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SpC2k6 Oracle Challenge - Round 4
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/28/2006 2:20:11 AM | Message Detail
Welcome to the Oracle Challenge, the contest that tests your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!

Changes for spring 2006

Please note the new scoring system. The rest of the rules are the same as before.

The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Sprint Contest you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of the vote they will receive. New participants are still being accepted until at least the end of round 3 (please indicate that you are new and make a minimum of three picks).

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. Your predictions must start with the name of your winner and end with your predicted percentage. Examples:

Link with 85%
Link 55.13%
Link over CATS with 67.55%
Link - 77.5%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use a weird format.

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most points at the end of the final match. For each match you can earn anywhere from 0 and 50 points. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: Link with 65%
My guess: CATS with 55%
Actual result: Link 60%, CATS 40%
Your score: 50 - (65-60) = 45 points
My score: 45 - (55-40) = 30 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. Link with 85.03%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else?s. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made five minutes before the usual start time of that match?s poll (approx. 11:55pm EST, 10:55am CST, 8:55pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to a previous entry.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule and to reduce confusion.
6) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page <http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users>, I already know about it).
7) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
8) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Team Challenge

In addition to the main Oracle Challenge, this time we are testing a side contest involving teams. The rules for the team challenge are simple:

1. Sign up with a partner before the beginning of the first match.
2. Make just one prediction per match - it counts for the Oracle Challenge and the Oracle Team Challenge.
3. Your team score for the day is equal to both team members' scores added together.
4. If one player misses a prediction, the team will get either (partner's score * 2) or (partner's score + average score for the day), whichever is lower. This is to keep teams from being eliminated by one missed prediction, and ONLY applies to the team scores.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/28/2006 2:21:11 AM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

We are now accepting predictions for all SET matches:

ROUND 3
Final Fantasy vs Resident Evil

ROUND 4
The Legend of Zelda vs Metal Gear

Please do not predict the Final Fantasy/Super Mario Bros. match until after the start of the Final Fantasy/Resident Evil match. Please do not post predictions for the final match in this topic.

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: RX7InfinitiIII | Posted: 7/28/2006 2:21:57 AM | Message Detail
*sigh*

I need some sweet picks to have a chance a glory. That said, I don't want to deviate too far from what I expect.

Zelda with 74.04%


RX7
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 7/28/2006 3:22:13 AM | Message Detail
Final Fantasy with 73.91%
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
From: jonthomson | Posted: 7/28/2006 3:22:33 AM | Message Detail
Safety pick:

Zelda with 68%
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Jon Thomson - CATS, Jay Solano, Ridley, Duke Nukem, The Prince, Phoenix Wright, Jill Valentine, Guru Winners Pick, 6 TBA
From: Dekar TKB | Posted: 7/28/2006 3:24:27 AM | Message Detail
The Legend of Zelda with 70.82%
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Chief of Patrol in Sir Chris' police force DA!
Captain Falcon for Sc2k6! www.rpgdl.com
From: Paratroopa1 | Posted: 7/28/2006 3:28:12 AM | Message Detail
The Legend of Zelda with 69.44%
From: Layzerbeam | Posted: 7/28/2006 3:33:56 AM | Message Detail
Legend of Zelda with 70%

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ROCKET TROUSERS!
im not making these lies up ~ ertyu
From: cyko | Posted: 7/28/2006 4:04:39 AM | Message Detail
Legend of Zelda - 71.54%

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please NOMINATE BAHAMUT!!!
or i will eat your soul.
From: jonthomson | Posted: 7/28/2006 4:12:29 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Final Fantasy with 75.56%
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Jon Thomson - CATS, Jay Solano, Ridley, Duke Nukem, The Prince, Phoenix Wright, Jill Valentine, Guru Winners Pick, 6 TBA
From: jonthomson | Posted: 7/28/2006 4:13:18 AM | Message Detail
That's for FF vs RE, obv
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Jon Thomson - CATS, Jay Solano, Ridley, Duke Nukem, The Prince, Phoenix Wright, Jill Valentine, Guru Winners Pick, 6 TBA
From: and now I dance | Posted: 7/28/2006 4:29:30 AM | Message Detail
R4:

Zelda with 73.65%
Final Fantasy with 68.10%
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*Dances* :D
From: ThatsRidiculous | Posted: 7/28/2006 4:30:57 AM | Message Detail
R4:
Zelda with 67.35%
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cavedog0: Dec. 2003 - Oct. 2005
Go Pack Go!
From: Salient | Posted: 7/28/2006 6:26:06 AM | Message Detail
Final Fantasy with 72.50%
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~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: meche313 | Posted: 7/28/2006 7:05:48 AM | Message Detail
Legend of Zelda with 68.40%
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“Impossible is a word people use to make themselves feel better when they quit.” - Vyse
Currently playing: Zelda: Alttp, Donkey Kong Country, Rogue Squadron II. Resident Evil: Code Veronica X, Kirby SuperStar
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 7/28/2006 7:08:00 AM | Message Detail
The Legend of Zelda over Metal Gear with 68.12%
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Street Fighter Alpha 3, New Super Mario Bros.
From: TessaTestarossa | Posted: 7/28/2006 7:09:05 AM | Message Detail
Applekidjosh here

Final Fantasy with 84.67%

Zelda with 65.08%
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lol AKJ @ work
From: plasmabeam | Posted: 7/28/2006 7:10:40 AM | Message Detail
Round 4:

Zelda with 63.18%
Final Fantasy with 54.84%

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Best Series Ever Contest - 38 pts, Next: Smash Bros.
Jacksonville Jaguars (12-5) Eliminated from playoffs
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 7/28/2006 7:11:02 AM | Message Detail
Final Fantasy with 73%
The Legend of Zelda with 67%

And my Mario pick of 64.7 looks awfully good right now. Aiming for the Top 25 in this contest. Aiming for 1st in the contest in general.
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Weird Kirby Dude - spud2002 is alive! >_>
Every fanboy war degenerates to a flame war over whether each debater likes the Halo series or not. -Android21A
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 7/28/2006 7:13:25 AM | Message Detail
Final Fantasy with 87.00%
Legend of Zelda with 71.00%
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Nominate Magus and Crono!
From: selmiak | Posted: 7/28/2006 7:31:22 AM | Message Detail
new

The Legend of Zelda with 57.75%
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I don't care who your dad is! While I'm fishing here nobody walks over the water!
->bohrt gleich fünfhundertachtundsechzigtausendelf
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 7/28/2006 7:48:40 AM | Message Detail
Repost

Final Fantasy with 76.84%

Round 4

Legend of Zelda with 69.56%
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Moltar Status: Wanting you to Nominate Shadow the Hedgehog!
Super Mario Bros. vs. Super Smash Bros. - Bracket: SMB - Vote: SSB (38/40)
From: XIII_rocks | Posted: 7/28/2006 7:51:47 AM | Message Detail
Final Fantasy with 77.38%.
Zelda with 69.58%
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
dad wat are u on i just cant my mash
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 7/28/2006 8:26:29 AM | Message Detail
Legend of Zelda with 70.00%

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Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. Leader of Operation "save obscure games in the RPGDL"
From: KleenexTissue50 | Posted: 7/28/2006 8:27:42 AM | Message Detail
Round 4 cause I may not be around tomorrow.

The Legend of Zelda with 71.23%
Final Fantasy with 64.12%
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Proud supporter of Axel, Jay Solano, and Midgar Zolom for SC2k6.
Now playing: Oblivion, Shadow Hearts, Phoenix Wright
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/28/2006 8:28:02 AM | Message Detail
From: and now I dance | Posted: 7/28/2006 4:29:30 AM | Message Detail
R4:

Zelda with 73.65
Final Fantasy with 68.10


Please refer to the second post (no predictions for the second round 4 match until after FF's round 3 match has started). Please post your FF/RE prediction again, since right now that 68.10 prediction is going to be counted for tomorrow's match by the script.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: raytan7585 | Posted: 7/28/2006 8:28:30 AM | Message Detail
Round 4

Legend of Zelda with 67.12%

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Nominate Celes Chere for SC2k6!!
"She's as deep as a mountain for Christ's sake" - Inviso.
From: alpha door | Posted: 7/28/2006 9:11:09 AM | Message Detail
And SMB's percentage is going down. Self-implosion ftw?
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Official Chrono Trigger Fan
Nominate Marina Liteyears for SC2k6!!
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 7/28/2006 9:14:32 AM | Message Detail
Reposting:

Legend of Zelda with 69.31%

Followed by a CHANGE:

Final Fantasy with 79.98%
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 7/28/2006 9:33:26 AM | Message Detail
Final Fantasy - 80.28%
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
From: Camden | Posted: 7/28/2006 11:26:59 AM | Message Detail
Legend of Zelda with 67.9%

Finally something puts a dent in the juggernaut.
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Don’t worry. Have a nectarine. -Christopher Walken
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 7/28/2006 11:28:54 AM | Message Detail
Hey obscure, I calculated where you would most likely be if you hadn't missed those three matches by adding your avg. score times three to your score right now. You would be in 44th place, if it matters.
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I've been called an idiot many times, mostly by people with poor grammar and a small vernicular. - ExtremeM65
From: The Real Truth | Posted: 7/28/2006 11:35:02 AM | Message Detail
Zelda with 64.36%
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Kingdom Hearts killed my bracket.
From: yoshifan823 | Posted: 7/28/2006 11:36:50 AM | Message Detail
Final Fantasy with 70%
Zelda with 59.69
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=585036&topic=28425244
GAMEFAQS ARENA! Come fight with us.
From: steve illumina | Posted: 7/28/2006 11:49:24 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE!

FF with 82.29%
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Steve Illumina: Sage of Board 8 & Elitist Analyst
Score: 44/48, Nominate Kitana (MK)!
From: Javman162 | Posted: 7/28/2006 11:50:57 AM | Message Detail
Legend of Zelda - 70.07%
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Current contest score: 30 Next: Super Mario Bros vs. Super Smash Bros
From: Rodri316 | Posted: 7/28/2006 11:52:33 AM | Message Detail
The Legend of Zelda - 66.23%
Final Fantasy - 61.10%
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Best. Series. Ever. Score: 38/40
Prediction: Super Mario Bros. vs. Super Smash Bros.
From: GrapefruitKing | Posted: 7/28/2006 12:33:09 PM | Message Detail
NEW
Final Fantasy with 76.42%
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SpC2k6 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Super Mario Bros. with 69.11%
Contest Score: 39/40 - #30 on the leaderboard
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 7/28/2006 12:38:26 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Final Fantasy with 79.88%
From: Caelus | Posted: 7/28/2006 12:41:47 PM | Message Detail
Zelda with 71.9%

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Azurite14: The bible is the mouth of God and he says it is wrong.
lordloki12: Thats why I keep my Bible closed.
From: LotteryTicket | Posted: 7/28/2006 12:43:52 PM | Message Detail
The Legend of Zelda with 76.84%
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This is here in case I'm not using Firefox and I need a signiture to appear in my normal signiture's place.
From: somdude04 | Posted: 7/28/2006 12:53:03 PM | Message Detail
Round 4:
The Legend of Zelda with 81.12%

GJ
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Me: http://baylor.facebook.com/profile.php?id=9202808
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 7/28/2006 2:28:58 PM | Message Detail
This is going to be hell to go through...
Alright, bear with, I'm starting to fix this topic...
or try to anyway...

and now I dance prediction
Final Fantasy with 80.60%
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: Shivan Reincarnated | Posted: 7/28/2006 2:29:50 PM | Message Detail
Zelda with 71.03%
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"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." ~ Benjamin Franklin
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 7/28/2006 2:30:12 PM | Message Detail
plasmabeam prediction
Final Fantasy with 72.28%
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 7/28/2006 2:31:45 PM | Message Detail
KleenexTissue50 prediction
Final Fantasy with 73.20%
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 7/28/2006 2:32:09 PM | Message Detail
Rodri316 prediction
Final Fantasy with 79.13%
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: trannyscience | Posted: 7/28/2006 2:37:51 PM | Message Detail
Final Fantasy with 78.85%
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NOMINATE JAY SOLANO (Operation Shadow) for 2k6!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=29527124
From: ps2rulezzz | Posted: 7/28/2006 2:39:51 PM | Message Detail
Final fantasy with 77.77%
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190/192 points in sc2004
Jman_gamerX8 is the man, he owned me in sc2005
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 7/28/2006 2:42:37 PM | Message Detail
IMPORTANT INFORMATION
a.k.a. Morgoth being an ass.

In the event where you would be forced to make a prediction more than one round in advance (i.e. the second semi-final before tomorrow's match has started), make a huge note about it, bold it, italicize it and make sure we see it. We will gladly accept an advance prediction for that match but only if it is made extremely clear.

Also, and this is new. To prevent Kaxon and I from going completely nuts, FROM THIS POST ONWARDS, any prediction made for the second semi-final (FF vs SMB) before FF vs RE has started will be FINAL and DEFINITIVE. This is to prevent too many people from making safety pick they don't need to make and forcing Kaxon and I to manually input three dozen more predictions when we're already dealing with 150 posts/day. Predictions made after FF vs RE has started can be changed at will, as usual.

Concerning the final match, a separate topic will be made, probably near the end of tomorrow's match, to allow 48 hours for predictions.

Thanks for your understanding.
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
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