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SC2k5 - Oracle Challenge - Round 1 - Chaos Division
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/29/2005 6:35:23 PM | Message Detail
Welcome to the Oracle Challenge, the contest that tests your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent! There are some changes to the process this contest, so please read this even if you have participated in the Oracle Challenge before.

The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Summer Contest you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of the vote they will receive. New participants are still being accepted until at least the end of round 3 (please indicate that you are new and make a minimum of three picks).

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. Your predictions must be in one of these formats:

Link with 85%
Link 55.13%
Link over CATS with 67.55%
Link - 77.5%

See the next post for notes on entering predictions.

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most points at the end of the final match. For each match you can earn anywhere between 0 and 50 points. This depends on whether you correctly picked the winner and how close your guess was to the actual percentage. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-2x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: Link with 65%
My guess: CATS with 55%
Actual result: Link 60%, CATS 40%
Your points: 50 - (65-60) = 45 points
My points: 45 - 2*(55-40) = 15 points

Bonus points are awarded for the closest five guesses each match but do not factor into the overall scoring. They are used only as a side ranking. Participants will also be ranked by average score from time to time.

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. Link with 85.03%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%. No alts, please. All predictions should be made with your main account to make things easier on me. If you need to change accounts please let me know.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else’s guess. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made one full hour before the usual start time of that match’s poll (approx. 2:00am EST, 1:00am CST, 11:00pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to a previous entry.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule (and to reduce confusion).
6) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
7) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 9/10 | Today: Alucard over Kratos
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/29/2005 6:35:52 PM | Message Detail
Predictions (NEW)

In the past we were more flexible about prediction formatting, because predictions were painstakingly recorded by hand. This season, in order to make running the contest more managable, predictions are going to be recorded with a script. If you follow these rules you shouldn't have to worry about your predictions being entered incorrectly:

1. Always include the % sign at the end of your predictions.
2. Spell the character's name right. Short names are fine as long as they are part of the name that appears in the bracket. For example, "Carl" is fine, but unfortunately "CJ" is not.
3. Make sure you post predictions for the correct round in each topic. Each round will have a separate topic. If you need to make predictions for a future round ahead of time, tell me and we'll work something out.
4. Remember that anything that looks like a prediction may be entered as one. If you're discussing the match or quoting someone else, leaving out the % sign will ensure you don't say something that's counted as a prediction.

Don't worry too much, if the script makes an obvious mistake I will correct it.
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 9/10 | Today: Alucard over Kratos
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/29/2005 6:37:31 PM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

I am now accepting predictions for the following matches:

Gear Division
Sora vs Agent 47

Dream Division
Kirby vs Cecil
Tidus vs King of all Cosmos
Bowser vs Chun Li
Ryu (Street Fighter) vs Rikku

Flood Division
Master Chief vs CATS
Donkey Kong vs Sam Fisher
Kefka vs Tommy Vercetti
Crono vs Zidane

Devil Division
Dante vs Terra
Sarah Kerrigan vs Vincent Valentine
Magus vs Knuckles
Squall Leonhart vs Geno

Chaos Division
Sonic vs Jin Kazama
Kratos Aurion vs Diablo
Tifa Lockheart vs Vyse
Luigi vs KOS-MOS
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 9/10 | Today: Alucard over Kratos
From: GrapefruitKing | Posted: 7/29/2005 6:40:29 PM | Message Detail
Sonic with 82.96%
Diablo with 69.15%
Tifa Lockheart with 64.93%
Luigi with 54.68%

---
I expect Lloyd vs. Zero to be close, but Lloyd's gonna win. -MoogleKupo141
LOL -Me
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 7/29/2005 6:42:06 PM | Message Detail
CHAOS DIVISION
Sonic over Jin Kazama with 84.35%
Diablo over Kratos Aurion with 64.35%
Tifa Lockheart over Vyse with 68.34%
Luigi over KOS-MOS with 53.46%
---
Summer 2005 Contest - 9/11 points
Current Match Prediction: Sora vs. Agent 47
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/29/2005 6:52:56 PM | Message Detail
Sonic the Hedgehog with 81.36%
Diablo with 63.23%
Tifa Lockheart with 65.96%
Luigi with 58.83%

---
A E OUTBACK OWNS ME
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 7/29/2005 7:28:53 PM | Message Detail
Incoming! Repost in 5...4...3...2...1...Brace for impact!

Dream Division
Kirby with 57.82%
Tidus with 80.13%
Bowser with 61.24%
Ryu with 65.24%

IT'S TIME FOR N-N-N-N-N-N-N-NEW PICKS!

Flood Division
Master Chief with 79.32%
Donkey Kong with 56.34%
Kefka with 50.01%
Cronowith 77.32%

Devil Division
Dante with 59.22%
Vincent Valentine with 57.52%
Magus with 57.11%
Squall Leonhart with 76.33%

Chaos Division
Sonic with 81.46%
Diablo with 60.57%
Tifa Lockheart with 70.24%
Luigi with 54.98%
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Kratos vs. Alucard - Bracket: Alucard - Vote: Alucard (9/10)
From: and now I dance | Posted: 7/29/2005 7:44:07 PM | Message Detail
Chaos Division
Sonic 84.45%
Diablo 57.10%
Tifa 69.85%
Luigi 58.90%
---
*Dances, trips and falls* XP
From: lol_internet | Posted: 7/29/2005 7:47:09 PM | Message Detail
Um... change again!

CHANGE

Sora with 73.66%
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 7/29/2005 7:51:51 PM | Message Detail
Sonic with 83.24%
Diablo with 58.42%
Tifa with 69.69%
Luigi with 53.04%

*shoots bracket in the head*
---
The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (4) Tidus... LET ME DREAM :
From: Mega Psycho Crusher | Posted: 7/29/2005 7:52:41 PM | Message Detail
Sonic with 83.86%
Diablo with 62.18%
Tifa Lockheart with 69.82%
Luigi with 53.88%
---
SC2K5: Current Pick: Alucard || Tommorow's Pick: Sora || Score: 9/10
From: BigtoeOfJebus | Posted: 7/29/2005 7:57:22 PM | Message Detail
Flood Division
Master Chief with 81%
Donkey Kong with 61%
Kefka with 50.01%
Crono with 76.50%

Devil Division
Dante with 66.66%
Vincent Valentine with 52%
Magus with 62%
Squall Leonhart with 75%
---
*Commits Harakiri*
From: Dekar TKB | Posted: 7/29/2005 7:58:44 PM | Message Detail
Sonic over Jin Kazama with 77.90%
Diablo over Kratos with 61.14%
Tifa over Vyse with 74.04%
Luigi vs KOS-MOS with 56.94%
---
If you knew the number of the steps you would ever take, bitter I wonder: would you run or cease to walk?
www.rpgdl.com
From: Dekar TKB | Posted: 7/29/2005 7:59:13 PM | Message Detail
Err...

Luigi OVER KOS-MOS with 56.94%
---
If you knew the number of the steps you would ever take, bitter I wonder: would you run or cease to walk?
www.rpgdl.com
From: Lopen | Posted: 7/29/2005 8:00:42 PM | Message Detail
The extra divisions and some changes.

Gear Division
Sora - 70.47%

Devil Division
Magus - 53.71%
Squall Leonhart - 63.71%

Chaos Division
Sonic - 79.89%
Diablo - 52.01%
Tifa Lockheart - 70.21%
Luigi - 56.81%
---
Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: BigtoeOfJebus | Posted: 7/29/2005 8:03:38 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Tidus with 80%
---
*Commits Harakiri*
From: KingBartz | Posted: 7/29/2005 8:17:51 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Sora - 81.53%


oh and,

hello top 10

goodbye top 10

;_;

---
My Summer Contest Score: 8/9 - Todays pick: Zelda
KingBartz: Been a full Virgin since '87
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 7/29/2005 8:18:23 PM | Message Detail
Chaos Division
Sonic with 82.64%
Diablo with 63.28%
Tifa Lockheart with 66.07%
Luigi with 58.69%
---
Summer Contest 2005: 9/10
Today: Alucard, Tomorrow: Sora
From: Ikon | Posted: 7/29/2005 8:24:20 PM | Message Detail
Dream Division
Kirby with 61.77%
Tidus with 63.49%
Bowser with 66.69%
Ryu (Street Fighter) with 55.12%

Flood Division
Master Chief with 80.12%
Donkey Kong with 55.55%
Kefka with 52.13%
Crono with 75.09%

Devil Division
Dante with 69.98%
Vincent Valentine with 51.08%
Magus with 56.67%
Squall Leonhart with 78.87%

Chaos Division
Sonic with 84.01%
Diablo with 58.85%
Tifa Lockheart with 71.55%
Luigi with 62.23%
---
SC2K5: Todays Pick: Alucard//Current Points: 9/10
From: SonikkuGBA | Posted: 7/29/2005 8:24:51 PM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: Lieutenant Kettch | Posted: 7/29/2005 8:25:22 PM | Message Detail
Sora with 83.77%
From: SonikkuGBA | Posted: 7/29/2005 8:25:40 PM | Message Detail
accidentally did all the matches instead of only Chaos...

Sonic- 75.55%
Diablo- 58.77%
Tifa Lockheart- 61.09%
Luigi- 51.23%

---
BIGGEST Crono/Chrono Trigger fan EVER!!!
Leader of the NEW AND IMPROVED Crono Army
From: bigkevinm84 | Posted: 7/29/2005 8:26:06 PM | Message Detail
Gear Division
Sora over Agent 47 with 74.89%

Dream Division
Kirby over Ceci with 59.12%
Tidus over King of all Cosmos with 69.45%
Bowser over Chun Li with 64.18%
Ryu (Street Fighter) over Rikku 74.45%

[I believe I posted my Flood and Devil predictions in another topic...]

Chaos Division
Sonic over Jin Kazama with 83.67%
Diablo with 61.45
Tifa Lockheart over Vyse with 71.34%
Luigi over KOS-MOS with 56.32%
---
Vote for Yoshi
You have no chance to survive make your time.
From: meche313 | Posted: 7/29/2005 8:30:16 PM | Message Detail
Dream Division
Kirby with 60.78% <-- CHANGE
Tidus with 73.40%
Bowser with 61.52%
Ryu (Street Fighter) with 56.03%

Flood Division
Master Chief with 82.22%
Donkey Kong with 54.59%
Kefka with 52%
Crono with 68.50%

---
That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: Xuxon | Posted: 7/29/2005 8:30:54 PM | Message Detail
Sora with 70%
---
"Let's drop this Xbox statue on Naomi's head! Oof! This thing's big! It'll take over 3 years for it to start selling!" ~ Jaguar, Sega Fantasy VI
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 7/29/2005 8:31:21 PM | Message Detail
creative - Is bandwidth on sc2k5 an issue for you, at all? Because I'm considering (strongly considering) creating a page that would generate poll update stats in real time. I think it would be pretty awesome, it's just that it would have to keep going back to gather your poll updates all the time. So, yeah, if bandwidth is nothing to worry about, I think I'll go ahead with this thing.

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 7/29/2005 8:44:13 PM | Message Detail
Sonic with 85.25%
Diablo with 57.77%
Tifa Lockheart with 72.80%
Luigi with 55.85%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 7/29/2005 8:56:09 PM | Message Detail
Because I'm considering (strongly considering) creating a page that would generate poll update stats in real time

That would be ridiculously awesome.
---
Summer Contest 2005: 9/10
Today: Alucard, Tomorrow: Sora
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 7/29/2005 9:10:07 PM | Message Detail
Sora with 74.89%
---
Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: TheNintendoPurist | Posted: 7/29/2005 9:29:45 PM | Message Detail
Kirby with 65.42%
Tidus with 74.45%
Bowser with 64.21%
Ryu with 73.89%

Master Chief with 78.92%
Donkey Kong with 52.64%
Tommy Vercetti with 54.67%
Crono with 75.56%

Dante with 76.43%
Vincent with 54.54%
Magus with 68.58%
Squall Leonhart with 73.45%

Sonic with 87.26%
Diablo with 67.59%
Tifa Lockheart with 73.49%
Luigi with 54.64%
---
For you, the day that General Bison destroyed your bracket was the most important day of your life. But for him... it was Friday. --Phoenix Flattener
From: Menji76 | Posted: 7/29/2005 9:35:32 PM | Message Detail
Sonic 87.54%
Diablo 69.93%
Tifa Lockheart 61.45%
Luigi 69.32%

---
SC2K5; T-2nd: Current Points: 9; Correct Picks 9/10; Today's Pick: Alucard; Tommorow's pick: Sora #1 Gamefaqs Duke Fan
From: Menji76 | Posted: 7/29/2005 9:38:32 PM | Message Detail
Change

Sonic 85.54%
Luigi 59.32%

---
SC2K5; T-2nd: Current Points: 9; Correct Picks 9/10; Today's Pick: Alucard; Tommorow's pick: Sora #1 Gamefaqs Duke Fan
From: cyko | Posted: 7/29/2005 9:38:50 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Sora - 82.78%

---
Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
Yoblazer
is officially THE MAN for beating us all in SpC2K5!!
From: Menji76 | Posted: 7/29/2005 9:42:43 PM | Message Detail
sorry about the posts, but I'm realizing all my mistakes

CHANGE

Magus 77.43%
Squall 72.56%
Sora 70.32%
Kirby 72.43%
Master Chief 75.43%
Vincent Valentine 57.65%
---
SC2K5; T-2nd: Current Points: 9; Correct Picks 9/10; Today's Pick: Alucard; Tommorow's pick: Sora #1 Gamefaqs Duke Fan
From: Paratroopa1 | Posted: 7/29/2005 9:55:38 PM | Message Detail
Sonic with 81.52%
Diablo with 57.74%
Tifa Lockheart with 62.89%
Luigi with 54.18%
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/29/2005 9:59:29 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Sora with 75.80%
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 9/10 | Today: Alucard over Kratos
From: Camden | Posted: 7/29/2005 10:09:33 PM | Message Detail
Sora with 73.58%

Kirby with 64.21%
Tidus with 81.04%
Bowser with 60.98%
Ryu with 62.11%

Master Chief 79.35%
Donkey Kong with 54.8%
Kefka with 50.82%
Crono with 78.31%

Dante with 60%
Vincent Valentine with 69.96%
Magus with 63.7%
Squall Leonhart with 72.09%

Sonic with 83.4%
Diablo with 55.37%
Tifa Lockheart 71.34%
Luigi with 56.6%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 10/11 - Current:Sora over Forget
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 7/29/2005 10:11:27 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE - Sora with 73.77%
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Kratos vs. Alucard - Bracket: Alucard - Vote: Alucard (9/10)
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 7/29/2005 10:39:08 PM | Message Detail
Sora - 71.74%
---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (540 points)
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 7/29/2005 10:44:14 PM | Message Detail
That HK robot fellow sucked, sure, but at least he had SOME KIND of fanbase behind him. (Knights did decent against Vice, which did decent against Melee, as you'll recall). What's this Agent guy got? Nothing, that's what! Not to mention the apparent KH rise since last year, if Riku is any indication. All that into account, sub-75 seems an odd choice to be making here...

Sora 78.93%

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/29/2005 10:52:31 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Sora with 76.67%
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 9/10 | Today: Alucard over Kratos
From: creativename | Posted: 7/29/2005 10:56:33 PM | Message Detail
Change:

Sora with 75%
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: Ed_Bellis | Posted: 7/29/2005 10:57:30 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Sora over Agent 47 with 69.09%
---
Huh-CHA!
From: creativename | Posted: 7/29/2005 11:01:47 PM | Message Detail
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 7/29/2005 11:31:21 PM | Message Detail | #026
creative - Is bandwidth on sc2k5 an issue for you, at all? Because I'm considering (strongly considering) creating a page that would generate poll update stats in real time. I think it would be pretty awesome, it's just that it would have to keep going back to gather your poll updates all the time. So, yeah, if bandwidth is nothing to worry about, I think I'll go ahead with this thing.


Bandwidth isn't an issue, but server processing time is (and database size is also an issue). Not to mention the fact that Ceej would probably ban my server's IP if he saw that many accesses (it reeks of DoS attack).

It's really not reasonable to do that.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 7/29/2005 11:04:39 PM | Message Detail
Chaos Division
Sonic with 85.46%
Diablo with 62.57%
Tifa Lockheart with 69.69%
Luigi with 59.98%
---
"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, Pack, Go!
From: creativename | Posted: 7/29/2005 11:05:47 PM | Message Detail
Oh, wait...are you talking about you accessing my website? I'm not sure what you're saying. If so, then bandwidth is no issue at all; I have 1 terabyte of bandwidth on this server of which I currently use essentially nothing. Continual access may cause the server to slow down, but if that happened I would let you know.

I don't understand what the point of this would be though...?
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: T4libKw4li | Posted: 7/29/2005 11:08:07 PM | Message Detail
I am Tequilla Gundam's alt[TG got purgatoried'd]

Flood Division
Master Chief with 88.76%
Donkey Kong with 55.12%
Tommy with 61.22%
Crono with 81.16%

Devil Division
Dante with 58.22%
Vincet with 54.33%
Magus with 58.61%
Squall Leonhart with 71.03%

Chaos Division
Sonic with 67.55%
Diablo with 62.35%
Tifa Lockheart with 78.42%
Luigi with 56.43%
---
Summer 2005 Contest Score : 7/7
Rank : 1/33793 Today: Auron Tomorrow: Snake
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:11:03 AM | Message Detail
Just for now...

Sonic - 82.83%
Diablo - 52.83%
Tifa Lockheart - 68.27%
Luigi - 52.83%

---
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
Fighting Illini (37-2): #2 in the nation, #1 in our hearts
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:23:31 AM | Message Detail
Oh, you shall see, creative. You'll see more than you ever bargained for!

*evil cackle*

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/30/2005 12:24:14 AM | Message Detail
Match #11 Results:
Kratos 44.48%
Alucard 55.52%

Kratos surprised some people today by being stronger than expected, scoring almost 45% on Alucard. We'll have to wait two more weeks before we can answer that burning question - which is the stronger Kratos? Today there were 104 Alucard picks and 1 lonely Kratos pick. The consensus was Alucard with 60.75%, and the average score was 44.33 points.

Best Five Picks:
1) Janors - Alucard 55.53% (+49.99)
2) CaptainFlufflez - Alucard 55.55% (+49.97)
3) yoshifan823 - Alucard 55.39% (+49.87)
4) OmegaRagnarok - Alucard 55.66% (+49.86)
5) KrusTy the KloWn - Alucard 55.75% (+49.77) -

Janors was the best today with a near-perfect prediction - this was his second #1 prediction of the contest. CaptainFlufflez, yoshifan823, OmegaRagnarok, KrusTy the KloWn all take their first top 5 of the contest, all with predictions that were less than a quarter of a percent off.

Complete match ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=match&match=11

Current Leaderboard:
1) Heroic Viktor - 508.60
2) creativename - 497.14
3) Dilated Chemist - 488.05
4) Lagoona - 487.24
5) Haste2 - 486.46

Heroic Viktor maintains his bear-like grip on first place, but in a new twist, creativename has also opened a sizable lead between himself and 3rd place. Lagoona and last contest's champion Dilated Chemist are both returning for their second stint on the leaderboard - Dilated Chemist was there on day 7 and Lagoona was there on days 4-6. Haste2 moves down two spots but hangs on to his leaderboard spot, meaning we now have two previous champions on the leaderboard at the same time.

Full standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=total&match=11
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 10/11 | Today: Sora over Agent 47
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