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SC2k7 Oracle Challenge - Round 4
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/27/2007 2:46:27 AM | Message Detail
The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Summer Contest you need to predict the percentage of the vote that each contestant will receive. New participants are always accepted - please indicate that you are new and predict at least three matches.

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. This means you need four predictions and four lines per match. Your predictions must start with the name of the character and end with your predicted percentage. Examples:

Strider Hiryu - 45%
Tina Armstrong - 24%
Bub 27%
Chop Chop Master Onion with 4%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use a weird format. Your predictions don't have to add up to 100%, but it is recommended. =)

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. The winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most total points at the end of the contest. For each match you can score between 0 and 50 points, depending on how close your guesses were to the actual results. The scoring system works as follows:

You will earn 50-(w+x+y+z)/4 points
(Where w,x,y and z are the differences between your guesses and the characters' actual percentages.)
You can also think of this as 50 - the average difference between your guesses and the actual results.

Example:

Your guess:
Strider Hiryu - 65%
Tina Armstrong - 15%
Bub - 10%
Chop Chop Master Onion - 10%

My guess:
Strider Hiryu - 50%
Tina Armstrong - 20%
Bub - 17%
Chop Chop Master Onion - 13%

Actual result:
Strider Hiryu 60%, Tina Armstrong 22%, Chop Chop Master Onion 11%, Bub 7%

Your points: 50 - [(65-60) + (22-15) + (10-7) + (11-10)]/4 = 46 points
My points: 50 - [(60-50) + (22-20) + (17-7) + (13-11)]/4 = 44 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of four clear predictions per match. The sum of your predictions in a match does not need to be equal to 100.00%.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else's. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made five minutes before the usual start time of that match's poll (approx. 11:55pm EST, 10:55am CST, 8:55pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent cheating and to reduce confusion.
6) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users, I already know about it).
7) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
8) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Prizes

Given the difficulty of predicting four different characters, King Morgoth and I have decided to offer a special prize this contest. Anyone who gets a perfect score of 50.00 for a match will get a free new game of their choice! (Maximum cost of $60 USD). No, we don't expect this to happen... prove us wrong!
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/27/2007 2:46:56 AM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

We are now accepting predictions for all remaining round 3 matches, and all matches in round 4 for which the competitors have already been decided:

ROUND 3
Squall Leonhart vs Sora vs Sonic the Hedgehog vs Sub-Zero

ROUND 4
Samus Aran vs Mega Man vs Cloud Strife vs Ryu (Street Fighter)
Sephiroth vs Mario vs Link vs Vincent Valentine
Master Chief vs Luigi vs Pikachu vs Dante

Copy and paste list
Squall Leonhart -
Sora -
Sonic the Hedgehog -
Sub-Zero -

Samus Aran -
Mega Man -
Cloud Strife -
Ryu (Street Fighter) -

Sephiroth -
Mario -
Link -
Vincent Valentine -

Master Chief -
Luigi -
Pikachu -
Dante -

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: Xcarvengerx | Posted: 10/27/2007 3:03:28 AM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife 39.77%
Samus Aran 25.52%
Mega Man 22.22%
Ryu (Street Fighter) 12.49%

Link 39.11%
Sephiroth 32.77%
Vincent 16.77%
Mario 11.35%

Master Chief 31.31%
Luigi 24.68%
Dante 22.80%
Pikachu 21.21%

---
Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 10/27/2007 3:19:07 AM | Message Detail
Samus Aran - 24.70%
Mega Man - 24.25%
Cloud Strife - 36.25%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 14.80%

Sephiroth - 25.50%
Mario - 20.00%
Link - 41.00%
Vincent Valentine - 13.50%

Master Chief - 33.00%
Luigi - 21.00%
Pikachu - 21.00%
Dante - 25.00%
From: DSRage_Revived | Posted: 10/27/2007 4:15:09 AM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 26%
Sora - 20%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 34%
Sub-Zero - 20%
From: supdawg | Posted: 10/27/2007 5:53:57 AM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 26.03%
Sora - 21.71%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 33.52%
Sub-Zero - 17.74%
---
Member Of The Book Club
09/10/07: When Will Smurf Eat Wang?
From: BZer0 | Posted: 10/27/2007 6:33:15 AM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 25.00%
Sora - 22.00%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 32.00%
Sub-Zero - 21.00%
---
CBVI: 241/352
From: raytan7585 | Posted: 10/27/2007 6:39:30 AM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 26.55%
Sora - 19.34%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 27.45
Sub-Zero - 26.66%

Samus Aran - 28.34%
Mega Man - 25.44%
Cloud Strife - 31.67%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 14.55%

Sephiroth - 28.53%
Mario - 26.56%
Link - 31.57%
Vincent Valentine - 13.34%

Master Chief - 28.34%
Luigi - 17.45%
Pikachu - 29.34%
Dante - 24.87%

---
raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
http://img142.imageshack.us/img142/2675/11584879241lc9.jpg
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 10/27/2007 6:59:27 AM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 25.36%
Sora - 23.26%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 35.28%
Sub-Zero - 16.10%

---
The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 55: Solid Snake > Kratos Points: 229/352
From: ScorpionX3 | Posted: 10/27/2007 7:06:38 AM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 27%
Sora - 21%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 39%
Sub-Zero - 13%

Samus Aran - 25%
Mega Man -23%
Cloud Strife - 37%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 17%

Sephiroth - 23%
Mario - 21%
Link - 38%
Vincent Valentine - 18%

Master Chief - 31%
Luigi - 18%
Pikachu - 24%
Dante - 27%
_-
I need another Guru Contest to get another signature...
From: TheKnightOfNee | Posted: 10/27/2007 7:13:47 AM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 27.61%
Sora - 21.84%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 32.31%
Sub-Zero - 18.24%
---
Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
Flamenco Strikes Back!! Return of Don!
From: Xuxon | Posted: 10/27/2007 7:18:56 AM | Message Detail
Samus Aran - 23%
Mega Man - 21%
Cloud Strife - 40%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 16%

Sephiroth - 27%
Mario - 15%
Link - 43%
Vincent Valentine - 15%

Master Chief - 30%
Luigi - 20%
Pikachu - 20%
Dante - 30%
---
FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 10/27/2007 7:25:19 AM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 25%
Sora - 20%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 35%
Sub-Zero - 20%

Samus Aran - 25%
Mega Man - 20%
Cloud Strife - 40%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 15%

Sephiroth - 30%
Mario - 15%
Link - 40%
Vincent Valentine - 15%

Master Chief - 35%
Luigi - 20%
Pikachu - 20%
Dante - 25%
---
Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Kratos/L-Block/Snake/Riku - Bracket: Snake > Kirby - Vote: Snake (287/362)
From: somdude04 | Posted: 10/27/2007 7:27:07 AM | Message Detail
Samus Aran - 25%
Mega Man - 20%
Cloud Strife - 35%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 15%

Sephiroth -36%
Mario -20%
Link -35%
Vincent Valentine -9%

Master Chief -30%
Luigi -21%
Pikachu -26%
Dante -23%

GJ
---
http://www.facebook.com/p/Grant_Johnson/9202808
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 10/27/2007 7:30:40 AM | Message Detail
Samus Aran - 26.5%
Mega Man - 22.5%
Cloud Strife - 36%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 15%

Sephiroth - 30%
Mario - 14%
Link - 41%
Vincent Valentine - 15%

Master Chief - 29%
Luigi - 27%
Pikachu - 23%
Dante - 21%
---
spud2002 is alive! >_>
From: Haste_2 | Posted: 10/27/2007 7:45:07 AM | Message Detail
Sephiroth - 30%
Mario - 24%
Link - 38%
Vincent Valentine - 8%

Master Chief - 32.5%
Luigi - 22.5%
Pikachu - 20%
Dante - 25%

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 10/27/2007 8:07:52 AM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 26%
Sora - 22%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 34%
Sub-Zero - 18%
---
Demyx is better than Axel.
From: oneills1 | Posted: 10/27/2007 8:21:41 AM | Message Detail
Samus Aran - 26.00%
Mega Man - 23.50%
Cloud Strife - 36.50%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 14.00%

Sephiroth - 24.00%
Mario - 23.50%
Link - 38.00%
Vincent Valentine - 14.50%

Master Chief - 33.00%
Luigi - 21.50%
Pikachu - 18.50%
Dante - 27.00%
---
Axalon0
Philadelphia Eagles---> 2 - 4
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 10/27/2007 8:50:21 AM | Message Detail
Samus Aran - 24.42%
Mega Man - 22.32%
Cloud Strife - 38.83%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 14.43%

Sephiroth - 34.77%
Mario - 14.77%
Link - 41.77%
Vincent Valentine - 8.69%

Master Chief - 33.33%
Luigi - 26.26%
Pikachu - 15.16%
Dante - 25.25%
---
"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
From: Menji76 | Posted: 10/27/2007 9:47:54 AM | Message Detail
Oh and I don't know if anything can be done but I was looking at my predictions and I had L-Block with 100.00% which is definitely not what I meant. I meant, 10%, if anything can be done that would be great otherwise it's still fine.



Squall Leonhart - 21.00%
Sora - 20.00%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 30.00%
Sub-Zero - 22.00%

Samus Aran - 29.0%
Mega Man - 25.00%
Cloud Strife - 35.00%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 12.00%

Sephiroth - 25.00%
Mario - 24.00%
Link - 34.00%
Vincent Valentine - 15.00%

Master Chief - 29.00%
Luigi - 22.00%
Pikachu - 23.00%
Dante - 24.00%


---
Menji
What Will Never Be The Greatest.
From: Jmast7 | Posted: 10/27/2007 10:16:38 AM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife 38%
Samus Aran 27%
Mega Man 20%
Ryu (Street Fighter) 15%

Link 39.50%
Sephiroth 35.50%
Vincent 9.40%
Mario 15.60%

Master Chief 26%
Luigi 25%
Dante 25%
Pikachu 24%

---
Everything happens for a reason...
Lost Theories and Reviews: http://mistakingcoincidence.blogspot.com/
From: IhatethisCPU | Posted: 10/27/2007 10:39:24 AM | Message Detail
Samus Aran - 30%
Mega Man - 25%
Cloud Strife - 35%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 10%

Sephiroth - 35%
Mario - 20%
Link - 30%
Vincent Valentine -15%

Master Chief - 40%
Luigi - 30%
Pikachu - 10%
Dante - 20%
---
Those who reject salvation embrace ignorance. Now I shall return your tainted blood to the foul earth that hast spawned you!- Sean, DR
From: linkhatesganon | Posted: 10/27/2007 10:41:40 AM | Message Detail
Samus Aran - 26.88%
Mega Man - 21.54%
Cloud Strife - 35%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 16.63%

Sephiroth - 27.64%
Mario - 22.54%
Link - 34.8%
Vincent Valentine - 15%
---
Honestly, if you were my only option of losing my virginity, I'd gladly go without sex for the rest of my life. - Stifled to MYC
From: transience | Posted: 10/27/2007 11:00:19 AM | Message Detail
Sonic with 39.67%
Sub-Zero with 21.89%
Squall with 20.46%
Sora with 17.98%
---
"i go by statisticss put them all in an arena sepphroth="why arent your hair and mustache the same color?!" BAM dead mario" -Rathalownage
From: StopPokingMe | Posted: 10/27/2007 11:04:29 AM | Message Detail
Sonic the Hedgehog - 34.71%
Sora - 22.04%
Squall Leonhart - 26.76%
Sub-Zero - 16.49%

Samus Aran - 25.35%
Mega Man - 21.55%
Cloud Strife - 38.58%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 14.52%
---
Champions of Time and Space: The Summer Contest 2003 Fanfiction Project
http://crolapras.tripod.com/ffproj.html
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 10/27/2007 11:06:47 AM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 22.50%
Sora - 19.50%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 38.00%
Sub-Zero - 20.00%
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 10/27/2007 11:39:31 AM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 25.30%
Sora - 21.43%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 34.14%
Sub-Zero - 19.14%
---
This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
From: Pats D | Posted: 10/27/2007 11:42:15 AM | Message Detail
Samus Aran - 23.01%
Mega Man - 19.71%
Cloud Strife - 45.54%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 13.31%

Sephiroth - 19.22%
Mario - 18.12%
Link - 41.14%
Vincent Valentine - 17.71%

Master Chief - 32.23%
Luigi - 23.32%
Pikachu - 24.42%
Dante - 21.12%
---
New England Patriots (7-0)
Boston Red Sox Games to Go: 2!!!!!
From: octoinky | Posted: 10/27/2007 12:28:38 PM | Message Detail
Samus Aran - 26%
Mega Man - 24%
Cloud Strife - 35%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 16%

Sephiroth - 28%
Mario - 19%
Link - 36%
Vincent Valentine - 17%

Master Chief - 33%
Luigi - 22%
Pikachu - 21%
Dante - 24%
From: DaruniaTheGoron | Posted: 10/27/2007 12:33:32 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 24%
Sora - 22%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 35%
Sub-Zero - 19%
---
SC2k7: 88/128, tied for 1364th
Today's Pick: Mega Man > Knux (whoops)
From: ShatteredElysium | Posted: 10/27/2007 2:32:20 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 24.77%
Sora - 20.49%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 36.41%
Sub-Zero - 18.23%

Blah. Let's leave it at that since I'm only going to drink more alcohol tonight.
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 10/27/2007 2:38:21 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 26.47%
Sora - 20.62%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 32.29%
Sub-Zero - 20.62%

Samus Aran - 25.80%
Mega Man - 22.66%
Cloud Strife - 32.20%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 18.34%

Sephiroth - 27.86%
Mario - 19.46%
Link - 34.59%
Vincent Valentine - 18.09%

Master Chief - 25%
Luigi - 25%
Pikachu - 25%
Dante - 25%

---
Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
From: KleenexTissue50 | Posted: 10/27/2007 3:10:49 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 21.53%
Sora - 20.76%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 37.14%
Sub-Zero - 20.57%
---
CB6 - 234/352; Oracle - 33rd
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 10/27/2007 3:25:27 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 24.15%
Sora - 21.53%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 34.59%
Sub-Zero - 19.73%
---
Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: _Harmonica_ | Posted: 10/27/2007 3:27:13 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 25.34%
Sora - 24.79%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 33.44%
Sub-Zero - 16.43%

Samus Aran - 25.78%
Mega Man - 21.40%
Cloud Strife - 34.09%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 18.73%

Sephiroth - 28.02%
Mario - 23.31%
Link - 35.39%
Vincent Valentine - 13.28%

Master Chief - 27.95%
Luigi - 29.56%
Pikachu - 22.37%
Dante - 20.12%
From: Vlado | Posted: 10/27/2007 4:05:27 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 18.46%
Sora - 23.11%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 37.82%
Sub-Zero - 20.61%
---
Its hard being a wolf when ur surrounded by a herd of sheep. - Mozzezz
Love.
From: capatillistpiglet | Posted: 10/27/2007 4:10:42 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 24.00%
Sora - 21.00%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 37.00%
Sub-Zero - 18.00%
---
I lied
~LCFC~
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 10/27/2007 4:23:44 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Squall Leonhart - 25%
Sora - 21%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 35%
Sub-Zero - 19%
---
Demyx is better than Axel.
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 10/27/2007 4:31:37 PM | Message Detail
Sonic the Hedgehog - 32.19%
Sora - 22.16%
Squall Leonhart - 26.01%
Sub-Zero - 19.64%
---
spud2002 is alive! >_>
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 10/27/2007 4:34:20 PM | Message Detail
I see all the high Sonic picks, so I guess I'll go up too...

Sonic the Hedgehog - 33.19%
Sora - 21.91%
Squall Leonhart - 25.76%
Sub-Zero - 19.14%
---
spud2002 is alive! >_>
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 10/27/2007 4:35:35 PM | Message Detail
It's all a trick. 5 minutes before the match everyone's going to switch to ~30% picks leaving you high and dry
---
This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
From: andylt | Posted: 10/27/2007 4:37:08 PM | Message Detail
Sonic the Hedgehog - 33%
Sora - 18%
Squall Leonhart - 26.5%
Sub-Zero - 22.5%
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 10/27/2007 4:37:41 PM | Message Detail
>_>

If I was Luster, then I wouldn't be surprised. >_>
---
spud2002 is alive! >_>
From: entropyx | Posted: 10/27/2007 5:35:00 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 24.80%
Sora - 20.70%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 34.10%
Sub-Zero - 20.40%
---
Philadelphia Eagles [2 - 4] ; Philadelphia 76ers [0 - 0]
Philadelphia Flyers [7 - 3 - 0] Points: 14
From: Lieutenant Kettch | Posted: 10/27/2007 5:35:12 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 24.47%
Sora - 20.55%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 35.35%
Sub-Zero - 19.63%
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 10/27/2007 5:36:14 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 22.50%
Sora - 20.50%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 33.20%
Sub-Zero - 22.80%
---
If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula
From: Xuxon | Posted: 10/27/2007 5:58:47 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 22.5%
Sora - 19%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 39.5%
Sub-Zero - 19%
---
FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 10/27/2007 6:03:16 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 22%
Sora - 22%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 36%
Sub-Zero - 20%
---
caps
From: Xuxon | Posted: 10/27/2007 6:03:23 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 23.5%
Sora - 20.5%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 37%
Sub-Zero - 19%
---
FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
From: Xcarvengerx | Posted: 10/27/2007 6:07:40 PM | Message Detail
Sonic the Hedgehog 34.64%
Squall Leonhart 24.80%
Sora 22.21%
Sub-Zero 18.35%

---
Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
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