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SC2k6 Oracle Challenge - Round 2 - Female Half (part 2)
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/8/2006 5:40:45 PM | Message Detail
Welcome to the Oracle Challenge, the contest that tests your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!

The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Summer Contest you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of the vote they will receive. New participants are still being accepted until at least the end of round 3 (please indicate that you are new and make a minimum of three picks).

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. Your predictions must start with the name of your winner and end with your predicted percentage. Examples:

Link with 85%
Link 55.13%
Link over CATS with 67.55%
Link - 77.5%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use a weird format.

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most points at the end of the final match. For each match you can earn anywhere from 0 and 50 points. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: Link with 65%
My guess: CATS with 55%
Actual result: Link 60%, CATS 40%
Your score: 50 - (65-60) = 45 points
My score: 45 - (55-40) = 30 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. Link with 85.03%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else's. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made five minutes before the usual start time of that match's poll (approx. 11:55pm EST, 10:55am CST, 8:55pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to a previous entry.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule and to reduce confusion.
ANYONE CAUGHT CHEATING (Including but not limited to deleting changes after the start of a match) WILL IMMEDIATELY BE DISQUALIFIED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CONTEST.

6) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page <http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users>, I already know about it).
7) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
8) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Team Challenge

The popular team challenge is returning for a second contest. The rules for the team challenge are simple:

1. Sign up with a partner before the beginning of the first match.
2. Make just one prediction per match - it counts for the Oracle Challenge and the Oracle Team Challenge.
3. Your team score for the day is equal to both team members' scores added together.
4. If one player misses a prediction, the team will get either (partner's score * 2) or (partner's score + average score for the day), whichever is lower. This is to keep teams from being eliminated by one missed prediction, and ONLY applies to the team scores.
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/8/2006 5:41:25 PM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

Oracle Discussion Topic
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30797253

We are now accepting predictions for the rest of round 1, and round 2 matches in Spazer, Limit, Triforce, and Aeon Divisions:

ROUND 1
Blast Division

Luigi vs Zero

Time Division
Crono vs Captain Falcon
Bowser vs Leon Kennedy
Auron vs Alucard
Master Chief vs Sub-Zero

ROUND 2
Spazer Division

Samus Aran vs Ada Wong
Rikku vs Kairi

Limit Division
Tifa Lockhart vs The Boss
Jill Valentine vs Princess Peach

Triforce Division
Zelda vs Terra Branford
KOS-MOS vs Aeris

Aeon Division
Yuna vs Joanna
Chun Li vs Lara Croft

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 10/8/2006 5:43:09 PM | Message Detail
Zero with 54.44%

Crono with 73.66%
Bowser with 60.55%
Auron with 56.77%
Master Chief with 55.55%

Samus with 70.71%
Rikku with 69.44%

New Picks
Tifa Lockhart with 68.48%
Aeris with 65.77%

Yuna with 70.11%
Chun-Li with 59.55%
---
Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Kirby vs. The Prince - Bracket: Kirby - Vote: Kirby (24/26)
From: Evil_REmade | Posted: 10/8/2006 5:47:17 PM | Message Detail
Time Division
Crono with 82.31%
Bowser with 66.72%
Auron with 61.54%
Master Chief with 56.92%

ROUND 2
Spazer Division
Samus Aran with 77.52%
Rikku with 62.91%

Limit Division
Tifa Lockhart with 76.63%
Princess Peach with 55.82%

Triforce Division
Zelda with 73.94%
Aeris with 69.21%

Aeon Division
Yuna with 78.65%
Chun Li with 62.96%
---
[=[_] =] Nintendo DS~
[+[_]:] See double while sober!
From: ad00 | Posted: 10/8/2006 6:15:05 PM | Message Detail
Change

Zero 54.02%
---
Einstein would turn over in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded.
Oracle:24th and dropping :( / Runner of Winning Streak
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 10/8/2006 6:19:53 PM | Message Detail
Time to go against the bracket... Zero has too much support for me to go against. But if Luigi wins, I don't know what I'll do...

Actually, I just saw this (lol xstats):

Luigi 48.80%
Zero 51.20%

Luigi can pull it off!

Luigi with 50.3%
---
Weird Kirby Dude - spud2002 is alive! >_>
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 10/8/2006 6:24:18 PM | Message Detail
Zero with 54.00%
---
I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest.
Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest!
From: StopPokingMe | Posted: 10/8/2006 6:28:16 PM | Message Detail
Change:
Zero with 51.51%
---
Champions of Time and Space: The Summer Contest 2003 Fanfiction Project
http://crolapras.tripod.com/ffproj.html
From: meche313 | Posted: 10/8/2006 6:31:23 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Zero with 53%
---
Happy Happyists 4th on the Oracle Team Challenge. 3rd on Spread Betting!
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 10/8/2006 6:37:54 PM | Message Detail
Zero with 53.87%
---
I've been called an idiot many times, mostly by people with poor grammar and a small vernicular. - ExtremeM65
From: LotteryTicket | Posted: 10/8/2006 6:41:21 PM | Message Detail
Zero with 52.00%

Samus Aran with 75.19%
Rikku with 63.88%

Tifa Lockhart with 66.20%
Peach with 54.10%

Zelda with 64.98%
Aeris with 65.90%

Yuna with 64.20%
Chun Li with 69.80%

~~Stingers135~~
---
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/KOS-MOS-Shion.jpg http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1158853005678.jpg
From: Ness26 | Posted: 10/8/2006 6:52:40 PM | Message Detail
Zero with 52.75%
---
Best. Board/Card Game. Ever Contest:
http://www.bracketmaker.com/tlist.cfm?tid=171196
From: JayLv100 | Posted: 10/8/2006 6:58:09 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE
Luigi with 52.70%
---
JIM AND PAT CAMPAIGN CENTRAL
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30968431
From: Darkash | Posted: 10/8/2006 7:21:16 PM | Message Detail
Time to pull out all the stops:

Luigi w/ 50.68%
---
1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!
From: ActJef1077 | Posted: 10/8/2006 7:35:35 PM | Message Detail
I just can't see Luigi pulling this one off
Zero with 50.15%

---
Call me Jeff Official midget of The Book Club
If you paint a W on each of your buttcheeks and do cartwheels it will say WoW MoM WoW! -C Bar
From: Leebo86 | Posted: 10/8/2006 7:36:25 PM | Message Detail
Zero with 52.05%
---
~~~Kemonozume~~~
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDtkvswXMn0
From: KleenexTissue50 | Posted: 10/8/2006 7:55:47 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Luigi with 52.00%
---
CB5 Points: 24/26, Current Oracle placement: 22/163
Now playing: Okami
From: Vlado | Posted: 10/8/2006 8:16:06 PM | Message Detail
Zero with 56.30%.
---
Vlado's Awards for Posting Excellence:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30885086
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 10/8/2006 8:54:29 PM | Message Detail
Aaaaaaaaaah, ummm....

Zero with 51.17%
---
caps
From: cyko | Posted: 10/8/2006 8:54:34 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE -

Zero - 54.98%

---
i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 10/8/2006 8:55:48 PM | Message Detail
I can't believe I went through....

Wow, this could hurt really really bad come tomorrow...
---
It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: King_Zog | Posted: 10/8/2006 8:57:12 PM | Message Detail
Luigi is the true N9 killer!

Ganondorf and Zero are posers.
---
Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.
From: DSRage_Revived | Posted: 10/8/2006 8:59:07 PM | Message Detail
geez cyko, did you have to go above me?


-DR-
---
From: King_Zog | Posted: 10/8/2006 9:01:45 PM | Message Detail
Hahaha!

Zero=So exposed


*waits for Zero to win so everyone will LOL at me*
---
Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.
From: Darkash | Posted: 10/8/2006 9:44:56 PM | Message Detail
*Looks at standings. Jaw drops*

Wow....wish I had pulled out a few more stops now, but I'll take it. :)
---
1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!
From: MoogleKupo141 | Posted: 10/8/2006 9:45:18 PM | Message Detail
Apparently I screwed up, so:

CHANGE/FIX/SOMETHING

Crono with 74.69%
Aeris with 66.66%
---
Dancing with myself! Oh-oh! Dancing with myself! Oh-oh!
And I'll sweat! Sweat! Sweat! Sweat! Sweat! Sweat! SWEAT! SWEAT!
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/8/2006 9:56:17 PM | Message Detail
Match #27 Results
Kirby 61.70%
The Prince of Persia 38.30%

The Prince of Persia justified his spot as a nomination rally winner by breaking 38% against Kirby, well above expectations. The consensus was Kirby with 66.92% and the average score was 44.43. All 131 predictions were for Kirby.

Best Five Picks:
1) stingers135 - Kirby 61.70% (+50.00)
2) Kaidyn04 - Kirby 61.54% (+49.84)
3) JayLv100 - Kirby 61.51% (+49.81)
4) Lagoona - Kirby 61.50% (+49.80)
5) heroic_slb - Kirby 61.99% (+49.71)

Once again we have a perfect prediction, this time from stingers. He gets the best score of the match by exactly nailing Kirby's percentage. This is his third top 5 and third #1 pick of the contest. Kaidyn04 has the second best pick, followed by JayLv100 and Lagoona, who are all bunched together between 49.84 and 49.80. heroic_slb gets the fifth best pick.

Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=27

Current Leaderboard:
1) DSRage - 1249.54
2) cyko - 1249.52
3) Kaxon - 1243.91
4) Karma Hunter - 1241.16
5) Draco1214 - 1236.13

Cyko pulls to within 0.02 points of DSRage, but doesn't take the lead! Meanwhile, DSRage has now been in first for 11 straight days, which ties him for Rodri, Kaxon, and Morgoth's second longest streak. He's still got a ways to go before he catches up with Bananaquest or creativename, though. Kaxon remains in third (statistically his favorite position, with 32 days spent there lifetime), and Karma Hunter in fourth. Draco returns to the leaderboard today thanks to an excellent prediction - he was last there on day 15.

Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=total&match=27

Top Team Scores:
1) Team Fibonacci - 99.49 (Lagoona: +49.80 / ScorpionX3: +49.69)
2) Team The Returners - 96.51 (cyko: +47.05 / steve illumina: +49.46)
3) Team The Spirit of Truth - 96.36 (Draco1214: +49.70 / Rodri316: +46.66)
4) Team Illusion of Xenosaga - 94.43 (stingers135: +50.00 / X_Dante_X: +44.43)
5) Team th3 Bob - 94.19 (th3l3fty: +44.49 / Big Bob: +49.70)

Team Fibonacci (Lagoona and ScorpionX3) out predicts every other team today by nearly 3 points, with an excellent 99.49 point day. The Returners have the second best score, their AIM strategy session apparently bearing some fruit. Team The Spirit of Truth continues to do very well, scoring third. Team Illusion of Xenosaga takes a break from Xenosaga 3 to score fourth, and Team th3 Bob is fifth.

Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teammatch&match=27

Team Leaderboard:
1) Team Unfinished FFP (Ed Bellis / Karma Hunter) - 2472.16
2) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 2469.99
3) Team The Spirit of Truth (Draco1214 / Rodri316) - 2469.68
4) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 2461.11
5) Team Happy Happyists (Camden / meche313) - 2452.54

Things are boring once again in the team standings, with no movement among the top 7 teams. The most exciting happening of the day is probably Team The Spirit of Truth pulling to within a point of second place, while both they and Team We Used To Be Good? pull within 3 points of the lead. I think we can expect more of a shakeup tomorrow.

Complete Team Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teamtotal&match=27
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 10/8/2006 9:59:20 PM | Message Detail
Dilated Chemist's change
[Morgoth's late post of a very not late change, after forgetting he had forgotten to post it]
Zero with 55.25%
---
It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/8/2006 11:31:15 PM | Message Detail
ATTN: ps2rulezzz

Do you have AIM? Contact me tomorrow if you can.
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: _Lagoona_ | Posted: 10/9/2006 12:10:37 AM | Message Detail
.Yay, finally a good prediction - for once... and an extremely nice team score! :-)
---
PPC SC2k6:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30958879
From: Ringworm | Posted: 10/9/2006 1:15:55 AM | Message Detail
Crono with 81.35%
---
~ Ringworm ~
From: amyvitality66 | Posted: 10/9/2006 1:16:46 AM | Message Detail
Change:

Crono with 80.92%
---
Love is what it used to be.
"Ecchi is bad." - Mahoro Andou
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 10/9/2006 1:38:49 AM | Message Detail
I never would have predicted that Luigi would only end up doing like, 5% worse than Mario last year. Man, down the drain... anyway...

Crono with 79.92%
---
ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
From: _Lagoona_ | Posted: 10/9/2006 3:00:36 AM | Message Detail
.Some changes:

Crono with 76.7%
Auron with 56.6%
Master Chief with 58.99%

---
PPC SC2k6:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30958879
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 10/9/2006 5:10:53 AM | Message Detail
I just caught on to something:

Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted 10/8/2006 9:19:53 PM | message detail
Time to go against the bracket... Zero has too much support for me to go against. But if Luigi wins, I don't know what I'll do...

Actually, I just saw this (lol xstats):

Luigi 48.80%
Zero 51.20%

Luigi can pull it off!

Luigi with 50.3%


Would you change my pick to Luigi? The script caught onto only the Zero part. Sorry.
---
Weird Kirby Dude - spud2002 is alive! >_>
From: ScorpionX3 | Posted: 10/9/2006 9:05:57 AM | Message Detail
Crono with 79.65%
Bowser with 61.32%
Auron with 58.49%
Master Chief with 60.02%
_--_
4, 8, 15, 16, 23, 42 ... Would you push the button?
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/9/2006 9:11:17 AM | Message Detail
Sure, but I'll have to fix it later when I have some time.
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Ness26 | Posted: 10/9/2006 9:33:00 AM | Message Detail
Crono with 80.11%
---
Best. Board/Card Game. Ever Contest:
http://www.bracketmaker.com/tlist.cfm?tid=171196
From: XIII_rocks | Posted: 10/9/2006 9:39:05 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE: Crono with 71.91%
---
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 27/27 Today:Zero >_
From: Camden | Posted: 10/9/2006 10:01:03 AM | Message Detail
Crono with 79.3%

At least I got back into the single digits for a couple of days. I now hate predicting Luigi matches more than I hate predicting Mario matches.
---
Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Game over, what was a bad joke is now a reality show. -Sonata Arctica
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 10/9/2006 10:12:45 AM | Message Detail
Would you change my pick to Luigi? The script caught onto only the Zero part. Sorry.

It's fixed now.
---
It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: XIII_rocks | Posted: 10/9/2006 10:17:16 AM | Message Detail
Dammit.

CHANGE: Crono with 72.54%

Don't know why I lowered that. Also, some CHANGEs to my female picks.

Samus Aran with 72.15%
Rikku with 56.81%
Tifa Lockhart with 66.65% (BWAHAHAHAHA!)
Princess Peach with 53.30%
Zelda with 70.18%
Aeris Gainsborough with 69.99%
Yuna with 70.63%
Chun Li with 55.1%

Chun's is a safe pick. If I had the balls, I'd lower that to 50.5 or possibly even a Lara win.
---
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 27/27 Today:Zero >_
From: Starion | Posted: 10/9/2006 10:30:22 AM | Message Detail
Most of the 1-seeds seem to be underperforming. CHANGE

Crono with 78.49%
---
Now playing: Castlevania:AOS | Queue: Castlevania:DOS | Waiting for: FF12, Castlevania:POR
From: Nai | Posted: 10/9/2006 10:30:37 AM | Message Detail
Crono with 77.77%
Bowser with 63.48%
Auron with 62.86%
Master Chief with 74.33%
---
Currently playing: Mario Kart DS [DS] + Clubhouse Games [DS]
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 10/9/2006 10:31:48 AM | Message Detail
Safety pick?
Sure!
Crono with 76.66%
---
It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: GrapefruitKing | Posted: 10/9/2006 10:41:33 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE
Crono with 75.50%
---
CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Luigi with 50.51%
From: KingBartz | Posted: 10/9/2006 10:49:09 AM | Message Detail
Beautiful, Luigi. If only id gone with my 55
---
I have no common sense. It's probably because I'm Mormon.
SC2k6: 26/27 Today's upset special: Luigi
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 10/9/2006 11:49:36 AM | Message Detail
Crono with 75.00%
---
I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest.
Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest!
From: meche313 | Posted: 10/9/2006 12:09:28 PM | Message Detail
....Now I'm really falling of the Top 20 for awhile. I have yet to get a debatable match right. This is frustrating.

CHANGE:

Crono with 77%
---
Happy Happyists 4th on the Oracle Team Challenge. 3rd on Spread Betting!
From: Salient | Posted: 10/9/2006 12:40:29 PM | Message Detail
Crono with 74.12%
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
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