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SC2k5 - Oracle Challenge - Round 2 - All Divisions
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:06:40 PM | Message Detail
Welcome to the Oracle Challenge, the contest that tests your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!

The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Summer Contest you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of the vote they will receive. New participants are still being accepted until at least the end of round 3 (please indicate that you are new and make a minimum of three picks).

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. Your predictions must be in one of these formats:

Link with 85%
Link 55.13%
Link over CATS with 67.55%
Link - 77.5%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Do not use other formats such as "Link w/" or "Link: ".

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most points at the end of the final match. For each match you can earn anywhere between 0 and 50 points. This depends on whether you correctly picked the winner and how close your guess was to the actual percentage. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-2x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: Link with 65%
My guess: CATS with 55%
Actual result: Link 60%, CATS 40%
Your points: 50 - (65-60) = 45 points
My points: 45 - 2*(55-40) = 15 points

Bonus points are awarded for the closest five guesses each match but do not factor into the overall scoring. They are used only as a side ranking. Participants will also be ranked by average score from time to time.

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. Link with 85.03%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%. No alts, please. All predictions should be made with your main account to make things easier on me. If you need to change accounts please let me know.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else’s guess. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made one full hour before the usual start time of that match’s poll (approx. 2:00am EST, 1:00am CST, 11:00pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to a previous entry.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule (and to reduce confusion).
6) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
7) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano for SC2k6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:07:00 PM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

I'm now accepting predictions for all round 2 matches:

Mushroom Division
Mario vs Ness
Zero vs Lloyd Irving

Zebes Division
Samus vs Frog
Ganondorf vs Auron

Gear Division
Solid Snake vs Zelda
Alucard vs Sora

Dream Division
Kirby vs Tidus
Bowser vs Ryu (Street Fighter)

Flood Division
Master Chief vs Donkey Kong
Tommy Vercetti vs Crono

Devil Division
Dante vs Vincent Valentine
Knuckles the Echidna vs Squall Leonhart

Chaos Division
Sonic the Hedgehog vs Diablo
Tifa Lockheart vs Luigi

20XX Division
Mega Man vs Leon Kennedy
Yoshi vs Pac-Man
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano for SC2k6
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:11:04 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief with 52.20%
Crono with 70.00%
Dante with 50.00%
Knuckles with 50.00%
---
"It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti!" ~ Lenneth Valkyrie
From: WhiteRob | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:13:09 PM | Message Detail
Change: Mario with 77.30%
From: Menji76 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:13:36 PM | Message Detail
Flood Division
Master Chief 55.34%
Crono 77.54%

Devil Division
Vincent Valentine 56.54%
Knuckles the Echidna 51.43%

Chaos Division
Sonic the Hedgehog 71.43%
Tifa Lockheart 59.54%

20XX Division
Mega Man 73.43%
Yoshi 76.54%


---
SC2K5; T-3rd: Current Points: 29 #1 Gamefaqs Duke fan
I like shampoo bottles, that sit on my lappy. ~Andy Milonakis
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:13:45 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief with 53.58%
Crono with 69.02%

Dante with 50.09%
Squall Leonhart with 50.45%

Sonic with 68.93%
Tifa Lockheart with 63.58%

Mega Man with 67.59%
Yoshi with 68.23%
---
Summer 2005 Contest - 28/32 points
Current Match Prediction: Mario vs. Carl Johnson
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:14:07 PM | Message Detail
TREE ROAST

Mushroom Division
Mario with 79.01%
Zero with 67.33%

Zebes Division
Samus with 65.28%
Ganon with 50.53%

Gear Division
Snake with 51.26%
Sora with 52.02%

Dream Division
Tidus with 50.86%
Bowser with 54.64%
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Mario vs. Ness - Bracket: Mario - Vote: Mario (28/32)
From: Dekar TKB | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:19:50 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief with 50.19%
Crono with 65.88%

Vincent Valentine with 57.54%
Knuckles the Echidna with 50.20%

Sonic the Hedgehog with 62.89%
Tifa Lockheart with 59.70%

Mega Man with 64.25%
Yoshi with 69.99%
---
If you knew the number of the steps you would ever take, bitter I wonder: would you run or cease to walk?
www.rpgdl.com
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:23:51 PM | Message Detail
WAKKA WAKKA WAKKA WAKKA WAKKA WAKKA WAKKA
*eats Kaxon*
*eats RPGuy96*
*eats WhiteRob*
*eats Menji76*
*eats Draco1214*
*eats Master Moltar*
*eats Dekar TKB*
WAKKA WAKKA WAKKA WAKKA WAKKA WAKKA WAKKA

Mario with 77.57%
---
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: Paratroopa1 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:24:32 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief with 50%
Crono wtih 73.58%

Dante with 50%
Squall Leonhart with 53.39%

Sonic the Hedgehog with 71.26%
Tifa Lockheart with 61.13%

Mega Man with 66.39%
Yoshi with 66.73%
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:24:57 PM | Message Detail
Eats me? Not only am I completely out of the competition, I had Ocelot with just 52 percent.
---
"It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti!" ~ Lenneth Valkyrie
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:26:15 PM | Message Detail
Oh, nevermind. I R teh stoopid.
---
"It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti!" ~ Lenneth Valkyrie
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:28:46 PM | Message Detail
I too had Ocelot with 52%, so I'm not that screwed.
---
Summer 2005 Contest - 28/32 points
Current Match Prediction: Mario vs. Carl Johnson
From: Haste2 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:28:57 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief with 54%
Crono with 70%

Vincent with 58%
Squall with 55%

Sonic with 67%
Tifa with 62%

Mega Man with 74%
Yoshi with 65%

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Paratroopa1 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:31:23 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE - Donkey Kong with 51.25%

Let's make things interesting, shall we?
From: SuperSmash Master | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:32:20 PM | Message Detail
I got the first four divisions already.

Flood Division
Master Chief with 57.49%
Crono with 62.65%

Devil Division
Vincent Valentine with 50.78%
Squall Leonhart with 52.73%

Chaos Division
Sonic the Hedgehog with 64.82%
Tifa Lockheart with 60.60%

20XX Division
Mega Man with 67.47%
Yoshi with 70.13%
---
There is no sig here. Go away.
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:34:22 PM | Message Detail
Mario with 80.00%
---
Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:39:19 PM | Message Detail
not to be a total tight-wad but ocelot may still win tonite. It's never been done but don't completely discard it now. Even though I *know* he's going to lose, I just like to be professional.
---
"If it bleeds we can kill it" - My governer, Arnold S.
From: Paratroopa1 | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:40:04 PM | Message Detail
And in the extremely unlikely case that Ocelot does win, it won't be too hard for people to change their picks/have their picks automatically changed, will it?
From: Dekar TKB | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:42:39 PM | Message Detail
Psh. The power pellet had CLEARLY run out before you got to me. *Cues Pac-Man death sound.*
---
If you knew the number of the steps you would ever take, bitter I wonder: would you run or cease to walk?
www.rpgdl.com
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:53:48 PM | Message Detail
Change

Mario with 77.74%
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano for SC2k6
From: Z1mZum | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:56:35 PM | Message Detail
Mario with 76.06%
---
I'm charming, but I dip into the Prozac now and then.
I did pretty good in the guru challenge but yoblazer did slightly better.
From: KingBartz | Posted: 8/19/2005 9:57:38 PM | Message Detail
tag
---
My Summer Contest Score: 26/31 - Todays Pick: Revolver Ocelot
KingBartz: Been a Virgin since '87
From: Camden | Posted: 8/19/2005 10:01:02 PM | Message Detail
Mario with 77.99%
Zero with 59.99%

Samus with 63.99%
Ganondorf with 53.99%

Snake with 56.99%
Alucard with 50.99%

Kirby with 53.99%
Bowser with 52.99%

Chief with 60.99%
Crono with 65.99%

Valentine with 62.99%
Squall with 56.99%

Sonic with 58.99%
Tifa with 58.99%

Mega Man with 67.99%
Yoshi with 76.99%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 29/32 - Current: Mario over Ness
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 8/19/2005 10:02:00 PM | Message Detail
well, yeah but I always just think it's at least a little teensy-weensy arrogant to have the take things for granted attitude and assume pac-man won already, isn't it?


Oh, nevermind what the hell am I sayin' pac-man won. You're right, it doesn't matter anyways.
---
"If it bleeds we can kill it" - My governer, Arnold S.
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 8/19/2005 10:10:02 PM | Message Detail
Mario with 78.00%
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 8/19/2005 10:19:24 PM | Message Detail
Mario - 78.23%
---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (560 points)
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 8/19/2005 10:42:06 PM | Message Detail
Change:
Mario - 81.23%
---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (560 points)
From: Xuxon | Posted: 8/19/2005 10:52:36 PM | Message Detail
Mario with 77.88%
---
"Let's drop this Xbox statue on Naomi's head! Oof! This thing's big! It'll take over 3 years for it to start selling!" ~ Jaguar, Sega Fantasy VI
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 8/19/2005 10:53:30 PM | Message Detail
Hm... surprised more folks aren't taking Mario at 80+. Even though it's harder to gain when you get into the 70s, he's got to be about to outperform Bowser by more than 5, doesn't he? Much respect for that defeat of CJ, I suppose.

And who am I to argue?

Mario 79.83%

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: creativename | Posted: 8/19/2005 10:54:46 PM | Message Detail
Change:

Ganondorf with 51%

I'll probably change that back later though.
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 8/19/2005 11:00:01 PM | Message Detail
*enters topic*
WAKKA WAKKA WAKKA WAKKA
*eats creative's change*
WAKKA WAKKA WAKKA WAKKA
*leaves topic*

(yup, I'm pretty tired)
---
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 8/19/2005 11:02:02 PM | Message Detail
New predictions:

Master Chief with 53.25%
Crono with 70.00%
Vincent Valentine with 56.50%
Knuckles the Echidna with 50.00%
Sonic the Hedgehog with 65.20%
Tifa Lockheart with 60.00%
Mega Man with 68.50%
Yoshi with 66.50%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: Camden | Posted: 8/20/2005 12:07:22 AM | Message Detail
I expected to go down. This is a pleasant surprise.

Zero with 66.66%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 29/32 - Current: Mario over Ness
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 8/20/2005 12:11:17 AM | Message Detail
Master Chief with 52.55%
Crono with 71.24%
Vincent Valentine with 56.21%
Squall Leonhart with 52.19%
Sonic the Hedgehog with 66.66%
Tifa Lockheart with 61.39%
Mega Man with 68.23%
Yoshi with 63.19%
---
The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 8/20/2005 12:13:11 AM | Message Detail
Looking good for me.
---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (560 points)
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/20/2005 12:14:22 AM | Message Detail
Match #32 Results:
Revolver Ocelot 48.75%
Pac-Man 51.25%

...And the first round comes to an end with an upset. A lot of people said they thought Pac-Man might win, but only one person was actually brave enough to make the pick, vs 87 for Ocelot. The consensus was Ocelot with 58.39 and the average score was 25.78.

Best Five Picks:
1) Do not even ask - Pac-Man 50.72% (+49.47)
2) Xuxon - Revolver Ocelot 50.00% (+42.50)
2) Yesmar - Revolver Ocelot 50.00% (+42.50)
4) BeTheMan - Revolver Ocelot 50.25% (+42.00)
5) Nai - Revolver Ocelot 51.00% (+40.50)

Do not even ask easily scores the best prediction today, as he's the only one who picked the right winner. He gains more than 10 points on just about everybody and climbs 17 spots in the standings as a result. Xuxon and Yesmar tied for second, both predicting Ocelot with 50%. BeTheMan and Nai had the next lowest Ocelot predictions.

Complete match ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=match&match=32

Current Leaderboard:
1) creativename - 1401.10
2) BeTheMan - 1392.38
3) Heroic Viktor - 1381.37
4) Xuxon - 1380.25
5) WhiteRob - 1376.79

Creativename saved himself quite a few points with a late change yesterday, and he holds on to first as a result. BeTheMan moves from third up to second, and now has an 11 point lead over third place. Heroic Viktor returns to the leaderboard in third place after a brief hiatus. Xuxon climbed nine spots to land in fourth, and WhiteRob also returns after one day off the leaderboard.

Full standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=total&match=32
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano for SC2k6
From: somdude04 | Posted: 8/20/2005 12:16:38 AM | Message Detail
# of wrong predictions in the top 5 daily before this contest: 1
# of wrong predictions in the top 5 daily in this contest: 9

(all from memory, so if I'm wrong, meh.)
GJ
---
Missed Points: 8 Ness & Knuckles(x7)
http://i09-8.thefacebook.com/pics/8/2/n9202808_9627.jpg
From: Paratroopa1 | Posted: 8/20/2005 12:18:56 AM | Message Detail
There have been 10 wrong predictions in the top 5 this contest, actually. 5 for Magus, 4 for Ocelot, and 1 for CJ. Also, there has never been a wrong prediction in the top 5 in the past.
From: Nai | Posted: 8/20/2005 1:53:46 AM | Message Detail
Donkey Kong with 51.00%
Crono with 68.44%
Vincent Valentine with 59.19%
Squall Leonhart with 61.33%
---
Currently playing: Killer7 [GC] + Yoshi Touch & Go [DS]
From: Rufus Shinra 18 | Posted: 8/20/2005 2:02:26 AM | Message Detail
As usual, safety picks.

Master Chief with 53 %
Crono with 72 %
Vincent Valentine with 55 %
Squall with 51.50 %
Sonic the Hedgehog with 67 %
Tifa Lockheart with 62 %
Mega Man with 67 %
Yoshi with 66 %
---
Proud supporter of SOLID SNAKE for the SC2K5
From: and now I dance | Posted: 8/20/2005 2:16:33 AM | Message Detail
Flood
Master Chief 51.05%
Crono 77.45%

Devil
Vincent 56.20%
Sguall 59.30%

Chaos
Sonic 70.40%
Tifa 54.70%

20XX
Mega Man 79.10%
Yoshi 74.20%

---
*Dances, trips and falls* XP
From: KingBartz | Posted: 8/20/2005 4:55:23 AM | Message Detail
YAY +2!!
---
My Summer Contest Score: 26/32 - Todays Pick: Mario
KingBartz: Been a Virgin since '87
From: OmegaRagnarok | Posted: 8/20/2005 4:58:16 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 54.67%
Alucard - 50.01%
Tidus - 54.78%
Bowser - 57.98%

These matches will be close, for sure.

---
Holy crap, I was banned! oh well. Life goes on.
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/20/2005 5:02:03 AM | Message Detail
Master Chief with 56.47%
Crono with 68.83%
Vincent with 58.74%
Squall with 51.85%
Sonic with 63.57%
Tifa with 59.83%
Mega Man with 71.38%
Yoshi with 62.54%
---
Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: OmegaRagnarok | Posted: 8/20/2005 5:02:21 AM | Message Detail
Samus - 69.87%
Ganondorf - 56.01%

---
Holy crap, I was banned! oh well. Life goes on.
From: yoshifan823 | Posted: 8/20/2005 6:50:25 AM | Message Detail
Flood Division
Master Chief with 59.43%
Crono with 72.34%

Devil Division
Dante with 54.61%
Squall Leonhart with 52.58%

Chaos Division
Sonic the Hedgehog with 71.76%
Luigi with 55.87%

20XX Division
Mega Man with 67.54%
Yoshi with 63.14%
---
Yoshifan scorecard: Next Match: Bowser Vs. Chun-Li: 86.58%
Points:Contest:14/14 Oracle:609.14/9th place
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 8/20/2005 6:59:51 AM | Message Detail
Master Chief with 58%
Crono with 69.1%
Vincent with 54.54%
Squall with 50.89%
Sonic with 65.65%
Tifa with 60.9%
Mega Man with 67.65%
Yoshi with 65.43%
---
Weird Kirby Dude - Minnow is alive!
Every fanboy war degenerates to a flame war over whether each debater likes the Halo series or not. - Android21A
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 8/20/2005 7:42:43 AM | Message Detail
Yee-haw. Back in the top 5, and a pretty decent Mario pick today. Mushroom division is mine boys!

---
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 29/31
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 8/20/2005 8:19:30 AM | Message Detail
Master Chief vs Donkey Kong- Master Chief with 60.00%
Tommy Vercetti vs Crono- Crono with 70.00%

Devil Division
Dante vs Vincent Valentine- Vincent with 55.55%
Knuckles the Echidna vs Squall Leonhart- Squall with 52.25%

Chaos Division
Sonic the Hedgehog vs Diablo- Sonic with 60.00%
Tifa Lockheart vs Luigi- Tifa with 57.75%

20XX Division
Mega Man vs Leon Kennedy- Mega Man with 66.66%
Yoshi vs Pac-Man- Yoshi with 69.00%

Still that last one seems high, but we KNOW Yoshi> Luigi.


---
Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. "My Father? You mean my Dad?" Fei Fong Wong
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