I may end up undershooting by 12%, and I'll still likely move up in the standings. Sick. Just sick.
---
Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

my new goal in this contest- Stay ahead of king morgoth and Kaxon. ^_^

yeah, I've been doing so badly lately. I thought this would be much closer. (because I actually liked the Kerrigan pic and thought it would get her votes.)

---
Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. "My Father? You mean my Dad?" Fei Fong Wong

I'll be in new york for 4 days so heres my changes.

Magus with 63.67%
Sonic with 81.34%
Tifa Lockheart with 63.54%

yah after kerrigans phail I'm stickin with safe picks...
---
"If it bleeds we can kill it" - My governer, Arnold S.

my new goal in this contest- Stay ahead of king morgoth and Kaxon. ^_^
I'll go ahead and take this as a compliment....
I'll try not to drop out of the Top 50 first though....*sighs*
---
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place

Magus with 61.3%

Tifa with 80%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 20/21 - Current:Valentine over Kerrigan

From: King Morgoth | Posted: 8/9/2005 8:34:23 AM | Message Detail | #294
But at least I called you winning this thing

Whoa there, you talking about me? There is a looong way to go here :) And the most volatile parts are coming later, since in later matches it's tougher to predict the winner, and the picking the loser penalties can hurt you more often. I'd say that I have less than a 30% shot at actually finishing #1.

I am not arguing with creative ever again

I guess you're talking about the Terra and Kerrigan matches. I was definitely a lot more confident in Kerrigan being a joke than in Terra being really weak. But I actually don't recall ever arguing with you about either? Anyway, the main thing to get out of this is not so much about me (well, except when I say "trust me"...I knew that Kerrigan would struggle to get 30%, though it turned out to be 20%), but that you should never doubt Final Fantasy VII.

Remember, the main thing that even got people on the contest leaderboard in 2K3 was blind FF7 fanboyism.

People always like to make jokes about random characters from FF7 being strong, and then others dismiss them. But those are far more true I think that most realize. "Random Shinra Soldier" probably would be above most of the fodder. I mean, just look at the board hype for Kerrigan. I can pretty much guarantee you that Rufus Shinra—who is rarely mentioned for nominations—would trash Kerrigan. If you are of any prominence in FF7, pretty much everyone at this site is going to know about you. That is no joke.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

Whoa there, you talking about me? [...] I'd say that I have less than a 30% shot at actually finishing #1.
Yes yes yes, you. And I honestly called it, I ain't only trying to jinx it here... Oh and 30% is an insane lot better than my own chances =P. Though I've been known to make weird comebacks...You'll be hard to catch though as you never make any huge mistake (barring Kuja/MH if my memory serves me right).

But I actually don't recall ever arguing with you about either?
By "arguing" I meant looking at your prediction, laughing my ass off and picking 20% away, pwning myself. You get the picture =P

My Terra prediction was honest, as I really thought she would stand higher than Kefka after seeing Kuja bomb that bad. Not that far high, but enough to try the bracket upset. And Kerrigan in my bracket was one of those "I'll hate me forever if it happens and I didn't take it", an advantage of being ineligible for prizes. I didn't think she could win, but honestly thought she could give Vincent some fight (60-40). I never bought Aeris>Vincent nor Diablo > Kerrigan and I've been pwned on both counts it seems. Samus vs Vincent is going to be a great match (yes, he'll get there, unless Kerrigan is very extremely weak)

Two things that come out of this and that I hate:
How come PC Characters bomb like hell compared to similar characters from console games of equal strength?
How the hell can Ramza, of all people, be above any and all old-FF characters, strength-wise. That just sounds...wrong.
---
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place

CHANGE: Magus with 62.33%
---
NOMINATE KEN MASTERS FOR SC2K5
http://img291.echo.cx/img291/3398/ken23rc.gif

Magus with 59.4%

Go Bartz and me! >_>

I hate this because I wasn't here. I would probably be around 50th right now if I was here half the time. And that blind faith in FF7 was stupid >_>

My new goal is better than 30th overall which is possible because of people dropping out and matches like last year's Sora vs. Ryu (which helped me gain last year ^_^)
---
Weird Kirby Dude ~Board Hunter~
Every fanboy war degenerates to a flame war over whether each debater likes the Halo series or not. - Android21A

Magus with 61.4%

This must be the quickest change ever... >_>
---
Weird Kirby Dude ~Board Hunter~
Every fanboy war degenerates to a flame war over whether each debater likes the Halo series or not. - Android21A

Change: Magus with 63.00%
---
Summer Contest 2005 --- Score: 20/21 --- Rank: T-137

Change

Magus 69.65%



I find it absolutley hilarious that I'm going to miss Vincent by 20% and still be in the top 10..... everyone has him in the 50's

---
SC2K5; T-2nd: Current Points: 20; Correct Picks 20/21; Today's Pick: Vincent Valentine Tommorow's pick: Magus #1 Gamefaqs Duke fan

Magus - 54.89%
---
Summer 2005 Contest -- Current Score: 20/21
Today's Prediction -- Sarah Kerrigan vs. Vincent Valentine

Today is going to own me... painfully. Why do you have to suck like a Hoover on steroids, Kerrigan?
---
1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4!

Changes:

Diablo - 66%
Tifa - 70%
Luigi - 54%


---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."

Wow, another bad prediction. I hope tomorrow won't hurt me.

Change: Magus with 57.84%
---
Look at my Winter Contest 2K4/2K5 Analysis Fanfic: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579546
End of message. ~ Garsha

Oh, and looking at this match, I'll change Tifa's pick to 68.34%.
---
Look at my Winter Contest 2K4/2K5 Analysis Fanfic: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579546
End of message. ~ Garsha

Magus with 62.33%.
---
Board 8: Where people treat each other right.

CHANGE:

Magus with 62.44%
---
That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm

Change:

Magus with 60.2%

///
I simply must say I'm completely out of ideas for a sig!

CHANGE:

Magus with 55.22%
---
For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener

Change:
Magus with 60.5%

From: King Morgoth | Posted: 8/9/2005 4:51:53 PM | Message Detail | #307
Samus vs Vincent is going to be a great match (yes, he'll get there, unless Kerrigan is very extremely weak)

Crono still has to be the clear favorite. (and while I expect Samus to beat him, you can't dismiss Mario either)


How the hell can Ramza, of all people, be above any and all old-FF characters, strength-wise. That just sounds...wrong.

Final Fantasy Tactics is huge at this site. People brought this up back in the Game contest.

Cecil's weakness certainly surprised me, and Terra's did a little bit too. But it would seem that outside of Chrono Trigger, the old school characters just aren't appreciated here. I have a feeling that perhaps a lot of that has to do with not having their easily recognized sprite pictures...but, that's just speculation. I just think that a lot of their appeal comes from nostalgia, which isn't going to be captured on a name recognition basis by foreign looking pictures.

But I recall hearing that Ramza was the high point for Cecil, and I agreed with that at the time. And I never thought Terra would be that high. So Ramza being stronger than them isn't surprising; but I agree that the magnitude of the difference is surprising (especially for Cecil).
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

Here are the rest of my predictions.

20XX Division
Mega Man with 79.92%
Leon Kennedy with 61.04%
Yoshi with 74.12%
Revolver Ocelot with 60.08%

---
SC2K5: Todays Pick: Vincent//Current Points: 19/21

FINALLY!!! Top 5 pick, here i come!!! ^_^

it feels nice to be one of the few people who didn't underestimate Vincent THAT much. >_>

---
Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
Yoblazer is officially THE MAN for beating us all in SpC2K5!!

and CHANGE:

Magus - 61.53%

---
Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
Yoblazer is officially THE MAN for beating us all in SpC2K5!!

CHANGE:

Magus over Knuckles with 62.82%
---
http://www.cbs.com/primetime/bigbrother6/_polls/amc_poll.shtml
VOTE FOR KAYSAR!

Crono still has to be the clear favorite. (and while I expect Samus to beat him, you can't dismiss Mario either)

To say that Crono is the favorite I'd have to admit that Crash/Sam Fisher >= Kerrigan and you'll never ever hear me say that ;). Oh and I believe Crono/Vincent would be one of those matches where rSFF could happen/make sense.

I can't see Mario pulling some magic against Samus. It can happen, obviously, but since it didn't happen against Link, I'd be surprised if it happened here.

Cecil's weakness certainly surprised me, and Terra's did a little bit too. [...] And I never thought Terra would be that high. So Ramza being stronger than them isn't surprising;
What I'm really surprised about is how farther they are from their game (strength-wise) than new FFs. I had always believed before that Kefka was the strongest FFVI character (and now it looks like he is), but after Crono/Kefka and his other very average matches I simply couldn't sit there and believe that was the best FFVI could do. If Kefka was at 33-35% on Link, I would never have called Terra>Kefka, but damn, I hoped one of them could do better (and after seeing Kuja bomb like that, I thought there was really something against FF Villains). 3 of my favorite characters down in 4 days, that hurts. Oh and Cecil got an unrecognizable and ugly pick, so that doesn't help.

Wal of text'd
---
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place

CHANGE:

Magus with 64.40%
---
Summer Contest 2k5 - Points: 19/21
Kerrigan Vs. Vincent Valentine - Bracket: Vincent Valentine - Vote: Vincent

Magus with 62.00%
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."

Magus with 57.46%
---
"Let's drop this Xbox statue on Naomi's head! Oof! This thing's big! It'll take over 3 years for it to start selling!" ~ Jaguar, Sega Fantasy VI

CHANGE

Magus with 62.54%
---
get set to have a blast

Can't really justify this... I guess after seeing Dante look great, then Vincent look incredible, I can't help but expect the character I still feel to be the strongest of the lot to overperform accordingly. And then we'll see Squall do the same in 2 days, just to keep this crazy division really, really interesting.

Magus 63.91%

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/

Magus with 61.59%
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 20/21 | Today: Vincent over Kerrigan

kawaiifan's predictions:

Sonic with 82%
Diablo with 60%
Tifa with 72%
Luigi with 55%
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 20/21 | Today: Vincent over Kerrigan

CHANGE

Magus with 59.99%

If Magus breaks 60%, I will be depressed.
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Kerrigan vs. Vincent - Bracket: Vincent - Vote: Vincent (19/21)

From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 8/9/2005 2:24:29 PM | Message Detail
Magus with 59.4%

From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 8/9/2005 2:25:24 PM | Message Detail
Magus with 61.4%

This must be the quickest change ever... >_>

Nope, there's a quicker change in this very topic. =P

From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:58:48 PM | Message Detail
My pick feels too risky. Hopefully I won't regret this change.

Vercetti with 51.46%

From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:59:41 PM | Message Detail
Eh, screw it.

Vercetti with 53.03%

---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 20/21 | Today: Vincent over Kerrigan

*sigh* Magus, Magus, Magus...which one is the real you? The guy who beat Ganondorf and impressed against Link, or the dud from the Fisher and Luca matches?

Change:

Magus with 55.95%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?

Magus with 63.27%
---
I'm charming, but I dip into the Prozac now and then.
I did pretty good in the guru challenge but yoblazer did slightly better.

Whoops, I just copied Weird Kirby Dude's prediction. Time for a change.

Magus with 62.09%
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 20/21 | Today: Vincent over Kerrigan

Last change:

Magus with 61.75%
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 20/21 | Today: Vincent over Kerrigan

Wow, the predictions for yesterday were so bad that I was able to keep my position, even though I was 18% off.

Squall with 80%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 21/22 - Current:Magus over Knuckles

Match #22 Results:
Sarah Kerrigan 21%
Vincent Valentine 79%

Today Vincent scored a huge blowout over Kerrigan. There were 91 Vincent predictions and 8 Kerrigan predictions. The consensus was Vincent with 59.82%, 19.18% off from the actual result - making it the second worst consensus in history by percentage (but not by score, because most people still had the right winner). The average score was 28 points. With this match, we're now one third of the way through the contest.

Best Five Picks:
1) Rufus Shinra 18 - Vincent Valentine 72.96% (+43.96)
2) cyko - Vincent Valentine 72.86% (+43.86)
3) Rodri316 - Vincent Valentine 72.82% (+43.82)
4) radadam - Vincent Valentine 71.34% (+42.34)
5) Aprosenf - Vincent Valentine 69.19% (+40.19)

Rufus Shinra 18 had the best prediction today with 43.96 points. Talk about exceeding expectations - Vincent overshot his highest prediction by more than 6%. Cyko is in second place with his first top 5 of the contest, and radadam in fourth also gets his first top 5. Rodri makes the top 5 for the second day in a row and the fourth time this contest, while Aprosenf gets his third top 5 of the contest.

Complete match ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=match&match=22

Current Leaderboard:
1) creativename - 980.03
2) Heroic Viktor - 966.64
3) Janors - 966.40
4) Darkash - 964.60
5) Dilated Chemist - 962.97

Creativename has achieved air superiority. With his outstanding prediction today (39 points!), he widens his lead over the field to more than 13 points. Heroic Viktor is still in second but he now has less than a quarter of a point cushion. Janors, who's been moving on and off the leaderboard for the last few days, is back in third place today. Darkash drops one spot to fourth, and the champ, Dilated Chemist, makes his triumphant return to the leaderboard in fifth.

Full standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=total&match=22
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 21/22 | Today: Magus over Knuckles

Dear lord, but this could get ugly.

I am stunned. I never suspected for a moment that Knuckles would be capable of winning.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery

Sonic the Hedgehog with 74.56%
Diablo with 62.00%
Tifa Lockheart with 61.22%
Luigi with 58.39%
---
Currently playing: Killer7 [GC] + Yoshi Touch & Go [DS]

Well, a win for Knuckles would shake things up a little, if nothing else...

Change:

Squall with 78.05%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?

Did anyone even pick Knuckles?

Squall with 71.12%
---
"No, you see. Here's the problem. You don't know the history of psychiatry. I do." - Tom Cruise

*logs in*
fun thing, I'm at work and the mainpage is blocked (but not the boards nor sc2k5.com so I get the poll results only with the updater)
...
am I seeing Knuckles coming back???

Wow. Just wow. This will probably hurt a lot if Knuckles wins...but anything for chaos on the boards =)
What's the consensus Kaxon?
---
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place

Squall with 72.11%

And my prediction actually looks low now that I've seen some of the others...
---
Weird Kirby Dude ~Board Hunter~
Every fanboy war degenerates to a flame war over whether each debater likes the Halo series or not. - Android21A

Most painful result in Oracle history? Coming right up.

I love this Contest.

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/

Last time I missed a match, it dropped me out of the top five.
This time around...it's gonna move me back in.
Dear god.
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?