The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs SpringContest you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of thevote they will receive. New participants are still being accepted untilat least the end of round 3 (please indicate that you are new and makea minimum of three picks).

Here are some examples of a valid entry:

Link with 85%
CATS - 60.05
Link over CATS 70.6%
Link vs. CATS 52%
Link 55.13

Thefirst option is preferable, but as long as it is clear which characteryou expect to win and what percentage you think it will achieve, youshould be alright.

The Scoring

For each match youwill earn points based on how close your guess was to the actualoutcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challengewill be the person with the most points at the end of the final match.For each match you can earn anywhere between 0 and 50 points. Thisdepends on whether you correctly picked the winner and how close yourguess was to the actual percentage. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-2x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: Link - 65%
My guess: CATS - 55%
Actual result: Link 60%, CATS 40%
Your points: 50 - (65-60) = 45 points
My points: 45 - 2*(55-40) = 15 points

Bonuspoints are awarded for the closest five guesses each match but do notfactor into the overall scoring. They are used only as a side ranking.Participants will also be ranked by average score from time to time.

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1)A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. Link -85.03%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%. Noalts, please. All predictions should be made with your main account tomake things easier on me. If you need to change accounts please let meknow.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different fromeverybody else’s guess. However, intentional and continuous predictionmimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made onefull hour before the usual start time of that match’s poll (approx.2:00am EST, 1:00am CST, 11:00pm PST). Predictions submitted after thistime will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictionswill be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4)You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject tothe rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to aprevious entry.
5) You many not delete any post in a predictiontopic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain thedeletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule (and to reduceconfusion).
6) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please make this very clear.
7) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
---
SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!

ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www-etud.iro.umontreal.ca/~henaultv/

I am now accepting predictions for ALL Round 3 matches:
Bowser vs Revolver Ocelot
Sephiroth vs Liquid Snake
Kefka vs Diablo
Ganondorf vs Dr. Robotnik/Master Hand

I am also still accepting predictions for the remaining matches in Round 2:
Triforce Division
Ganondorf vs Ansem
Dr. Robotnik vs Master Hand

Please, if you are making Round 3 predictions for the Triforce Division, state so very clearly. Any prediction that does not clearly state so will be assumed to be for Round 2
---
SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!

Repost:

Ganondorf with 72%
Robotnik with 51%
---
Weird Kirby Dude ~Board Hunter~ Board 584508
Tanner. The only guy Gordon can call a loser and not sound like a hypocrite. - Slowflake

New picks (Round 3):

Bowser with 65%
Sephiroth with 70%
Diablo with 50%
Ganondorf with 60%
---
Weird Kirby Dude ~Board Hunter~ Board 584508
Tanner. The only guy Gordon can call a loser and not sound like a hypocrite. - Slowflake

Bowser with 70.02%
Sephiroth with 69.03%
Diablo with 50.01%
---
Look at my Winter Contest 2K4/2K5 Analysis Fanfiction:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=579546&topic=20526094

Match #21 Results:
Kefka 70.37%
Wesker 29.63%

Kefkashowing strength? That's one unexpected performance, but a nicesurprise isn't it? >_>. The consensus was Kefka with 58.83%, theaverage score was a disappointing 37.10 points and 2 of the 54contestants had Wesker winning. Ouch.

Current Leaderboard

1) Dilated Chemist - 918.90
2) King Morgoth - 918.74
3) Rodri316 - 909.12
4) creativename - 909.03
5) kawaiifan - 899.79

Someplayed it low, some played it high and it payed off. King Morgoth takes8 points on Dilated Chemist and falls 0.16 point behind our leader.Rodri316 makes an even more daring pick and grabs 3rd place, withcreativename 0.09 point behind. kawaiifan holds onto her 5th place,roughly 10 points behind creativename.

Full standings: http://www-etud.iro.umontreal.ca/~henaultv/current.php?total=21

Best Five Picks:

1) RPGuy96 - Kefka 68.86% (+48.49)
2) FastFalcon05 - Kefka 65.98% (+45.61)
3) Duffer11 - Kefka 65.75% (+45.38)
4) Team Rocket Elite - Kefka 65.00% (+44.63)
5) Rodri316 - Kefka 64.55% (+44.18)

Mostdaring Kefka believers are rewarded with a Top 5 pick today. RPGuy96takes the win with his first Top 5 of the season, while FastFalcon05continues on his solid streak with his 5th Top 5 of the season, his 4thin the last 6 matches. Duffer11 and Team Rocket Elite follow with their2nd Top 5 this season. Rodri316 grabs his 4th Top 5 this season (his2nd in a row) and becomes the first contestant to get a total of 21 Top5 predictions.

Complete match ranking: http://www-etud.iro.umontreal.ca/~henaultv/current.php?match=21

Ruin Division Leaderboard

1) King Morgoth - 228.73
2) cyko - 222.14
3) creativename - 220.26
4) Dilated Chemist - 219.05
5) Rodri316 - 218.05

Second Phase Leaderboard

1) Duffer11 - 232.77
2) Janus5000 - 231.25
3) FastFalcon05 - 228.54
4) cyko - 221.37
5) Claude Rena - 221.07
---
SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!

Almost not sure I want to participate in this anymore because I'm toodepressed over my stupid changes lately, but I guess I'll still try. Iwill NOT change these initial predictions, however. Ever. I havelearned my lesson.

ROUND 3 PICKS -

Bowser with 61.58%
Sephiroth with 65.53%
Diablo with 53.95%
Ganondorf with 59.35% (If Robotnik wins)
Ganondorf with 70.32% (If Master Hand wins)

ROUND 3 PREDICTIONS

Bowser over Ocelot (67.88%)
Sephiroth over Liquid Snake (71.45%)
Diablo over Kefka (56.78%)
Ganondorf over Master Hand (76.98%)
---
Spring Contest 2005 - Today's Vote: M. Bison, Tomorrow's Pick: Ganondorf - 22/26 points

Some safety picks, as usual.

Bowser with 55
Sephiroth with 69
Diablo with 50.15
---
Nel mezzo del cammin di nostra vita - mi ritrovai per una selva oscura - che la diritta via era smarrita

Bowser vs Revolver Ocelot: Bowser with 60.00%
Sephiroth vs Liquid Snake: Sephy with 66.66%
Kefka vs Diablo: Diablo with 51.10 % (assuming Diablo wins today, which It looks like he will)
Ganondorf vs Dr. Robotnik/Master Hand- Ganondorf with 70.00%


---
Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. "What game is Diablo from"- My friend

Ganondorf with 70%
---
Look at my Winter Contest 2K4/2K5 Analysis Fanfiction:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=579546&topic=20526094

Bowser 66.43
Sephiroth 71.33
Diablo 50.01

For ROUND THREE:
Ganondorf 73.33 if he faces Master Hand
Ganondorf 60.44 if he faces Robotnik
---
"Eww! What is up with that shirt? Where's the hot looking guy again?" - a girl after seeing his[Vercetti's] pic.

Bowser over Ocelot- 65.51%
Sephiroth over Liquid Snake - 70.85%

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."

*tag*
---
RPG/Square character /= instant win. Robotnik has proved such and owned my ass.

Out with the old, in with the NEW PICKS!

Round 2

Ganondorf with 80%
Master Hand with 52.19%

Round 3!

Bowser with 67.29%
Sephiroth with 68.93%
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar (GAC)
M. Bison vs. Diablo - Bracket: Ridley - Vote: Diablo (24/26)

ROUND 3 PREDICTIONS

Bowser - 68.54%
Sephy - 70.59%
Diablo - 53.89%
Ganon - 63.92%
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png

Round 3 safety picks
--------------------------
Bowser 62.35%
Sephiroth 74.81%
Kefka 53.24%

---
A soda a day invites tooth decay.

Final Round 2 Pick:
Master Hand with 51.40%
---
Theone you seem to be threatened by the most...is always there. He isstill watching from the shadows, even today...(AC Winner- 4/18)

Ganon with 71.38%
^^^^
Don't worry. Have a nectarine. -Christopher Walken
Good evening. I'm a talking rock. -Talking Rock

Round 3

Bowser with 58.27%
Sephiroth with 73.83%
Diablo with 50.01%

---
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
Team Dragostrea Din Tei for Trivia XV

CHANGE:

Ganondorf over Ansem with 75.09%

---
Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579093

Bowser with 67.75%
Sephiroth with 68.45%
Diablo with 50.15%
Ganondorf with 70.98%

For reference...

Ganondorf with 79.1%
Master Hand with 50.1%

New predictions:

Bowser with 62.1%
Sephiroth with 68.9%
Diablo with 52.1%

I know I'm going to change my new ones...

***
Albedo and I got PSYCHO CRUSHER'D by M.Bison and PepsiPlunge.

Ganon over Ansem with 73.81%
---
"Let'sdrop this Xbox statue on Naomi's head! Oof! This thing's big! It'lltake over 3 years for it to start selling!" ~ Jaguar, Sega Fantasy VI

Bowser with 62.47%
Sephiroth with 70.42%
Diablo with 51.14%
---
And how many points do you have, again? - fedor
And how many contests have you won, again? - UltimaterializerX

I'll get some safety picks in for now.

Round 3:

Bowser - 64.13%
Sephiroth - 70.26%
Diablo - 50.70%
Ganondorf - 65.22%
---
Current Match Prediction -- M. Bison vs. Diablo
Spring 2005 Contest -- 25/26 points

Bowser with 58.23%
Sephiroth with 69.55%
Diablo with 53.37%
Ganondorf with 71.83%
---
Official Chrono Trigger Fan
Currently Playing: Spc2k5

Change: Ganondorf with 76.26%

Ganondorf round 3 percentage: 70%

Don't confuse these.
---
Look at my Winter Contest 2K4/2K5 Analysis Fanfiction:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=579546&topic=20526094

Ganondorf: 78.47%
---
Winner of The GOLD Triforce in scientist pg's riddle contest!

Bowser with 59.67%
Sephiroth with 71.23%
Kefka with 51.23%
Ganondorf with 58.29% (If Eggman wins)
Ganondorf with 56.29% (If Master Hand wins)
---
Obviously somebody had been appalingly incompetent and he hoped to God it wasn't him. - Arthur Dent

Round 2:

Ganon with 78% (repost)
Master Hand with 51% (not sure if this is new or a change)

Round 3:

Bowser with 65%
Sephiroth with 70%
Diablo with 51%
Ganon with 64%
---
www.SC2K5.com

Round 2
Ganondorf with 78.00%
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."

tag, back in a minute

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/

Ganondorf with 77.77%.
---
I'm charming, but I dip into the Prozac now and then.
Team Six!

Ganon with 79.09%

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/

For tomorrow I predict that Ganondorf will win with 76.35% of the vote.
---
One who knows nothing can understand nothing.
"Revenge is a dish best served cold." - Old Klingon Proverb

CHANGE

Ganon with 79.23%
---
SC2K4 Oracle Ranking: 4th
Supporting CATS in the Spring Contest.

Ganondorf with 79.56%
---
SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!

Repost:
Ganondorf - 78.82%
Dr. Robotnik - 50.01%

---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 1: "Hourglass" (180 points)

Ganondorf with 76%.

Change: Ganon with 79%
^^^^
Don't worry. Have a nectarine. -Christopher Walken
Good evening. I'm a talking rock. -Talking Rock

Blah. After posting that pick, something feels wrong about it.

Quick change: Ganondorf with 77.5%

CHANGE: Ganondorf with 58.9%

---
Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.

78.9%*

---
Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.

CHANGE: Ganon with 80%.

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“But though we strike at you from the shadows, do not think that we lack the courage to stand in the light.”
- Zeratul

That was SO suppose to be Ganon wtih 78.9%!

---
Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.

.Reposting my round 3 preds from the old topic and adding:

Bowser vs Ocelot - Bowser with 58.27%
Sephiroth vs Liquid Snake - Sephiroth with 64.36% <- changed
Kefka vs Diablo - Kefka with 53.61%

---
Nobody's perfect, I'm nobody.

I was only .02% off...

And my prediction wasn't even the closest.

***
Albedo and I got PSYCHO CRUSHER'D by M.Bison and PepsiPlunge.

All predictions must be made one full hour before the usual start time of that match’s poll (approx. 2:00am EST

From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 5/25/2005 2:00:16 AM | Message Detail
78.9%*

From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 5/25/2005 1:59:50 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE: Ganondorf with 58.9%

XD
---
Current Match Prediction -- Ganondorf vs. Ansem
Spring 2005 Contest -- 27/28 points

Good to see I changed away from my 52.83% with Diablo. Not like I would want to only be off by .05% or anything...

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
Team Dragostea Din Tei for Trivia XV