Crono over Mega Man with 53.50%
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*Dances, trips and falls* XP

I've always thought a "pure" scoring system would be best. I just figure others would dislike a penalty-free system. But the more superficial the penalty for getting a match wrong, the better. And if we can ditch the penalty altogether that would be ideal, as well as make people give the most honest predictions.

I'm pretty sure this is the last contest where you'll see the 2x penalty - I've disliked it for a long time, and the only reason we didn't change it this contest was not wanting to change too many things at once. I'm not sure about the 5 point penalty yet - I think it makes it more exciting when it matters who wins. (I kind of want to avoid Fantasy Football Syndrome, where you don't care who wins as long as the running back gains 13 more yards or your opponent's quarterback throws an interception).
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6

jonthomson's prediction (he put it in the wrong topic):

Mega Man with 50.04%
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6

I've always thought a "pure" scoring system would be best. I just figure others would dislike a penalty-free system. But the more superficial the penalty for getting a match wrong, the better. And if we can ditch the penalty altogether that would be ideal, as well as make people give the most honest predictions.

The Off-Season topic will be busy this year, since both Kaxon and I are starting to agree on at least the It's not quite working anymore part, and we'll need input. I won't start discussing this before the contest's over though, obviously. Oh and I've never received an answer so I'll assume I somehow closed the window without sending that e-mail right?

Mega Man with 50.00%

It's upset time!!! (yeah right)
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place

Crono - 54.45%
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My Summer Contest Score:
KingBartz: Been a Virgin since '87

Mega Man with 50%
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"Let's drop this Xbox statue on Naomi's head! Oof! This thing's big! It'll take over 3 years for it to start selling!" ~ Jaguar, Sega Fantasy VI

Crono over Mega Man with 50.33%

My two faves... but I can't pick against a Mario/Crono final.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6

Crono - 57.01%
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Holy crap, I was banned! oh well. Life goes on.

For my input on the scoring...

I think there needs to be some semblence of a penalty for picking the loser. If I pick Master Chief to win with 50.00%, and you pick Frog to win with 50.50%, you picked the winner, which is more important than the fact that I picked Chief's percentage on the dot. I think anything between 45-49 as a base number on a wrong pick is cool. Abolishing the 2x penalty works for me as well. But having straight percentages without a penalty for picking the loser seems not cool to me.

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 133/144 (Kefka, Magus (x3), Ocelot, Tidus)

Crono with 55.35%
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Currently playing: Super Mario 64 DS [DS]

Crono with 52.99%
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
The ships hung in the sky in much the same way that bricks don't. -Douglas Adams

Crono with 50%
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Vote for Mario, this year's contest champion!
Mega Man > Sonic

There's no need for a wall of text saying the same thing as all of you. I basically agree with Heroik Viktor.
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm

CHANGE:

Crono over Mega Man with 52.35%
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.

Crono with 53.87%
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"If it bleeds we can kill it" - My governer, Arnold S.

NEW
Crono over Mega Man 53.43%

FINAL (if accepting)
Crono over Mario 50.05%


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#1 Gamefaqs Duke fan
"Don't even try to top that Will, I've been thinking of it for a week." ~Carlton

So close to my 12th top 5... and yet so far.

Crono with 52.88%
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1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4!

I think the 45-2x is perfect. It makes everything more exciting. otherwise it won't matter that much who the winner is. Like this someone who is 30 points behind can still climb up a lot by picking upsets and scoring a lot of points in comparision with others. If that wasn't the case risks won't be real risks any more. Like this every contest has stayed exciting till the end.

Just my view on this.
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190/192 points in sc2004
tiebrakowned by nifboy

Mega Man - 51.27%
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather."
- Slow Beef

Round 5
Crono with 50.05%
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''If I were the rain that binds together the earth and sky, who in all eternity will never mingle, would I be able to bind the hearts of people together?''

After the contest is over, I'll create a topic where we can discuss possible changes for future contests.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6

Crono with 51.60%


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BLAAHAHEHAHRHAJHEKLAKHHEWUHG!!!!!~!!1?? -Tombs
LOL more like Samus ArOWNED

Mega Man over Crono with 50%
Link over Cloud with 53%

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."

Crono with 50.88%

I believe the 45-2x rules should be changed as well. I like 45-x the best since it still punishes you for making a wrong pick and yet not so much that you can fall 20 places in a match... Of course, I could be very biased because I would do so much better with that rule... >_>

Of course somewhere between 44-47 - x would be good to me.
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Weird Kirby Dude - spud2002 is alive! >_>
Every fanboy war degenerates to a flame war over whether each debater likes the Halo series or not. -Android21A

Oh and I've never received an answer so I'll assume I somehow closed the window without sending that e-mail right?

I did get your email, but I haven't had the time to answer it yet. Hopefully within the next couple days.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

I did get your email, but I haven't had the time to answer it yet. Hopefully within the next couple days.

No hurry, no hurry, I was just wondering, since you always answer extremely fast =P
Oh and the new scoring system should be 50-(x/2)^2 just because it makes people freak out...
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place

Mega Man 51.77%

I won't be here tomorrow, so please allow me to put my pick for the finals.

Semi-Finals:

Crono over Mega Man with 50.12%

Finals:

Mario over Crono with 51.95%
Mario over Mega Man with 52.06%
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Look at my Winter Contest 2K4/2K5 Analysis Fanfic: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579546
End of message. ~ Garsha

if it's Mario vs. Crono

Mario 52.44%

if it's Mario vs. Mega Man

Mega Man 50.17%
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FFXI: Asura: Rpglord 75Drk/67Mnk
SC2K5 118/128, 21st, Current Pick: Mario > Solid Snake

Crono with 51.00%

And yeah, something other than the 45-2x system would be cool for future contests.
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?

Mega Man with 50.02%
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I'm charming, but I dip into the Prozac now and then.
I did pretty good in the guru challenge but yoblazer did slightly better.

Mega Man over Crono with 53.03%

Link over Cloud with 51.87%

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FFXI: Asura: Rpglord 75Drk/67Mnk
SC2K5 118/128, 21st, Current Pick: Mario > Solid Snake

I know this is going to look very screwy, but I'm going one week of vacations. I'm not sure if I'm going to have internet access or not, so here it goes:

Round 7:
Link over Cloud with 52.4%

Sephiroth over Mario with 51.09%
Sephiroth over Crono with 53.4%

Final Round:
Link over Sephiroth with 57.96%
Link over Mario with 60.6%

Cloud over Sephiroth 57%
Cloud over Mario with 53.1%
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm

CHANGE:

Crono over Mega Man with 52.11%
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"I don't like it when people I don't like get what they want."--Janelle

I think either 45-x or 40-x would be the best formula when you pick the wrong winner. As creativename pointed out, it SHOULD decrease hedging (make predictions more honest). Sure, some people might STILL hedge, but it certainly wouldn't be smart to do so. I've hedged quite a few times in this contest, but I wouldn't hedge if it was a "-1x" penalty.

Meanwhile, I don't think 50-x would be such a good idea, either, as there is importance in picking the winner, like Heroic Viktor was saying. Also, I think it IS a good idea to allow some shakeups in the standings still, like ps2rulezzz was saying.

So, I say we do either 45-x or 40-x...

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."

CHANGE:

Mega Man with 50.03%
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener

I don't understand the people who think the huge penalty for picking the wrong winner is a good thing. Unless you believe that Frog /w 60 is better than Master Chief /w 50 (which I find ridiculous, personally), let's at least throw 40-x out of the window =P

I'm a big fan of a hybrid system...
50-(ABS(50-Result))-ABS(Result-Prediction) where Result is the character's score and Prediction is, well, obvious. [It could be read (Result - Prediction) too]

That way, on the losing side, you'd get a 50-x on a 50/50 match, 45-x on a 55/45 match and 40-x on a 60/40, etc... It would prevent ridiculous penalties in very close matches while allowing shake ups in matches that aren't that close when people make awful calls...
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place

Crono with 51.42%
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

Crono with 51%.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

Mega Man with 50.05%
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~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png

CHANGE:

Crono over Mega Man with 52.12%
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.

kawaiifan's prediction:

Round 5
Crono with 50%
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6

CHANGE (since I doubt Crono will get 50 on the dot):

Crono with 50.51%
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Vote for Mario, this year's contest champion!
Mega Man > Sonic

Crono - 50.00%
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"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (560 points)

Since I want Mega Man to win, it sems I have to go with

Crono with 52.14%

There. Jinx'd
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place

Oh boy, what a toughie. My gut is saying Mega Man, since he appeared to have that all important Nintendo vote behind him JUST enough to edge by what appeared to be a boosted Sonic. And I've always felt that Vince is just a tick ahead of Tifa, so it feels right that way as well. And CT has been down this year, really no denying it. And MM has always come out ahead of Crono, except for last year's X-stats, which have proven to be quite screwy.

But on the other hand, my bracket and my heart are with Crono. And he's just GOT to win, to keep the Final at least a little bit in doubt, and to save an entire half of the X-stats.

Ah heck, I'll have it both ways.

Mega Man wi-

Wait, no. Advent Children leak = people coming to check the FF7 storyline = Square fans = Crono votes. Do we have enough pirates in our midst for this to amount to much? No. But it shouldn't take much to swing this vote; a couple hundred either way could be just enough.

Crono 50.03%

Final answer.

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the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/

CHANGE
Crono with 51.23%

it looks better
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place

Crono with 51.49%

As much as I want to go high to retain some hope for a Crono win in the finals, I just can't see it happening.
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
The ships hung in the sky in much the same way that bricks don't. -Douglas Adams