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Oracle Challenge - BATTLE ROYALE Match 4 - SNAKE
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/16/2006 1:49:08 AM | Message Detail
This topic is only for predictions for day 4 if Snake survives day 3.

Welcome to the Oracle Challenge, the contest that tests your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!

The Challenge

You will try to predict the percentage of the vote that each competitor in the Battle Royale will receive. The winner will be the person who predicts all five matches of the Battle Royale the most accurately.

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. Your predictions must start with the name of the character and end with your predicted percentage. You must include a prediction for every character in the Battle Royale match. Example:

Link 37.16%
Cloud 20.81%
Snake 17.38%
Sephiroth 16.21%
Samus 8.43%
Mario 0.01%

Always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use a weird format.

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your prediction was to the actual outcome for each character. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most points at the end of the final match. For each character you predict you can earn anywhere from 0 and 50 points. This means that the first match is worth up to 300 points. For each character, you score 50-x points, where x is the difference between your prediction and their actual result. Example:

Your guess: Link with 35%
Actual result: Link 40%
Your score: 50 - (40-35) = 45 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of a prediction for each character in the match.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else's. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made five minutes before the usual start time of that match's poll (approx. 11:55pm EST, 10:55am CST, 8:55pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to a previous entry.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule and to reduce confusion.
ANYONE CAUGHT CHEATING (Including but not limited to deleting changes after the start of a match) WILL IMMEDIATELY BE DISQUALIFIED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CONTEST.

6) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page <http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users>, I already know about it).
7) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/16/2006 1:51:31 AM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

Oracle Discussion Topic
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=31154224

This topic is for the FOURTH MATCH of the Battle Royale only, and only for predictions about what will happen if Snake survives day 3. To predict what will happen if Sephiroth survives, use this topic:

http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=31794859

Please post your predictions for the following three characters here:

Link
Cloud Strife
Solid Snake

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Haste_2 | Posted: 11/16/2006 1:51:32 AM | Message Detail
Safety Pick:

Cloud - 30%
Link - 40%
Solid Snake - 20%

---
Antivote this petition, it sucks and would be wasting bandwidth:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799
From: Haste_2 | Posted: 11/16/2006 1:52:06 AM | Message Detail
It didn't even add to 100%...oh, well, it's a safety pick.

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Antivote this petition, it sucks and would be wasting bandwidth:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 11/16/2006 5:55:26 AM | Message Detail
Cloud with 37.71%
Link with 43.34%
Solid Snake with 18.95%
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
From: CyberMachine08 | Posted: 11/16/2006 5:56:43 AM | Message Detail
Cloud - 32%
Link - 40%
Solid Snake - 28%

---
I thought lolicon would mean LOL ICON as in Lol internet - XIII is cool
*is raytan7585* in the Purg'D Prison (13 days left)
From: Claude Rena | Posted: 11/16/2006 6:06:28 AM | Message Detail
Cloud with 35.63%
Link with 41.98%
Solid Snake with 22.66%
---
Croc+Chocobo=Crocobo
Claude+Rena=Claude Rena
From: BZer0 | Posted: 11/16/2006 7:24:18 AM | Message Detail
Link with 44.07%
Cloud Strife with 36.29%
Solid Snake with 19.64%
---
CBV: 128
From: _Lagoona_ | Posted: 11/16/2006 8:26:58 AM | Message Detail
Link with 45%
Cloud Strife with 37.3%
Solid Snake with 17.7%
---
PPC SC2k6:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=31707303
From: meche313 | Posted: 11/16/2006 10:47:53 AM | Message Detail
Link with 44%
Cloud with 35.4%
Snake with 21.6%
---
You're in a clique with Vlado and Inviso. That's the nerdy group in the school cafeteria that sits away from everybody else gossiping about the cool kids in whispers, except instead of whispers, it's AIM, and instead of the school cafeteria, it's the board 8 community. -- Shake
From: ScorpionX3 | Posted: 11/16/2006 11:18:15 AM | Message Detail
Link 43.49%
Cloud 37.33%
Snake 19.18%
_-Ż-_
4, 8, 15, 16, 23, 42 ... Would you push the button?
From: KleenexTissue50 | Posted: 11/16/2006 11:21:37 AM | Message Detail
Link 44%
Cloud 38%
Snake 18%
---
CB5 Points: 139/208, Current Oracle placement: 21/170
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 11/16/2006 11:43:55 AM | Message Detail
Link with 43.5%
Cloud with 38.13%
Snake with 18.37%
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Weird Kirby Dude - spud2002 is alive! >_>
From: ActJef1077 | Posted: 11/16/2006 11:45:33 AM | Message Detail
Link with 49%
Cloud with 31%
Snake with 20%

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Call me Jeff Official midget of The Book Club
If you paint a W on each of your buttcheeks and do cartwheels it will say WoW MoM WoW! -C Bar
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 11/16/2006 11:48:57 AM | Message Detail
Link with 45%
Cloud Strife with 35%
Solid Snake with 20%
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
From: TheKnightOfNee | Posted: 11/16/2006 11:56:51 AM | Message Detail
Oh crap, I missed yesterday.

Link with 46.04%
Cloud with 34.22%
Snake with 19.76%
---
Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
"i love you and aiya" - An IM from Richie259. Awww.
From: Tsunami70 | Posted: 11/16/2006 11:59:57 AM | Message Detail
What a bummer. I actually got a Top 5 pick, but then I missed today's match.

Link - 44.31%
Cloud - 40.18%
Solid Snake - 15.51%
---
"You need a spanking!" - Mystere (Lunar 2) ^_~
I, however, was spanked by Z1mZum.
From: wingzfan3 | Posted: 11/16/2006 12:01:25 PM | Message Detail
Link-43%
Cloud Strife37%
Solid Snake 20%
---
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=31536256
From: ps2rulezzz | Posted: 11/16/2006 1:07:25 PM | Message Detail
Link with 43%
Cloud with 38%
Snake with 19%
---
190/192 points in sc2004, winner team oracle challenge
30/32 sc 2006
From: creativename | Posted: 11/16/2006 1:22:19 PM | Message Detail
Cloud with 36%
Link with 45%
Snake with 19%
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
From: Ness26 | Posted: 11/16/2006 1:27:01 PM | Message Detail
Link with 43.46%
Cloud with 37.22%
Snake with 19.09%
---
Best. Board/Card Game. Ever Contest:
http://www.bracketmaker.com/tlist.cfm?tid=171196
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 11/16/2006 1:38:14 PM | Message Detail
Link with 43.50%
Cloud with 39.00%
Solid Snake with 17.50%
---
"........!" ~Magus
From: goku z | Posted: 11/16/2006 1:41:52 PM | Message Detail
Link: 45%
Cloud: 35%
Snake: 20%

safety picks:

Link: 51%
Cloud: 28%
Sephiroth: 21%
---
ad hominem
appealing to one's prejudices, emotions, or special interests rather than to one's intellect or reason.
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 11/16/2006 1:43:39 PM | Message Detail
Link with 43%
Cloud Strife with 36%
Solid Snake with 21%
---
Currently Playing: Xenosaga Episode 3, Final Fantasy XII, Tales of the Abyss, King of Fighters 2002/2003
From: ObscureMammoth | Posted: 11/16/2006 1:44:12 PM | Message Detail
Link - 45
Cloud - 44
Snake - 11
---
PNess
Vlado..thank god...another voice of sanity in this madhouse... - RealMarchhare
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 11/16/2006 2:05:13 PM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife with 35.29%
Link with 44.56%
Solid Snake with 20.15%
---
If life gives you lemons, make lemonade. Then try to find someone whose life has given them vodka.
From: basmeyer42 | Posted: 11/16/2006 2:49:13 PM | Message Detail
Link with 44%
Cloud Strife with 37%
Solid Snake with 19%
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 11/16/2006 2:52:22 PM | Message Detail
Link with 44.00%
Cloud with 36.00%
Snake with 20.00%
---
Moltar Status: 5th on the leaderboard! Go my alt!
Battle Royale Day 3 - Bracket: Mario - Vote: Snake (160/208)
From: Starion | Posted: 11/16/2006 2:54:32 PM | Message Detail
Link with 43.86%
Cloud Strife with 41.86%
Solid Snake with 14.28%
---
Finished: Okami | Now playing: FF12 | Waiting for: Castlevania:POR (yay!!)
From: StopPokingMe | Posted: 11/16/2006 3:01:16 PM | Message Detail
Cloud with 36.36%
Link with 44.44%
Snake with 19.19%
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Champions of Time and Space: The Summer Contest 2003 Fanfiction Project
http://crolapras.tripod.com/ffproj.html
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 11/16/2006 3:15:09 PM | Message Detail
Link with 44.23%
Cloud Strife with 39.19%
Solid Snake with 16.58%
---
"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
From: Ringworm | Posted: 11/16/2006 3:44:08 PM | Message Detail
Link 45.1%
Cloud Strife 35.7%
Solid Snake 19.2%
---
~ Ringworm ~
From: Haste_2 | Posted: 11/16/2006 4:00:27 PM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife - 37.92%
Link - 44.04%
Solid Snake - 17.04%

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Antivote this petition, it sucks and would be wasting bandwidth:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 11/16/2006 4:01:37 PM | Message Detail
Link - 41.83%
Cloud - 37.83%
Snake - 20.34%

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Trivia Team Two Comps and a Tnote
RIP - Tnote827 (4/4/05)
From: Haste_2 | Posted: 11/16/2006 4:03:35 PM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife - 37.92%
Link - 44.34%
Solid Snake - 17.74%

---
Antivote this petition, it sucks and would be wasting bandwidth:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 11/16/2006 4:09:18 PM | Message Detail
Link with 44%
Cloud with 33.11%
Snake with 18%
---
Demyx > Axel
Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Phoenix Wright 2: Justice For All
From: Yesmar | Posted: 11/16/2006 4:17:20 PM | Message Detail
Cloud: 33.71
Link: 45.43
Snake: 20.86
---
Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest
The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII
From: Pats_Dynasty | Posted: 11/16/2006 4:22:31 PM | Message Detail
Link with 50.00%
Cloud Strife with 35.00%
Solid Snake with 15.00%
---
"Everyone is born right handed, only the best can overcome it." - Super Janitor
From: trannyscience | Posted: 11/16/2006 4:40:30 PM | Message Detail
Link with 47.55%
Cloud with 32.95%
Snake with 19.5%
---
zizzy
"And I am not annoying as a Sephiroth fan!" -ExTha
From: amyvitality66 | Posted: 11/16/2006 4:42:40 PM | Message Detail
Cloud - 32%
Link - 41%
Solid Snake - 27%

---
Love is what it used to be.
"Ecchi is bad." - Mahoro Andou
From: trannyscience | Posted: 11/16/2006 4:43:27 PM | Message Detail
blah, screw that.

Cloud with 38.55%
Link with 43.95%
Snake with 17.5%
---
zizzy
"And I am not annoying as a Sephiroth fan!" -ExTha
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 11/16/2006 4:45:34 PM | Message Detail
All these people talking like Cloud gets 90-95p of Seph's votes are nutzo. There's only one King of SFF, guys, and his name is not Cloud! I'm proposing a more modest 80p Seph take for the hero, with Snake using PSX factor to run about even with Link on the remaining runoff. That places us at

Link - 38.11%
Cloud - 31.81%
Snake - 16.25%

Perfect!

---
thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator
thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives
From: King_Zog | Posted: 11/16/2006 4:47:09 PM | Message Detail
Cloud - 34%
Link - 45%
Solid Snake - 21%
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………………………………………………../|,-‘`ŻŻ`\(o)_\,----,,,_……….. LUEshi > Dante
………………„~*ŻŻ`”\,………... _„_………( `\(o),,_/` Ż : o : : :o `-, …...Darunia > King Zog
From: Lopen | Posted: 11/16/2006 4:54:16 PM | Message Detail
Link with 38.90%
Cloud with 40.06%
Snake with 21.04%
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 11/16/2006 4:57:14 PM | Message Detail
Link - 43.52%
Cloud Strife - 38.16%
Solid Snake - 18.32%
---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (560 points)
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 11/16/2006 5:01:01 PM | Message Detail
Link 43.87%
Cloud Strife 38.54%
Solid Snake 21.54%
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I've been called an idiot many times, mostly by people with poor grammar and a small vernicular. - ExtremeM65
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 11/16/2006 5:12:37 PM | Message Detail
Cloud 38%
Link 43%
Snake 19%
---
It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: cyko | Posted: 11/16/2006 5:13:09 PM | Message Detail
Link - 44.24%
Cloud Strife - 37.05%
Solid Snake - 18.71%

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
From: AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted: 11/16/2006 5:14:37 PM | Message Detail
Link-46%
Cloud-35%
Snake-19%
-Wangbeater (so dubbed by Icehawk)
~~---~~
Iago"Come, be a man! Drown thyself? Drown cats and blind puppies!" (Othello 1.3.331)
From: Camden | Posted: 11/16/2006 6:00:30 PM | Message Detail
Link with 44%
Cloud with 39%
Snake with 17%
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
I've got a god damn plan! -Valentine
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