Dr. Wily with 53.53%
Vergil with 56.56%
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Champions of Time and Space: The Summer Contest 2003 Fanfiction Project
http://crolapras.tripod.com/ffproj.html
From: jonthomson | Posted: 5/5/2005 9:48:53 PM | Message Detail
Current Leaderboard:

1) jonthomson - 97.84


Well, it was nice before Ocelot choked.
---
Jon Thomson - 2/2, today: Ocelot, tomorrow: Wily
Ridley's Road to Victory - Round 1 vs. (7) Diablo
From: Haste2 | Posted: 5/5/2005 9:52:44 PM | Message Detail
CHANGES
Vergil over Ghaleon - 59.63%
Lavos over Mother Brain - 62.22%

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: CaptainFlufflez | Posted: 5/5/2005 9:55:17 PM | Message Detail
Kefka with 58.92%
Wesker with 65.71%
M.Bison with 51.78%
Diablo with 53.44%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf with 78.73%
Ansem with 55.03%
Dr. Robotnik with 56.49%
Kuja with 58.12%
---
|| BtT 3:34.65 || HRC 37,592.3 ||
Spring2K5: 2/2 Next Pick: Ocelot
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 5/5/2005 11:03:30 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Wily with 53.16%
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Ocelot vs. Nemesis - Bracket: Ocelot - Vote: Ocelot (2/2)
From: Salient | Posted: 5/5/2005 11:06:21 PM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 5/5/2005 11:08:45 PM | Message Detail
well everyone is lowering there Wily picks, so change to Dr Wily with 55.00% ^_^

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Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. The sweetest guy around. ^_^
From: Salient | Posted: 5/5/2005 11:11:07 PM | Message Detail
Blarghity blargh.

Change Wily to 56.03%.
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: cyko | Posted: 5/5/2005 11:22:25 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Dr. Wily with 64.23%

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VOTE FOR ULTROS!!! G'FHAHAHAHAHA!!!
Trivia XIV: MEATWADD SUCKS!!
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 5/5/2005 11:28:48 PM | Message Detail
*grin* I think this is everyone trying to make up for the last two days...but I refuse to budge this time.
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO CATS
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 5/5/2005 11:31:15 PM | Message Detail
For tomorrow I predict that Dr. Wily will win with 57.99% of the vote.Though I'm sure that since I did a low number, he'll be sure to squashthe octopus.
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One who knows nothing can understand nothing.
"Revenge is a dish best served cold." - Old Klingon Proverb
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 5/5/2005 11:49:07 PM | Message Detail
I'm expecting further validation of my Wily > Ocelot tomorrow, and with that in mind I predict

Wily with 59.12%

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the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://geocities.com/cyber1166/gamefaqs
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 5/6/2005 12:04:19 AM | Message Detail
kawaiifan's predictions
Sephiroth with 85%
Vergil with 65%
Lavos with 59%
Liquid Snake with 72%

[prediction tag]
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SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!
From: Kaxon | Posted: 5/6/2005 12:05:40 AM | Message Detail
I feel like I should remind people of Rule 5:

5)You many not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, pleasepost immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to preventabuse of the above rule (and to reduce confusion).
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SC2k4 Oracle ranking: 4th
Supporting CATS and Ultros in the Spring Contest.
From: Kaxon | Posted: 5/6/2005 12:16:30 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Wily with 55%
---
SC2k4 Oracle ranking: 4th
Supporting CATS and Ultros in the Spring Contest.
From: Xuxon | Posted: 5/6/2005 12:18:49 AM | Message Detail
Wily - 60.56%
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 5/6/2005 1:07:35 AM | Message Detail
Dammit, why did I change my Ocelot prediction. >,<

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Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 5/6/2005 1:09:10 AM | Message Detail
And I don't know why everyone is lowering their Wily pick, Ultros is fodder. >,>

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Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.
From: Camden | Posted: 5/6/2005 1:29:06 AM | Message Detail
Change: Wily with 60.21%
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Don’t worry. Have a nectarine. –Christopher Walken
If you buy me a pack of bubble gum, you can have the monkey for free. –Lady in Winters
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 5/6/2005 1:39:29 AM | Message Detail
And I don't know why everyone is lowering their Wily pick, Ultros is fodder. >,>
fodder? fodder????
Don't tease the octopus kid!

NEW ORACLE WEBSITE
http://members.lycos.co.uk/oraclechallenge/

Slightly more convivial, better layout. Archives for past contests will be added sometime in the future. Oh and about those thingsat the top. They're supposed to be crystal balls. They're ugly. Ialready know. =P If anyone wants to do something about it, I'll gladlylook at anything you want to submit.
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SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!
From: Kaxon | Posted: 5/6/2005 1:46:07 AM | Message Detail
Hey King Morgoth, the site looks promising. =) You should see if youcan get some ad-free web hosting... your school might offer it.
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SC2k4 Oracle ranking: 4th
Supporting CATS and Ultros in the Spring Contest.
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 5/6/2005 1:53:21 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE: Dr. Wily with 64.98%

---
Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.
From: Kaxon | Posted: 5/6/2005 1:55:00 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Wily with 57%.

After the last two days, I basically have no idea how to predict this one.
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SC2k4 Oracle ranking: 4th
Supporting CATS and Ultros in the Spring Contest.
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 5/6/2005 1:55:41 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE
Dr. Wily with 57.64%
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SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!
From: Kaxon | Posted: 5/6/2005 1:57:23 AM | Message Detail
At least if I'm wrong, I'm in good company. =)
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SC2k4 Oracle ranking: 4th
Supporting CATS and Ultros in the Spring Contest.
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