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SC2k5 - Oracle Challenge - Round 1 - Mushroom, Zebes, Gear, and Dream Divisions
From: yoshifan823 | Posted: 7/18/2005 12:35:21 PM | Message Detail
Yay! The oracle hath arrived. My turn!

Mushroom Division
Mario vs Joanna Dark: Mario by 84.48%
Ness vs Carl Johnson: Carl by 60.06%
Zero vs Ryu Hayabusa: Zero by 62.26%
Lloyd Irving vs Albert Wesker: Lloyd by 66.66% (T3h Devil)

Zebes Division
Samus vs Yuri: Samus by 89.98%
Riku vs Frog: Frog by 63.36% (Darn CT fans)
Ganondorf vs Yuna: Ganondorf by 68.86%
Auron vs Big Boss: Auron by 68.79%

Gear Division
Solid Snake vs Manny Calavera: Snake by 92.47%
Vivi vs Zelda: Zelda by 52.41%
Kratos (God of War) vs Alucard: Alucard by 61.11% (I'm sorry, Kratos)
Sora vs Agent 47: Sora by 79.23%

Dream Division
Kirby vs Cecil: Kirby by 72.43%
Tidus vs King of all Cosmos: Tidus by 75.46%
Bowser vs Chun Li: Bowser by 75.00%
Ryu (Street Fighter) vs Rikku: Ryu by 82.61%
---
"That's like saying Herpes is better than Broadband if more people have Herpes"-Vinnie Pain
R.I.P, Tech TV 12/31/04
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 7/18/2005 3:56:10 PM | Message Detail
Small Change:

Mario over Joanna with 83.11%


---
There's a letter here. Shall we burn it?
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 7/18/2005 5:30:35 PM | Message Detail
Safety picks yay!

Mushroom Division
Mario with 79.02%
Carl Johnson with 56.34%
Zero with 68.89%
Lloyd Irving with 65.17%

Zebes Division
Samus with 87.24%
Frog with 58.13%
Ganondorf with 70.24%
Auron with 63.23%

Gear Division
Solid Snake with 91.23%
Zelda with 55.23%
Alucard with 59.65%
Sora with 86.13%

Dream Division
Kirby with 57.82%
Tidus with 80.13%
Bowser with 61.24%
Ryu with 65.24%
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
SC2K5: Samus is going all the way!
From: octoinky | Posted: 7/18/2005 5:48:18 PM | Message Detail
Mario 79.25%
Carl 54.75%
Zero 68.50%
Lloyd 71.50%
Samus 83.25%
Frog 62.75%
Ganondorf 74.00%
Auron 72.50%
Snake 71.25%
Zelda 58.25%
Alucard 54.00%
Sora 63.75%
Kirby 65.75%
Tidus 64.25%
Bowser 73.00%
Ryu 69.00%

Expect changes. These are safeties because I dont get on daily. I'd like to do (moderately) well this time by predicting each match.
From: ECW RVD420 | Posted: 7/18/2005 5:58:24 PM | Message Detail
Mushroom Division

Mario - 97.24%
Carl Johnson - 61.25%
Zero - 68.54%
Lloyd Irving - 63.25%

Zebes Division

Samus - 96.20%
Frog - 58.72%
Ganondorf - 67.94%
Auron - 59.32%

Gear Division

Solid Snake - 94.85%
Vivi - 54.65%
Alucard - 62.36%
Sora - 72.99%

Dream Division

Kirby - 86.55%
Tidus - 68.05%
Bowser - 58.61%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 61.87%
---
The Whole F'n Show
From: KingBartz | Posted: 7/18/2005 6:09:42 PM | Message Detail
Mario - 85.19%
Carl Johnson - 56.14%
Zero - 63.61%
Lloyd Irving - 59.57%

Samus - 78.13%
Frog - 53.38%
Ganondorf - 60.01%
Auron - 79.13%

I'll wait until later
---
KingBartz: Been a full Virgin since '87
From: Rodri316 | Posted: 7/18/2005 6:14:18 PM | Message Detail
Change:

Mario - 72.92%
---
Do not meddle in the affairs of dragons, for you are crunchy and good with ketchup.
Supporting Yoshi in the Summer 2005 Contest!
From: OmegaRagnarok | Posted: 7/18/2005 6:18:30 PM | Message Detail
Mario - 82.14%
---
Holy crap, I was banned! oh well. Life goes on.
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 7/18/2005 6:20:06 PM | Message Detail
Mario with 80.55%
CJ with 54.33%
Zero with 67.39%
Lloyd Irving with 73.44%

Samus with 84.21%
Frog with 60%
Ganondorf with 66%
Auron with 61%

Solid Snake with 89%
Zelda with 55%
Alucard with 61%
Sora with 70%

Kirby with 57%
Tidus with 80%
Bowser with 64%
Ryu (Street Fighter) with 60%

---
Mario's Path to Victory: Round 1 - (8) Joanna Dark
http://img25.imageshack.us/img25/6734/cunning9ej.jpg
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 7/18/2005 6:21:50 PM | Message Detail
For tomorrow, I predict Mario with 81.79% of the vote.

*is it ok if I have "will win" between Mario and with?
---
Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: BigtoeOfJebus | Posted: 7/18/2005 6:28:59 PM | Message Detail
MUSHROOM DIVISION
Mario over Joanna Dark with 86.37%
Carl Johnson over Ness with 54.17%
Zero over Ryu Hayabusa with 72.11%
Lloyd Irving over Albert Wesker with 55.02%

ZEBES DIVISION
Samus over Yuri with 91.45%
Frog over Riku with 57.89%
Ganondorf over Yuna with 67.54%
Auron over Big Boss with 69.23%

GEAR DIVISION
Solid Snake over Manny Calavera with 90.89%
Zelda over Vivi with 52.34%
Alucard over Kratos (God of War) with 67.28%
Sora over Agent 47 with 89.09%

DREAM DIVISION
Kirby over Cecil with 69.26%
Tidus over King of All Cosmos with 78.63%
Bowser over Chun-Li with 73.60%
Ryu (Street Fighter) over Rikku with 69.47%
---
*Commits Harakiri*
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/18/2005 6:42:45 PM | Message Detail
is it ok if I have "will win" between Mario and with?

The script won't understand that, so please don't include it.
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/18/2005 6:50:39 PM | Message Detail
Also, it makes things easier for me if you post your prediction on its own line, separate from the "for tomorrow, I predict..." part.

Basically, the way it works is that everything before "with" is considered the character's name. It can recognize "Mario" by itself and record the prediction. However, if the name is "For tomorrow, I predict Mario" or "Mario will win", then I have to tell it manually who you're talking about. That slows things down.
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 7/18/2005 6:53:02 PM | Message Detail
Kaxon, get on AIM....

UPDATED ALL-TIME ORACLE RECORDS

Bull's eye Award - Xuxon - 2 perfect predictions

Most points in a single event - King Morgoth - 2860.19 points - SpC2k4
Most points: all-time total - kawaiifan - 8309.86 points

Most consecutive days in the lead - Bananaquest - 38 matches [SpC2k4 #19-#56]
Most days in the lead: single event - Bananaquest - 41 matches [SpC2k4]
Most days in the lead: all-time total - Bananaquest - 41 matches

Most consecutive days on the leaderboard - Kaxon - 60 matches - [SC2k4 #4-#63]
Most days on the leaderboard: single event - Kaxon - 60 matches - [SC2k4]
Most days on the leaderboard: all-time total - King Morgoth - 124 matches

Most Top 5 prediction: single event - Haste2 and Dilated Chemist - 11 Top 5s - [SpC2k4]
Most Top 5 prediction: all-time total - Rodri316 - 22 Top 5s
Most wins: single event - Rodri316 - 5 Wins - [SC2k4]
Most wins: all-time total - FastFalcon05 and creativename - 7 wins

Top 10's to follow...
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 7/18/2005 6:55:10 PM | Message Detail
PERFECT PREDICTIONS - ALL-TIME

Excal - SC2k3 Match #33 - Link with 82.46
Kirin17 - SC2k3 Match #33 - Link with 82.46
BigAl85 - SC2k3 Match #36 - Samus with 69.75
KrusTy the KloWn - SC2k3 Match #53 - Mario with 50.05
Xuxon - SC2k3 Match #53 - Mario with 50.05
Starion - SC2k3 Match #60 - Mega Man with 53.50
Garsha - SpC2k4 Match #27 - The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker with 74.71
*Xuxon - SC2k4 Match #9 - Mega Man with 82.98
*ps2rulezzz - SC2k4 Match #30 - Ryu Hayabusa with 50.02


MOST POINTS - SINGLE EVENT

1) King Morgoth - 2860.19 points - SpC2k4 [1st]
2) Bananaquest - 2853.15 points - SpC2k4 [2nd]
3) kawaiifan - 2843.45 points - SC2k4 [1st]
4) kawaiifan - 2837.52 points - SpC2k4 [3rd]
5) King Morgoth - 2833.27 points - SC2k4 [2nd]
6) ps2rulezzz - 2831.69 points - SC2k4 [3rd]
7) Kaxon - 2828.82 points - SC2k4 [4th]
8) The n00b Avenger - 2826.40 points - SC2k4 [5th]
9) Alanna82 - 2823.67 points - SpC2k4 [4th]
10) NT220 - 2823.39 points - SC2k4 [6th]


MOST POINTS - ALL-TIME TOTAL

*1) kawaiifan - 8309.86 points
*2) Haste2 - 8214.48 points
*3) Ngamer64 - 8126.64 points
*4) Master Moltar - 8084.68 points
*5) StopPokingMe - 8034.48 points
*6) Rodri316 - 7990.77 points
*7) FastFalcon05 - 7924.55 points
*8) creativename - 7906.13 points
*9) Xuxon - 7879.32 points
*10) King Morgoth - 7838.66 points


MOST CONSECUTIVE DAYS IN THE LEAD

1) Bananaquest - 38 matches - [SpC2k4 #19-#56]
*2) Dilated Chemist - 16 matches - [SpC2k5 #16-31]
3) King Morgoth - 12 matches - [SC2k4 #16-#27]
*3) MegatokyoEd - 12 matches - [SpC2k5 #4-15]
5) Kaxon - 11 matches - [SC2k4 #5-#15]
5) King Morgoth - 11 matches - [SC2k4 #33-#43]
5) Rodri316 - 11 matches - [SC2k4 #47-#57]
8) Samberdog - 7 matches - [SC2k3 #46-#52]
8) King Morgoth - 7 matches - [SpC2k4 #57-#63]
10) Xuxon - 6 matches - [SC2k3 #53-#58]
10) kawaiifan - 6 matches - [SC2k4 #58-#63]


MOST DAYS IN THE LEAD - SINGLE EVENT

1) Bananaquest - 41 matches - [SpC2k4]
2) King Morgoth - 23 matches - [SC2k4]
*3) Dilated Chemist - 16 matches - [SpC2k5]
*4) MegatokyoEd - 12 matches - [SpC2k5]
5) Samberdog - 11 matches - [SC2k3]
5) Kaxon - 11 matches - [SC2k4]
5) Rodri316 - 11 matches - [SC2k4]
8) kawaiifan - 9 matches - [SC2k4]
9) King Morgoth - 8 matches - [SpC2k4]
10) Xuxon - 6 matches - [SC2k3]


MOST DAYS IN THE LEAD - ALL-TIME TOTAL

1) Bananaquest - 41 matches
2) King Morgoth - 31 matches
*3) Dilated Chemist - 16 matches
4) kawaiifan - 12 matches
*4) MegatokyoEd - 12 matches
6) Kaxon - 11 matches
6) Rodri316 - 11 matches
6) Samberdog - 11 matches
9) Xuxon - 6 matches
10) ATF - 5 matches
---
I've been officially pwned by yoblazer, best Guru of 'em all.
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 7/18/2005 6:55:49 PM | Message Detail
MOST CONSECUTIVE DAYS ON THE LEADERBOARD

1) Kaxon - 60 matches - [SC2k4 #4-#63]
2) King Morgoth - 55 matches - [SC2k4 #9-#63]
3) Bananaquest - 54 matches - [SpC2k4 #10-#63]
4) kawaiifan - 33 matches - [SC2k4 #31-#63]
5) ATF - 32 matches - [SC2k4 #15-#46]
6) creativename - 31 matches - [SpC2k4 #9-#39]
7) King Morgoth - 26 matches - [SpC2k4 #11-#36]
8) Alanna82 - 25 matches - [SpC2k4 #39-#63]
*8) Dialted Chemist - 25 matches - [SpC2k5 #7-31]
10) Samberdog - 24 matches - [SC2k3 #39-#62]
10) kawaiifan - 24 matches - [SpC2k4 #40-#63]


MOST DAYS ON THE LEADERBOARD - SINGLE EVENT

1) Kaxon - 60 matches - [SC2k4]
2) King Morgoth - 55 matches - [SC2k4]
3) Bananaquest - 54 matches - [SpC2k4]
4) King Morgoth - 53 matches - [SpC2k4]
5) kawaiifan - 46 matches - [SC2k4]
6) ATF - 44 matches - [SC2k4]
7) kawaiifan - 43 matches - [SpC2k4]
8) Alanna82 - 37 matches - [SpC2k4]
9) creativename - 35 matches - [SpC2k4]
10) ps2rulezzz - 30 matches - [SC2k4]


MOST DAYS ON THE LEADERBOARD - ALL-TIME TOTAL

*1) King Morgoth - 124 matches
*2) kawaiifan - 107 matches
*3) Kaxon - 61 matches
4) Bananaquest - 57 matches
*5) creativename - 52 matches
*6) Dilated Chemist - 47 matches
7) ATF - 44 matches
8) Alanna82 - 37 matches
*9) Rodri316 - 34 matches
10) ps2rulezzz - 30 matches


MOST TOP 5 PREDICTIONS - SINGLE EVENT

1) Haste2 - 11 Top 5s - [SpC2k4]
1) Dilated Chemist - 11 Top 5s - [SpC2k4]
3) Rodri316 - 10 Top 5s - [SC2k4]
4) SSJVegeta69 - 9 Top 5s - [SC2k3]
4) Salient - 9 Top 5s - [SC2k4]
4) FastFalcon05 - 9 Top 5s - [SC2k4]
4) ReaPeR xZ - 9 Top 5s - [SC2k4]
4) Ringworm - 9 Top 5s - [SC2k4]
4) Rufus Shinra 18 - 9 Top 5s - [SC2k4]
4) Who Cares? - 9 Top 5s - [SpC2k4]


MOST TOP 5 PREDICTIONS - ALL-TIME TOTAL

*1) Rodri316 - 22 Top 5s
*2) Ringworm - 21 Top 5s
*2) cyko - 21 Top 5s
*2) creativename - 21 Top 5s
*5) King Morgoth - 20 Top 5s
*6) Haste2 - 19 Top 5s
7) GoldSlime35 - 18 Top 5s
*8) FastFalcon05 - 17 Top 5s
8) Dilated Chemist - 17 Top 5s
*10) StopPokingMe - 16 Top 5s
10) ReaPeR xZ - 16 Top 5s


MOST WINS - SINGLE EVENT

1) Rodri316 - 5 wins - [SC2k4]
2) creativename - 4 wins - [SC2k3]
2) Haste2 - 4 wins - [SpC2k4]
2) jonthomson - 4 wins - [SC2k4]
2) Salient - 4 wins - [SC2k4]
2) The n00b Avenger - 4 wins - [SC2k3]
7) FastFalcon05 - 3 wins - [SpC2k4]
7) GoldSlime35 - 3 wins - [SC2k3]
7) PeaceOut64 - 3 wins - [SC2k4]
7) ps2rulezzz - 3 wins - [SC2k4]
7) ReaPeR xZ - 3 wins - [SpC2k4]
7) Xuxon - 3 wins - [SC2k4]


MOST WINS - ALL-TIME TOTAL

1) FastFalcon05 - 7 wins
*1) creativename - 7 wins
3) Rodri316 - 6 wins
4) Xuxon - 5 wins
4) Haste2 - 5 wins
4) ReaPeR xZ - 5 wins
4) PeaceOut64 - 5 wins
4) The n00b Avenger - 5 wins
9) GoldSlime35 - 4 wins
9) Holy Excalibur - 4 wins
9) jonthomson - 4 wins
*9) KrusTy the KloWn - 4 wins
*9) Salient - 4 wins
*9) somdude04 - 4 wins

phew
---
I've been officially pwned by yoblazer, best Guru of 'em all.
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/18/2005 6:58:04 PM | Message Detail
Nice.

---
A E I OWN U
From: cyko | Posted: 7/18/2005 7:03:43 PM | Message Detail
nice records, Morgoth. ^_^



Mushroom Division

Mario - 81.48%
Carl Johnson - 56.14%
Zero - 71.29%
Lloyd Irving - 69.95%

Zebes Division

Samus - 83.85%
Frog - 60.24%
Ganondorf - 70.26%
Auron - 74.39%

---
Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
Yoblazer
is officially THE MAN for beating us all in SpC2K5!!
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 7/18/2005 7:07:57 PM | Message Detail
yay, records.

and I'll be sure to follow the suggestion, kaxon, that's just the way I had always done it before.
---
Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: Lieutenant Kettch | Posted: 7/18/2005 7:31:43 PM | Message Detail
Mario with 74.30%
From: Who Cares? | Posted: 7/18/2005 8:04:26 PM | Message Detail
I'll just go with the first division today...

Mario 72.38%
Carl Johnson 57.65%
Zero 68.00%
Lloyd Irving 70.51%
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 7/18/2005 8:42:55 PM | Message Detail
Mario with 73.00%
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 7/18/2005 9:10:24 PM | Message Detail
Mario with 77.85%
---
I've been officially pwned by yoblazer, best Guru of 'em all.
From: kaonashi1 | Posted: 7/18/2005 9:18:30 PM | Message Detail
Keeping it short.

Mario with 82.31%
Carl Johnson with 61.41%
Zero with 70.59%
Lloyd Irving with 63.26%

Samus with 87.53%
Frog with 64.58%
Ganondorf with 64.97%
Auron with 71.93%

Solid Snake with 88.23%
Zelda with 55.84%
Alucard with 60.62%
Sora with 82.64%

Kirby with 63.33%
Tidus with 70.83%
Bowser with 65.27%
Ryu (Street Fighter) with 65.11%

Looks to be a great contest. Good luck to all.
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/18/2005 9:45:44 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Mario with 75.19%
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 7/18/2005 9:53:53 PM | Message Detail
change to mario with 84.67%
---
"If it bleeds we can kill it" - My governer, Arnold S.
From: CaptainFlufflez | Posted: 7/18/2005 10:02:57 PM | Message Detail
Mario with 82.31%
Carl Johnson with 58.73%
Zero with 70.24%
Lloyd Irving with 64.53%

Samus with 84.01%
Frog with 59.87%
Ganondorf with 72.45%
Auron with 68.98%

Solid Snake with 86.53%
Zelda with 54.21%
Alucard with 55.55%
Sora with 82.39%

Kirby with 68.54%
Tidus with 62.11%
Bowser with 67.59%
Ryu (Street Fighter) with 67.59%
---
All my base are belong to Yoblazer, winner of the Guru Contest.
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/18/2005 10:08:59 PM | Message Detail
The Top 10 SC2k5 Oracle Challenge Contenders

As our final feature before the beginning of the contest, we have the top 10 contenders for the SC2k5 Oracle Challenge title. This list was compiled by King Morgoth and myself, based on every measure of past performance we have available, combined with a little bit of our own predictive skills. Looking over the stats really highlighted how many great competitors there are in this contest. If you didn't make the list this time, there's just one thing you need to do - prove us wrong, starting tomorrow. =)

Here they come again, the contestants who have most proven their worth over the years. But first... every top 10 list requires difficult cuts, and ours was no different...

Honorable Mention - TenkoStar17
All-Time used Standings: #17
SC2k3: N/A
SpC2k4: 31st place (Avg:44.58, 59 matches)
SC2k4: 34th place (Avg:44.74, 60 matches)
SpC2k5: 19th place (Avg:41.96, 31 matches)

Status: Competing

"Giving the rest of the field a better chance by skipping matches since 2004"

TenkoStar17 was kept out of the top 10 by his lack of a top finish, which is largely due to missing matches in both 2004 contests. Because he's never finished at the top of the standings, he's managed to fly under the radar, despite being one of the best predictors for three contests now. A little-known fact is that TenkoStar has the 6th highest lifetime average (44.10) out of all the Oracle competitors to predict at least one full contest (63 matches). If he gets a prediction in for every match this time, as he did in the spring, he'll be a force to be reckoned with.


I'll be posting the top 10 over the next hour or so, feel free to guess at them if you like. =)
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
From: Lopen | Posted: 7/18/2005 10:13:19 PM | Message Detail
Go go last minute predictions!

Mushroom Division
Mario-81.09%
Carl Johnson-59.1%
Zero-59.99%
Lloyd Irving-74.49%

Zebes Division
Samus-86.53%
Frog-50.91%
Ganondorf-64.12%
Auron-58.32%

Gear Division
Solid Snake-90.13%
Vivi-50.34%
Alucard-57%
Sora-77.77%

Dream Division
Kirby-61.61%
Tidus-79.89%
Bowser-58.04%
Ryu (Street Fighter)-60.05%
---
Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/18/2005 10:21:18 PM | Message Detail
And now...

SC2k5 - Top 10 Contenders to the title

#10 - Haste2
All-Time used Standings: #3
SC2k3: WINNER (Avg:43.25, 31 matches)
SpC2k4: 10th place (Avg:44.11, 63 matches)
SC2k4: 8th place (Avg:44.56, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: 20th place (Avg:41.86, 31 matches)

Records:
Most Top 5 Predictions - Single Event (11 Top 5s - [SpC2k4])

Achievements:
2nd, Most Points - All-Time Total (8214.48 points)
2nd, Most Wins - Single Event (4 wins - [SpC2k4])
4th, Most Wins - All-Time Total (5 wins)
6th, Most Top 5 Predictions - All-Time Total (19 Top 5s)

Status: Competing

"Time to show them I'm not an old star on his decline..."

The first ever Oracle Challenge champion, Haste2 has remained an Oracle Challenge mainstay as one of only 4 competitors to predict every Oracle match. Haste2 has consistently put up good numbers, with three top 10 finishes to his name. He slumped a bit in the most recent spring contest with a 20th place finish, and this summer he'll be looking to rebound with another top finish. He's already demonstrated his tenaciousness, with the second most all-time points among all competitors.

>==================<

#9 - Alanna82
All-Time used Standings: #8
SC2k3: N/A
SpC2k4: 4th place (Avg:44.82, 63 matches)
SC2k4: 10th place (Avg:44.41, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: 29th place (Avg:41.46, 31 matches)

Achievments:
8th, Most Consecutive Days on the Leaderboard (25 matches - [SpC2k4 #39-#63])
8th, Most Days on the Leaderboard - Single Event (37 matches - [SpC2k4])
8th, Most Days on the Leaderboard - All-Time Total (37 matches)
9th, Most Points - Single Event (2823.67 points - SpC2k4 [4th])

Status: Competing

"If kawaiifan wasn't there I'd be the Oracle queen, dammit!"

Alanna finished in the top 10 twice in 2004, but she dropped to a disappointing 29th in this year's spring contest. Despite that, she remains one of our most consistent competitors, with the 7th highest lifetime average, 43.99 points. Will Alanna be able to rebound now that she's back on the familiar ground of the Summer Contest and away from the crazy results of the Villain Contest?
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
From: Mega Psycho Crusher | Posted: 7/18/2005 10:28:02 PM | Message Detail
MUSHROOM DIVISION
Mario over Joanna Dark with 83.48%
Carl Johnson over Ness with 61.28%
Zero over Ryu Hayabusa with 76.22%
Lloyd Irving over Albert Wesker with 65.97%

ZEBES DIVISION
Samus over Yuri with 87.81%
Frog over Riku with 62.11%
Ganondorf over Yuna with 59.12%
Auron over Big Boss with 71.78%

GEAR DIVISION
Solid Snake over Manny Calavera with 86.84%
Zelda over Vivi with 53.27%
Alucard over Kratos (God of War) with 63.88%
Sora over Agent 47 with 79.65%

DREAM DIVISION
Kirby over Cecil with 56.77%
Tidus over King of All Cosmos with 76.28%
Bowser over Chun-Li with 58.69%
Ryu (Street Fighter) over Rikku with 77.22%
---
SC2K5: Current Pick: Mario | Tommorow's Pick: Carl Johnson | Score: 0/0
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/18/2005 10:28:37 PM | Message Detail
#8 - Ngamer64
All-Time used Standings: #6
SC2k3: 8th place (Avg:42.23, 30 matches)
SpC2k4: 8th place (Avg:44.52, 63 matches)
SC2k4: 27th place (Avg:44.90, 61 matches)
SpC2k5: 12th place (Avg:42.46, 31 matches)

Achievements:
3rd, Most Points - All-Time Total (8126.64 points)

Status: Competing

"Watch out, someday I'll get around to predicting ALL matches..."

Ngamer64 holds the distinction of being the only person to ever finish the top 10 while missing a match. In 2003, Ngamer finished 8th despite handing his opponents about a 40 point handicap by failing to predict Mario vs Shadow. Because the 2003 Oracle Challenge only ran for 31 matches, skipping one match there would be equivalent to skipping 2 matches in a full contest! Despite the 40 point handicap, he still managed to beat out more than half of the people who predicted all 31 matches. If he hadn't missed any matches, he would have finished 3rd in SC2k3, 8th in SpC2k4 and 5th in SC2k4. His actual record his excellent, but his potential record is astonishing.

>==================<

#7 - ps2rulezzz
All-Time used Standings: #9
SC2k3: N/A
SpC2k4: 6th place (Avg:44.60, 63 matches)
SC2k4: 3rd place (Avg:44.95, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: N/A

Achievements:
Perfect Prediction - SC2k4 Match #30 - Ryu Hayabusa with 50.02%
6th, Most Points - Single Event (2831.69 points - SC2k4 [3rd])
7th, Most Wins - Single Event (3 wins - [SC2k4])
10th, Most Days on the Leaderboard - Single Event (30 matches - [SC2k4])
10th, Most Days on the Leaderboard - All-Time Total (30 matches)

Status: Competing

In 2004, ps2rulezzz came out of nowhere to finish 6th in SpC2k4, and outdid himself by finishing 3rd in SC2k4. Everyone expected big things from him in SpC2k5, but he surprised us once again by completely failing to show up. It looked like ps2rulezzz might have gone the way of Bananaquest until he appeared less than 36 hours before contest time with his predictions. ps2rulezzz has two top ten finishes and the second highest lifetime average with 44.77 points, trailing only Bananaquest. Will he be able to shake off the rust and put up another strong finish?
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 7/18/2005 10:30:56 PM | Message Detail
Mario with 79.03%

I'll do the rest later.
---
Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 7/18/2005 10:32:17 PM | Message Detail
Ngamer, predicting at the last minute? Shocking!

Mario 76.21%

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the-elite.net congratulates yoblazer, winner of the Spring '05 Guru Contest!
Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/18/2005 10:34:38 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE: Mario with 80.5%

---
A E I OWN U
From: goku z | Posted: 7/18/2005 10:35:53 PM | Message Detail
Mushroom Division
Mario with 83.12%
Carl Johnson with 56.67%
Zero with 67.68%
Lloyd Irving with 63.85%

Zebes Division
Samus with 87%
Frog with 64%
Ganondorf with 61%
Auron with 73%

Gear Division
Solid Snake with 88%
Zelda with 54%
Alucard with 64%
Sora with 82%

Dream Division
Kirby with 64%
Tidus with 76%
Bowser with 62%
Ryu (Street Fighter) with 62%
---
Summer Contest 2005 Winner: Mario
Mario will SFF Samus, and pull it out against Crono.
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/18/2005 10:40:45 PM | Message Detail
#6 - creativename
All-Time used Standings: #5
SC2k3: 35th palce (Avg:43.83, 23 matches)
SpC2k4: 9th place (Avg:44.20, 63 matches)
SC2k4: 13th place (Avg:44.23, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: 5th place (Avg:42.81, 31 matches)

Records:
Most Wins - All-Time Total (7 wins)

Achievements:
2nd, Most Wins - Single Event (4 wins - [SC2k3])
2nd, Most Top 5 Predictions - All-Time Total (21 Top 5s)
5th, Most Days on the Leaderboard - All-Time Total (52 matches)
6th, Most Consecutive Days on the Leaderboard (31 matches - [SpC2k4 #9-#39])
8th, Most Points - All-Time Total (7906.13 points)
9th, Most Days on the Leaderboard - Single Event (35 matches - [SpC2k4])

Status: Competing

"The popularity of each contestant can be treated as a statistical process, based on realizations of uniform random variables with a certain mean."

Creativename is the father of the Extrapolated Standings and one of the most consistent contestants in the Challenge. So far creativename has predicted matches in all four contests, and has averaged at least 42.81 in every one of them. Currently coming off his best finish yet, 5th place in the unpredictable spring contest, creativename will be looking maintain his winning ways. Based on past performance, he's unlikely to land far from the leaderboard. Creativename also holds the lifetime record for most #1 predictions.

>==================<

#5 - Kaxon
All-Time used Standings: #14
SC2k3: N/A
SpC2k4: 82nd place (Avg:45.99, 14 matches)
SC2k4: 4th place (Avg:44.90, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: 14th place (Avg:42.41, 31 matches)

Records:
Most consecutive days on the leaderboard (60 matches - [SC2k4 #4-#63])
Most days on the leaderboard - Single Event (60 matches - [SC2k4])

Achievements:
3rd, Most days no the Leaderboard - All-Time Total (61 matches)
5th, Most Consecutive days in the lead (11 matches - [SC2k4 #5-#15])
5th, Most Days in the lead - Single Event (11 matches - [SC2k4])
6th, Most Days in the lead - All-Time Total (11 matches)
7th, Most Points in a Single Event (2828.82 points - SC2k4 [4th])

Status: Competing

"Do I really look like I'll settle for second place?"

Kaxon first showed up late in SpC2k4 and put up a strong average over 14 matches. But his place on this list is due mainly to his incredible run in his first full contest, SC2k4. He entered the leaderboard after match #4 and never looked back, finishing fourth 60 days later without ever leaving the leaderboard. Kaxon has the fourth highest lifetime average with 44.33, ahead of Oracle luminaries such as Alanna, Ngamer, creativename, King Morgoth, and kawaiifan.
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/18/2005 10:51:21 PM | Message Detail
#4 - Rodri316
All-Time used Standings: #7
SC2k3: 18th place (Avg:39.72, 30 matches)
SpC2k4: 29th place (Avg:41.83, 63 matches)
SC2k4: 7th place (Avg:44.86, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: 2nd place (Avg:43.51, 31 matches)

Records:
Most Wins - Single Event (5 Wins - [SC2k4])
Most Top 5 Predictions - All-Time Total (22 Top 5s)

Achievements:
3rd, Most Top 5 Predictions - Single Event (10 Top 5s - [SC2k4])
3rd, Most Wins - All-Time Total (6 wins)
5th, Most Consecutive Days in the Lead (11 matches - [SC2k4 #47-#57])
5th, Most Days in the Lead - Single Event (11 matches - [SC2k4])
6th, Most Points - All-Time Total (7990.77 points)
6th, Most Days in the Lead - All-Time Total (11 matches)
9th, Most Days on the Leaderboard - All-Time Total (34 matches)

Status: Competing

*casts Sora-factor on self*. "This contest's easy!"

Rodri316 is one of the hottest competitors around right now, having just followed up his 7th place finish in SC2k4 with a 2nd place one in this year's Spring Contest. Rodri has done progressively better each contest, dramatically improving his average in SpC2k4 and SC2k4, and then moving all the way up to second last contest. Rodri may be best known for his bold move of predicting a Sora victory over Ryu Hayabusa last year, a move which catapulted him to first in the standings. But what he should be known for is having the most lifetime top 5 predictions, making him a constant threat to pull out big numbers. If he keeps improving like he has been, there's only one more place he can go...

>==================<

#3 - Dilated Chemist
All-Time used Standings: #4
SC2k3: 43rd palce (Avg:41.12, 19 matches)
SpC2k4: 5th place (Avg:44.65, 63 matches)
SC2k4: 26th place (Avg:43.52, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: WINNER (Avg:43.97, 31 matches)

Records:
Most Top 5 Predictions - Single Event (11 Top 5s - [SpC2k4])

Achievements:
2nd, Most Consecutive Days in the Lead (16 matches - [SpC2k5 #16-31])
3rd, Most Days in the Lead - Single Event (16 matches - [SpC2k5])
3rd, Most Days in the Lead - All-Time Total (16 matches)
6th, Most Days on the Leaderboard - All-Time Total (47 matches)
8th, Most Top 5 Predictions - All-Time Total (17 Top 5s)

Status: Competing

"Hey, Morgoth, that's what you get for keeping me out of your Top 10 list!"

After being snubbed in SpC2k5's "top 10 contenders" feature, Dilated Chemist went on to win the whole contest, establishing himself as one of the Oracle Challenge's true elite. Dilated Chemist now has two top 5 finishes to his name, one in each of the Spring Contests. The only question is whether he'll be able to carry that success over to the summer, where he's traditionally had less success.
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
From: Camden | Posted: 7/18/2005 10:53:25 PM | Message Detail
Mario with 79.48%
^^^^
It was a match made in Hell, now the whole mountain burns
And every man gets what no man deserves. -Sonata Arctica
From: Nezaroth | Posted: 7/18/2005 10:58:30 PM | Message Detail
MUSHROOM DIVISION
Mario with 85.65%
Carl Johnson with 57.45%
Zero with 71.21%
Lloyd Irving with 54.61%

ZEBES DIVISION
Samus with 88.21%
Frogwith 55.64%
Ganondorf with 60.33%
Auron with 84.88%

GEAR DIVISION
Solid Snake with 89.29%
Zelda with 52.55%
Alucard with 59.32%
Sora with 85.71%

DREAM DIVISION
Kirby 83.23%
Tidus with 73.37%
Bowser with 74.87%
Ryu (Street Fighter) with 77.76%
---
Janors
Main account is in purgatory.
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/18/2005 10:59:29 PM | Message Detail
I'd build the suspense, but I think we all know what's coming...

#2 - kawaiifan
All-Time used Standings: #2
SC2k3: 4th place (Avg:42.00, 31 matches)
SpC2k4: 3rd place (Avg:45.04, 63 matches)
SC2k4: WINNER (Avg:45.13, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: 6th place (Avg:42.80, 31 matches)

Records:
Most Points - All-Time Total (8309.86 points)

Achievements:
2nd, Most Days on the Leaderboard - All-Time Total (107 matches)
3rd, Most Points - Single Event (2843.45 points - SC2k4 [1st])
4th, Most Points - Single Event (2837.52 points - SpC2k4 [3rd])
4th, Most Days in the Lead - All-Time Total (12 matches)
4th, Most Consecutive Days on the Leaderboard (33 matches - [SC2k4 #31-#63])
5th, Most Days on the Leaderboard - Single Event (46 matches - [SC2k4])
7th, Most Days on the Leaderboard - Single Event (43 matches - [SpC2k4])
8th, Most Days in the Lead - Single Event (9 matches - [SC2k4])
10th, Most Consecutive Days in the Lead (6 matches - [SC2k4 #58-#63])
10th, Most Consecutive Days on the Leaderboard (24 matches - [SpC2k4 #40-#63])

Status: Competing

"^.^"

And now we come to the true elites. Kawaiifan, the Oracle Queen, has a record that looks downright ridiculous. Easily the most consistent Oracle competitor, kawaiifan has predicted every Oracle match and has never finished lower than 6th, missing the leaderboard by a quarter of a point in SpC2k5. Kawaiifan also holds the record for most all-time total points. And all this, she's done while offering words of encouragement to her fellow competitors. When it comes to kawaiifan, it seems like the only question is whether she'll finish in the leaderboard or on top of it.

>==================<

#1 - King Morgoth
All-Time used Standings: #1
SC2k3: 42nd place (Avg:36.56, 22 matches)
SpC2k4: WINNER (Avg:45.40, 63 matches)
SC2k4: 2nd place (Avg:44.97, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: 3rd place (Avg:43.26, 31 matches)

Records:
Most Points - Single Event (2860.19 points - SpC2k4 [1st])
Most Days on the Leaderboard - All-Time Total (124 matches)

Achievements:
2nd, Most Consecutive Days on the Leaderboard (55 matches - [SC2k4 #9-#63])
2nd, Most Days on the Leaderboard - Single Event (55 matches - [SC2k4])
2nd, Most Days in the Lead - Single Event (23 matches - [SC2k4])
2nd, Most Days in the Lead - All-Time Total (31 matches)
3rd, Most Consecutive Days in the Lead (12 matches - [SC2k4 #16-#27])
4th, Most Days on the Leaderboard - Single Event (53 matches - [SpC2k4])
5th, Most Points - Single Event (2833.27 points - SC2k4 [2nd])
5th, Most Consecutive Days in the Lead (11 matches - [SC2k4 #33-#43])
5th, Most Top 5 predictions - All-Time Total (20 Top 5s)
7th, Most Consecutive Days on the Leaderboard (26 matches - [SpC2k4 #11-#36])
8th, Most Consecutive Days in the Lead (7 matches - [SpC2k4 #57-#63])
9th, Most Days in the Lead - Single Event (8 matches - [SpC2k4])
10th, Most Points - All-Time Total (7838.66 points)

Status: Competing

"Starcraft over Wind Waker with 50.02%...*gulp*"

It's hard to imagine anyone placing higher than kawaiifan on this list, but King Morgoth did it by finishing ahead of her in 2 out of the last 3 contests. Out of those three, in the one contest where he finished behind kawaiifan, he ranked 2nd overall. Morgoth has too many accomplishments to list here, but the only ones that really matter are the 1-2-3 rankings in the last three contests. The only possible complaint about his record is that he's been dropping for two contests, but it's hard to complain when his worst finish in two years is 3rd place. We'll have to wait and see whether he's able to reverse that trend this contest.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/18/2005 11:00:03 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Mario with 77.19%
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/18/2005 11:00:33 PM | Message Detail
Doh.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 7/18/2005 11:01:58 PM | Message Detail
Darn, I was hoping for an honorable mention. I had two top 5 finishes. What does a guy need to make it eh? >_<
---
Q
From: creativename | Posted: 7/19/2005 2:18:22 AM | Message Detail
Poor Kaxon, just misses the deadline due to posting content :) Though I don't know what the original pick was so maybe this helps him.

Anyway, great work on the Top 10 list. I don't believe I saw this last time. I think that because of this, this topic should be archived at oraclechallenge.com.

BTW, Announcement: oraclechallenge.com (and also sc2k5.com) should be experiencing some hours of downtime either Tuesday morning, or Wednesday morning.
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www.SC2K5.com
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/19/2005 2:25:27 AM | Message Detail
The only question is whether he'll be able to carry that success over to the summer, where he's traditionally had less success.

Sadly, no. =(

Which brings me to ask this: I leave for basic training on Aug. 8th, how many predictions can I submit?

---
A E I OWN U
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/19/2005 2:28:23 AM | Message Detail
Nice Top 10, BTW.

---
A E I OWN U
From: creativename | Posted: 7/19/2005 2:35:40 AM | Message Detail
Creativename is the father of the Extrapolated Standings

Well, actually, more like the popularizer. They were around before I made them more easily accessible by putting them on a website :)
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www.SC2K5.com
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/19/2005 3:21:42 AM | Message Detail
Which brings me to ask this: I leave for basic training on Aug. 8th, how many predictions can I submit?

How many do you need to submit? If necessary you can email them all too me and I can post them here like I do for kawaiifan.

Nice Top 10, BTW.

Thanks!
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/19/2005 3:23:13 AM | Message Detail
Poor Kaxon, just misses the deadline due to posting content :) Though I don't know what the original pick was so maybe this helps him.

Sadly, it would have gained me 2 points. Oh well, 65 matches to make it up.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Congrats to yoblazer, the Guru contest winner!
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