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SC2k7 Oracle Challenge - Round 3 - All Divisions
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/23/2007 7:03:45 PM | Message Detail
The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Summer Contest you need to predict the percentage of the vote that each contestant will receive. New participants are always accepted - please indicate that you are new and predict at least three matches.

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. This means you need four predictions and four lines per match. Your predictions must start with the name of the character and end with your predicted percentage. Examples:

Strider Hiryu - 45%
Tina Armstrong - 24%
Bub 27%
Chop Chop Master Onion with 4%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use a weird format. Your predictions don't have to add up to 100%, but it is recommended. =)

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. The winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most total points at the end of the contest. For each match you can score between 0 and 50 points, depending on how close your guesses were to the actual results. The scoring system works as follows:

You will earn 50-(w+x+y+z)/4 points
(Where w,x,y and z are the differences between your guesses and the characters' actual percentages.)
You can also think of this as 50 - the average difference between your guesses and the actual results.

Example:

Your guess:
Strider Hiryu - 65%
Tina Armstrong - 15%
Bub - 10%
Chop Chop Master Onion - 10%

My guess:
Strider Hiryu - 50%
Tina Armstrong - 20%
Bub - 17%
Chop Chop Master Onion - 13%

Actual result:
Strider Hiryu 60%, Tina Armstrong 22%, Chop Chop Master Onion 11%, Bub 7%

Your points: 50 - [(65-60) + (22-15) + (10-7) + (11-10)]/4 = 46 points
My points: 50 - [(60-50) + (22-20) + (17-7) + (13-11)]/4 = 44 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of four clear predictions per match. The sum of your predictions in a match does not need to be equal to 100.00%.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else's. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made five minutes before the usual start time of that match's poll (approx. 11:55pm EST, 10:55am CST, 8:55pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent cheating and to reduce confusion.
6) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users, I already know about it).
7) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
8) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Prizes

Given the difficulty of predicting four different characters, King Morgoth and I have decided to offer a special prize this contest. Anyone who gets a perfect score of 50.00 for a match will get a free new game of their choice! (Maximum cost of $60 USD). No, we don't expect this to happen... prove us wrong!
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/23/2007 7:04:09 PM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

We are now accepting predictions for all remaining round 3 matches:

Link vs Vincent Valentine vs Crono vs Zero
Ganondorf vs Luigi vs Master Chief vs Yuna
Dante vs Amaterasu vs Leon Kennedy vs Pikachu
Kratos (God of War) vs L-Block vs Solid Snake vs Riku
Squall Leonhart vs Sora vs Sonic the Hedgehog vs Sub-Zero

Copy and paste list

Link -
Vincent Valentine -
Crono -
Zero -

Ganondorf -
Luigi -
Master Chief -
Yuna -

Dante -
Amaterasu -
Leon Kennedy -
Pikachu -

Kratos (God of War) -
L-Block -
Solid Snake -
Riku -

Squall Leonhart -
Sora -
Sonic the Hedgehog -
Sub-Zero -

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: Leebo86 | Posted: 10/23/2007 7:05:59 PM | Message Detail
Link - 43.17%
Vincent Valentine - 23.08%
Crono - 19.63%
Zero - 14.12%

preeow
From: TheKnightOfNee | Posted: 10/23/2007 7:09:57 PM | Message Detail
Ganondorf - 32.35%
Luigi - 15.94%
Master Chief - 30.21%
Yuna - 21.50%
---
Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
Flamenco Strikes Back!! Return of Don!
From: trannyscience | Posted: 10/23/2007 7:10:39 PM | Message Detail
Link with 45.11%
Crono with 19.80%
Vincent with 19.53%
Zero with 15.56%
---
xyzzy
"And just to clear up any remaining confusion, tranny > icon." -Shaggy
From: meche313 | Posted: 10/23/2007 7:12:20 PM | Message Detail
Link - 45%
Vincent Valentine - 21%
Crono - 21%
Zero - 13%

just reposting for now.
From: Lopen | Posted: 10/23/2007 7:14:23 PM | Message Detail
Link - 38.92%
Vincent Valentine - 22.89%
Crono - 19.99%
Zero - 18.00%
---
"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
From: yazzy14 | Posted: 10/23/2007 7:38:33 PM | Message Detail
Link - 42.27%
Vincent Valentine - 22.23%
Crono - 22.35%
Zero - 13.15%
---
Hey look!! Yazzy is at home right now!!
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 10/23/2007 7:40:59 PM | Message Detail
Link - 40.56%
Vincent Valentine - 19.76%
Crono - 25.54%
Zero - 14.14%
---
One of the most troublesome things in life is that what you do or do not want has little to do with what does or does not happen. ~ Lemony Snicket
From: Salient | Posted: 10/23/2007 7:49:46 PM | Message Detail
Link - 43.48%
Vincent Valentine - 21.48%
Crono - 20.07%
Zero - 14.97%
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 10/23/2007 7:51:07 PM | Message Detail
Change

Link - 43.15%
Vincent Valentine - 20.68%
Crono - 19.50%
Zero - 16.67%
---
This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
From: supdawg | Posted: 10/23/2007 7:52:18 PM | Message Detail
Change
Link - 46.87%
Vincent - 22.76%
Crono - 17.76%
Zero - 12.61%
---
Member Of The Book Club
09/10/07: When Will Smurf Eat Wang?
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 10/23/2007 7:54:15 PM | Message Detail
Link - 45.10%
Vincent Valentine - 20.50%
Crono - 19.50%
Zero - 14.90%

Ganondorf - 25%
Luigi - 20%
Master Chief - 35%
Yuna - 20%

Dante - 35%
Amaterasu - 15%
Leon Kennedy - 30%
Pikachu - 20%

Kratos (God of War) - 20%
L-Block - 25%
Solid Snake - 40%
Riku - 15%

Squall Leonhart - 25%
Sora - 20%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 35%
Sub-Zero - 20%
---
Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Link/Vincent/Crono/Zero - Bracket: Link > Vincent - Vote: Link (263/314)
From: KleenexTissue50 | Posted: 10/23/2007 7:55:13 PM | Message Detail
Link - 43.91%
Vincent Valentine - 19.75%
Crono - 19.86%
Zero - 16.26%
---
CB6 - 210/288; Oracle - 35th
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:16:21 PM | Message Detail
Link with 44.50%
Crono with 20.00%
Vincent with 19.50%
Zero with 16.00%
---
caps
From: Haste_2 | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:18:26 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 25%
Sora - 20%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 35%
Sub-Zero - 20%

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Warsola | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:26:29 PM | Message Detail
Link - 41.45%
Vincent Valentine - 22.84%
Crono - 22.66%
Zero - 13.05
---
And if we armed them all with two swords, we'd have four times the votes!
From: StifledSilence | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:27:43 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 19%
Sora - 13%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 41%
Sub-Zero - 27%

---
"Alcohol leads to ugly girls having the honor of being able to get with me." - BBallman7
From: Pats_Dynasty | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:31:02 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 29.92%
Sora - 18.81%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 40.04%
Sub-Zero - 12.21%
---
New England Patriots (7-0)
Boston Red Sox Games to Go: 4!!!!!
From: th3l3fty | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:35:26 PM | Message Detail
Link - 44.67%
Vincent Valentine - 19.76%
Crono - 20.22%
Zero - 15.35%
---
Knight of the Cross of Sir Chris' Court
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
From: DarkLink89 | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:36:36 PM | Message Detail
Link - 43.13%
Vincent Valentine - 23.18%
Crono - 21.59%
Zero - 12.10%
---
Toronto Raptors: 0-0 (Opening: 10/31 vs Philadelphia 76ers)
http://downloads.khinsider.com/?u=98372
From: Tomoyo | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:38:34 PM | Message Detail
Link - 43.95%
Vincent Valentine - 20.05%
Crono - 19.67%
Zero - 16.33%
---
Tooi Kono Machi De-"daisuki datta ano uta furui teepu no naka chiisana kizu iro aseta taitoru nijinda yoake"
From: ActJef1077 | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:40:09 PM | Message Detail
Link - 40%
Vincent Valentine - 22%
Crono - 23%
Zero - 15%

---
Call me Jeff Official midget of The Book Club
If you paint a W on each of your buttcheeks and do cartwheels it will say WoW MoM WoW! -C Bar
From: RockMFR 5 | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:41:09 PM | Message Detail
change

Link - 44%
Vincent Valentine - 19%
Crono - 20%
Zero - 17%
---
Are you just going to eat peaches?! o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
From: creativename | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:42:05 PM | Message Detail
Link 42.50%
Crono 21.25%
Vincent 21.25%
Zero 15%
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
From: Camden | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:43:22 PM | Message Detail
Link - 43%
Vincent Valentine - 21%
Crono - 20%
Zero - 16%

Safety predictions. I feel like I should think about them... but no.

Ganondorf - 27%
Luigi - 22%
Master Chief - 32%
Yuna - 19%

Dante - 33%
Amaterasu - 16%
Leon Kennedy - 33%
Pikachu - 18%

Kratos (God of War) - 25%
L-Block - 18%
Solid Snake - 39%
Riku - 18%

Squall Leonhart - 28%
Sora - 23%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 32%
Sub-Zero - 17%
---
Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
When someone is giving you his opinion, you should receive it with deep gratitude even though it is worthless. -Yamamoto Tsunetomo
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:44:32 PM | Message Detail
Link - 43.68%
Vincent Valentine - 22.25%
Crono - 18.39%
Zero - 15.68%
---
Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:50:19 PM | Message Detail
Link - 40.22%
Vincent Valentine - 24.61%
Crono - 23.32%
Zero - 11.85%
---
Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
From: PeaceOut64 | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:51:57 PM | Message Detail
Change

Crono - 19.90%
Link - 44.20%
Vincent Valentine - 19.80%
Zero - 16.10%
---
My goal since I joined the Leafs has always been to have on the ice a team as good as our fans. We have never quite gotten there. Some day we will. - Ken Dryden
From: Gaddswell | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:53:14 PM | Message Detail
Link - 43.12%
Vincent Valentine - 21.31%
Crono - 19.41%
Zero - 15.36%
---
Finally a damn bracket!
http://i3.photobucket.com/albums/y69/unown_pnoi/brawlhypeclubheader.jpg
From: Lady Ashe | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:53:17 PM | Message Detail
Link - 45.00%
Vincent Valentine - 18.00%
Crono - 19.00%
Zero - 18.00%
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
From: smitelf | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:53:24 PM | Message Detail
My daily last-minute change :)

Link - 44.1%
Vincent Valentine - 20.7%
Crono - 17.8%
Zero - 17.4%
---
Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
From: RockMFR 5 | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:53:51 PM | Message Detail
Ganondorf - 25%
Luigi - 22%
Master Chief - 31%
Yuna - 22%

Dante - 33%
Amaterasu - 16%
Leon Kennedy - 31%
Pikachu - 20%

Kratos (God of War) - 21%
L-Block - 21%
Solid Snake - 40%
Riku - 18%

Squall Leonhart - 29%
Sora - 20%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 35%
Sub-Zero - 16%
---
Are you just going to eat peaches?! o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:53:51 PM | Message Detail
Change:

Crono - 17.50%
Link - 45.50%
Vincent Valentine - 18.40%
Zero - 18.60%
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:54:01 PM | Message Detail
Link - 43.74%
Vincent - 22.59%
Crono - 19.55%
Zero - 14.12%

Let's see whether I manage to not overestimate Crono for once, or if I'm still doing it.
---
red blue green
From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:54:12 PM | Message Detail
Link - 42.22%
Vincent Valentine - 22.61%
Crono - 21.32%
Zero - 13.85%
---
Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
From: DSRage_Revived | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:55:10 PM | Message Detail
Link - 44.00%
Vincent Valentine - 21.48%
Crono - 20.07%
Zero - 14.45%


-ЧRG-
---
Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.

Sig it and it will happen.
From: DSRage_Revived | Posted: 10/23/2007 8:58:46 PM | Message Detail
My stupid dad is ruining my chance at this, I swear. He failed to get off the internet fast enough and AGAIN my prediction was late because if him!!!


-ЧRG-
---
Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.

Sig it and it will happen.
From: DSRage_Revived | Posted: 10/23/2007 9:01:31 PM | Message Detail
My dad is ruining my chance at this and causing my predictions to be late.

I tell him to get off at 1150 and he pushes it, so I have to disconnect him and connect myself. BUT IT ISN"T FAST ENOUGH GOD DAMNIT


-ЧRG-
---
Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.

Sig it and it will happen.
From: DSRage_Revived | Posted: 10/23/2007 9:02:02 PM | Message Detail
lol, silly me


-ЧRG-
---
Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.

Sig it and it will happen.
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/23/2007 9:08:19 PM | Message Detail
Sorry Rage =(

Don't really know what to do, except tell your dad you need to get on at 11:30 instead or something.
---
red blue green
From: Eternal_Debate | Posted: 10/23/2007 9:15:33 PM | Message Detail
Almost forgot to pick for the rest of the round, not that it really matters...

Ganondorf -34.1%
Luigi - 23.1%
Master Chief - 28.7%
Yuna - 14.1%

Dante - 35%
Amaterasu - 8.4%
Leon Kennedy - 30.9%
Pikachu - 25.7%

Kratos (God of War) - 20.8%
L-Block - 22.9%
Solid Snake - 42.2%
Riku - 14.1%

Squall Leonhart - 30.6%
Sora - 18.3%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 34.3%
Sub-Zero - 16.8%

That last match with all the S's looks like it'll be a good one.
---
~ Ringworm ~
From: DSRage_Revived | Posted: 10/23/2007 9:33:31 PM | Message Detail
I'm gonna!

You're not supposed to do anything, just feel sorry for me!


-ЧRG-
---
Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.

Sig it and it will happen.
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 10/23/2007 9:44:21 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 24.22%
Sora - 17.34%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 36.11%
Sub-Zero - 22.33%
---
"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
From: somdude04 | Posted: 10/23/2007 9:53:53 PM | Message Detail
Ganondorf - 30%
Luigi - 20%
Master Chief - 30%
Yuna - 20%

Dante - 30%
Amaterasu - 20%
Leon Kennedy - 30%
Pikachu - 20%

Kratos (God of War) - 22.5%
L-Block - 22.5%
Solid Snake - 40%
Riku - 25%

Squall Leonhart - 20%
Sora - 30%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 35%
Sub-Zero - 15%

GJ
---
http://www.facebook.com/p/Grant_Johnson/9202808
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/23/2007 9:59:15 PM | Message Detail
Match # 51 Results
Sephiroth 45.85%
Mario 35.08%
Big Boss 11.00%
Fox McCloud 8.06%

The FF VII nemeses continue impressing... this time it's Sephiroth, who once again treats Mario like the Midgar Zolom. Mario, meanwhile, makes Fox his Vaan en route to a 35% showing, giving himself a respectable performance despite the big loss to Sephiroth. Big Boss underperformed somewhat, presumably due to his sprite, while Fox... I'll do him the courtesy of not commenting on his performance.

The consensus predictions were Sephiroth - 40.18%; Mario - 33.87%; Big Boss - 13.62%; Fox - 12.46%. The average score was 46.15.

Best Five Picks:
1) AmazingKirby - Big Boss 9.75% - Fox McCloud 10.25% - Mario 34.00% - Sephiroth 46.00% (+48.83)
2) Salient - Big Boss 10.50% - Fox McCloud 10.50% - Mario 34.00% - Sephiroth 45.00% (+48.78)
3) Xcarvengerx - Big Boss 9.88% - Fox McCloud 9.72% - Mario 33.33% - Sephiroth 47.07% (+48.56)
4) MegatokyoEd - Big Boss 11.00% - Fox McCloud 11.00% - Mario 35.00% - Sephiroth 43.00% (+48.53)
4) Xuxon - Big Boss 11.00% - Fox McCloud 11.00% - Mario 33.00% - Sephiroth 45.00% (+48.53)

AmazingKirby is on top again today... he's been in the top 5 three times now, and amazingly enough, every time he's had the best overall prediction. Last contest's #2 finisher Salient got second today, his first top 5 of this contest but 19th overall. XcarvengerX got his 4th top 5 in third place, while former almost-champion MegatokyoEd and former two-time-champion Xuxon tied for fourth.

Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=match&match=51

Current Leaderboard:
1) The n00b Avenger - 2389.05
2) Haste2 - 2383.62
3) smitelf - 2382.75
4) creativename - 2382.27
5) MegatokyoEd - 2382.26

Unfortunately, DSRage drops off the leaderboard today, due to his dad preventing him from changing his prediction. He's now in 6th place, although still very close behind the three people ahead of him. Sadly, Camden also takes a tumble due to a power outage, and drops from 7th to 15th.

Smitelf moves back up two spots to third, while MegatokyoEd returns to the leaderboard in fifth. N00b Avenger, Haste2, and creativename are still 1st, 2nd, and 4th, respectively.

Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=total&match=51
---
red blue green
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/23/2007 9:59:23 PM | Message Detail
Top Team Scores:
1) Helmasaur King - 96.93 (Xuxon: +48.53 / GrapefruitKing: +48.40)
2) The Amazing Question Marks - 96.80 (AmazingKirby: +48.83 / entropyx: +47.97)
3) SPO*N - 96.16 (Weird Kirby Dude11: +48.13 / ActJef1077: +48.03)
4) T-REX - 95.51 (Team Rocket Elite: +46.95 / Xcarvengerx: +48.56)
5) The Council of Two - 95.30 (Lopen: +48.25 / satai_delenn: +47.05)

Team Helmasaur King gets the top score today, landing in the top 5 for the second time in three days. Team The Amazing Question Marks is second, for their 10th top 5 of the contest, and Team SPO*N makes the top 5 for the second day in a row. Team T-REX is up there once again (second day in a row and 14th of the contest, followed by The Council of Two in fifth place.

Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=teammatch&match=51

Team Leaderboard:
1) Team Predestined Divination (creativename / Ngamer64) - 4759.77
2) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 4743.29
3) Team mvp's (ps2rulezzz / basmeyer42) - 4741.84
4) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 4741.71
5) Team Happy Happyists (Camden / meche313) - 4740.83

Team Predestined Divination's lead has now passed 15 points. Team Happy Happyists drops three spots to fifth today due to Camden's bad luck, unfortunately removing PD's closest competition at the same time. Team Rage of Warcraft and Team mvp's each move up two spots to fill the gap, while Team We Used To Be Good? drops one place to fourth.

Complete Team Standing:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=teamtotal&match=51
---
red blue green
From: basmeyer42 | Posted: 10/23/2007 11:00:29 PM | Message Detail
Ganondorf -30%
Luigi - 23%
Master Chief - 30%
Yuna - 17%

Dante - 34%
Amaterasu - 11%
Leon Kennedy - 30%
Pikachu - 25%
From: smitelf | Posted: 10/23/2007 11:16:32 PM | Message Detail
Ganondorf -24.3%
Luigi - 22.4%
Master Chief - 36%
Yuna - 17.3%
---
Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 10/24/2007 12:39:12 AM | Message Detail
Ganondorf - 28.00%
Luigi - 24.00%
Master Chief - 30.00%
Yuna - 18.00%
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
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