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SC2k6 Oracle Challenge - Round 4
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/3/2006 9:37:27 PM | Message Detail
Welcome to the Oracle Challenge, the contest that tests your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!

The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Summer Contest you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of the vote they will receive. New participants are still being accepted until at least the end of round 3 (please indicate that you are new and make a minimum of three picks).

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. Your predictions must start with the name of your winner and end with your predicted percentage. Examples:

Link with 85%
Link 55.13%
Link over CATS with 67.55%
Link - 77.5%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use a weird format.

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most points at the end of the final match. For each match you can earn anywhere from 0 and 50 points. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: Link with 65%
My guess: CATS with 55%
Actual result: Link 60%, CATS 40%
Your score: 50 - (65-60) = 45 points
My score: 45 - (55-40) = 30 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. Link with 85.03%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else's. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made five minutes before the usual start time of that match's poll (approx. 11:55pm EST, 10:55am CST, 8:55pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to a previous entry.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule and to reduce confusion.
ANYONE CAUGHT CHEATING (Including but not limited to deleting changes after the start of a match) WILL IMMEDIATELY BE DISQUALIFIED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CONTEST.

6) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page <http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users>, I already know about it).
7) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
8) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Team Challenge

The popular team challenge is returning for a second contest. The rules for the team challenge are simple:

1. Sign up with a partner before the beginning of the first match.
2. Make just one prediction per match - it counts for the Oracle Challenge and the Oracle Team Challenge.
3. Your team score for the day is equal to both team members' scores added together.
4. If one player misses a prediction, the team will get either (partner's score * 2) or (partner's score + average score for the day), whichever is lower. This is to keep teams from being eliminated by one missed prediction, and ONLY applies to the team scores.
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/3/2006 9:38:00 PM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

Oracle Discussion Topic
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=31154224

We are now accepting predictions for the remainder of round 3 and all round 4 matches where both competitors are fixed. Please do not try to predict the last round 4 match until at least 3 hours after the start of the last round 3 match, or your prediction may be counted for the wrong round!

ROUND 3
Sonic the Hedgehog vs Luigi
Crono vs Auron

ROUND 4
Samus Aran vs Tifa Lockhart
Zelda vs Yuna
Solid Snake vs Mega Man

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 11/3/2006 9:38:43 PM | Message Detail
Sonic with 59.22%
Crono with 58.34%

New!

Samus with 59.98%
Zelda with 61.66%
Mega Man with 50.55%
---
Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Sora vs Mega Man - Bracket: MM - Vote: Sora (76/84)
From: CyberMachine08 | Posted: 11/3/2006 9:41:19 PM | Message Detail
Change:
Sonic with 58.44%
Crono with 59.12%


R4:
Samus with 56.74%
Zelda with 59.35%

---
I thought lolicon would mean LOL ICON as in Lol internet - XIII is cool
*is raytan7585* in the Purg'D Prison (26 days left)
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 11/3/2006 9:49:55 PM | Message Detail
Change:

Sonic with 54.50%

New:

Samus with 59.00%
Zelda with 58.75%
Mega Man with 52.00%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO Z1mZum FOR ROCKING THE GURU WORLD
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 11/3/2006 9:53:50 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake with 52%
---
Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Tales of the Abyss, King of Fighters 2002/2003
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 11/3/2006 9:56:19 PM | Message Detail
And to post here again:

Samus Aran with 59%
Zelda with 60%
---
Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Tales of the Abyss, King of Fighters 2002/2003
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/3/2006 10:14:49 PM | Message Detail
Match #53 Results
Solid Snake 57.16%
Yoshi 42.84%

For once the Nintendo character didn't do better during the first hour than during the rest of the day - this board loves Solid Snake. Yoshi shaved off percentage throughout the day, but Snake still cruised to an easy victory. The consensus was a Snake with 57.87% and the average score was a very good 47.64 points. All 107 predictors had Snake winning the match.

Best Five Picks:
1) Vlado - Solid Snake 57.16% (+50.00)
2) amyvitality66 - Solid Snake 57.15% (+49.99)
3) Aprosenf - Solid Snake 57.28% (+49.88)
3) Karma Hunter - Solid Snake 57.04% (+49.88)
5) kawaiifan - Solid Snake 57.00% (+49.84)
5) Big Bob - Solid Snake 57.00% (+49.84)
5) yoblazer33 - Solid Snake 57.00% (+49.84)

Interesting top 5 today. Vlado gets the highest score with a perfect prediction, joining the "two perfect predictions" club. The other members of the club are Xuxon (the original) and Team Rocket Elite and XIII is cool, who both did it this contest. Amyvitality gets an unlucky second place with a 49.99 score. Third is a two-way tie between former #1 Karma Hunter and current #2 Aprosenf. Finally, we have a three-way tie for fifth between kawaiifan, Big Bob, and yoblazer.

Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=53

Current Leaderboard:
1) cyko - 2429.65
2) Aprosenf - 2423.09
3) Draco1214 - 2418.80
4) PeaceOut64 - 2418.52
5) ps2rulezzz - 2416.96

The top four spots remain unchanged today, with everyone scoring over 49 points. Ps2rulezzz moves back into fifth after a three day hiatus, bumping Salient down into sixth.

Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=total&match=53

Top Team Scores:
1) Team Unfinished FFP - 99.39 (Ed Bellis: +49.51 / Karma Hunter: +49.88)
2) Team Jigglypuff - 99.25 (Alanna82: +49.41 / kawaiifan: +49.84)
3) Team Predestined Divination - 99.03 (creativename: +49.56 / Ngamer64: +49.47)
4) Team mvp's - 98.56 (ps2rulezzz: +49.31 / basmeyer42: +49.25)
5) Team Go Go Gadget Copter! - 98.34 (Ness26: +48.95 / Redtooth: +49.39)

Team Unfinished FFP is back in action! They've been quiet for a while, but today they take the top score with a great 99.39 points. Team Jigglypuff is second and Team Predestined Divination is in third, both of them also scoring over 99 points. Current leaders Team mvp's keep the pressure on by scoring fourth for the day. Finally, team Go Go Gadget Copter! gets their third top 5 in a row.

Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teammatch&match=53

Team Leaderboard:
1) Team mvp's (ps2rulezzz / basmeyer42) - 4830.84
2) Team Romanian Potato Soup (The n00b Avenger / GrapefruitKing) - 4821.26
3) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 4815.58
4) Team The Spirit of Truth (Draco1214 / Rodri316) - 4813.19
5) Team Predestined Divination (creativename / Ngamer64) - 4812.29

The top 4 teams all remain the same on this high-scoring day. Team Predestined Divination manages to move up one spot and take over fifth place from Team Accident. Currently Team mvp's are well ahead of the pack, but things can change quickly in the team contest.

Complete Team Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teamtotal&match=53
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: creativename | Posted: 11/3/2006 10:25:30 PM | Message Detail
Samus with 60%
Zelda with 60%
Mega Man with 51%
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 11/3/2006 10:31:37 PM | Message Detail
I'm running out of safety picks!

ROUND 3
Sonic the Hedgehog with 55.01%
Crono with 59.99%

ROUND 4
Samus Aran with 61.02%
Zelda with 60.00%
Solid Snake vs Mega Man

Hehe, jumping the gun a little? Well, I don't mind.

Mega Man with 50.01%
---
I've been called an idiot many times, mostly by people with poor grammar and a small vernicular. - ExtremeM65
From: King_Zog | Posted: 11/3/2006 10:36:25 PM | Message Detail
Sonic with 53.28%
---
Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.
From: amyvitality66 | Posted: 11/3/2006 10:38:40 PM | Message Detail
Change:
Sonic with 58.23%
Crono with 59.01%


Round 4:
Samus with 57.84%
Zelda with 60.32%
Mega Man with 51.21%
---
Love is what it used to be.
"Ecchi is bad." - Mahoro Andou
From: RPGLord95 | Posted: 11/4/2006 4:48:06 AM | Message Detail
Samus Aran 57.21%
Zelda 56.64%
Mega Man 50.19%
---
FFXI: Asura: Rpglord 75Drk/75Mnk/73Blm
Linkshell: Illuminaire (Pearlsack Holder)
From: The_Lady_Ashe | Posted: 11/4/2006 4:51:26 AM | Message Detail
Snake with 50.01%
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
From: Xuxon | Posted: 11/4/2006 5:39:35 AM | Message Detail
Samus with 58%
Zelda with 60%
Solid Snake with 53%
---
Take off every sig.
From: Luis_Sera89 | Posted: 11/4/2006 5:44:23 AM | Message Detail
Samus with 58.42%
Zelda with 63.24%
---
Terrible demon. Ouch...
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 11/4/2006 5:49:37 AM | Message Detail
Sonic with 56%
Crono with 62%

Samus with 56%
Zelda with 61%
Snake with 51%
---
Weird Kirby Dude - spud2002 is alive! >_>
From: TheKnightOfNee | Posted: 11/4/2006 5:58:07 AM | Message Detail
Samus Aran with 53.97%
Zelda with 55.68%
Mega Man with 50.01%
---
Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
"i love you and aiya" - An IM from Richie259. Awww.
From: XIII_rocks | Posted: 11/4/2006 6:25:28 AM | Message Detail
ROUND 3
Sonic the Hedgehog with 56.71%
Crono with 55.26%

ROUND 4
Samus Aran with 57.26%
Zelda with 61.63%
Solid Snake with 52.59% (it worked before !)
---
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 80/84 Today: MM
From: plasmabeam | Posted: 11/4/2006 6:27:22 AM | Message Detail
ROUND 3
Sonic the Hedgehog with 56.88%
Crono with 58.76%

ROUND 4
Samus Aran with 57.77%
Zelda with 58.89%
Mega Man with 51.08%

---
~Jacksonville Jaguars~
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 11/4/2006 7:11:47 AM | Message Detail
Change

Sonic with 58.75%
Crono with 60.00%
---
"........!" ~Magus
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 11/4/2006 7:13:30 AM | Message Detail
Samus Aran with 53.50%
Zelda with 63.00%
---
"........!" ~Magus
From: Starion | Posted: 11/4/2006 7:24:51 AM | Message Detail
Quarterfinals
------------------------
Samus with 59.99%
Zelda with 61.02%
---
Now playing: Okami, FF12 | Queue: New SMB | Waiting for: Castlevania:POR (yay!!)
From: BZer0 | Posted: 11/4/2006 8:18:36 AM | Message Detail
Sonic the Hedgehog with 56.92%
---
CBV: 76/84
Next: Sora vs. Mega Man
From: Yesmar | Posted: 11/4/2006 8:35:34 AM | Message Detail
Sonic with 55.45%
---
Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest
The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII
From: t3hl3fty | Posted: 11/4/2006 8:49:44 AM | Message Detail
Samus Aran with 58.61%
Zelda with 60.16%
Solid Snake with 50.72%
---
th3l3fty
...since he apparently though wed confuse the Son of Sparda with the star of, say, Divine Comedy 64 - Ed Bellis
From: Ayvuir | Posted: 11/4/2006 8:52:00 AM | Message Detail
Samus with 57.92%
Zelda with 61.55%
Snake with 54.21%
---
Because Dante failed, I have a dinosaur's tongue up my ass for a month. It feels great
From: Salient | Posted: 11/4/2006 9:26:35 AM | Message Detail
Sonic with 56.50%
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: transience | Posted: 11/4/2006 9:41:00 AM | Message Detail
Sonic with 55.55%
---
xyzzy
From: Camden | Posted: 11/4/2006 10:27:45 AM | Message Detail
Sonic with 54%
Crono with 60%

Samus with 52%
Zelda with 56%
Mega Man with 51%

Mega may be weaker than he's ever been, and Snake stronger than he's ever been, but I still just can't see Snake taking it.
---
Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Game over, what was a bad joke is now a reality show. -Sonata Arctica
From: DragonsFury | Posted: 11/4/2006 10:37:19 AM | Message Detail
I could have sworn I posted earlier round 3 predictions... oh well...

ROUND 3
Sonic the Hedgehog with 55.25%
Crono with 58.92%

ROUND 4
Samus Aran with 52.11%
Zelda with 56.26%
Mega Man with 52.43%
---
I dislike anyone who has a sig.
>.>
From: Dekar TKB | Posted: 11/4/2006 10:39:48 AM | Message Detail
Samus Aran with 56.82%
Zelda with 58.82%
Mega Man with 50.82%
---
www.rpgdl.com
From: meche313 | Posted: 11/4/2006 10:40:48 AM | Message Detail
Sonic the Hedgehog with 54.9%
Crono with 57.4%
---
You're in a clique with Vlado and Inviso. That's the nerdy group in the school cafeteria that sits away from everybody else gossiping about the cool kids in whispers, except instead of whispers, it's AIM, and instead of the school cafeteria, it's the board 8 community. -- Shake
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 11/4/2006 10:42:18 AM | Message Detail
Samus Aran with 58.12%
Zelda with 60.37%
Solid Snake with 51.02%
---
"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
From: Tapdancer | Posted: 11/4/2006 11:04:58 AM | Message Detail
This is LAYZERBEAM on a new account, wootwootwoot.

ROUND 4
Samus Aran with 57.01%
Zelda with 57.01%
Solid Snake with 52.01%

---
ZAP!
do a little dance
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 11/4/2006 11:12:07 AM | Message Detail
Crono with 58.22%
---
ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
From: IhatethisCPU | Posted: 11/4/2006 11:14:52 AM | Message Detail
Tifa Lockhart with 52%.
Zelda with 53%.
Solid Snake with 57%.

---
Damn, I have to think now Im the ruler of the free world? I thought Id just sit around on a throne throwing rocks at people.
From: KleenexTissue50 | Posted: 11/4/2006 11:59:23 AM | Message Detail
Sonic with 52.00%
Crono with 55.00%
Samus with 57.00%
Zelda with 60.00%
Snake with 51.00%
---
CB5 Points: 79/84, Current Oracle placement: 24/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII
From: BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted: 11/4/2006 1:13:46 PM | Message Detail
Crono with 58.45%

TuRtLe
~~~
55/62 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 11/4/2006 1:16:40 PM | Message Detail
Something wacky always happens when Sonic and Mario get together. Wacky, I say!

Sonic with 56.51%

---
thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator
thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives
From: cyko | Posted: 11/4/2006 2:35:09 PM | Message Detail
Samus Aran - 59.91%
Zelda - 60.18%
Mega Man - 50.78%

---
i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 11/4/2006 3:00:21 PM | Message Detail
Sonic - 54.87%
---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (560 points)
From: Ringworm | Posted: 11/4/2006 3:15:19 PM | Message Detail
Sonic with 58.34%
Crono with 56.11%
---
~ Ringworm ~
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 11/4/2006 3:21:11 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Sonic with 57.68%
---
Demyx > Axel
Z1mZum owned me in the Guru Contest with his mad skills!
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 11/4/2006 3:26:53 PM | Message Detail
Sonic with 56.44%
---
Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 11/4/2006 3:37:29 PM | Message Detail
Sonic with 56.32%
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
From: Ed Bellis | Posted: 11/4/2006 3:51:35 PM | Message Detail
Sonic with 54.04%.
---
This was Ed Bellis.
From: Menji76 | Posted: 11/4/2006 4:31:51 PM | Message Detail
ROUND 3
Sonic the Hedgehog with 56.80%
Crono with 58.50%

ROUND 4
Samus Aran with 54.60%
Zelda with 57.43%
Solid Snake with 50.70%

---
Board 8's #1 Duke Fan - Be Honest
SC2K6; 50/54; 83 Points; T-5th; Next Pick: Sonic
From: Pats_Dynasty | Posted: 11/4/2006 4:36:47 PM | Message Detail
Samus Aran with 60.45%
Yuna with 52.45%
Mega Man with 52.55%
---
"Everyone is born right handed, only the best can overcome it." - Super Janitor
From: KingBartz | Posted: 11/4/2006 4:41:32 PM | Message Detail
Samus Aran - 56.79%
Zelda - 60.15%
Solid Snake - 53.60%

Check your e-mail, Kaxon ;_;
---
That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 78/84 Today's pick: Mega Man
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