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First Page | Previous Page | Page 10 of 10Oracle Challenge Discussion Topic 2
From: King Morgoth
| Posted: 10/14/2006 7:43:43 PM | Message Detail
KM has all the old Oracle topics archived, I'm sure he could upload them for you if you want to see your earliest guesses.
That's a fun off-season project of mine, uploading all the old topics for everyone to see and laugh in something close to a nice way. I'll try to find a way to do that at some point, since we have everything from SpC2k5 and beyond.
Whenever Kaxon gets back I'll see if we can throw in something tonight...
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
That's a fun off-season project of mine, uploading all the old topics for everyone to see and laugh in something close to a nice way. I'll try to find a way to do that at some point, since we have everything from SpC2k5 and beyond.
Whenever Kaxon gets back I'll see if we can throw in something tonight...
---
It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: cyko
| Posted: 10/14/2006 9:12:45 PM | Message Detail
i am REALLY hoping my low Rikku pick pays off. if Kairi can stabilize over 40%, then things will finally be looking up for me and KM!!!
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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
---
i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
From: King Morgoth
| Posted: 10/14/2006 10:57:03 PM | Message Detail
i am REALLY hoping my low Rikku pick pays off. if Kairi can stabilize over 40%, then things will finally be looking up for me and KM!!!
I'm really hoping I can start trusting myself once again...
This isn't looking as bad as the last two days, at least...
Oh and today is a Morgoth-update day (also know as a well-Kaxon-is-probably-drunk day)
Update coming in a few minutes...
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
I'm really hoping I can start trusting myself once again...
This isn't looking as bad as the last two days, at least...
Oh and today is a Morgoth-update day (also know as a well-Kaxon-is-probably-drunk day)
Update coming in a few minutes...
---
It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: King Morgoth
| Posted: 10/14/2006 11:31:16 PM | Message Detail
Match #33 Results
Samus Aran 79.78%
Ada Wong 20.22%
After a decent first rounder, Ada Wong rolls over and dies, making it look like Jade would get tripled...by Nidoran F! Samus comes very close to breaking 80% on Ada Wong and is looking much more in shape than a few days ago. All 121 predictors went with Samus but aimed low, the consensus was 74.34% for an average of 44.14 points.
Best Five Picks:
1) Redtooth - Samus Aran 80.03% (+49.75)
2) phlyerphan1 - Samus Aran 79.29% (+49.51)
3) Lagoona - Samus Aran 79.20% (+49.42)
4) th3l3fty - Samus Aran 79.02% (+49.24)
5) satai_delenn - Samus Aran 78.67% (+48.89)
Aiming high payed off yesterday as Redtooth leaves everyone in the dust for his 3rd Top 5, his 5th overall. phlyerphan1 and Lagoona follow in the mid-49's with their 2nd Top 5 this contest and respectively their 9th and 15th All-Time presence here. th3l3fty takes 4th with his 2rd Top 5 while newcomer satai_delenn grabs the last spot on the list, his 3rd Top 5 this season.
Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=33
Current Leaderboard:
1) Karma Hunter - 1504.08
2) DSRage - 1501.06
3) Draco1214 - 1499.58
4) cyko - 1496.32
5) Kaxon - 1494.33
With everyone at the top slightly spaced out and predicting pretty much the same thing, not much movement. Karma Hunter widens his lead on his 2nd at the top while cyko pays the price of a low prediction, dropping one and allowing Draco to take his spot in 3rd. DSRage and Kaxon keep 2nd and 5th.
Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=total&match=33
Top Team Scores:
1) Team Don't Get Too Cocky - 95.02 (Lopen: +46.13 / satai_delenn: +48.89)
2) Team Better Than Last Time - 95.01 (Darkash: +46.52 / Heroic Viktor: +48.49)
3) Team Fluke - 94.40 (phlyerphan1: +49.51 / MoogleKupo141: +44.89)
4) Team Go Go Gadget Copter! - 93.89 (Ness26: +44.14 / Redtooth: +49.75)
5) Team Dieroll - 93.44 (StopPokingMe: +44.96 / Jecht: +48.48)
Will they, or will they not. Lopen and satai_delenn might really get cocky as they get their 3rd Team win with two great predictions, barely (and I mean barely) edging Darkash and tnote who did better than last time, just not quite enough.Team Fluke might be doing just that (or not?) in 3rd while Team Go Go Gadget Copter! takes 4th and Team Dieroll completes the Top 5.
Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teammatch&match=33
Team Leaderboard:
1) Team The Spirit of Truth (Draco1214 / Rodri316) - 2988.84
2) Team Unfinished FFP (Ed Bellis / Karma Hunter) - 2986.33
3) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 2980.58
4) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 2969.51
5) Team Romanian Potato Soup (The n00b Avenger / GrapefruitKing) - 2961.78
Boooooooooooring! For the first time in almost a week nobody moves on the board! The Spirit of Truth and Unfinished FFP pull away as Team We Used To be Good? slips back a few points once more. The highest movement in the standings is Team Battle with Gilgamesh > JENOVA moving up in 10th.
Complete Team Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teamtotal&match=33
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
Samus Aran 79.78%
Ada Wong 20.22%
After a decent first rounder, Ada Wong rolls over and dies, making it look like Jade would get tripled...by Nidoran F! Samus comes very close to breaking 80% on Ada Wong and is looking much more in shape than a few days ago. All 121 predictors went with Samus but aimed low, the consensus was 74.34% for an average of 44.14 points.
Best Five Picks:
1) Redtooth - Samus Aran 80.03% (+49.75)
2) phlyerphan1 - Samus Aran 79.29% (+49.51)
3) Lagoona - Samus Aran 79.20% (+49.42)
4) th3l3fty - Samus Aran 79.02% (+49.24)
5) satai_delenn - Samus Aran 78.67% (+48.89)
Aiming high payed off yesterday as Redtooth leaves everyone in the dust for his 3rd Top 5, his 5th overall. phlyerphan1 and Lagoona follow in the mid-49's with their 2nd Top 5 this contest and respectively their 9th and 15th All-Time presence here. th3l3fty takes 4th with his 2rd Top 5 while newcomer satai_delenn grabs the last spot on the list, his 3rd Top 5 this season.
Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=33
Current Leaderboard:
1) Karma Hunter - 1504.08
2) DSRage - 1501.06
3) Draco1214 - 1499.58
4) cyko - 1496.32
5) Kaxon - 1494.33
With everyone at the top slightly spaced out and predicting pretty much the same thing, not much movement. Karma Hunter widens his lead on his 2nd at the top while cyko pays the price of a low prediction, dropping one and allowing Draco to take his spot in 3rd. DSRage and Kaxon keep 2nd and 5th.
Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=total&match=33
Top Team Scores:
1) Team Don't Get Too Cocky - 95.02 (Lopen: +46.13 / satai_delenn: +48.89)
2) Team Better Than Last Time - 95.01 (Darkash: +46.52 / Heroic Viktor: +48.49)
3) Team Fluke - 94.40 (phlyerphan1: +49.51 / MoogleKupo141: +44.89)
4) Team Go Go Gadget Copter! - 93.89 (Ness26: +44.14 / Redtooth: +49.75)
5) Team Dieroll - 93.44 (StopPokingMe: +44.96 / Jecht: +48.48)
Will they, or will they not. Lopen and satai_delenn might really get cocky as they get their 3rd Team win with two great predictions, barely (and I mean barely) edging Darkash and tnote who did better than last time, just not quite enough.Team Fluke might be doing just that (or not?) in 3rd while Team Go Go Gadget Copter! takes 4th and Team Dieroll completes the Top 5.
Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teammatch&match=33
Team Leaderboard:
1) Team The Spirit of Truth (Draco1214 / Rodri316) - 2988.84
2) Team Unfinished FFP (Ed Bellis / Karma Hunter) - 2986.33
3) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 2980.58
4) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 2969.51
5) Team Romanian Potato Soup (The n00b Avenger / GrapefruitKing) - 2961.78
Boooooooooooring! For the first time in almost a week nobody moves on the board! The Spirit of Truth and Unfinished FFP pull away as Team We Used To be Good? slips back a few points once more. The highest movement in the standings is Team Battle with Gilgamesh > JENOVA moving up in 10th.
Complete Team Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teamtotal&match=33
---
It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: King Morgoth
| Posted: 10/14/2006 11:32:54 PM | Message Detail
And this calls for a
ATTN: Kaxon
Page 1 of the other topic is uploaded but only half-processed since it doesn't pick up the Males yet. I'd fix the database but sleep is nice too =P
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
ATTN: Kaxon
Page 1 of the other topic is uploaded but only half-processed since it doesn't pick up the Males yet. I'd fix the database but sleep is nice too =P
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: Kaxon
| Posted: 10/15/2006 2:15:41 AM | Message Detail
This match will be interesting to watch. Karma Hunter needs Rikku to get it over 60.04% to stay in the lead. If Rikku finishes with between 56.54% and 60.04%, Draco takes the lead. If Kairi catches a big day vote and brings it under 56.53%, cyko will take the lead. If Rikku finishes with exactly 56.53%, Draco and cyko will be tied.
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....TCELES B HSUP
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....TCELES B HSUP
From: cyko
| Posted: 10/15/2006 5:54:58 AM | Message Detail
here comes the day vote!! c'mon Kairi!!!
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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
---
i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
From: King Morgoth
| Posted: 10/15/2006 9:24:39 AM | Message Detail
meh, with some luck this stays under 59 and I don't get downright killed...tough week...
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
---
It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: Leebo86
| Posted: 10/15/2006 2:52:34 PM | Message Detail
I asked this a while back...
What's the Efficiency Rating under the Top 5's?
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~~~Kemonozume~~~
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDtkvswXMn0
What's the Efficiency Rating under the Top 5's?
---
~~~Kemonozume~~~
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDtkvswXMn0
From: King Morgoth
| Posted: 10/15/2006 3:12:20 PM | Message Detail
From: Leebo86 | Posted: 9/26/2006 3:55:11 PM | Message Detail
This is random, but what is the Efficiency Rating under the number of Top 5's a user has?
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 9/26/2006 8:26:00 PM | Message Detail
This is random, but what is the Efficiency Rating under the number of Top 5's a user has?
Actual Top 5's / Expected Top 5's ; simple as that...anything above 1 is over average.
To make it a bit more clear, if you predict a single match with 100 people predicting, you're expected to get 5 / 100 Top 5's, i.e. 0.05; which means if you only predict that match and get a Top 5, your rating is 1 / 0.05 = 20.
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
This is random, but what is the Efficiency Rating under the number of Top 5's a user has?
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 9/26/2006 8:26:00 PM | Message Detail
This is random, but what is the Efficiency Rating under the number of Top 5's a user has?
Actual Top 5's / Expected Top 5's ; simple as that...anything above 1 is over average.
To make it a bit more clear, if you predict a single match with 100 people predicting, you're expected to get 5 / 100 Top 5's, i.e. 0.05; which means if you only predict that match and get a Top 5, your rating is 1 / 0.05 = 20.
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: Leebo86
| Posted: 10/15/2006 3:22:18 PM | Message Detail
Oh, sorry I missed that.
It makes sense, thanks for the explanation.
---
~~~Kemonozume~~~
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDtkvswXMn0
It makes sense, thanks for the explanation.
---
~~~Kemonozume~~~
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDtkvswXMn0
From: Menji76
| Posted: 10/15/2006 9:19:05 PM | Message Detail
Wow, missed the top 5 by one spot. At least my partner and I got #5 and #6...
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Board 8's #1 Duke Fan - Be HonestŠ
SC2K6; 31/34; 33 Points; T-3rd; Next Pick: Tifa
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Board 8's #1 Duke Fan - Be HonestŠ
SC2K6; 31/34; 33 Points; T-3rd; Next Pick: Tifa
From: King_Zog
| Posted: 10/15/2006 9:20:00 PM | Message Detail
After forgetting to change to Rikku yesterday (lol, oh me) looks like I'm golden with a high Tifa pick today
Hooray!
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Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.
Hooray!
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Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.
From: BlAcK TuRtLe
| Posted: 10/15/2006 9:42:48 PM | Message Detail
Heh, made the top 5 for the first time this contest. Perhaps this signifies a turning point for my horrible past predictions
*sees Tifa almost tripling Boss*
>_<
TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
*sees Tifa almost tripling Boss*
>_<
TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
From: Kaxon
| Posted: 10/15/2006 9:47:03 PM | Message Detail
Match #34 Results
Rikku 58.28%
Kairi 41.72%
Kingdom Hearts continues to impress - today Kairi held Rikku under 60% and demonstrated that both she and Claire are better than just fodder. The consensus was Rikku with 62.04%, and the average score was 44.62. 119 people predicted a Rikku victory, while 4 took a risk on the Kairi upset.
Best Five Picks:
1) ScorpionX3 - Rikku 58.30% (+49.98)
2) BlAcK TuRtLe - Rikku 58.12% (+49.84)
3) MegatokyoEd - Rikku 58.46% (+49.82)
4) TenkoStar17 - Rikku 58.52% (+49.76)
5) red sox 777 - Rikku 58.00% (+49.72)
ScorpionX3 makes the best prediction of the day. This is his second top 5 of the contest and third lifetime. Black Turtle has the #2 prediction, for his first top five of the contest. MegatokyoEd gets his fourth top five of the contest in third place. A pair of Oracle vets close out the top five - TenkoStar gets his first top 5 of the contest but 15th lifetime, and red sox 777, who gets his 2nd top five of the contest and 24th lifetime.
Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=34
Current Leaderboard:
1) Draco1214 - 1547.86
2) Karma Hunter - 1547.77
3) DSRage - 1544.68
4) cyko - 1544.36
5) Kaxon - 1543.61
We had a new leader! Draco barely takes the lead from Karma Hunter, pushing KH out after only two days on top. Karma Hunter will have a chance to reclaim his crown though, since he only trails by 0.09 points, one of the closest races we've ever had. DSRage drops from second down to third today, and is narrowly trailed by cyko in fourth. Kaxon remains in fifth. The entire top five is now within 4.25 points of each other, so we could see some more swings coming up.
Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=total&match=34
Top Team Scores:
1) Team Coinflip - 99.40 (red sox 777: +49.72 / Menji76: +49.68)
2) Team Random - 98.55 (XIII is cool: +49.23 / Giggsalot: +49.32)
3) Team Dieroll - 97.67 (StopPokingMe: +48.69 / Jecht: +48.98)
4) Team We Used To Be Good? - 97.66 (Kaxon: +49.28 / King Morgoth: +48.38)
5) Team mvp's - 97.56 (ps2rulezzz: +49.28 / basmeyer42: +48.28)
Today we have a trio of random teams at the top - Team Coinflip (red sox 777 and Menji) in first, Team Random (XIII is cool and Giggsalot) in second, and Team Dieroll (stopPokingMe and Jecht) in third. Behind them are a pair of leaderboard teams - Team We Used To Be Good? and Team mvp's.
Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teammatch&match=34
Team Leaderboard:
1) Team The Spirit of Truth (Draco1214 / Rodri316) - 3086.08
2) Team Unfinished FFP (Ed Bellis / Karma Hunter) - 3079.44
3) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 3078.24
4) Team mvp's (ps2rulezzz / basmeyer42) - 3056.30
5) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 3053.97
The top three remain unchanged today - The Spirit of Truth is still in first, and leads Team Unfinished FFP by six and a half points. Team We Used To Be Good? gains a little ground but remains in third. Team mvp's returns to the leaderboard with their top 5 score - they seem to be moving on and off the leaderboard almost every day. Team Rage of Warcraft drops one spot down to fifth.
Complete Team Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teamtotal&match=34
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....TCELES B HSUP
Rikku 58.28%
Kairi 41.72%
Kingdom Hearts continues to impress - today Kairi held Rikku under 60% and demonstrated that both she and Claire are better than just fodder. The consensus was Rikku with 62.04%, and the average score was 44.62. 119 people predicted a Rikku victory, while 4 took a risk on the Kairi upset.
Best Five Picks:
1) ScorpionX3 - Rikku 58.30% (+49.98)
2) BlAcK TuRtLe - Rikku 58.12% (+49.84)
3) MegatokyoEd - Rikku 58.46% (+49.82)
4) TenkoStar17 - Rikku 58.52% (+49.76)
5) red sox 777 - Rikku 58.00% (+49.72)
ScorpionX3 makes the best prediction of the day. This is his second top 5 of the contest and third lifetime. Black Turtle has the #2 prediction, for his first top five of the contest. MegatokyoEd gets his fourth top five of the contest in third place. A pair of Oracle vets close out the top five - TenkoStar gets his first top 5 of the contest but 15th lifetime, and red sox 777, who gets his 2nd top five of the contest and 24th lifetime.
Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=34
Current Leaderboard:
1) Draco1214 - 1547.86
2) Karma Hunter - 1547.77
3) DSRage - 1544.68
4) cyko - 1544.36
5) Kaxon - 1543.61
We had a new leader! Draco barely takes the lead from Karma Hunter, pushing KH out after only two days on top. Karma Hunter will have a chance to reclaim his crown though, since he only trails by 0.09 points, one of the closest races we've ever had. DSRage drops from second down to third today, and is narrowly trailed by cyko in fourth. Kaxon remains in fifth. The entire top five is now within 4.25 points of each other, so we could see some more swings coming up.
Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=total&match=34
Top Team Scores:
1) Team Coinflip - 99.40 (red sox 777: +49.72 / Menji76: +49.68)
2) Team Random - 98.55 (XIII is cool: +49.23 / Giggsalot: +49.32)
3) Team Dieroll - 97.67 (StopPokingMe: +48.69 / Jecht: +48.98)
4) Team We Used To Be Good? - 97.66 (Kaxon: +49.28 / King Morgoth: +48.38)
5) Team mvp's - 97.56 (ps2rulezzz: +49.28 / basmeyer42: +48.28)
Today we have a trio of random teams at the top - Team Coinflip (red sox 777 and Menji) in first, Team Random (XIII is cool and Giggsalot) in second, and Team Dieroll (stopPokingMe and Jecht) in third. Behind them are a pair of leaderboard teams - Team We Used To Be Good? and Team mvp's.
Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teammatch&match=34
Team Leaderboard:
1) Team The Spirit of Truth (Draco1214 / Rodri316) - 3086.08
2) Team Unfinished FFP (Ed Bellis / Karma Hunter) - 3079.44
3) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 3078.24
4) Team mvp's (ps2rulezzz / basmeyer42) - 3056.30
5) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 3053.97
The top three remain unchanged today - The Spirit of Truth is still in first, and leads Team Unfinished FFP by six and a half points. Team We Used To Be Good? gains a little ground but remains in third. Team mvp's returns to the leaderboard with their top 5 score - they seem to be moving on and off the leaderboard almost every day. Team Rage of Warcraft drops one spot down to fifth.
Complete Team Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teamtotal&match=34
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Darkash
| Posted: 10/15/2006 9:52:02 PM | Message Detail
I'm actually.....I hesitate to say it....on a HOT STREAK! Top 50, here I come!.......woot?
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1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!
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1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!
From: Shodges964
| Posted: 10/15/2006 9:52:41 PM | Message Detail
wow
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http://www.youtube.com/hypertails
http://img50.imageshack.us/img50/4830/fantafevahjw2.png
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http://www.youtube.com/hypertails
http://img50.imageshack.us/img50/4830/fantafevahjw2.png
From: Kaxon
| Posted: 10/16/2006 9:49:22 AM | Message Detail
Tifa's doing very well today. At this point I hope she stays as high as possible, since she'd have to go below 71.99 before it makes any difference in the top 10, and I doubt she can drop that far.
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....TCELES B HSUP
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....TCELES B HSUP
From: DSRage_Revived
| Posted: 10/16/2006 11:01:59 AM | Message Detail
I havent had that much time to thiunk about my picks lately. But now...I'm coming!!!
-D§R-
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-D§R-
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From: meche313
| Posted: 10/16/2006 12:08:32 PM | Message Detail
And I finally have a great prediction for today. A slump of what, 5 predictions, being opposite of the result and the others? And I was thinking on going with 74 but 'chickened out' because being wrong would have meant falling of the first 30 or something.
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Happy Happyists 4th on the Oracle Team Challenge. 3rd on Spread Betting!
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Happy Happyists 4th on the Oracle Team Challenge. 3rd on Spread Betting!
From: Camden
| Posted: 10/16/2006 3:41:58 PM | Message Detail
I'm going to make my prediction here in a second, meche, and it's your job to tell me whether or not to raise it or lower it. I can't seem to make any post-original prediction do me any good. We need to make a move soon because we're falling way too far away from the lead.
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Game over, what was a bad joke is now a reality show. -Sonata Arctica
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Game over, what was a bad joke is now a reality show. -Sonata Arctica
From: meche313
| Posted: 10/16/2006 7:23:40 PM | Message Detail
kay, ready when you are.
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Happy Happyists 4th on the Oracle Team Challenge. 3rd on Spread Betting!
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Happy Happyists 4th on the Oracle Team Challenge. 3rd on Spread Betting!
From: Aprosenf
| Posted: 10/16/2006 9:10:13 PM | Message Detail
Heh, I find it amusing that the top 4 team scores for yesterday's match are all even multiples of .20:
Rank Name Pick #1 Pick #2 Total
1) AAA Tifa Lockhart 70.89% 46.34 Tifa Lockhart 76.29% 48.26 94.60
2) I'll Be Here The Whole Time Tifa Lockhart 71.12% 46.57 Tifa Lockhart 72.38% 47.83 94.40
3) Awesome Tifa Lockhart 75.00% 49.55 --- --- 44.65 94.20
4) Jigglypuff Tifa Lockhart 75.00% 49.55 Tifa Lockhart 69.00% 44.45 94.00
---
If life gives you lemons, make lemonade. Then try to find someone whose life has given them vodka.
Rank Name Pick #1 Pick #2 Total
1) AAA Tifa Lockhart 70.89% 46.34 Tifa Lockhart 76.29% 48.26 94.60
2) I'll Be Here The Whole Time Tifa Lockhart 71.12% 46.57 Tifa Lockhart 72.38% 47.83 94.40
3) Awesome Tifa Lockhart 75.00% 49.55 --- --- 44.65 94.20
4) Jigglypuff Tifa Lockhart 75.00% 49.55 Tifa Lockhart 69.00% 44.45 94.00
---
If life gives you lemons, make lemonade. Then try to find someone whose life has given them vodka.
From: MyWorldIsTerra
| Posted: 10/16/2006 9:12:26 PM | Message Detail
Let's hope Peach stays at around 50%-52%.
---
No.1 in my Final Fantasy female rankings.
*is raytan7585* at work (in Purg'D prison)
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No.1 in my Final Fantasy female rankings.
*is raytan7585* at work (in Purg'D prison)
From: meche313
| Posted: 10/16/2006 9:14:26 PM | Message Detail
Hmm...not looking good so far. Stop dropping Peach!
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Happy Happyists 4th on the Oracle Team Challenge. 3rd on Spread Betting!
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Happy Happyists 4th on the Oracle Team Challenge. 3rd on Spread Betting!
From: Xuxon
| Posted: 10/16/2006 9:22:22 PM | Message Detail
Ok, I've used enough posts in the other topic. I think after today, I'm at the point where I will stop taking stupid risks to try to win, and just go for the best place I can.
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Take off every sig.
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Take off every sig.
From: Xuxon
| Posted: 10/16/2006 10:27:41 PM | Message Detail
Maybe it wasn't so stupid a risk. Looks like I could actually gain on some of the higher Peach picks.
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Take off every sig.
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Take off every sig.
From: Kaxon
| Posted: 10/17/2006 12:22:02 AM | Message Detail
My number of days spent in each position of the top 5 is now 11,13,35,13,11. Yay symmetry! If Peach wins but with less than 55%, I should move up to third tomorrow, preserving the symmetry.
---
....TCELES B HSUP
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Kaxon
| Posted: 10/17/2006 12:52:13 AM | Message Detail
Match #35 Results
Tifa Lockhart 74.55%
The Boss 25.45%
Tifa looked great against The Boss today, coming close to a tripling and providing some support for the theory that Square characters may be stronger this year. The consensus was Tifa with 69.73% and the average score was 44.65. All 124 predictions were for Tifa.
Best Five Picks:
1) OmegaRagnarok - Tifa Lockhart 74.51% (+49.96)
2) plasmabeam - Tifa Lockhart 74.24% (+49.69)
3) Jmast7 - Tifa Lockhart 74.91% (+49.64)
4) Alanna82 - Tifa Lockhart 75.00% (+49.55)
4) Dilated Chemist - Tifa Lockhart 75.00% (+49.55)
4) ertyu001 - Tifa Lockhart 75.00% (+49.55)
OmegaRagnarok gets today's best prediction by a comfortable margin - this is his second top five prediction (both of them #1's). Plasmabeam has the second best prediction, and both of his top fives this contest have been second places. Jmast7 gets third, for his first lifetime top 5. We have a three-way tie for fourth between three legends: former champion Dilated Chemist (getting his 29th top 5), multiple top-10 finisher Alanna82, and ertyu, who's gotten three top 5's this contest.
Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=35
Current Leaderboard:
1) Karma Hunter - 1593.77
2) DSRage - 1592.12
3) cyko - 1589.25
4) Kaxon - 1588.56
5) Draco1214 - 1588.31
There's only one change on today's leaderboard, but it's a big one: Draco makes a low Tifa prediction and falls to 5th, allowing Karma Hunter to retake the lead. Everyone else in the top five moves up one spot. We still have a pretty tight race on the leaderboard - these five are within five and a half points of each other, but there's a six and a half point gap between them and Rodri in sixth place.
Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=total&match=35
Top Team Scores:
1) Team AAA - 94.60 (Aprosenf: +46.34 / Ayvuir: +48.26)
2) Team I'll Be Here The Whole Time - 94.40 (TheKnightOfNee: +46.57 / catldr24: +47.83)
3) Team Awesome - 94.20 (Dilated Chemist: +49.55 / Z1mZum: +44.65)
4) Team Jigglypuff - 94.00 (Alanna82: +49.55 / kawaiifan: +44.45)
5) Team Fluke - 93.97 (phlyerphan1: +47.07 / MoogleKupo141: +46.90)
As Aprosenf pointed out, we have some interesting numbers here today - Team AAA is first with 94.60 points, and they're followed by Team I'll Be Here The Whole Time, Team Awesome, and Team Jigglypuff, each exactly 0.20 points behind the next. Team Fluke breaks the pattern by scoring 93.97.
Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teammatch&match=35
Team Leaderboard:
1) Team Unfinished FFP (Ed Bellis / Karma Hunter) - 3171.91
2) Team The Spirit of Truth (Draco1214 / Rodri316) - 3169.06
3) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 3167.52
4) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 3143.00
5) Team mvp's (ps2rulezzz / basmeyer42) - 3142.17
Team Unfinished FFP reclaims the lead that they lost on day 28! The Spirit of Truth drops down to second place, and Team We Used To Be Good? stays in third. There's an impressive 24 point gap between the top three and the fourth place team - which is understandable if you notice the amazing fact that all six people on the top three teams are currently in the individual top 10. Team Unfinished FFP has Karma Hunter (#1) and Ed Bellis (#9), Team The Spirit of Truth has Draco (#5) and Rodri (#6), and Team We Used To Be Good? has Kaxon (#4) and King Morgoth (#7). Last contest no one team had two top ten finishers.
Complete Team Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teamtotal&match=35
---
....TCELES B HSUP
Tifa Lockhart 74.55%
The Boss 25.45%
Tifa looked great against The Boss today, coming close to a tripling and providing some support for the theory that Square characters may be stronger this year. The consensus was Tifa with 69.73% and the average score was 44.65. All 124 predictions were for Tifa.
Best Five Picks:
1) OmegaRagnarok - Tifa Lockhart 74.51% (+49.96)
2) plasmabeam - Tifa Lockhart 74.24% (+49.69)
3) Jmast7 - Tifa Lockhart 74.91% (+49.64)
4) Alanna82 - Tifa Lockhart 75.00% (+49.55)
4) Dilated Chemist - Tifa Lockhart 75.00% (+49.55)
4) ertyu001 - Tifa Lockhart 75.00% (+49.55)
OmegaRagnarok gets today's best prediction by a comfortable margin - this is his second top five prediction (both of them #1's). Plasmabeam has the second best prediction, and both of his top fives this contest have been second places. Jmast7 gets third, for his first lifetime top 5. We have a three-way tie for fourth between three legends: former champion Dilated Chemist (getting his 29th top 5), multiple top-10 finisher Alanna82, and ertyu, who's gotten three top 5's this contest.
Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=35
Current Leaderboard:
1) Karma Hunter - 1593.77
2) DSRage - 1592.12
3) cyko - 1589.25
4) Kaxon - 1588.56
5) Draco1214 - 1588.31
There's only one change on today's leaderboard, but it's a big one: Draco makes a low Tifa prediction and falls to 5th, allowing Karma Hunter to retake the lead. Everyone else in the top five moves up one spot. We still have a pretty tight race on the leaderboard - these five are within five and a half points of each other, but there's a six and a half point gap between them and Rodri in sixth place.
Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=total&match=35
Top Team Scores:
1) Team AAA - 94.60 (Aprosenf: +46.34 / Ayvuir: +48.26)
2) Team I'll Be Here The Whole Time - 94.40 (TheKnightOfNee: +46.57 / catldr24: +47.83)
3) Team Awesome - 94.20 (Dilated Chemist: +49.55 / Z1mZum: +44.65)
4) Team Jigglypuff - 94.00 (Alanna82: +49.55 / kawaiifan: +44.45)
5) Team Fluke - 93.97 (phlyerphan1: +47.07 / MoogleKupo141: +46.90)
As Aprosenf pointed out, we have some interesting numbers here today - Team AAA is first with 94.60 points, and they're followed by Team I'll Be Here The Whole Time, Team Awesome, and Team Jigglypuff, each exactly 0.20 points behind the next. Team Fluke breaks the pattern by scoring 93.97.
Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teammatch&match=35
Team Leaderboard:
1) Team Unfinished FFP (Ed Bellis / Karma Hunter) - 3171.91
2) Team The Spirit of Truth (Draco1214 / Rodri316) - 3169.06
3) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 3167.52
4) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 3143.00
5) Team mvp's (ps2rulezzz / basmeyer42) - 3142.17
Team Unfinished FFP reclaims the lead that they lost on day 28! The Spirit of Truth drops down to second place, and Team We Used To Be Good? stays in third. There's an impressive 24 point gap between the top three and the fourth place team - which is understandable if you notice the amazing fact that all six people on the top three teams are currently in the individual top 10. Team Unfinished FFP has Karma Hunter (#1) and Ed Bellis (#9), Team The Spirit of Truth has Draco (#5) and Rodri (#6), and Team We Used To Be Good? has Kaxon (#4) and King Morgoth (#7). Last contest no one team had two top ten finishers.
Complete Team Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teamtotal&match=35
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Xuxon
| Posted: 10/17/2006 3:17:45 AM | Message Detail
I'm not holding my breath, but Jill's looking good so far. If she holds on, I'll grab 7th place and likely a top 5 prediction. GO JILL!
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Take off every sig.
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Take off every sig.
From: TenkoStar17
| Posted: 10/17/2006 3:25:04 AM | Message Detail
Jeepers.
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"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (560 points)
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"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (560 points)
From: King Morgoth
| Posted: 10/17/2006 9:15:20 AM | Message Detail
This is reminding me of Halo/CV way too much for my own good....
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: transience
| Posted: 10/17/2006 9:16:41 AM | Message Detail
still looks like Peach will win to me.. but I dunno, we'll see. my prediction is a little on the high side so I won't do so well this match.
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xyzzy
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xyzzy
From: King_Zog
| Posted: 10/17/2006 9:17:27 AM | Message Detail
At this point Claire had a 109 vote lead on Kairi with the latter going on to win by 4500 votes.
We'll see how loved Peach is with the afterschool vote soon!
---
Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.
We'll see how loved Peach is with the afterschool vote soon!
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Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.
From: KingBartz
| Posted: 10/17/2006 9:23:11 AM | Message Detail
I have a feeling peach eats **** with the after vote.
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That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 36/38 Today's pick: Jill Valentine
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That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 36/38 Today's pick: Jill Valentine
From: Jmast7
| Posted: 10/17/2006 9:42:33 AM | Message Detail
Yay, I finally get my first Top 5 pick!
Boo, I follow it up with an awful Peach pick!
I really hope Jill tanks with the after-school vote like she did with Sheena. <_<
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"I've tried 'em all, I really have, and the only church that truly feeds the soul, day in, day out, is the Church of Baseball." - Annie Savoy
Boo, I follow it up with an awful Peach pick!
I really hope Jill tanks with the after-school vote like she did with Sheena. <_<
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"I've tried 'em all, I really have, and the only church that truly feeds the soul, day in, day out, is the Church of Baseball." - Annie Savoy
From: King_Zog
| Posted: 10/17/2006 9:57:52 AM | Message Detail
Jill is turning her opponent into a Peach Sandwich
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Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.
---
Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.
From: Darkash
| Posted: 10/17/2006 11:28:22 AM | Message Detail
BULLET! TO THE BRAIN! NOW!
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1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!
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1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!
From: LusterSoldier
| Posted: 10/17/2006 2:10:47 PM | Message Detail
Peach is making a massive comeback. GO PEACH!
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
From: GoldSlime35
| Posted: 10/17/2006 2:13:31 PM | Message Detail
I kept my Peach pick because some people were going high...knew I should have lowered.
From: Camden
| Posted: 10/17/2006 3:25:17 PM | Message Detail
I finally decide to make some sort of change away from everyone else and it couldn't have occurred in a worse match.
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Game over, what was a bad joke is now a reality show. -Sonata Arctica
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Game over, what was a bad joke is now a reality show. -Sonata Arctica
From: Xuxon
| Posted: 10/17/2006 6:21:15 PM | Message Detail
Looks like I'm either getting the best, 2nd best, or a real bad pick. I just wish I knew which...
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Take off every sig.
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Take off every sig.
From: transience
| Posted: 10/17/2006 8:16:09 PM | Message Detail
heh, I feel sorry for Xuxon and the Jill pickers. they're literally hundreds of votes off a perfect prediction yet they'll end up with the same amount of points as my 55% prediction. (assuming Peach does win here)
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xyzzy
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xyzzy
From: Starion
| Posted: 10/17/2006 8:28:57 PM | Message Detail
Heh, Jill is cutting into the lead late just like she did with Habayusa. Wonder if she will pull off a win this time.
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Now playing: Castlevania:DOS | Queue: Okami | Waiting for: SMT:Devil Summoner, FF12, Castlevania:POR
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Now playing: Castlevania:DOS | Queue: Okami | Waiting for: SMT:Devil Summoner, FF12, Castlevania:POR
From: transience
| Posted: 10/17/2006 8:29:25 PM | Message Detail
hopefully she loses by 28 or whatever votes!
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xyzzy
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xyzzy
From: Darkash
| Posted: 10/17/2006 8:34:01 PM | Message Detail
If you gave me the option to change who I called as winner at this point, I wouldn't know who to pick. Now that's tight.
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1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!
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1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!
From: Xuxon
| Posted: 10/17/2006 9:36:14 PM | Message Detail
.01 off a perfect, and I only get 44.99 points. Grr...
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Take off every sig.
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Take off every sig.
From: Kaxon
| Posted: 10/17/2006 10:14:08 PM | Message Detail
That is the downside of the scoring system, but I do think it's better than what we had before (that one had the same downside and more).
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....TCELES B HSUP
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....TCELES B HSUP
From: transience
| Posted: 10/17/2006 10:15:12 PM | Message Detail
beats the hedging we used to get. this seems like a nice compromise, the way we score now. so and so with 50% is a boring pick if you get it barely wrong.
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xyzzy
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xyzzy
From: CyberMachine08
| Posted: 10/17/2006 10:15:22 PM | Message Detail
RLY?
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I thought lolicon would mean LOL ICON as in Lol internet - XIII is cool
*is raytan7585* in the Purg'D Prison
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I thought lolicon would mean LOL ICON as in Lol internet - XIII is cool
*is raytan7585* in the Purg'D Prison