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SpC2k5 - Oracle Challenge - Round 1 - Ruin / Triforce Divisions
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 5/3/2005 2:56:14 PM | Message Detail
The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs SpringContest you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of thevote they will receive. New participants are still being accepted untilat least the end of round 3 (please indicate that you are new and makea minimum of three picks).

Here are some examples of a valid entry:

Link with 85%
CATS - 60.05
Link over CATS 70.6%
Link vs. CATS 52%
Link 55.13

Thefirst option is preferable, but as long as it is clear which characteryou expect to win and what percentage you think it will achieve, youshould be alright.

The Scoring

For each match youwill earn points based on how close your guess was to the actualoutcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challengewill be the person with the most points at the end of the final match.For each match you can earn anywhere between 0 and 50 points. Thisdepends on whether you correctly picked the winner and how close yourguess was to the actual percentage. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-2x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: Link - 65%
My guess: CATS - 55%
Actual result: Link 60%, CATS 40%
Your points: 50 - (65-60) = 45 points
My points: 45 - 2*(55-40) = 15 points

Bonuspoints are awarded for the closest five guesses each match but do notfactor into the overall scoring. They are used only as a side ranking.Participants will also be ranked by average score from time to time.

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1)A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. Link -85.03%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%. Noalts, please. All predictions should be made with your main account tomake things easier on me. If you need to change accounts please let meknow.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different fromeverybody else’s guess. However, intentional and continuous predictionmimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made onefull hour before the usual start time of that match’s poll (approx.2:00am EST, 1:00am CST, 11:00pm PST). Predictions submitted after thistime will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictionswill be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4)You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject tothe rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to aprevious entry.
5) You many not delete any post in a predictiontopic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain thedeletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule (and to reduceconfusion).
6) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please make this very clear.
7) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
---
SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 5/3/2005 2:56:39 PM | Message Detail
I am now accepting predictions for the second half of the First Round:
Ruin Division
Kefka vs Mithos
Luca Blight vs Wesker
Albedo vs M.Bison
Ridley vs Diablo

Triforce Division
Ganondorf vs Giygas
Ansem vs CATS
Dr. Robotnik vs Sin
Kuja vs Master Hand

I am also still accepting predictions for the remaining matches of the first two divisions:

Mushroom Division
Sigma vs Andross
Revolver Ocelot vs Nemesis
Dr. Wily vs Ultros

Jenova Division
Sephiroth vs Ramirez
Vergil vs Ghaleon
Lavos vs Mother Brain
Liquid Snake vs Officer Tenpenny
---
SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!
From: Paratroopa1 | Posted: 5/3/2005 3:01:27 PM | Message Detail
Kefka with 69.80%
Wesker with 59.01%
M.Bison with 58.62%
Ridley with 50.08%

Ganondorf with 88.56%
Ansem with 67.53%
Dr. Robotnik with 52.10%
Kuja with 51.96%
From: The Wise Tonberry | Posted: 5/3/2005 3:02:43 PM | Message Detail
Ruin Division

Kefka vs Mithos:

Kefka with 84.61%

Luca Blight vs Wesker:

Wesker 58.72%

Albedo vs M.Bison:

M. Bison with 63.72%

Ridley vs Diablo:

Diablo with 67.34%

Triforce Division

Ganondorf vs Giygas:

Ganondorf with 88.45%

Ansem vs CATS:

Ansem with 57.21%

Dr. Robotnik vs Sin:

Dr. Robotnik with 55.32%

Kuja vs Master Hand:

Kuja with 58.18%
---
Teenage love was underground...
...tonight I break the surface.
From: somdude04 | Posted: 5/3/2005 3:03:37 PM | Message Detail
Kefka with 88.88%
Wesker with 62.62%
M. Bison with 53.53%
Diablo with 55.55%

Ganondorf with 90.00%
CATS with 53.53%
Sin with 51.51%
Kuja with 80.00%

GJ
___
Final 4: 1. Sephiroth 2. Gannondorf 3/4.Kefka, Bowser
From: Z1mZum | Posted: 5/3/2005 3:04:32 PM | Message Detail
Just reposting what I already have in this topic (including the changes I had made).

Bowser with 85.89%
Sigma with 67.93%
Revolver Ocelot with 71.04%
Dr. Wily with 69.10%
---
I'm charming, but I dip into the Prozac now and then.
Team Six!
From: Holy Excalibur | Posted: 5/3/2005 3:05:53 PM | Message Detail
Changes in bold

Sigma with 60.02%
Ocelot with 68.01%

Dr. Wily with 70.15%
Sephiroth with 87.33%
Vergil with 61.71%

Lavos with 52.50
Liquid Snake with 76.20%

I'll do the 2nd half soon.
---
-J.D
From: Garsha | Posted: 5/3/2005 3:05:53 PM | Message Detail
Kefka with 72.27%
Wesker with 62.20%
M.Bison with 59.46%
Ridley with 57.67%

Ganondorf with 74.58%
Ansem with 71.55%
Dr. Robotnik with 54.90%
Kuja with 64.03%
---
Look at my Winter Contest 2K4/2K5 Analysis Fanfiction:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=579546&topic=20526094
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 5/3/2005 3:10:23 PM | Message Detail
Kefka vs Mithos- Kefka with 75.00%
Luca Blight vs Wesker- Wesker with 60.00%
Albedo vs M.Bison- Bison with 55.55%
Ridley vs Diablo- Ridley with 55.55%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf vs Giygas- Ganondorf with 85.00%
Ansem vs CATS- Ansem with 60.00%
Dr. Robotnik vs Sin- Sin with 55.55%
Kuja vs Master Hand- Kuja with 60.00%

as alwas these are preliminary picks. (some of them are even risky, like the Sin pick)



---
Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. The sweetest guy around. ^_^
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 5/3/2005 3:10:37 PM | Message Detail
Ruin Division
Kefka beats Mithos with 60.89%
Wesker beats Luca Blight with 65.00%
M. Bison beats Albedo with 50.98%
Ridley beats Diablo with 51.75%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf beats Giygas with 89.03%
Ansem beats CATS with 70. 55%
Dr. Robotnik beats Sin with 54.23%
Master Hand beats Kuja with 51.86%
---
Serious Reminder: Vote for Dr. Wily in 2k5
Meanwhile, let's pray I pass my finals.....
From: Holy Excalibur | Posted: 5/3/2005 3:12:15 PM | Message Detail
Kefka with 75.38%
Wesker with 65.03%
M.Bison with 60.01%
Diablo with 50.51%

Ganondorf with 85.26%
Ansem with 55.30%
Dr. Robotnik with 58.90%
Kuja with 60.20%
---
-J.D
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 5/3/2005 4:31:58 PM | Message Detail
Repost:

Mushroom Division
Sigma with 52.32%
Ocelot with 61.21%
Dr. Wily with 59.43%

Jenova Division
Sephiroth with 80.32%
Vergil with 56.45%
Lavos with 55.55%
Liquid Snake with 81.54%

Meh. Bowser wasn't too bad. A little high. I hope Bowser can gain.
---
Weird Kirby Dude ~Board Hunter~ Board 584508
Tanner. The only guy Gordon can call a loser and not sound like a hypocrite. - Slowflake
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 5/3/2005 4:34:43 PM | Message Detail
And the new ones:

Kefka with 72.26%
Wesker with 58.01%
M.Bison with 59.11%
Ridley with 61.21% - This match is overhyped. It won't be that close no matter who wins.

Ganondorf with 87.25%
Ansem with 61.21%
Dr. Robotnik with 53.41%
Kuja with 55.55%
---
Weird Kirby Dude ~Board Hunter~ Board 584508
Tanner. The only guy Gordon can call a loser and not sound like a hypocrite. - Slowflake
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 5/3/2005 4:35:41 PM | Message Detail
Change: Sigma with 55.55%
---
Weird Kirby Dude ~Board Hunter~ Board 584508
Tanner. The only guy Gordon can call a loser and not sound like a hypocrite. - Slowflake
From: Darkash | Posted: 5/3/2005 4:37:12 PM | Message Detail
*Is currently liking his Bowser pick, not bad for being out of practice*
Sigma with 62.73%
---
Winner of The GOLD Triforce in scientist pg's riddle contest!
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 5/3/2005 4:39:37 PM | Message Detail
Kefka - 58.27%
Wesker - 54.27%
M.Bison - 58.27%
Diablo - 52.87%

Ganondorf - 87.00%
Ansem - 72.70%
Dr. Robotnik - 52.70%
Kuja - 58.27%

---
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
Fighting Illini (37-2): #2 in the nation, #1 in our hearts
From: swirldude | Posted: 5/3/2005 4:52:00 PM | Message Detail
Kefka - 78.65%
Wesker - 65.38%
M. Bison - 54.11%
Ridley - 55.32%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf - 84.24%
Ansem - 81.67%
Dr. Robotnik - 60.13%
Kuja - 74.21% (it pains me to say it)
---
O, flesh, flesh, how art thou fishified! ~Mercutio
From: alpha door | Posted: 5/3/2005 5:03:26 PM | Message Detail
Kefka - 75.86%
Wesker - 57.64%
M.Bison - 61.18%
Diablo - 53.39%

Ganondorf - 86.87%
Ansem - 70.04%
Dr. Robotnik - 54.45%
Kuja - 66.78%

---
Official Chrono Trigger Fan
Currently Playing: CT (FAQ making)
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 5/3/2005 5:41:42 PM | Message Detail
Kefka with 68.65%
Wesker with 53.50%
M.Bison with 52.85%
Diablo with 57.80%

Ganondorf with 86.25%
Ansem with 76.55%
Sin with 50.85%
Kuja with 68.10%

---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO CATS
From: dethwing | Posted: 5/3/2005 6:00:39 PM | Message Detail
Kefka 71.53
Wesker 59.33
M.Bison 55.11
Diablo 52.19

Triforce Division
Ganondorf 90.13
Ansem 75.23
Dr. Robotnik 51.12
Kuja 60.12
---
"Eww! What is up with that shirt? Where's the hot looking guy again?" - a girl after seeing his[Vercetti's] pic.
From: Kaxon | Posted: 5/3/2005 6:05:45 PM | Message Detail
Around this time of day Guybrush was able to slow Bowser's advance, andBowser gained another .24% before the end of the poll. We'll see if thesame thing happens with Pyramid Head (currently it's at 83.86%).
---
Supporting CATS and Ultros in the Spring Contest.
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 5/3/2005 6:16:52 PM | Message Detail
Kefka vs Mithos- Kefka with 65.1%
Luca Blight vs Wesker- Wesker with 59.9%
Albedo vs M.Bison- Albedo with 51.1%
Ridley vs Diablo- Diablo with 54.1%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf vs Giygas- Ganondorf with 81.1%
Ansem vs CATS- Ansem with 67.1%
Dr. Robotnik vs Sin- Sin with 53.1%
Kuja vs Master Hand- Kuja with 61.9%

~~~
Popularity: minimal
I could so use a gimmick right about now...
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 5/3/2005 6:22:01 PM | Message Detail
Change Sigma to 57.75%

---
Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. The sweetest guy around. ^_^
From: Salient | Posted: 5/3/2005 6:24:24 PM | Message Detail
Kefka - 65.76%
Wesker - 68.56%
Bison - 62.13%
Diablo - 55.91%

Ganon - 85.86%
Ansem - 65.91%
Robotnik - 51.00%
Kuja - 58.95%
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 5/3/2005 8:25:33 PM | Message Detail
Change Sigma to 62.62%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO CATS
From: mr_BRIAN | Posted: 5/3/2005 8:26:41 PM | Message Detail
Ruin Division
Kefka with 69.42%
Wesker with 63.21%
M.Bison with 54.02%
Ridley with 50.12%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf with 84.55%
Ansem with 71.38%
Dr. Robotnik with 53.07%
Kuja with 63.94%
---
SpC2k5: 0/0 First up: Bowser, Sigma, Ocelot, Dr. Wily
*is Janus5000*
From: Haste2 | Posted: 5/3/2005 8:29:30 PM | Message Detail
Early predictions:
Kefka - 68.73%
Albert Wesker - 67.14%
M. Bison - 54.17%
Diablo - 57.10%

Ganondorf - 84.00%
Ansem - 69.92%
Sin - 55.36%
Kuja - 59.72%

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Haste2 | Posted: 5/3/2005 8:31:33 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:
Sigma over Andross - 61.87%.

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: SuperSmash Master | Posted: 5/3/2005 8:39:33 PM | Message Detail
Ruin Division
Kefka with 71.65%
Luca Blight with 61.21%
Albedo with 55.17%
Diablo with 52.27%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf with 82.75%
Ansem with 58.65%
Sin with 54.11%
Kuja with 78.49%
---
"Hear that sound? It's the gates of the Netherworld opening to take you away!" Luther, SO3
From: Dranze | Posted: 5/3/2005 8:43:04 PM | Message Detail
Kefka with 62.50%
Wesker with 65.35%
M. Bison with 58.59%
Ridley with 68.10%

Ganondorf with 87.90%
Ansem with 59.60%
Robotnik with 57.39%
Kuja with 60.12%
---
Shut up, make me a sandwich. That is all.
From: Lieutenant Kettch | Posted: 5/3/2005 8:47:53 PM | Message Detail
Sigma with 63.50%
From: creativename | Posted: 5/3/2005 9:11:23 PM | Message Detail
Repost:

Sigma with 65%
Revolver Ocelot with 62%
Dr. Wily with 56%

Sephiroth with 84%
Vergil with 55%
Lavos with 60%
Liquid Snake with 70%

---
www.SC2K5.com
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 5/3/2005 9:12:39 PM | Message Detail
A new topic already? Gosh, I've only made one prediction so far. Anyways, TAG.

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://geocities.com/cyber1166/gamefaqs
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 5/3/2005 9:13:22 PM | Message Detail
Repost

Mushroom Division
Sigma - 61.43%
Revolver Ocelot - 70.83%
Dr. Wily - 55.90%

Jenova Division
Sephiroth - 84.14%
Vergil - 53.32%
Lavos - 62.66%
Liquid Snake - 84.49%
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Bowser vs. Pyramid H. - Bracket: Bowser - Vote: Bowser (0/0)
From: creativename | Posted: 5/3/2005 9:14:03 PM | Message Detail
New ones:

Kefka with 68%
Wesker with 62%
M. Bison with 60%
Diablo with 53%

Ganondorf with 81%
Ansen with 65%
Robotnik with 52%
Kuja with 60%

---
www.SC2K5.com
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 5/3/2005 9:42:45 PM | Message Detail
heh, oops:

For tomorrow I predict that Sigma will win with 64.89% of the vote.

I'm expecting that to be low, but, I dunno, somehow I feel Andross is being underestimated. Afterall,

YOU'LL NEVER DEFEAT ANDROSS!
---
One who knows nothing can understand nothing.
"Revenge is a dish best served cold." - Old Klingon Proverb
From: Xuxon | Posted: 5/3/2005 10:41:03 PM | Message Detail
Sigma. With 66.16% of the vote.
From: Tien25 | Posted: 5/3/2005 10:45:38 PM | Message Detail
New player

Kefka with 61%
Luca Blight with 50%
M. Bison with 59%
Ridley with 58%

Ganondorf with 72%
Ansem with 57%
Sin with 52%
Kuja with 54%
From: Shivan Reincarnated | Posted: 5/3/2005 10:48:56 PM | Message Detail
Kefka with 67.22%
Wesker with 58.1%
M.Bison with 56.15%
Ridley with 52.08%


Ganondorf with 86.75%
Ansem with 71.01%
Dr. Robotnik with 50.06%
Kuja with 52.44%

---
SpC2k5 Points: 0/0 Bowser vs. Pyramid Head
Feel the pain… of those inferior beings… as you burn in hell! ~ Kratos Aurion
From: Fett0001 | Posted: 5/3/2005 10:56:10 PM | Message Detail
andross 58.53
Ocelot 65.39
wily 67.80

sephiroth 87.65
vergil 52.21
lavos 56.79
Snake 69.86

kefka 72.55
wesker 58.23
Bison 54.23
Diablo 50.14

Ganon 83.60
Ansem 52.83
eggman 56.23
kuja 68.92
---
Vote Diablo in SpC2k5.
From: Forceful Dragon | Posted: 5/3/2005 11:02:53 PM | Message Detail
Kefka with 78
Wesker with 55
M.Bison with 54
Diablo with 51

Ganondorf with 86
Ansem with 74
Dr. Robotnik with 54
Kuja with 63
---
_.-~'42'~-._
--'nuff said--
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 5/3/2005 11:13:14 PM | Message Detail
Sigma with 61.27%

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://geocities.com/cyber1166/gamefaqs
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 5/3/2005 11:30:31 PM | Message Detail
*twitch* I'm letting the chatter (and Zero's/Fox's pasts) get to me...

Change again, to Sigma with 65.06%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO CATS
From: Camden | Posted: 5/3/2005 11:47:46 PM | Message Detail
Changes.

Sigma - 62.14%

Kefka - 72.41%
Wesker - 60.44%
Bison - 57.93%
Diablo - 54.6%

Ganondorf - 87.99%
Ansem - 60.42%
Robotnik - 55.67%
Kuja - 59.01%
---
Don’t worry. Have a nectarine. –Christopher Walken
If you buy me a pack of bubble gum, you can have the monkey for free. –Lady in Winters
From: cyko | Posted: 5/3/2005 11:49:54 PM | Message Detail
Mushroom Division

Bowser with 83.78%
Sigma with 67.24%
Revolver Ocelot with 66.42%
Dr. Wily with 70.28%

Jenova Division

Sephiroth with 83.45%
Vergil with 63.16%
Lavos with 61.46%
Liquid Snake with 69.29%


only copying from the last topic.

---
VOTE FOR ULTROS!!! G'FHAHAHAHAHA!!!
Trivia XIV: MEATWADD SUCKS!!
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 5/3/2005 11:59:13 PM | Message Detail
Ruin Division
Kefka - 70%
Wesker - 62.3%
M.Bison - 63.75%
Ridley - 53.75%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf - 82%
Ansem - 69.1%
Dr. Robotnik - 56.42%
Kuja - 70%
---
Butmy silent fears have gripped me, long before I reach the phone, longbefore my tongue has tripped me. Must I always be alone?
From: Haste2 | Posted: 5/4/2005 12:03:02 AM | Message Detail
I'd better re-post my stuff, as well:

Revolver Ocelot - 66.02%
Dr. Wily - 58.46%
Sephiroth - 83.29%
Vergil - 61.63%
Lavos - 58.22%
Liquid Snake - 69.80%

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 5/4/2005 12:05:05 AM | Message Detail
Sigma with 64.81%
Revolver Ocelot with 54.79%
Dr. Wily with 79.52%

---
Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/4/2005 12:10:56 AM | Message Detail
Ruin Division
Kefka with 73.91%
Wesker with 54.84%
Albedo with 54.17%
Ridley with 52.38%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf with 80.00%
Ansem with 56.67%
Dr. Robotnik with 56.82%
Kuja with 59.92%
---
Proud supporter of Ghaleon, Kefka, Bowser, Ultros, Liquid, Ocelot, and Wily!
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 5/4/2005 12:15:35 AM | Message Detail
Repost of my first half picks:

Mushroom Division
Bowser - 82.26%
Sigma - 57.89%
Revolver Ocelot - 72.00%
Dr. Wily - 69.79%

Jenova Division
Sephiroth - 85.11%
Ghaleon - 54.29%
Lavos - 57.58%
Liquid Snake - 69.17%
---
Proud supporter of Ghaleon, Kefka, Bowser, Ultros, Liquid, Ocelot, and Wily!
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