The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs SpringContest you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of thevote they will receive. New participants are still being accepted untilat least the end of round 3 (please indicate that you are new and makea minimum of three picks).

Here are some examples of a valid entry:

Link with 85%
CATS - 60.05
Link over CATS 70.6%
Link vs. CATS 52%
Link 55.13

Thefirst option is preferable, but as long as it is clear which characteryou expect to win and what percentage you think it will achieve, youshould be alright.

The Scoring

For each match youwill earn points based on how close your guess was to the actualoutcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challengewill be the person with the most points at the end of the final match.For each match you can earn anywhere between 0 and 50 points. Thisdepends on whether you correctly picked the winner and how close yourguess was to the actual percentage. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-2x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: Link - 65%
My guess: CATS - 55%
Actual result: Link 60%, CATS 40%
Your points: 50 - (65-60) = 45 points
My points: 45 - 2*(55-40) = 15 points

Bonuspoints are awarded for the closest five guesses each match but do notfactor into the overall scoring. They are used only as a side ranking.Participants will also be ranked by average score from time to time.

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1)A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. Link -85.03%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%. Noalts, please. All predictions should be made with your main account tomake things easier on me. If you need to change accounts please let meknow.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different fromeverybody else’s guess. However, intentional and continuous predictionmimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made onefull hour before the usual start time of that match’s poll (approx.2:00am EST, 1:00am CST, 11:00pm PST). Predictions submitted after thistime will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictionswill be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4)You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject tothe rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to aprevious entry.
5) You many not delete any post in a predictiontopic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain thedeletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule (and to reduceconfusion).
6) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please make this very clear.
7) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
---
SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!

ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www-etud.iro.umontreal.ca/~henaultv/

I am now accepting predictions for ALL Round 2 matches:
Mushroom Division
Bowser vs Sigma
Revolver Ocelot vs Dr. Wily

Jenova Division
Sephiroth vs Vergil
Lavos vs Liquid Snake

Ruin Division
Kefka vs Wesker
M. Bison vs Diablo

Triforce Division
Ganondorf vs Ansem
Dr. Robotnik/Sin vs Kuja/Master Hand

I am also still accepting predictions for the remaining matches Round 1:
Triforce Division
Dr. Robotnik vs Sin
Kuja vs Master Hand

Please, if you are making Round 2 predictions for the Triforce Division, state so very clearly. Any prediction that does not clearly state so will be assumed to be for Round 1
---
SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!

Match #13 Results:
Ganondorf 84.98%
Giygas 15.02%

Ganondorfmanages a blowout but not quite as bad as it could have been. Theconsensus was very close at 84.88%, the average was a solid 47.72 andeveryone picked Ganondorf to win the match.

Current Leaderboard:

1) MegatokyoEd - 602.23
2) Dilated Chemist - 589.30
3) SlayerofDeitys - 586.86
4) Heroic Viktor - 585.65
5) kawaiifan - 585.09

Notmuch movement on the leaderboard today. In the fact the only change inthe Top 19 is kawaiifan jumping up two spots in 5th, pushing cyko andcreativename down one place each.

Full standings: http://www-etud.iro.umontreal.ca/~henaultv/current.php?total=13

Best Five Picks:

1) Lagoona - Ganondorf 84.97% (+49.99)
2) rachid2 - Ganondorf 85.00% (+49.98)
2) kawaiifan - Ganondorf 85.00% (+49.98)
2) Phediuk - Ganondorf 85.00% (+49.98)
2) Alanna82 - Ganondorf 85.00% (+49.98)

Noperfect prediction today, move on, there's nothing to see. The Top 5today are all within 0.02% of the result yet everyone misses it by ahair. kawaiifan nails her 3rd Top 5 of the season, Lagoona and Alanna82come back for the 2nd time and rachid2 and Phediuk are here for thefirst time this year.

Complete match ranking: http://www-etud.iro.umontreal.ca/~henaultv/current.php?match=13
---
SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!

Mushroom Division
Bowser with 72.18%
Revolver Ocelot with 50.63%

Jenova Division
Sephiroth with 73.79%
Liquid Snake with 58.38%

Ruin Division
Kefka with 53.28%
M. Bison with 51.11%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf with 80.92% if Ansem wins
CATS with 56.28% if CATS wins

Will do the last match at a later date.
---
Jon Thomson - 12/13, today: Ansem, tomorrow: Robotnik
14/5 - DIABLO'D

Bowser vs Sigma- Bowser with 66.66%
Revolver Ocelot vs Dr. Wily- Wily with 50.55%

Jenova Division
Sephiroth vs Vergil- Sephy with 75.55%
Lavos vs Liquid Snake- Liquid with 66.66%

Ruin Division
Kefka vs Wesker- Kefka with 55.00%
M. Bison vs Diablo- Bison with 50.01%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf vs Ansem- Ganon with 75.00%
Dr. Robotnik/Sin vs Kuja/Master Hand- not predicting this one yet, I want to see who wins.

---
Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. "What game is Diablo from"- My friend

CHANGE

Kuja with 69.77%
---
And you shall know me by the trail of dead.

Just for tagging purposes.

1st round
----------------
Sin 54.87%
Master Hand 50.66%

2nd round
----------------
Bowser 62.13%
Ocelot 52.65%

Sephiroth 75.11%
L.Snake 63.20%

Kefka 55.00%
M.Bison 50.01%

---
A soda a day invites tooth decay.

I can't remember what I've predicted for Round 2 so far, I'll just do them All over again:


Bowser 73.11
Dr. Wily 55.41

Sephiroth 77.23
Liquid Snake 65.12

Kefka 57.23
Diablo 54.12

Ganondorf 75.23
Kuja 63.12 [This is for round 2]
---
"Eww! What is up with that shirt? Where's the hot looking guy again?" - a girl after seeing his[Vercetti's] pic.

Mushroom Division
Bowser with 69.41%
Revolver Ocelot with 52.64%

Jenova Division
Sephiroth with 80.04%
Liquid Snake with 68.63%

Ruin Division
Kefka with 56.72%
M. Bison with 51.11%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf with 77.84%
I'll wait a few days for the next match
---
Official Chrono Trigger Fan
Currently Playing: Spc2k5

Making all sorts of changes and new picks for the next round:

Bowser with 67.90%
Wily with 52.25%
Sephiroth with 79.18%
Liquid with 63.85%
Kefka with 62.55%
Diablo with 51.91%
Ganondorf with 80.55%

I'll wait on the pick for the last match.
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO CATS

There seems to be quite a gap between the Ridley and Diablo pickers.
---
Look at my Winter Contest 2K4/2K5 Analysis Fanfiction:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=579546&topic=20526094

Repost:

Dr. Robotnik 53.41%
Kuja 55.55%
Bowser with 68.11%
Dr. Wily with 50.89%
Sephiroth with 72.32%
Liquid Snake with 59.92%

New picks:

Kefka with 56.34%
M. Bison with 50.01%

Ganondorf with 74.54%
---
Weird Kirby Dude ~Board Hunter~ Board 584508
Tanner. The only guy Gordon can call a loser and not sound like a hypocrite. - Slowflake

Yesterday's top 5 picks were almost as impressive as the top 5 from this match: http://oraclechallenge.tripod.com/match30.html
---
Supporting CATS in the Spring Contest.

Round 1 CHANGE:

Robotnik with 59%.
---
Supporting CATS in the Spring Contest.

Change: Robotnik with 56.79%
^^^^
Don't worry. Have a nectarine. -Christopher Walken
SpC2K5 - Points: 13/13 - Current: Ansem over CATS

CHANGE

Robotnik with 54%.
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png

Hmm...after today's match, I have to think Master Hand can top the 30,000 mark, so...

Change to Kuja with 53.95%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO CATS

Tag... and wow, does Ansem really suck.

Also, chance Robotnik to 55.83%

---
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
Fighting Illini (37-2): #2 in the nation, #1 in our hearts

CATS tried to set up Ansem the bomb... and came way too close for comfort. Can you say bracket breaker?
Dr. Robonik: 56.15%
---
Winner of The GOLD Triforce in scientist pg's riddle contest!

man, today was painful.

1st round CHANGES:


Sin with 53.12%
Kuja with 54.73%


i hope these pay off. >_<

---
Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579093

For reference...

Ocelot with 54.1%
Sephiroth with 78.1%
Liquid with 66.1%

CHANGE

Sin (Rd.1) with 52.9%
Kuja (Rd. 1) with 56.9%

I'll think about the other matches later...

===
Did the PS2's light just change color...?!
Albedo and I got PSYCHO CRUSHER'D by M.Bison and PepsiPlunge.

REPOSTING YAY!

Robotnik with 53.39%
Kuja with 56.29%
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar (GAC)
Ganondorf vs. Giygas - Bracket: Ganon - Vote: Ganon (11/12)

*tags*
---
Anyone thinking Master Hand can win this is just clinically insane.--Heroic Mario

Kefka by 58.8%
Diablo by 51.5%

Ganondorf by 79.1%
---
Graduate of Duke University, May 2005! Woo!

NEW PICKS YAY!

Bowser with 67.52%
Ocelot with 50.43%

Sephiroth with 73.79%
Liquid Snake with 63.51%

Kefka with 59.34%
Diablo with 50.21%
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar (GAC)
Ganondorf vs. Giygas - Bracket: Ganon - Vote: Ganon (11/12)

Round 2
Bowser with 72.72%
Dr. Wily with 53.53%
Sephiroth with 76.76%
Liquid Snake with 58.58%
Kefka with 62.62%
Bison with 50.50%
Ganondorf with 74.74%
---
Champions of Time and Space: The Summer Contest 2003 Fanfiction Project
http://crolapras.tripod.com/ffproj.html

Round 1- Dr. Robotnik with 58.00%
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."

Reposts:

Robotnik with 52%
Kuja with 60%

Bowser with 68%
Ocelot with 52%
Sephiroth with 75%
Liquid Snake with 68%


New picks:

Kefka with 60%
Diablo with 51%
Ganon with 78%

Kuja with 55%
---
www.SC2K5.com

Holy crap, I'm going to miss this Ansem call by almost 20%. And I wassitting so close to the Top Five, too... Ack. Need a great pick to getback into this.

Robo'sthe overwhelming Oracle favorite, and I hate to ever pick against theOracle majority. But I also hate to pick against my bracket... BUT, Ithink I will, just this once, to make sure I'm not doubly-screwedtomorrow.

Robo with 52.47%

Go Sin! http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v625/Ngamer/newsincity.jpg

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/

Change: Robotnik with 54.2%
^^^^
Don't worry. Have a nectarine. -Christopher Walken
SpC2K5 - Points: 13/13 - Current: Ansem over CATS

Robotnik > Sin; with 61.90%
---
"Let'sdrop this Xbox statue on Naomi's head! Oof! This thing's big! It'lltake over 3 years for it to start selling!" ~ Jaguar, Sega Fantasy VI

Wow, I should drop by being around 20% off. Oh well.

How about Dr. Robotnik with 57.24% tomorrow.
---
I'm charming, but I dip into the Prozac now and then.
Team Six!

Mushroom Division
Bowser with 64.32%
Revolver Ocelot with 60.03%

Jenova Division
Sephiroth with 79.92%
Liquid Snake with 72.59%

Ruin Division
Wesker with 50.01%
Diablo with 53.45%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf with 80.41%
---
|| BtT 3:34.65 || HRC 37,592.3 ||
Spring2K5: 13/13 Next Pick: Ansem

For tomorrow, I predict that Dr. Robotnik will win with 59.45% of the vote.

though I would just love the trend of me getting very few points to continue...
---
One who knows nothing can understand nothing.
"Revenge is a dish best served cold." - Old Klingon Proverb

Reposting.

Dr. Robotnik with 51%
Kuja with 57%

---
Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.

Mushroom Division
Bowser with 84.84%
Revolver Ocelot with 58.36%

Jenova Division
Sephiroth with 84.46%
Liquid Snake with 67.65%

Ruin Division
Kefka with 81.31%
Diablo with 75.56%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf with 75.57%
Kuja with 79.15% (If Eggman wins)
Kuja with 65.98% (If Sin wins)
Sin with 71.56% (If Master Hand and Sin win)
Eggman with 56.84% (If Master Hand and Eggman win)
---
Obviously somebody had been appalingly incompetent and he hoped to God it wasn't him. - Arthur Dent

Kuja with 79.15% (If Eggman wins)
Kuja with 65.98% (If Sin wins)
Sin with 71.56% (If Master Hand and Sin win)
Eggman with 56.84% (If Master Hand and Eggman win)

Ihate you. =P But you've got a Hitchhiker's quote (though it's Prosserthinking that, not Dent). To everyone else, please if you're not sureabout that match, wait 2 more days, it makes my job a lot easier...

Oh and Robotnik with 50.00%
---
SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!

CHANGE: Dr. Robotnik with 56.75%

---
Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.

Mushroom Division
Bowser with 78.22%
Revolver Ocelot with 51.27%

Jenova Division
Sephiroth with 80.01%
Liquid Snake with 63.37%

Ruin Division
Kefka with 63.96%
M. Bison with 52.14%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf with 80.78%
---
SpC2k5: 11/12 Next up: Ganondorf, DARKNESS, Robotnik, Kuja
*is Janus5000*

Change: Robotnik with 55.55%
^^^^
Don't worry. Have a nectarine. -Christopher Walken
SpC2K5 - Points: 14/14 - Current: Dr. Robotnik over Sin

All that tough talk, and then you wuss out with a Robo pick? For shame, KM!

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/

All that tough talk, and then you wuss out with a Robo pick? For shame, KM!

Coming from someone with a pick 2.5% higher than me, well, yeah. I have a bad feeling about my bracket =P
---
SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!

CHANGE

Robotnik with 58.3%
---
SC2K4 Oracle Ranking: 4th
Supporting CATS in the Spring Contest.

*sigh* Well, I didn't feel especially great about it, but I stuck to my guns (and bracket) with Sin...hopefully it'll pay off.
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO CATS

Repost:
Dr. Robotnik - 57.73%
Kuja - 61.56%

---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 1: "Hourglass" (180 points)

I'm a little nervous too, just because my Robotnik pick is so high. If Sin actually does manage to win, I'm basically sunk.
---
SC2K4 Oracle Ranking: 4th
Supporting CATS in the Spring Contest.

.YAY, a top prediction yesterday!. And an almost perfect one, too. :-)

.More safety predictions for round 2. (I think I did the first two divisions, didn't I?)

Ruin Division
Kefka vs Wesker - Kefka with 57.37%
M. Bison vs Diablo - Diablo with 51.89%

Triforce Division
Ganondorf vs Ansem - Ganondorf with 79.63%
Dr. Robotnik/Sin vs Kuja/Master Hand - Kuja with 60.35% (assuming that Kuja wins 1st round, but I'll probably redo this)

---
Nobody's perfect, I'm nobody.

Some safety Picks

Kefka with 56
M. Bison with 50.01
Ganondorf with 72
Kuja with 56
---
Nel mezzo del cammin di nostra vita - mi ritrovai per una selva oscura - che la diritta via era smarrita

Match #14 Results:
Ansem 54.04%
CATS 45.96%

Wewon't know until next round if this is Ansem being weak or CATS beingstrong, but this match is surprising. The consensus was Ansem with65.52%, the average was 37.78 points and 2 of the 73 predictions werefor CATS.

Current Leaderboard:

1) MegatokyoEd - 636.40
2) Dilated Chemist - 628.34
3) Holy Excalibur - 626.96
4) Heroic Viktor - 621.42
5) creativename - 621.37

Cananyone ever take MegaTokyoEd's spot as he enters his 11th straight dayin the lead. Dilated Chemist manages to reduce the gap in 2nd to 8points while Holy Excalibur finally manages to enter the Top 5 with a9-place jump. Heroic Viktor keeps his 4th place while creatvienamejoins the leaderboard by pushing kawaiifan down to 6th.

Full standings: http://www-etud.iro.umontreal.ca/~henaultv/current.php?total=14

Best Five Picks:

1) GoldenMew - Ansem 53.91% (+49.87)
2) steve illumina - Ansem 54.40% (+49.64)
3) UltimaterializerX - Ansem 54.44% (+49.60)
4) CaptainFluffez - Ansem 55.03% (+49.01)
5) Fett0001 - Ansem 52.83% (+48.79)

Notquite a Top 5 as impressive as yesterday's but 5 very good picksnonetheless. GoldenMew, steve illumina and CaptainFluffez appear forthe 2nd time while UltimaterializerX and Fett0001 get their first Top 5this season.

Complete match ranking: http://www-etud.iro.umontreal.ca/~henaultv/current.php?match=14
---
SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!

darn, I was hoping to pull a Rodri with my Sin pick. (He was the onlyone that picked Sora last year and it catapulted him into first place)


Change: Kuja with 54.45%


---
Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. "What game is Diablo from"- My friend