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SC2k7 Oracle Challenge - Round 3
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/13/2007 7:15:53 PM | Message Detail
The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Summer Contest you need to predict the percentage of the vote that each contestant will receive. New participants are always accepted - please indicate that you are new and predict at least three matches.

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. This means you need four predictions and four lines per match. Your predictions must start with the name of the character and end with your predicted percentage. Examples:

Strider Hiryu - 45%
Tina Armstrong - 24%
Bub 27%
Chop Chop Master Onion with 4%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use a weird format. Your predictions don't have to add up to 100%, but it is recommended. =)

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. The winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most total points at the end of the contest. For each match you can score between 0 and 50 points, depending on how close your guesses were to the actual results. The scoring system works as follows:

You will earn 50-(w+x+y+z)/4 points
(Where w,x,y and z are the differences between your guesses and the characters' actual percentages.)
You can also think of this as 50 - the average difference between your guesses and the actual results.

Example:

Your guess:
Strider Hiryu - 65%
Tina Armstrong - 15%
Bub - 10%
Chop Chop Master Onion - 10%

My guess:
Strider Hiryu - 50%
Tina Armstrong - 20%
Bub - 17%
Chop Chop Master Onion - 13%

Actual result:
Strider Hiryu 60%, Tina Armstrong 22%, Chop Chop Master Onion 11%, Bub 7%

Your points: 50 - [(65-60) + (22-15) + (10-7) + (11-10)]/4 = 46 points
My points: 50 - [(60-50) + (22-20) + (17-7) + (13-11)]/4 = 44 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of four clear predictions per match. The sum of your predictions in a match does not need to be equal to 100.00%.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else's. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made five minutes before the usual start time of that match's poll (approx. 11:55pm EST, 10:55am CST, 8:55pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent cheating and to reduce confusion.
6) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users, I already know about it).
7) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
8) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Prizes

Given the difficulty of predicting four different characters, King Morgoth and I have decided to offer a special prize this contest. Anyone who gets a perfect score of 50.00 for a match will get a free new game of their choice! (Maximum cost of $60 USD). No, we don't expect this to happen... prove us wrong!
---
red blue green
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/13/2007 7:16:13 PM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

We are now accepting predictions for all remaining round 2 matches:

ROUND 2

Division 5
Luigi vs Mudkip vs Ganondorf vs Vergil
Master Chief vs Yuna vs Liquid Snake vs Alucard

Division 6
Dante vs Amaterasu vs Ada Wong vs Balthier Bunansa
Pikachu vs Tidus vs Leon vs Vivi

Division 7
Kirby vs L-Block vs Kratos (God of War) vs Donkey Kong
Solid Snake vs Nightmare vs Ryu Hayabusa vs Riku

Division 8
Squall Leonhart vs Aeris Gainsborough vs Sora vs Lara Croft
Duke Nukem vs Gordon Freeman vs Sonic the Hedgehog vs Sub-Zero

ROUND 3
Mega Man vs Yoshi vs Samus Aran vs Scorpion
Cloud Strife vs Marcus Fenix vs Auron vs Ryu (Street Fighter)
Sephiroth vs Fox McCloud vs Mario vs Big Boss
Link vs Vincent Valentine vs Crono vs Zero

Copy and paste list

Master Chief -
Yuna -
Liquid Snake -
Alucard -

Dante -
Amaterasu -
Ada Wong -
Balthier Bunansa -

Pikachu -
Tidus -
Leon Kennedy -
Vivi -

Kirby -
L-Block -
Kratos (God of War) -
Donkey Kong -

Solid Snake -
Nightmare -
Ryu Hayabusa -
Riku -

Squall Leonhart -
Aeris Gainsborough -
Sora -
Lara Croft -

Duke Nukem -
Gordon Freeman -
Sonic the Hedgehog -
Sub-Zero -

Mega Man -
Yoshi -
Samus Aran -
Scorpion -

Cloud Strife -
Marcus Fenix -
Auron -
Ryu (Street Fighter) -

Sephiroth -
Fox McCloud -
Mario -
Big Boss -

Link -
Vincent Valentine -
Crono -
Zero -

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
---
red blue green
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/13/2007 7:17:05 PM | Message Detail
We are now accepting predictions for all remaining round 2 matches:

And also the first half of round 3.
---
red blue green
From: Xcarvengerx | Posted: 10/13/2007 7:18:35 PM | Message Detail
Samus – 35.00%
Mega Man – 30.00%
Yoshi – 20.00%
Scorpion -15.00%

Cloud Strife – 50.00%
Ryu (Street Fighters) – 20.00%
Auron – 20.00%
Marcus Fenix – 10.00%

Sephiroth – 35.00%
Mario – 30.00%
Fox McCloud – 20.00%
Big Boss – 15.00%

Link – 50.00%
Crono – 20.00%
Vincent – 20.00%
Zero – 10.00%

---
Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
From: Mega Mana | Posted: 10/13/2007 7:23:17 PM | Message Detail
Dante - 32.59%
Amaterasu - 13.49%
Ada Wong - 28.67%
Balthier Bunansa - 25.25%

Pikachu - 32.18%
Tidus - 20.00%
Leon Kennedy - 27.82%
Vivi - 20.00%
---
Phoenix > Magus: 2 points in my bracket, but 4 points in my heart. :3
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 10/13/2007 7:41:22 PM | Message Detail
Argh. Seems like I'm underrating Master Chief, but I can't really do much about that... Another change:

Master Chief - 36.41%
Yuna - 24.9%
Liquid Snake - 19.37%
Alucard - 19.32%
---
spud2002 is alive! >_>
From: DSRage_Revived | Posted: 10/13/2007 7:46:33 PM | Message Detail
tough match. I am finding it hard to accept the amount I am dropping Alucard and Liquid from the last match.

Master Chief - 36.14%
Yuna - 25.22%
Liquid Snake - 19.90%
Alucard - 19.74%


-Π§RΐG£-
---
Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.

Sig it and it will happen.
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 10/13/2007 7:49:00 PM | Message Detail
Change:

Alucard - 19.75%
Liquid Snake - 19.75%
Master Chief - 36.00%
Yuna - 24.50%
---
caps
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 10/13/2007 7:50:54 PM | Message Detail
Change:

Alucard - 19.25%
Liquid Snake - 19.25%
Master Chief - 36.25%
Yuna - 25.25%
---
caps
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 10/13/2007 7:59:04 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 36.75%
Yuna - 23.43%
Liquid Snake - 19.91%
Alucard - 19.91%
---
Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:01:18 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 33.40%
Yuna - 25.30%
Liquid Snake - 20.70%
Alucard - 20.60%

Dante - 40%
Amaterasu - 15%
Ada Wong - 20%
Balthier Bunansa - 25%

Pikachu - 20%
Tidus - 15%
Leon Kennedy - 35%
Vivi - 30%

Kirby - 30%
L-Block - 15%
Kratos (God of War) - 35%
Donkey Kong - 20%

Solid Snake - 45%
Nightmare - 15%
Ryu Hayabusa - 25%
Riku - 15%

Squall Leonhart - 35%
Aeris Gainsborough - 25%
Sora - 30%
Lara Croft - 10%

Duke Nukem - 15%
Gordon Freeman - 10%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 40%
Sub-Zero - 35%
---
Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
MC/Yuna/Alucard/Liquid - Bracket: MC > Yuna - Vote: Liquid (171/200)
From: DSRage_Revived | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:02:31 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 37.14%
Yuna - 25.22%
Liquid Snake - 19.24%
Alucard - 19.40%


-Π§RΐG£-
---
Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.

Sig it and it will happen.
From: Gaddswell | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:04:16 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man - 28.24%
Yoshi - 20.57%
Samus Aran - 31.63%
Scorpion - 19.56%

Cloud Strife - 42.55%
Marcus Fenix - 12.78%
Auron - 23.33%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 21.34%

Sephiroth - 37.45%
Fox McCloud - 13.64%
Mario - 31.63%
Big Boss - 17.28%

Link - 41.12%
Vincent Valentine - 21.31%
Crono - 20.01%
Zero - 16.76%
---
Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
From: Ness26 | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:07:21 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 38%
Yuna - 24%
Liquid Snake - 16%
Alucard - 22%
---
No amount of planning will ever replace dumb luck.
From: Ness26 | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:08:02 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Master Chief - 38%
Yuna - 24%
Liquid Snake - 18%
Alucard - 20%
---
No amount of planning will ever replace dumb luck.
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:11:54 PM | Message Detail
Prove me wrong MC! Prove me wrong.

Master Chief - 36.07%
Yuna - 23.43%
Alucard - 20.35%
Liquid Snake - 20.16%

---
The 2007 Guru Rankings! thengamer.com/guru
thengamer.com/xstats = lol x-stats
From: Agent M | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:12:24 PM | Message Detail
change

Master Chief - 30%
Yuna - 24%
Liquid Snake - 22.5%
Alucard - 23.5%

Alucard's Revenge!
From: meche313 | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:19:28 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 32%
Yuna - 24%
Liquid Snake - 21.8%
Alucard - 22.2%

Dante - 40%
Amaterasu - 22%
Ada Wong - 22%
Balthier Bunansa - 16%

Pikachu - 24%
Tidus - 16%
Leon Kennedy - 33%
Vivi - 27%
From: satai_delenn | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:26:38 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 32.02%
Yuna - 23.66%
Liquid Snake - 22.05%
Alucard - 22.27%
---
My Contest Hero: SHOULD have been Axel. Ugh.
Currently playing: Aria of Sorrow, Silent Hill 2, Super Mario RPG
From: Lopen | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:26:38 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 43.37%
Yuna - 20.22%
Alucard - 18.30%
Liquid Snake - 18.11%
---
"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
From: Lopen | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:27:27 PM | Message Detail
Aw yeah, Satai. Time to celebrate #8 with some GAME FUEL!
---
"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
From: satai_delenn | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:27:32 PM | Message Detail
Awwww yeah

Number eight, wooooo!

It must be an omen.
---
My Contest Hero: SHOULD have been Axel. Ugh.
Currently playing: Aria of Sorrow, Silent Hill 2, Super Mario RPG
From: BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:29:14 PM | Message Detail
Change

Master Chief - 36%
Yuna - 24%
Liquid Snake - 20%
Alucard - 20%

TuRtLe
~~~
149/192 in the contest. Next pick: Ganondorf > Luigi
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
From: Leebo86 | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:31:03 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 39.42%
Yuna - 24.61%
Liquid Snake - 18.04%
Alucard - 17.93%

preeow
From: DpObliVion | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:31:41 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 35%
Yuna - 27%
Alucard - 20%
Liquid Snake - 18%

---
Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket *LETS GO GIANTS*
From: raytan7585 | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:32:48 PM | Message Detail
Alucard - 21.61%
Liquid Snake - 20.42%
Master Chief - 34.54%
Yuna - 23.43%

---
raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
http://img142.imageshack.us/img142/2675/11584879241lc9.jpg
From: raytan7585 | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:34:12 PM | Message Detail
Alucard - 17.38%
Liquid Snake - 19.44%
Master Chief - 38.55%
Yuna - 24.63%

---
raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
http://img142.imageshack.us/img142/2675/11584879241lc9.jpg
From: satai_delenn | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:34:26 PM | Message Detail
Dante – 43.42%
Amaterasu – 14.02%
Ada Wong – 21.23%
Balthier Bunansa – 21.33%
---
My Contest Hero: SHOULD have been Axel. Ugh.
Currently playing: Aria of Sorrow, Silent Hill 2, Super Mario RPG
From: Lopen | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:34:26 PM | Message Detail
Dante - 40.04%
Amaterasu - 17.66%
Ada Wong - 20.30%
Balthier Bunansa - 22.10%
---
"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
From: satai_delenn | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:35:02 PM | Message Detail
Oh man nine

We win so hard

SO HARD.
---
My Contest Hero: SHOULD have been Axel. Ugh.
Currently playing: Aria of Sorrow, Silent Hill 2, Super Mario RPG
From: Lopen | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:35:17 PM | Message Detail
Whoop! Still on the GAME FUEL high, clearly. We're unstoppable with #9!
---
"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
From: Leebo86 | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:36:47 PM | Message Detail
Change

Master Chief - 38.42%
Yuna - 24.61%
Liquid Snake - 18.44%
Alucard - 18.53%

preeow
From: PeaceOut64 | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:40:51 PM | Message Detail
Change

Alucard - 19.50%
Liquid Snake - 19.10%
Master Chief - 36.50%
Yuna - 25.10%
---
My goal since I joined the Leafs has always been to have on the ice a team as good as our fans. We have never quite gotten there. Some day we will. - Ken Dryden
From: amyvitality66 | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:41:34 PM | Message Detail
Alucard - 18.74%
Liquid Snake - 19.42%
Master Chief - 37.18%
Yuna - 24.66%

---
amyvitality, The Cream of Final Fantasy IX Fangirlism.
"Ecchi is bad." - Mahoro Andou
From: Camden | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:44:08 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief with 36%
Yuna with 24%
Alucard with 20%
Liquid Snake with 20%
---
Earthbound: It's like living inside your gym shoes.
Don’t worry. Have a nectarine. -Christopher Walken
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:44:22 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Master Chief - 34.40%
Yuna - 24.30%
Liquid Snake - 20.70%
Alucard - 20.60%
---
Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
MC/Yuna/Alucard/Liquid - Bracket: MC > Yuna - Vote: Liquid (171/200)
From: th3l3fty | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:45:11 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 37.73%
Yuna - 21.64%
Liquid Snake - 18.40%
Alucard - 22.23%
---
Knight of the Cross of Sir Chris' Court
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
From: Menji76 | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:47:28 PM | Message Detail
Alucard - 20.00%
Liquid Snake - 24.00%
Master Chief - 30.00%
Yuna - 25.00%


---
Menji
What Will Never Be The Greatest.
From: RockMFR 5 | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:51:28 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 30%
Yuna - 25%
Liquid Snake - 25%
Alucard - 20%

safety
---
Save the cheerleader, save the world. o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
From: Lady Ashe | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:52:39 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 40%
Yuna - 25%
Liquid Snake - 17.5%
Alucard - 17.5%
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:52:43 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 36.75%
Yuna - 23.93%
Liquid Snake - 19.41%
Alucard - 19.91%
---
Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:53:05 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 37.25%
Yuna - 25.43%
Liquid Snake - 18.91%
Alucard - 18.41%
---
Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
From: raytan7585 | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:53:23 PM | Message Detail
Blah!

Alucard - 20.38%
Liquid Snake - 21.44%
Master Chief - 33.55%
Yuna - 24.63%

---
raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
http://img142.imageshack.us/img142/2675/11584879241lc9.jpg
From: meche313 | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:53:26 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 35%
Yuna - 24%
Liquid Snake - 20.3%
Alucard - 20.7%
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:53:29 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 36.09%
Yuna - 25.43%
Liquid Snake - 19.09%
Alucard - 19.39%
---
red blue green
From: RockMFR 5 | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:54:06 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Master Chief - 32%
Yuna - 23%
Liquid Snake - 23%
Alucard - 22%
---
Save the cheerleader, save the world. o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
From: th3l3fty | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:54:25 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 37.73%
Yuna - 20.64%
Liquid Snake - 20.40%
Alucard - 21.23%

>_____>
---
Knight of the Cross of Sir Chris' Court
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
From: amyvitality66 | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:54:35 PM | Message Detail
Alucard - 19.61%
Liquid Snake - 20.42%
Master Chief - 34.54%
Yuna - 25.43%

---
amyvitality, The Cream of Final Fantasy IX Fangirlism.
"Ecchi is bad." - Mahoro Andou
From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 10/13/2007 8:54:40 PM | Message Detail
Master Chief - 37.25%
Yuna - 25.43%
Liquid Snake - 18.66%
Alucard - 18.66%
---
Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
From: Tomoyo | Posted: 10/13/2007 9:02:32 PM | Message Detail
Kirby - 28.35%
L-Block - 26.95%
Kratos (God of War) - 28.55%
Donkey Kong - 16.15%

Solid Snake - 40.29%
Nightmare - 13.73%
Ryu Hayabusa - 24.64%
Riku - 21.34%

Squall Leonhart - 33.25%
Aeris Gainsborough - 26.18%
Sora - 22.13%
Lara Croft - 18.44%

Duke Nukem - 15%
Gordon Freeman - 13.47%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 37.56%
Sub-Zero - 33.97%

Mega Man - 33.25%
Yoshi - 19.11%
Samus Aran - 33.00%
Scorpion - 14.64%

Cloud Strife - 44.32%
Marcus Fenix - 10.31%
Auron - 24.42%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 20.95%

Sephiroth - 36.42%
Fox McCloud - 13.51%
Mario - 32.95%
Big Boss - 17.12%

Link - 46.12%
Vincent Valentine - 19.19%
Crono - 18.25%
Zero - 16.44%

---
Tooi Kono Machi De-"daisuki datta ano uta furui teepu no naka chiisana kizu iro aseta taitoru nijinda yoake"
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