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SC2k5 - Oracle Challenge - Round 6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/17/2005 2:22:07 AM | Message Detail
Note: This topic is for posting your prediction for Round 6 (the main bracket finals) ONLY. Please continue to use the other topic for other predictions here:

http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=23535740

Welcome to the Oracle Challenge, the contest that tests your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!

The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Summer Contest you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of the vote they will receive.

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. Your predictions must be in one of these formats:

Link with 85%
Link 55.13%
Link over CATS with 67.55%
Link - 77.5%

See the next post for special details on the final match.

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most points at the end of the final match. For each match you can earn anywhere between 0 and 50 points. This depends on whether you correctly picked the winner and how close your guess was to the actual percentage. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-2x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: Link with 65%
My guess: CATS with 55%
Actual result: Link 60%, CATS 40%
Your points: 50 - (65-60) = 45 points
My points: 45 - 2*(55-40) = 15 points

Bonus points are awarded for the closest five guesses each match but do not factor into the overall scoring. They are used only as a side ranking. Participants will also be ranked by average score from time to time.

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. Link with 85.03%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%. No alts, please. All predictions should be made with your main account to make things easier on me. If you need to change accounts please let me know.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else’s guess. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made one full hour before the usual start time of that match’s poll (approx. 2:00am EST, 1:00am CST, 11:00pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to a previous entry.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule (and to reduce confusion).
6) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
7) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/17/2005 2:22:42 AM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE

http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

In this topic I'm only accepting predictions for Round 6, the main bracket finals. For this match, you can make two different predictions reflecting the two different possible matchups (Mario vs Crono and Mario vs Mega Man). Or, if you want you can make just one prediction. This round predictions will NOT be entered with the script, but it must be clear what your prediction means. The preferred format is either:

If Crono wins: Crono with 51%
If Mega Man wins: Mega Man with 52%

OR

Mario over Crono with 55%
Mario over Mega Man with 60%
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6
From: creativename | Posted: 9/17/2005 2:38:33 AM | Message Detail
If Crono wins: Mario with 52%
If Mega Man wins: Mario with 53%
---
www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: jonthomson | Posted: 9/17/2005 3:07:09 AM | Message Detail
Semi final:

Mega Man with 50.04%

Final:

If Mega Man wins, Mega Man with 50.01%
If Crono wins, Mario with 52.47%
---
Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: Paratroopa1 | Posted: 9/17/2005 3:20:04 AM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 54.19%

OR

Mega Man over Mario with 50.00%
From: Ringworm | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:15:38 AM | Message Detail
If Crono wins: Crono with 51.13%

If Mega Man wins: Mario with 52.91%
---
~ Ringworm ~
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:15:12 AM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 51.83%
Mario over Mega Man with 58.27%

---
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 133/144 (Kefka, Magus (x3), Ocelot, Tidus)
From: alpha door | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:18:51 AM | Message Detail
If Crono wins: Mario with 50.05%
If Mega Man wins: Mario with 53.45%
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Official Chrono Trigger Fan
I'm already eliminated from the Guru contest, but Alucard>Sora anyday.
From: meche313 | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:18:52 AM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 51.5%
Mario over Mega Man with 58.72%
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 9/17/2005 7:26:55 AM | Message Detail
If Crono wins tomorrow: Crono with 50.05%
If Megaman wins tomorrow: Mario with 58.44%
---
Summer Contest 2005 --- Score: 105/128 --- Rank: T-1571
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 9/17/2005 8:01:40 AM | Message Detail
If Crono wins: Mario over Crono with 50.05%
If Mega Man wins: Mario over Mega Man with 55.55%

---
Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. "This sig is owned by S Xero"
From: Starion | Posted: 9/17/2005 11:10:21 AM | Message Detail
Round 6
---------------------------------------
Mario over Crono with 56.21%
Mario over Megaman with 60.03%

So we use the other topic for the TOC matches or will you make another thread for that?
From: KingBartz | Posted: 9/17/2005 11:16:06 AM | Message Detail
Crono - 56.67%

Mario over Crono - 52.34%
Mario over Mega Man - 57.65%

---
KingBartz: Been a Virgin since '87
From: KingBartz | Posted: 9/17/2005 11:16:49 AM | Message Detail
disregard my last post please.

Mario over Crono - 52.34%
Mario over Mega Man - 57.65%
---
KingBartz: Been a Virgin since '87
From: somdude04 | Posted: 9/17/2005 11:18:27 AM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 52.12%
Mario over Mega Man with 56.67%

GJ
---
Characters by the name of _a_us let me down this year. No prizes for me.
Me: http://i09-8.thefacebook.com/pics/8/2/n9202808_9627.jpg
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 9/17/2005 11:18:39 AM | Message Detail
If Crono wins tomorrow: Crono with 50.02%
If Megaman wins tomorrow: Mario with 56.44%
---
"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
R.I.P. Magus
From: OmegaRagnarok | Posted: 9/17/2005 11:30:53 AM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 55.78%
Mario over Mega Man with 59.69%

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Holy crap, I was banned! oh well. Life goes on.
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/17/2005 11:33:06 AM | Message Detail
Crono over Mario with 50.05%
Mario over Mega Man with 53.21%
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: Xuxon | Posted: 9/17/2005 11:41:01 AM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 53.8%
Mario over Mega Man with 55.5%
---
"Let's drop this Xbox statue on Naomi's head! Oof! This thing's big! It'll take over 3 years for it to start selling!" ~ Jaguar, Sega Fantasy VI
From: Duffer11 | Posted: 9/17/2005 11:41:55 AM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 52.25%
Mario over Mega Man with 57.75%
---
A Duffer is Forever.
Survivor Kingdom #1 Champion: 7/21 (9 Total Survivor Wins)
From: Nai | Posted: 9/17/2005 11:49:17 AM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 51.34%
Mario over Mega Man with 55.67%
---
Currently playing: Super Mario 64 DS [DS]
From: Camden | Posted: 9/17/2005 12:09:14 PM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 50.99%
Mario over Mega Man with 55.99%
---
Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
The ships hung in the sky in much the same way that bricks don't. -Douglas Adams
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 9/17/2005 12:10:29 PM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 51.65%
Mario over Mega Man with 53.87%
---
"If it bleeds we can kill it" - My governer, Arnold S.
From: War13104 | Posted: 9/17/2005 12:10:33 PM | Message Detail
If Crono wins: Crono with 54.87%
If Mega Man wins: Mario with 57%
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makeyourchance: Of course, you could also say, "LOOK AT ME I'M A FLYING ANUS", but that's beside the point.
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 9/17/2005 12:13:00 PM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 52.47%
Mario over Mega Man with 58.63%
---
The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: Rodri316 | Posted: 9/17/2005 12:32:08 PM | Message Detail
Crono over Mario - 50.12%
Mario over Mega Man - 54.24%
---
Summer 2005 Contest -- Current Score: 97/120
Today's Prediction -- Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Mega Man
From: Haste2 | Posted: 9/17/2005 4:14:08 PM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 57%
Mario over Mega Man with 57%

For now...

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 9/17/2005 4:37:38 PM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 51.21%
Mario over Mega Man with 55.55%
---
Weird Kirby Dude - spud2002 is alive! >_>
Every fanboy war degenerates to a flame war over whether each debater likes the Halo series or not. -Android21A
From: RPGLord95 | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:04:06 PM | Message Detail
if it's Mario vs. Crono

Mario 52.44%

if it's Mario vs. Mega Man

Mega Man 50.17%
---
FFXI: Asura: Rpglord 75Drk/67Mnk
SC2K5 118/128, 21st, Current Pick: Mario > Solid Snake
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/17/2005 10:53:34 PM | Message Detail
kawaiifan's predictions:
Mario over Crono with 53%
Mario over Mega Man with 56%
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6
From: Menji76 | Posted: 9/18/2005 12:29:23 AM | Message Detail
If Crono wins: Mario with 51.02%
If Mega Man wins: Mario with 57.54%




---
#1 Gamefaqs Duke fan
*After Lying to his Parents* I'm going straight to hell ~Carlton
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 9/18/2005 12:48:07 AM | Message Detail
If Crono wins: Crono with 50.00%
If Mega Man wins: Mario with 60.50%
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: Camden | Posted: 9/18/2005 12:58:00 AM | Message Detail
If Crono wins, Mario with 50%
If Mega Man wins, Mario with 60%
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
The ships hung in the sky in much the same way that bricks don't. -Douglas Adams
From: Lagoona | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:15:40 AM | Message Detail
If Crono wins: Mario with 50.96%
If Mega Man wins: Mario with 56.61%

---
SC2k5 Prediction Percentage Challenge:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=23266034
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 9/18/2005 5:17:27 AM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 54.02%
Mario over Mega Man with 57.07%
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Uh oh, they started moving their legs back and forth while standing in place. You're about to fight aren't you? - My friend watching me play FFT
From: bigkevinm84 | Posted: 9/18/2005 8:59:35 AM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: bigkevinm84 | Posted: 9/18/2005 9:01:05 AM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 50.05%
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Vote for Mario, this year's contest champion!
Mega Man > Crono? Hopefully..
From: Sephirot1 Returns | Posted: 9/18/2005 9:02:01 AM | Message Detail
Crono over Mario with 52.21%

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Proud supporter of Samus and Megaman in the S2K5C!
From: BigtoeOfJebus | Posted: 9/18/2005 9:14:37 AM | Message Detail
Mario with 55%
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Nominate Jay Solano and Ifnkovhgroghprm for SC2k6!
*Commits harakiri*
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/18/2005 11:54:34 AM | Message Detail
Mario with 53.5%
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 9/18/2005 11:55:07 AM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 53.24%
Oh the irony...
---
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 9/18/2005 11:55:48 AM | Message Detail
Stop doing that Kaxon...
---
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: and now I dance | Posted: 9/18/2005 12:01:28 PM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 53.70%
Mario over Mega Man with 55.00%
---
*Dances, trips and falls* XP
From: ECW RVD420 | Posted: 9/18/2005 12:26:34 PM | Message Detail
If Crono wins: Mario with 50.91%
If Mega Man wins: Mario with 56.48%

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The Whole F'n Show
From: Haste2 | Posted: 9/18/2005 12:33:12 PM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 55%

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Camden | Posted: 9/18/2005 12:43:06 PM | Message Detail
If Crono wins, Mario with 50.99%
If Mega Man wins, Mega Man with 100%
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
The ships hung in the sky in much the same way that bricks don't. -Douglas Adams
From: Hylian Zero | Posted: 9/18/2005 12:47:21 PM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 53.56%
Mario over Mega Man with 56.67%
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#1 Titans fan
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/18/2005 1:30:30 PM | Message Detail
Payback's a *****.

Mario with 55%.
---
SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 9/18/2005 1:38:05 PM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 52.87%
---
Weird Kirby Dude - spud2002 is alive! >_>
Every fanboy war degenerates to a flame war over whether each debater likes the Halo series or not. -Android21A
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 9/18/2005 1:41:49 PM | Message Detail
Mario over Crono with 50.44%
Mario over Mega Man with 53.47%
---
RIP Samus: Mario, you better take down Seph.
Crono vs. Mega Man - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Crono (108/144)
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