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SC2k5 - Oracle Challenge - Round 2 - All Divisions
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 8/25/2005 10:18:56 AM | Message Detail
Well, I gotta do it.

CHANGE

Kirby with 50.00%

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
Fighting Illini (37-2): #2 in the nation, #1 in our hearts
From: Darkash | Posted: 8/25/2005 12:02:15 PM | Message Detail
Go Sora, go Sora, thanks for not completely killing me!

Tidus w/ 52.97%
Bowser w/53.26%
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1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4!
From: meche313 | Posted: 8/25/2005 1:54:31 PM | Message Detail
**** you Alucard. ;___;
I'm dropping like a rock today, I was so close to the Top 20. Damn you Sora, Damn you!

CHANGE:

Tidus with 51.1%

I hope Tidus can win it, though.
---
That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 8/25/2005 1:55:45 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Tidus with 55.42%
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: meche313 | Posted: 8/25/2005 2:14:10 PM | Message Detail
Actually, scratch that.

Two things:
1) Hooray! I'm finally in the Top 20 (18th!) and although I have been as close as 10th in the beginning, I believe this is nice when compared getting here in Round 2.

2) ****, I think one day is nice, but you can go and scratch that already. Alucard is taking a beating, so I may drop 9-10 spots. How bad. :(
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: BigtoeOfJebus | Posted: 8/25/2005 2:20:43 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief with 55%
Crono with 70%

Vincent Valentine with 60%
Squall Leonhart with 55%

Sonic the Hedgehog with 70%
Tifa Lockheart with 60%

Mega Man with 70%
Yoshi with 65%
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Nominate Jay Solano for SC2k6!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=22865239
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/25/2005 2:56:25 PM | Message Detail
yay, I'm back ahead of Kaxon and Morgoth. :P

Boo, that's no fun. =P

*wonders if they had Sora or Alucard*

We both have Sora.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano for SC2k6
From: LuniNutz99 | Posted: 8/25/2005 2:58:06 PM | Message Detail
BTW: Is there a list somewhere of the users who have gotten in the Top 5 the most? I'm still curious.

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Lunatic Under Narcotic Influence
From: dethwing | Posted: 8/25/2005 2:58:57 PM | Message Detail
Well I'm gonna lose some Gear points on this one...Damn Sora....
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"Kefka and pictures go together like gordon freeman and winning."
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/25/2005 2:59:33 PM | Message Detail
Beh. Tidus with 51%.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: transience | Posted: 8/25/2005 3:00:49 PM | Message Detail
I have no freaking clue who's winning tomorrow.

change: Tidus with 50.24%
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http://picturesofwalls.com
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/25/2005 3:42:39 PM | Message Detail
BTW: Is there a list somewhere of the users who have gotten in the Top 5 the most? I'm still curious.

We don't put up a dynamic page because it's very computationally expensive to calculate. King Morgoth has an all-time list that was posted before the contest, and when I get home I might be able to post the current numbers for this contest.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano for SC2k6
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 8/25/2005 3:48:17 PM | Message Detail
"Back to" my old self? Back to?! I'll have you know I've made 3 or 4 last-hour predictions already this Contest, and I plan to make several more before it's all said and done! Why, I'm as consistent as the sun rising in the East, always have been.

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the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 8/25/2005 3:51:50 PM | Message Detail
BTW: Is there a list somewhere of the users who have gotten in the Top 5 the most? I'm still curious.

We don't put up a dynamic page because it's very computationally expensive to calculate. King Morgoth has an all-time list that was posted before the contest, and when I get home I might be able to post the current numbers for this contest.


I'll expend on that:
Since the current page we're using (well Kaxon mostly) is a server's nightmare (doing it for all-time takes roughly 4 minutes), I'm not releasing it to the public, it would be way too hard on the servers.
I'll try to get something working once the contest is over though (and it is likely it will only consider completed contests, since we can write that down somewhere else in the database).

Also Kaxon, AIM, now.

and I plan to make several more before it's all said and done!

I sure hope so sir, I sure hope so... =)
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 8/25/2005 3:55:44 PM | Message Detail
That's it, final change and I am done with it. Sick of flipping!!!

CHANGE

Tidus with 50.83%

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 39/42 (Kefka, Magus, Ocelot)
From: Camden | Posted: 8/25/2005 4:00:35 PM | Message Detail
Turn!

Tidus with 51%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 39/42 - Current: Alucard over Sora
From: cyko | Posted: 8/25/2005 4:14:04 PM | Message Detail
y'know, i never understood all of the Alucard hype. i've been confident in Sora since day one, and it looks like it will pay off today, since i have one of the highest picks for Sora. ^_^

now, to decide if i want to stick with Kirby or sink with my bracket and change to Tidus.........

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"Start wearing purple, for me now. All your sanity and wits, they will all vanish, i promise. It's just a matter of time..."
From: PeaceOut64 | Posted: 8/25/2005 4:24:01 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Tidus with 54.5%
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My goal since I joined the Leafs has always been to have on the ice a team as good as our fans. We have never quite gotten there. Some day we will. - Ken Dryden
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 8/25/2005 4:24:59 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief with 56.8%

===
Oh. My. God.
Did the PS2's light just change color...?!
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 8/25/2005 5:58:47 PM | Message Detail
I had no doubt on Sora, but Tidus vs. Kirby is just hard.

Kirby is actually ahead in the X-stats, but I already threw them out the window. Other than that, I'm clueless...

Here goes:

CHANGE: Tidus with 51%

I figure if Tidus wins, it's good for me in the Oracle Challenge, if Kirby wins, I'm happy and my bracket looks better (although Magus already screwed me up...) My two cents.
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Weird Kirby Dude ~Board Hunter~
Every fanboy war degenerates to a flame war over whether each debater likes the Halo series or not. - Android21A
From: Haste2 | Posted: 8/25/2005 6:22:27 PM | Message Detail
Change: Tidus - 50%

Hm...it's not like I'm gonna appear in the Top 50 again, bar a miracle. So, even if I get hit with a double whammy if Kirby wins...well, I just want Kirby to win so badly. =p

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: KingBartz | Posted: 8/25/2005 7:14:28 PM | Message Detail
Hopefully Sora will close the battle with 56, unless alucard wins the second night vote.
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My Summer Contest Score: 34/40 - Todays Pick: Solid Snake
KingBartz: Been a Virgin since '87
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 8/25/2005 7:19:48 PM | Message Detail
Tidus - 51.05%
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"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (560 points)
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 8/25/2005 7:33:26 PM | Message Detail
Tidus with 52.11%
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: transience | Posted: 8/25/2005 7:41:45 PM | Message Detail
have predictions just not been updated in a while? I've still got Sora with 51%.
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http://picturesofwalls.com
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 8/25/2005 8:27:53 PM | Message Detail
have predictions just not been updated in a while? I've still got Sora with 51%.

urge.....to kill.....rising....

now now now, http://www.oraclechallenge.com/predictions.php
Last Updated: 2005-08-24 03:59:18 (Pacific Time)

I don't want to be an ass here, but...
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/detail.php?board=8&topic=22994883&message=251511773

Kaxon answered the same exact question yesterday, and people have been asking every single damn match since the beginning of the contest, come on now people is it really that unclear? And that's directed to everyone who still feels like asking, not only you. And as for everyone else, walk through this topic as usual, but grab a cookie on the way.
*hands cookies around*
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 8/25/2005 8:40:58 PM | Message Detail
Change:

Tidus - 50.00%

<_<
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"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (560 points)
From: cyko | Posted: 8/25/2005 9:29:04 PM | Message Detail
hey Morgoth, why hasn't the page of predictions been upda......

*gets strangled by KM and Kaxon*

>_>

HEDGING TIME!!!!

CHANGE:

Kirby - 50.26%

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"Start wearing purple, for me now. All your sanity and wits, they will all vanish, i promise. It's just a matter of time..."
From: Camden | Posted: 8/25/2005 9:41:04 PM | Message Detail
Tidus with 51.99%

Still not sure about it, although I'd be ecstatic if Kirby could advance another round. I don't want my two favorites in the contest to bow out one after the other.
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 39/44 - Current: Some lesser character over Kirby
From: transience | Posted: 8/25/2005 9:44:19 PM | Message Detail
I wasn't complaining, I was just asking. anyway, if that bothered someone, I apologize.

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http://picturesofwalls.com
From: Z1mZum | Posted: 8/25/2005 10:01:35 PM | Message Detail
I'll continue to go down with my bracket.

Tidus with 53%

I don't even remember picking him.
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I'm charming, but I dip into the Prozac now and then.
I did pretty good in the guru challenge but yoblazer did slightly better.
From: bigkevinm84 | Posted: 8/25/2005 10:04:46 PM | Message Detail
I'm so glad I got 2nd place yesterday, so awesome ^_^!

Kirby vs. Tidus will be close, unlike the previous 3 days we've seen. I'll keep my Tidus pick but I'm not confident...

CHANGE - Tidus with 50.90%
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Vote for Yoshi
You have no chance to survive make your time.
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 8/25/2005 10:10:51 PM | Message Detail
tidus with 50.5%
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"If it bleeds we can kill it" - My governer, Arnold S.
From: Xuxon | Posted: 8/25/2005 10:14:06 PM | Message Detail
Tidus with 51%
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"Let's drop this Xbox statue on Naomi's head! Oof! This thing's big! It'll take over 3 years for it to start selling!" ~ Jaguar, Sega Fantasy VI
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 8/25/2005 10:24:06 PM | Message Detail
hey Morgoth, why hasn't the page of predictions been upda......

*gets strangled by KM and Kaxon*

>_>


XD. Technically, I'm the one doing the strangling while Kaxon calls the police and says it was self-defence, but close enough =P

I wasn't complaining, I was just asking. anyway, if that bothered someone, I apologize.

No need to apologize for that actually, as long as you don't do it again =P. The thing is we're having an unusually high number of people asking about their predictions when everything's fine (i.e. we stopped updating before their post, as stated by the "last updated" line), and considering the time I spent to put that auto-updating page up so that people wouldn't have to ask about their predictions, I tend to be tired of hearing that question again, and again, and again. No hard feelings and nothing personal obviously, and if you see your prediction wasn't entered and was BEFORE the time stamp that's written, yes you should tell us as soon as possible so we can fix it...
It wasn't as much about you asking as about you being our lucky 20th contestant-to-ask-about-predictions-that-aren't-meant-to-be-there-yet and therefore winning a cookie jaaaaaaaaar!
*hands over cookie jar*

Lots of Tidus love lately, I'm starting to fear....
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: transience | Posted: 8/25/2005 10:26:28 PM | Message Detail
well, it's because no one actually reads the topic - they just put their predictions in. I understand why it's annoying though.

hopefully you don't hold me to my 51% Sora prediction :)

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http://picturesofwalls.com
From: creativename | Posted: 8/25/2005 10:50:50 PM | Message Detail
Regarding the last updated time thing, perhaps that could be put on the main page, and in a highlighted box or something. I've read you guys mention it before but I never actually noticed it myself until today.

Anyway, this Tidus vs. Kirby match is a such a toss-up. So much conflicting logic.

For Tidus 2K2, if you set 2K2 Sonic equal to 35, Tidus ends up at 28.8. Kirby that year was at 25.54.

In 2K3, if you set Tidus~=Knuckles, he's at 26.47. Kirby is at 26.34.

In 2K4, adjusted Tidus is at 27.19 (I don't trust the unadjusted value there at all). Kirby adjusted is at 28.54.

There's a lot telling me that Kirby will win this one. Tidus has been unimpressive for a while, the characters seem to be going in opposite directions going by the logic above, Kirby lost to Squall but Tidus is probably weaker than Squall, and Kirby's got a great picture advantage. But overall the match looks like a real toss-up, so I guess I'll just go with my rooting interests and stay with my current pick. Looks like there's a good chance I'll be in 4th place tomorrow.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/25/2005 10:53:14 PM | Message Detail
kawaiifan's predictions:

Master Chief with 54%
Crono with 70%
Vincent with 57%
Squall with 53%
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano for SC2k6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/25/2005 10:53:32 PM | Message Detail
My prediction:

Tidus with 52%
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano for SC2k6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/25/2005 10:59:04 PM | Message Detail
*hedge*

Tidus with 50.75%
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano for SC2k6
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 8/25/2005 10:59:48 PM | Message Detail
Nick of time!

Tidus with 53.31%

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the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 8/25/2005 11:06:35 PM | Message Detail
well, it's because no one actually reads the topic - they just put their predictions in.

Erm... yes, they do. Just because you don't doesn't mean nobody does; personally, I see plenty of discussion taking place in here every- wait, why am I typing this? You'll never read it!

I could certainly see Kirby taking this one, and it would really make my day, regardless of it putting another nail in my bracket's coffin. But after all the hedging I've done in the first half of this gauntlet, just to see the cookie cutter take the match with an easy 55% again and again, I'm fed up with playing it so safe. So, go Nintendo, but I'm not throwing away another 5+ points over it. ...this time.

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the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: transience | Posted: 8/25/2005 11:08:59 PM | Message Detail
:)

well, usually it's just a bunch of predictions. I check it daily to see the top fives and the comments and stuff. if more conversation happened in them (like now), I would read every post.

hopefully I'm not making more people mad in explaining myself.. today has been a miserable day as is.
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http://picturesofwalls.com
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 8/25/2005 11:24:18 PM | Message Detail
Ack, really late again. If you'll still take it...

Tidus with 51.00%
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 8/25/2005 11:25:39 PM | Message Detail
hopefully I'm not making more people mad in explaining myself.. today has been a miserable day as is.
It's nice to see something else than predictions for a change actually =)

Ack, really late again. If you'll still take it...
We will, since we're nice people. >_>

Oh and the predictions page has been updated as per creative's request (or something like that). Can't miss it now, and can't blame me for not reacting =P
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: Menji76 | Posted: 8/25/2005 11:26:40 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Crono 75.43%
Tifa 55.54%

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SC2K5; T-3rd: Current Points: 39 #1 Gamefaqs Duke fan
Now Playing: NCAAF 04, Metroid Prime, FFX-2, Suikoden 3, and Robin Hood: DotC
From: Camden | Posted: 8/26/2005 12:03:42 AM | Message Detail
Go Kirby!

Ryu with 50.99%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 39/44 - Current: Some lesser character over Kirby
From: creativename | Posted: 8/26/2005 12:11:14 AM | Message Detail
Whoa boy...looks like Tidus pickers are going to get wrecked.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/26/2005 12:29:46 AM | Message Detail
Match #38 Results:
Alucard 44.64%
Sora 55.36%

Another comfortable win for the bracket favorite - it looks like this gauntlet may be a disappointment for close matches, even it if is hard to predict. There were 55 Sora picks and 28 Alucard picks. The consensus was Sora with 51.54% and the average score was 40.98.

Best Five Picks:
1) Starion - Sora 55.26% (+49.90)
2) daniel2424 - Sora 55.24% (+49.88)
3) BigtoeOfJebus - Sora 55.00% (+49.64)
4) cyko - Sora 54.89% (+49.53)
5) Who Cares? - Sora 54.67% (+49.31)

Starion is today's best predictor. This is his fourth top 4 of the contest, and so far he's been in first, second, third, and fourth one time each. daniel2424 is 0.02 behind in second place, and he too has four different top 5s, but the one he's missing is first. BigtoeofJebus ALSO has four top 5s, as does cyko. Who Cares? is the odd man out today, as this is only his third top 5.

Complete match ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=match&match=38

Current Leaderboard:
1) creativename - 1666.03
2) Heroic Viktor - 1664.93
3) Haste2 - 1657.71
4) Xuxon - 1657.62
5) Master Moltar - 1650.44

Once again, fifth place is the only spot on the leaderboard that changes today. Oracle veteran Master Moltar has taken dethwing's place in fifth today. Creativename's lead has shrunk to 1.10 points, the smallest it's been in quite a while.

Full standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=total&match=38

Gear Division Leaderboard:
1) octoinky - 283.29
2) creativename - 278.01
3) Xuxon - 277.74
4) Who Cares? - 277.25
5) Paratroopa1 - 276.28

Octoinky increases his lead in the Gear Division from half a point to five points. With only the division final left, he has a good chance of taking the division title. Creativename is now in second place for the division, followed by Xuxon, Who Cares?, and Paratroopa1.

Complete division standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/divisions.php?division=28
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano for SC2k6
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 8/26/2005 2:24:05 AM | Message Detail
Bowser with 50.20%
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"No, you see. Here's the problem. You don't know the history of psychiatry. I do." - Tom Cruise
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