Vincent with 57.49%
---
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place

CHANGE

Vincent Valentine with 66.66%
Magus with 57.99%

---
"It takes but a man to gaze into his own twilight and approach it with fear. It takes but a legend to approach it with open arms." - The Unheard Z

Vincent with 59.55%

And I won't get 0 today, but will get pretty damn close. Bartz has a buddy now... >_>

Anyway, 20th is my goal and it is possible, comsidering I always do well in the second half (50 something to somewhere around 20th last summer)
---
Weird Kirby Dude ~Board Hunter~
Every fanboy war degenerates to a flame war over whether each debater likes the Halo series or not. - Android21A

ya but 10 days ago I was 9th ;_;
---
My Summer Contest Score: 17/20 - Todays Pick: Dante
KingBartz: Been a full Virgin since '87

CHANGE:

Vincent Valentine with 69.19%
---
For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener

CHANGE

Vincent with 68.00%
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."

Vincent Valentine 63.68%
Magus 55.66%
Squall Leonhart 69.12%

Sonic 79.91%
Diablo 58.99%
Tifa Lockheart 70.23%
Luigi 52.13%

NEW ENTRANT:

Vincent - 57%

sorry, forgot the 3 pick minimum...

Magus - 76%
Squall - 88%

Vincent - 62.83%
---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (540 points)

CHANGE:

Vincent with 56.7%
---
My goal since I joined the Leafs has always been to have on the ice a team as good as our fans. We have never quite gotten there. Some day we will. - Ken Dryden

This sucks...I was looking at gaining 5 points on people here. Now everybody's in the same range.

bah. same here. before that pic was revealed, i was one of 5 people who had Vincent doubling Kerrigan. now, half the people do! bah, i say!! BAH!!

so, now i need to bump it up even more. =P

CHANGE -

Vincent - 72.86%


---
Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
Yoblazer is officially THE MAN for beating us all in SpC2K5!!

Change:
Vincent Valentine - 64.83%

And just in case my power isn't back by tomorrow (I'm using my laptop's battery and AOL).

Magus - 60.00%
---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (540 points)

Change: Vincent - 68% (back to my old prediction...)

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."

Valentine with 68.86%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 19/20 - Current:Dante over Terra

Vincent with 64.92%
---
I'm charming, but I dip into the Prozac now and then.
I did pretty good in the guru challenge but yoblazer did slightly better.

CHANGE: Vincent with 61.41%
---
NOMINATE KEN MASTERS FOR SC2K5
http://img291.echo.cx/img291/3398/ken23rc.gif

CHANGE
Vincent with 59.49%
---
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place

Wow, people had that much faith in the BW cover pic? I don't know that I've ever seen people putting this much faith in the pic factor before. I'll go with

Vincent 63.73%

Though for the record, I'd love to see Kerry keep this one close and decimate everyone.

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/

Vincent with 52%

Can't believe I'm going against my perfect bracket, but that Kerrigan pic is the worst pic I have EVER seen for any character, ever, she is in serious trouble now.
---
It's pitch black except for the light!

CHANGE:

Vincent with 60%
---
*Commits Harakiri*

Vincent with 58.33%
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 19/20 | Today: Dante over Terra

CHANGE

Vincent with 65.56%
---
get set to have a blast

CHANGE

Vincent with 61.33%
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 19/20 | Today: Dante over Terra

Change:

Vincent with 64.65%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?

Vincent with 67.5%
---
"Let's drop this Xbox statue on Naomi's head! Oof! This thing's big! It'll take over 3 years for it to start selling!" ~ Jaguar, Sega Fantasy VI

Valentine with 61.3%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 20/21 - Current:Valentine over Kerrigan

Change:

Vincent with 68%
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

Yay, my power is back. Just in time too. But I'm not changing, so whatever.
---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (540 points)

Others with back to back 1st's (didn't check for ties for first >_<, although the likelyhood of a tie for first, with the seocnd person listed winning the next day is remote as hell, so this should be complete)

Holy Excalibur, 4/5 in Sp2k4
Haste2, 36/37 in Sp2k4
Z1mZum, 53/54 in Sp2k4
Lietenant Ketch, 17/18 in SC2k4
Rodri316, 22/23 SC2k4
somdude04 19/20 in SC2k5

And mine was the top scoring back to back win in Oracle history. Go me!

GJ
---
Missed Points: 1.... why did I change my Ness pick... gah

Match #21 Results:
Dante 71.5%
Terra 28.5%

Not one to be outdone by his nemesis Kirby, Dante scores his own blowout against an old-school FF character. Is Dante the new favorite to take his division, or is Terra really weaker than CATS? Once again, we'll have to wait until next round to know for sure. Today there were 87 Dante predictions and 8 extremely painful Terra predictions. The consensus was Dante with 61.6% and the average score was 37.17 points.

Best Five Picks:
1) Rodri316 - Dante 71.02% (+49.52)
2) Ikon - Dante 69.98% (+48.48)
3) spawnofdarkness9 - Dante 73.11% (+48.39)
4) Seginustemple - Dante 69.65% (+48.15)
5) Menji76 - Dante 69.54% (+48.04)

Rodri was the only person to score over 49 points today, since Dante's margin was so much larger than most people expected. This is Rodri's 3rd top 5 of the contest and approximately his 1 millionth total. This is the second top 5 of the contest for Ikon, spawnofdarkness9, and Menji76, and the first lifetime top 5 for Seginustemple, who is on his first Oracle challenge.

Complete match ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=match&match=21

Current Leaderboard:
1) creativename - 941.03
2) Heroic Viktor - 937.37
3) Darkash - 932.03
4) dethwing - 928.46
5) TenkoStar17 - 927.07

Creativename is back on top, since he overestimated Terra by less than most of his competition. Heroic Viktor and Darkash are still in second and third. Dethwing jumps three places and returns to fourth place after spending one day in seventh. TenkoStar17 stays in fifth for the second day in a row.

Full standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=total&match=21
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 19/20 | Today: Dante over Terra

Looks like today is going to be another painful day for my score. I'll just be glad I'm not one of the 8 Kerrigan predictors.
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 19/20 | Today: Dante over Terra

That's it, I'm never lowering a pick again.

Magus with 61%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 20/21 - Current:Valentine over Kerrigan

This contest is killing me.

Magus with 58.21%
---
"No, you see. Here's the problem. You don't know the history of psychiatry. I do." - Tom Cruise

I knew that everyone was being delusional with their crazily low Kerrigan picks.

I still cannot believe that the average prediction in this match was not much over 60%. That just never made sense to me.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

*crazily high Kerrigan picks.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

Change:

Tifa with 77.00%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?

You know what I just realized? It's looking like I may have been better off with a typo of Vincent with 86% rather than 68%.

That is so cool.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

Change:

Tifa with 70%
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

I was pretty much out of this after last match, seriously overestimating Terra. Knew I'd struggle to get points this match after seeing the pic, but thought I'd take a risk and have one last shot at getting back in it, by keeping my Kerrigan pick. Just going for a few decent predictions from now on, try and stay close to Rodri in the overall top 5's. Probably won't happen though.
---
~ Ringworm ~

*checks results*

I stayed in 46th and was still within 50 points of the lead? Damn. Well, looks like I completely stuffed up then. =)
---
~ Ringworm ~

Assuming that the average prediction in this match was Vincent with 60%, and that Kerrigan will finish with 23.5%, that would mean Kerrigan was overestimated by 16.5%.

In gross terms, that would make her the 4th most overestimated entrant ever (since the first Oracle challenge match, Link vs. Fox in 2K3):

("Difference" is the absolute difference between expected and actual percentage)

Rk) Difference || Character || Oracle Prediction || Actual %
1) 20.22% || Luigi (vs. Squall) || 60.01% || 39.79%
2) 17.08% || Metroid Prime (vs. Half-Life 2) || 73.24% || 56.16%
3) 16.74% || Ganon (vs. Link) || 28.84% || 12.1%
4) 16.50% || Kerrigan || 40% || 23.5%
5) 15.58% || Mario (vs. Shadow) || 70.68% || 55.1%

I think she'll probably actually end up 3rd on this list.

However, in Relative Strength terms—which acknowledge that %ages become harder to get the higher you go—Kerrigan is 4th in a very different looking list:

("Score" here is the percentage that the actual character would be estimated to get on the estimated character; e.g., Tanner was expected to get 14.23% on Snake but got 5.7%, so that's 5.7%/14.23%/2=20%; "real Kerrigan" would be expected to get 23.5%/40%/2=29.4% on "estimated Kerrigan")

Rk) Score || Character || Oracle Prediction || Actual %
1) 20% || Tanner || 14.23% || 5.7%
2) 21% || Ganon (vs. Link) || 28.84% || 12.1%
3) 22% || Adventure (vs. LoZ) || 10.92% || 4.8%
4) 29.4% || Kerrigan || 40% || 23.5%
5) 29.8% || Donkey Kong (vs. LoZ) || 21.71% || 12.96%

So, ignoring poor Ganon (due to the SFF thing), Kerrigan is the 2nd most overestimated character ever, next to the incomparable Tanner.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

Heh, I saw this coming and I even didn't see the picture. It feels go to be right.

I won't be here for a few days, so I'm making some changes.

Magus with 56.79 %
Squall Leonhart with 79.88 %
Sonic the Hedgehog with 72.51 %
Diablo with 57.28 %
Tifa Lockheart with 71.88 %
Luigi with 55.88 %
---
Proud supporter of SOLID SNAKE for the SC2K5

I am not arguing with creative ever again, this is... this is...
ugggggggggggggh
losing 25 points on the leaders in 2 days? I don't think I've ever screwed up a 4-pack like that. ever. But at least I called you winning this thing before it started =P
What's up next?
Oh yeah right,
Magus with 60.00%
---
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place

From: KingBartz | Posted: 8/8/2005 9:16:04 PM | Message Detail | #041
ya but 10 days ago I was 9th ;_;

This gives me hope of a comeback. That and KM isn't doing too well on these matches either...
---
Weird Kirby Dude ~Board Hunter~
Every fanboy war degenerates to a flame war over whether each debater likes the Halo series or not. - Android21A

This gives me hope of a comeback. That and KM isn't doing too well on these matches either...

lol go bartz and kirbydude for the win!

---
My Summer Contest Score: 18/21 - Todays Pick: Vincent Valentine
KingBartz: Been a full Virgin since '87

Magus - 50.67%
Squall Leonhart - 67.12%

Chaos Division
Sonic - 79.14%
Diablo - 59.44%

I really do believe that Knuckles will perform higher than expected. He has a great pic this time around, and that might help him. Not to mention the sonic votes.

---
Holy crap, I was banned! oh well. Life goes on.

bah, I thought Kerrigan would be stronger than that. and I actually like her picture since shes not nearly as ugly as the picture on the front of the box. I seriously thought battle.net would support her.

---
Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. "My Father? You mean my Dad?" Fei Fong Wong

actually I was doing the oracle challenge as darkbaconslayer before. then that account got banned by my brother. ARGGHH.

Wow a top five and now I've picked Kerrigan to beat Vincent. DAMN.
---
"If it bleeds we can kill it" - My governer, Arnold S.

This gives me hope of a comeback. That and KM isn't doing too well on these matches either...
Thanks for the support =P

actually I was doing the oracle challenge as darkbaconslayer before. then that account got banned by my brother. ARGGHH.
we (read: Kaxon) will link the two accounts together then...
---
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place