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SC2k7 Oracle Challenge - Round 5
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/30/2007 11:05:29 PM | Message Detail
NOTE: This topic is for rounds 4 and 5 only. There will be a new topic for the finals.

The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Summer Contest you need to predict the percentage of the vote that each contestant will receive. New participants are always accepted - please indicate that you are new and predict at least three matches.

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. This means you need four predictions and four lines per match. Your predictions must start with the name of the character and end with your predicted percentage. Examples:

Strider Hiryu - 45%
Tina Armstrong - 24%
Bub 27%
Chop Chop Master Onion with 4%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use a weird format. Your predictions don't have to add up to 100%, but it is recommended. =)

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. The winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most total points at the end of the contest. For each match you can score between 0 and 50 points, depending on how close your guesses were to the actual results. The scoring system works as follows:

You will earn 50-(w+x+y+z)/4 points
(Where w,x,y and z are the differences between your guesses and the characters' actual percentages.)
You can also think of this as 50 - the average difference between your guesses and the actual results.

Example:

Your guess:
Strider Hiryu - 65%
Tina Armstrong - 15%
Bub - 10%
Chop Chop Master Onion - 10%

My guess:
Strider Hiryu - 50%
Tina Armstrong - 20%
Bub - 17%
Chop Chop Master Onion - 13%

Actual result:
Strider Hiryu 60%, Tina Armstrong 22%, Chop Chop Master Onion 11%, Bub 7%

Your points: 50 - [(65-60) + (22-15) + (10-7) + (11-10)]/4 = 46 points
My points: 50 - [(60-50) + (22-20) + (17-7) + (13-11)]/4 = 44 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of four clear predictions per match. The sum of your predictions in a match does not need to be equal to 100.00%.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else's. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made five minutes before the usual start time of that match's poll (approx. 11:55pm EST, 10:55am CST, 8:55pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent cheating and to reduce confusion.
6) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users, I already know about it).
7) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
8) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Prizes

Given the difficulty of predicting four different characters, King Morgoth and I have decided to offer a special prize this contest. Anyone who gets a perfect score of 50.00 for a match will get a free new game of their choice! (Maximum cost of $60 USD). No, we don't expect this to happen... prove us wrong!
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/30/2007 11:05:55 PM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

We are now accepting predictions for all remaining round 4 matches, and all matches in round 5 for which the competitors have already been decided:

ROUND 4
Solid Snake vs L-Block vs Sonic the Hedgehog vs Squall Leonhart

ROUND 5
Cloud Strife vs Samus Aran vs Link vs Sephiroth

Copy and paste list
Solid Snake -
L-Block -
Sonic the Hedgehog -
Squall Leonhart -

Cloud Strife -
Samus Aran -
Link -
Sephiroth -

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: Xcarvengerx | Posted: 10/30/2007 11:08:19 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake 27.27%
Sonic the Hedgehog 25.26%
L-Block 25.25%
Squall Leonhart 22.22%

Link 37.11%
Cloud Strife 27.77%
Sephiroth 17.77%
Samus Aran 17.35%

---
Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 10/30/2007 11:16:32 PM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife - 28.28%
Samus Aran - 13.14%
Link - 35.35%
Sephiroth - 23.23%

---
"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
From: GoldSlime35 | Posted: 10/30/2007 11:21:24 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 32%
L-Block - 22%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 28%
Squall Leonhart - 18%

Cloud Strife - 26%
Samus Aran - 12%
Link - 39%
Sephiroth - 23%
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 10/30/2007 11:28:23 PM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife - 28%
Samus Aran - 12%
Link - 38%
Sephiroth - 22%
---
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem Path of Raidance (replay), Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 10/30/2007 11:31:43 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 31.75%
L-Block - 22.75%
Sonic - 24.34%
Squall - 20.64%
---
If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula
From: satai_delenn | Posted: 10/31/2007 12:19:38 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 30.32%
L-Block - 13.60%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 31.07%
Squall Leonhart - 25.01%
---
My Contest Hero: Riku
Currently playing: Aria of Sorrow, Silent Hill 2, Super Mario RPG
From: Lopen | Posted: 10/31/2007 12:21:57 AM | Message Detail
Number 15... across the nation! Trust me, it happened! We just rock that hard.
---
"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 10/31/2007 12:51:50 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 35.00%
L-Block - 23.00%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 24.00%
Squall Leonhart - 18.00%
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: somdude04 | Posted: 10/31/2007 12:53:43 AM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife - 28.5%
Samus Aran - 20%
Link - 31%
Sephiroth - 20.5%

GJ
---
http://www.facebook.com/p/Grant_Johnson/9202808
From: TheKnightOfNee | Posted: 10/31/2007 12:59:36 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 30.76%
L-Block - 21.66%
Sonic - 26.07%
Squall - 21.51%
---
Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
Flamenco Strikes Back!! Return of Don!
From: _Lagoona_ | Posted: 10/31/2007 1:35:53 AM | Message Detail
.New pick:

Cloud Strife - 26.5%
Samus Aran - 18.5%
Link - 32%
Sephiroth - 23%

---
.Nobody is perfect , I'm nobody. :-
From: Gaddswell | Posted: 10/31/2007 1:53:24 AM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife - 25.84%
Samus Aran - 16.65%
Link - 35.15%
Sephiroth - 22.36%
---
Who the hell do you think you are getting off being so egotistical like that? - hochiminh155
http://i3.photobucket.com/albums/y69/unown_pnoi/brawlhypeclubheader.jpg
From: linkhatesganon | Posted: 10/31/2007 3:07:37 AM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife - 29.36%
Samus Aran - 17.22%
Link - 34.25%
Sephiroth - 19.17%
---
Onimimi's film rules!
From: meche313 | Posted: 10/31/2007 3:13:12 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 28%
L-Block - 22%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 28%
Squall Leonhart - 22%
From: supdawg | Posted: 10/31/2007 3:20:41 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 28.68%
L-Block - 26.73%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 25.95%
Squall Leonhart - 18.64%
---
Member Of The Book Club
09/10/07: When Will Smurf Eat Wang?
From: MartinFF7 | Posted: 10/31/2007 4:29:45 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 30.00%
L-Block - 24.00%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 25.00%
Squall Leonhart - 21.00%

Cloud Strife - 27.50%
Samus Aran - 17.00%
Link - 35.00%
Sephiroth - 20.50%

---
I'll see you in Hell! (From Heaven!)
From: Xuxon | Posted: 10/31/2007 5:12:21 AM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife - 29%
Samus Aran - 16%
Link - 35%
Sephiroth - 20%
---
FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
From: Haste_2 | Posted: 10/31/2007 5:27:14 AM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife - 26.5%
Samus Aran - 15%
Link - 38%
Sephiroth - 20.5%

L-Block - 23.00%
Solid Snake - 30.00%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 23.50%
Squall Leonhart - 23.50%

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: jonthomson | Posted: 10/31/2007 5:49:01 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 25%
L-Block - 25.01%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 25%
Squall Leonhart - 24.99%

Cloud Strife - 29%
Samus Aran - 14%
Link - 31%
Sephiroth - 26%
---
Jon Thomson - 317/448, next picks: Ganon beats Dante
Bracket analysis: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=37520975
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 10/31/2007 6:08:57 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 30%
L-Block - 25%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 30%
Squall Leonhart - 15%

Cloud Strife - 25%
Samus Aran - 15%
Link - 40%
Sephiroth - 20%
---
Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
MC/Luigi/Pikachu/Dante - Bracket: Ganon > Dante - Vote: Dante (375/460)
From: raytan7585 | Posted: 10/31/2007 6:13:49 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 34.50%
L-Block - 22.50%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 26.50%
Squall Leonhart - 16.50%

Cloud Strife - 26.50%
Samus Aran - 21.50%
Link - 28.50%
Sephiroth - 23.50%

---
raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
http://img142.imageshack.us/img142/2675/11584879241lc9.jpg
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 10/31/2007 6:49:41 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 29.19%
L-Block - 23.58%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 23.61%
Squall Leonhart - 23.63%
---
This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
From: Menji76 | Posted: 10/31/2007 6:52:18 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 30.00%
L-Block - 26.00%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 27.00%
Squall Leonhart - 23.00%

Cloud Strife - 29.00%
Samus Aran - 20.00%
Link - 31.00%
Sephiroth - 21.00%


---
Menji
What Will Never Be The Greatest.
From: StifledSilence | Posted: 10/31/2007 8:49:59 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 30%
L-Block - 27%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 26%
Squall Leonhart - 17%

Cloud Strife - 25%
Samus Aran - 20%
Link - 33%
Sephiroth - 22%


---
"Maybe because I believe Stifled to be an idiot. My apologies if this makes me an ass, I simply don't care." - Sir Chris
From: BZer0 | Posted: 10/31/2007 8:52:29 AM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife -31.00%
Samus Aran -17.00%
Link - 34.00%
Sephiroth - 18.00%
---
CBVI: 329/448
From: octoinky | Posted: 10/31/2007 8:55:58 AM | Message Detail
L-Block - 18.60%
Solid Snake - 30.50%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 26.25%
Squall Leonhart - 24.65%
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 10/31/2007 8:58:41 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 25%
L-Block - 25%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 25%
Squall Leonhart - 25%

Cloud Strife - 31%
Samus Aran - 15%
Link - 33%
Sephiroth - 21%

CLOUD > LINK FTW

---
Our life is short and our days run; as fast away as does the sun. And as a vapour or a drop of rain; once lost can ne'er be found again.
From: GrapefruitKing | Posted: 10/31/2007 9:05:53 AM | Message Detail
new safety

Cloud Strife - 30.87%
Samus Aran - 15.33%
Link - 32.05%
Sephiroth - 21.75%


---
Oracle Prediction: ~ Monster Chief 32.91% - Luigi 23.77% - Dante Hicks 23.64% - Piece of crap 19.68%~ Status: OK
From: IhatethisCPU | Posted: 10/31/2007 9:30:46 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 30%
L-Block - 30%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 30%
Squall Leonhart - 10%

Cloud Strife - 32%
Samus Aran - 5%
Link - 38%
Sephiroth - 25%
---
Those who reject salvation embrace ignorance. Now I shall return your tainted blood to the foul earth that hast spawned you!- Sean, DR
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 10/31/2007 9:34:10 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 28%
L-Block - 24%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 25%
Squall Leonhart - 23%
---
Demyx is better than Axel.
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 10/31/2007 10:25:38 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 30%
L-Block - 20%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 26%
Squall Leonhart - 24%

Cloud Strife - 30%
Samus Aran - 15%
Link - 35%
Sephiroth - 20%

---
Happily married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. Congrats to Jordin Sparks, American Idol 2007 ^_^
From: KingBartz | Posted: 10/31/2007 11:10:28 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 30%
L-Block - 20%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 26%
Squall Leonhart - 24%

Cloud Strife - 27%
Samus Aran - 20%
Link - 30%
Sephiroth - 23%

---
ya watever
From: entropyx | Posted: 10/31/2007 11:27:21 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 31.40%
L-Block - 18.50%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 27.50%
Squall Leonhart - 22.60%
---
Philadelphia Eagles [3 - 4] ; Philadelphia 76ers [0 - 0]
Philadelphia Flyers [7 - 3 - 0] Points: 14
From: basmeyer42 | Posted: 10/31/2007 11:36:29 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake 30%
Sonic the Hedgehog 27%
L-Block 19%
Squall Leonhart 24%
From: Tomoyo | Posted: 10/31/2007 11:45:14 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 30.91%
L-Block - 22.05%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 25.12%
Squall Leonhart - 21.92%

Cloud Strife - 29.15%
Samus Aran - 14.89%
Link - 37.82%
Sephiroth - 18.14%
---
Tooi Kono Machi De-"daisuki datta ano uta furui teepu no naka chiisana kizu iro aseta taitoru nijinda yoake"
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 10/31/2007 12:12:49 PM | Message Detail
Clueless on the first one. Stupid L-Block...

Solid Snake - 28.12%
L-Block - 22.77%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 26.61%
Squall Leonhart - 22.5%

Cloud Strife - 29%
Samus Aran - 16%
Link - 34%
Sephiroth - 21%
---
spud2002 is alive! >_>
From: Yesmar | Posted: 10/31/2007 12:32:44 PM | Message Detail
Snake: 30.53%
Sonic: 26.93%
L-Block: 21.27%
Squall: 21.27%
---
"Look out-- It's Liquids and Gases!"
From: ScorpionX3 | Posted: 10/31/2007 12:47:21 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 32%
L-Block - 25%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 24%
Squall Leonhart - 19%

Cloud Strife - 30%
Samus Aran - 16%
Link - 36%
Sephiroth - 18%
_-
I need another Guru Contest to get another signature...
From: daniel2424 | Posted: 10/31/2007 1:18:48 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 30.24%
L-Block - 24.24%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 28.24%
Squall Leonhart - 17.28%

Cloud Strife - 22.24%
Samus Aran - 8.28%
Link - 39.24%
Sephiroth - 30.24%
---
If you think the fastest way to a man's heart is through his stomach, you're aiming about 8 inches too high.
From: DaruniaTheGoron | Posted: 10/31/2007 1:27:49 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 28%
L-Block - 22%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 27%
Squall Leonhart - 23%
---
SC2k7: 88/128, tied for 1364th
Today's Pick: Mega Man > Knux (whoops)
From: oneills1 | Posted: 10/31/2007 2:20:17 PM | Message Detail
New pick

Cloud Strife - 27.89%
Samus Aran - 18.45%
Link - 35.77%
Sephiroth - 17.89%

CHANGE

L-Block - 19.00%
Solid Snake - 32.25%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 26.50%
Squall Leonhart - 22.25%
---
Axalon0
Philadelphia Eagles---> 3 - 4
From: XIII_rocks | Posted: 10/31/2007 2:44:04 PM | Message Detail
L-Block - 100.00%
Solid Snake - 0.0%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 0.0%
Squall Leonhart - 0.0%
---
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=34492787 Sign plz
"NOT MY DAUGHTER, YOU *****!" - Molly Weasley, Deathly Hallows
From: Jmast7 | Posted: 10/31/2007 3:13:26 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 36%
L-Block - 16%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 34%
Squall Leonhart - 14%

Cloud Strife - 31%
Samus Aran - 9.50%
Link - 39%
Sephiroth - 20.50%
---
Everything happens for a reason...
Lost Theories and Reviews: http://mistakingcoincidence.blogspot.com/
From: Vlado | Posted: 10/31/2007 3:26:14 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 29.16%
L-Block - 17.04%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 30.04%
Squall Leonhart - 23.76%
---
Its hard being a wolf when ur surrounded by a herd of sheep. - Mozzezz
Love.
From: DSRage_Revived | Posted: 10/31/2007 3:30:03 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 28%
L-Block - 22%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 26%
Squall Leonhart - 24%

---
This has been DSRage.
From: AerisDS | Posted: 10/31/2007 3:46:06 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 27%
L-Block - 23%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 25%
Squall Leonhart - 25%

Cloud Strife - 27%
Samus Aran - 16%
Link - 38%
Sephiroth - 19%
---
Now in portable form!
http://img519.imageshack.us/img519/3943/haruhi3mx8.gif
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 10/31/2007 3:58:23 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 29.20%
L-Block - 23.30%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 23.82%
Squall Leonhart - 23.66%
---
This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
From: Camden | Posted: 10/31/2007 4:01:58 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake with 28%
Sonic with 24%
L-Block with 24%
Squall with 24%

Like I have any clue whatsoever for this match.
---
Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
When someone is giving you his opinion, you should receive it with deep gratitude even though it is worthless. -Yamamoto Tsunetomo
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