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SC2k8 Oracle Challenge - Round 1 - Divisions 2-4
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/24/2008 2:32:23 PM | Message Detail
The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Summer Contest you need to predict the percentage of the vote that each contestant will receive. New participants are always accepted - please indicate that you are new and predict at least three matches.

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. This means you need four predictions and four lines per match. Your predictions must start with the name of the character and end with your predicted percentage. Examples:

Strider Hiryu - 45%
Tina Armstrong - 24%
Bub 27%
Chop Chop Master Onion with 4%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use a weird format. Your predictions don't have to add up to 100%, but it is recommended. =)

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. The winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most total points at the end of the contest. For each match you can score between 0 and 50 points, depending on how close your guesses were to the actual results. The scoring system works as follows:

You will earn 50-(w+x+y+z)/4 points
(Where w,x,y and z are the differences between your guesses and the characters' actual percentages.)
You can also think of this as 50 - the average difference between your guesses and the actual results.

Example:

Your guess:
Strider Hiryu - 65%
Tina Armstrong - 15%
Bub - 10%
Chop Chop Master Onion - 10%

My guess:
Strider Hiryu - 50%
Tina Armstrong - 20%
Bub - 17%
Chop Chop Master Onion - 13%

Actual result:
Strider Hiryu 60%, Tina Armstrong 22%, Chop Chop Master Onion 11%, Bub 7%

Your points: 50 - [(65-60) + (22-15) + (10-7) + (11-10)]/4 = 46 points
My points: 50 - [(60-50) + (22-20) + (17-7) + (13-11)]/4 = 44 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of four clear predictions per match. The sum of your predictions in a match does not need to be equal to 100.00%.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else's. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made five minutes before the usual start time of that match's poll (approx. 11:55pm EST, 10:55am CST, 8:55pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent cheating and to reduce confusion.
6) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users, I already know about it).
7) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
8) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Prizes

Given the difficulty of predicting four different characters, King Morgoth and I have decided to offer a special prize this contest. Anyone who gets a perfect score of 50.00 for a match will get a free new game of their choice! (Maximum cost of $60 USD). The overall contest winner also gets a free game, courtesy of solarshadow, creator of the Oracle Challenge!
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/24/2008 2:32:44 PM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

Oracle Discussion Topic
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=45221968

We are now accepting predictions for the the first four divisions of round 1.

Division 2
Lloyd Irving -
Mudkip -
Tom Nook -
Mega Man X -

Division 3
Crash Bandicoot -
Nightmare -
Raz -
Samus Aran -

Frog -
Ganondorf -
KOS-MOS -
Neku Sakuraba -

Falco Lombardi -
GlaDOS -
Vincent Valentine -
Wander -

Balthier Bunansa -
Big Daddy -
Gordon Freeman -
Scorpion -

Division 4
Amaterasu -
Crono -
Frank West -
Kaim Argonar -

L-Block -
Meta Knight -
Ryu (Street Fighter) -
The Dog -

Alucard
Captain Falcon -
Diddy Kong
Kratos Aurion -

Arthas Menethil -
Ike -
Pikachu -
Spy -

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: ShatteredElysium | Posted: 9/24/2008 3:04:39 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 19.7%
Mega Man X - 44.5%
Mudkip - 25.2%
Tom Nook - 11.6%

Uber safe pretty much going with the consensus pick since I'm in a rush today >_>
From: espio4000 | Posted: 9/24/2008 3:15:41 PM | Message Detail
Amaterasu - 21.78%
Crono - 54.23%
Frank West - 14.23%
Kaim Argonar -9.76%

L-Block - 34.56%
Meta Knight - 21.23%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 27.72%
The Dog - 16.49%

Alucard - 34.12%
Captain Falcon - 21.56%
Diddy Kong - 20.57%
Kratos Aurion - 23.75%

Arthas Menethil - 26.98%
Ike - 27.19%
Pikachu - 38.19%
Spy - 7.64%
---
Georgia Tech: 3-1 Next Game: Duke
BRAWL FC: 4983-4610-7004 MK:Wii:FC: 4811-7347-9446
From: Wii_TuRtLe | Posted: 9/24/2008 3:54:45 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 17%
Mudkip - 25%
Tom Nook - 13%
Mega Man X -45%
From: Osmachenko | Posted: 9/24/2008 4:21:13 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 17.01%
Mudkip - 28.12%
Tom Nook - 10.87%
Mega Man X - 44.00%
---
Drop the DS, grab a Wii! ...
... RAAAAAAAAAAAAGE
From: Osmachenko | Posted: 9/24/2008 5:18:51 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Lloyd Irving - 17.01%
Mudkip - 27.12%
Tom Nook - 11.87%
Mega Man X - 44.00%
---
Drop the DS, grab a Wii! ...
... RAAAAAAAAAAAAGE
From: Iubaris | Posted: 9/24/2008 5:27:22 PM | Message Detail
Change

Lloyd Irving - 18.60%
Mega Man X - 41.28%
Mudkip - 26.21%
Tom Nook - 14.11%
---
It's iubaris, not Lubaris.
Bracket: 18 points || Oracle: 39th || Guru: 22nd
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 9/24/2008 6:01:13 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Lloyd Irving - 18.00%
Mega Man X - 42.00%
Mudkip - 25.00%
Tom Nook - 15.00%

---
128 character battle royale? My head hurts.
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
From: Iubaris | Posted: 9/24/2008 6:03:51 PM | Message Detail
Change

Lloyd Irving - 19.20%
Mega Man X - 41.28%
Mudkip - 26.41%
Tom Nook - 13.01%
---
It's iubaris, not Lubaris.
Bracket: 18 points || Oracle: 39th || Guru: 22nd
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 9/24/2008 6:04:38 PM | Message Detail
Crash Bandicoot - 21%
Nightmare - 25%
Raz - 10%
Samus Aran - 44%

Frog - 29%
Ganondorf - 35%
KOS-MOS - 25%
Neku Sakuraba - 11%

Falco Lombardi - 29%
GlaDOS - 23%
Vincent Valentine - 41%
Wander - 7%

Balthier Bunansa - 25%
Big Daddy - 21%
Gordon Freeman - 24%
Scorpion - 30%

Amaterasu - 25%
Crono - 45%
Frank West - 17%
Kaim Argonar - 13%

L-Block - 25%
Meta Knight - 25%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 30%
The Dog - 20%

Alucard - 30%
Captain Falcon - 26%
Diddy Kong - 24%
Kratos Aurion - 20%

Arthas Menethil - 21%
Ike - 28%
Pikachu - 38%
Spy - 13%

---
128 character battle royale? My head hurts.
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
From: smitelf | Posted: 9/24/2008 6:09:25 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Lloyd Irving - 18.66%
Mudkip - 25%
Tom Nook - 11.02%
Mega Man X - 45.32%
---
Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Biden/Obama...er, I mean Obama/Biden '08!
From: KleenexTissue50 | Posted: 9/24/2008 6:09:48 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Lloyd Irving - 20.31%
Mudkip - 25.74%
Tom Nook - 15.42%
Mega Man X - 38.53%
---
CB7 Score: 16/24 - Two in a row.
English is my second language. And Sho made me like math. -_HarpuiaX_
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 9/24/2008 6:11:32 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 19.00%
Mega Man X - 45.00%
Mudkip - 21.00%
Tom Nook - 15.00%
---
Brawl FC: 0344-8961-0822
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 9/24/2008 6:25:20 PM | Message Detail
Crash Bandicoot - 12%
Nightmare - 26%
Raz - 18%
Samus Aran - 49%

Frog - 26%
Ganondorf - 35%
KOS-MOS - 26%
Neku Sakuraba -13%

Falco Lombardi - 23%
GlaDOS - 20%
Vincent Valentine - 43%
Wander - 14%

Balthier Bunansa - 16%
Big Daddy - 18%
Gordon Freeman - 28%
Scorpion - 38%

Division 4
Amaterasu - 20%
Crono - 47%
Frank West - 18%
Kaim Argonar - 15%

L-Block - 25%
Meta Knight - 20%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 35%
The Dog - 20%

Alucard - 33%
Captain Falcon - 24%
Diddy Kong - 23%
Kratos Aurion - 20%

Arthas Menethil - 25%
Ike - 20%
Pikachu - 30%
Spy - 15%
---
Brawl FC: 0344-8961-0822
From: meche313 | Posted: 9/24/2008 6:27:54 PM | Message Detail
Crash Bandicoot - 17.6%
Nightmare - 19.4%
Raz - 10.2%
Samus Aran - 54%

Frog - 27.1%
Ganondorf - 45%
KOS-MOS - 20%
Neku Sakuraba - 8.8%

Falco Lombardi - 25.4%
GlaDOS - 15.3%
Vincent Valentine - 51%
Wander - 8.3%

Balthier Bunansa - 20%
Big Daddy - 15.2%
Gordon Freeman - 29.4%
Scorpion - 34.4%

---
The one and only.
Brawl FC: 1375-6860-1887
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 9/24/2008 6:30:37 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 17.47%
Mudkip - 26.54%
Tom Nook - 12.01%
Mega Man X - 43.99%
---
A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
From: satai_delenn | Posted: 9/24/2008 6:35:11 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 20.55%
Mudkip - 23.77%
Tom Nook - 16.31%
Mega Man X - 39.37%
---
Attention, all yoctograms! (It's x2) DIE!
From: Xuxon | Posted: 9/24/2008 6:38:25 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 19.03%
Mudkip - 25.45%
Tom Nook - 10.35%
Mega Man X - 45.27%
---
DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/19, before Captain Crow
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
From: cyko | Posted: 9/24/2008 6:47:48 PM | Message Detail
Amaterasu - 22.71%
Crono - 51.08%
Frank West - 11.49%
Kaim Argonar - 14.72%

L-Block - 24.03%
Meta Knight - 24.82%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 35.68%
The Dog - 15.47%

Alucard - 33.71%
Captain Falcon - 19.79%
Diddy Kong - 25.31%
Kratos Aurion - 21.09%

Arthas Menethil - 24.51%
Ike - 25.73%
Pikachu - 36.49%
Spy - 13.27%

---
WARNING: EXPLICIT CONTENT...
is the guru champion of awesomeness.
From: Salient | Posted: 9/24/2008 6:50:42 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 18.00%
Mudkip - 25.00%
Tom Nook - 12.00%
Mega Man X - 45.00%
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: Justin_Crossing | Posted: 9/24/2008 6:54:22 PM | Message Detail
I find it convenient that I don't have to change my prediction. Anyways, I would just like to express my dismay for my partner not posting past division two, seeing as tomorrow is the last match.

But luckily, tomorrow's my birthday so I don't give a damn! ^_^
---
Justin's CB Points: 20 | Points After this Round: 22
Today: Mario > Knuckles | Tomorrow: Megaman X > Mudkip
From: CherryCokes | Posted: 9/24/2008 7:03:52 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 21.75%
Mudkip - 23.66%
Tom Nook - 16.71%
Mega Man X - 37.88%
---
[The Dainty Assassins]
From: Metal Goomba | Posted: 9/24/2008 7:07:08 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Lloyd Irving - 17.21%
Mega Man X - 41.73%
Mudkip - 28.48%
Tom Nook - 12.58%
---
-MG-
From: TheKnightOfNee | Posted: 9/24/2008 7:12:07 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 19.31%
Mudkip - 24.47%
Tom Nook - 11.90%
Mega Man X - 44.32%
---
Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
"you have to cut weiner holes in all of your hats, sorry" -gotspork
From: Tomoyo | Posted: 9/24/2008 7:14:51 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Lloyd Irving - 13.92%
Mega Man X - 46.31%
Mudkip - 26.77%
Tom Nook - 13.00%
---
Tooi Kono Machi De-"daisuki datta ano uta furui teepu no naka chiisana kizu iro aseta taitoru nijinda yoake"
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 9/24/2008 7:15:26 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 17.50%
Mudkip - 26.30%
Tom Nook - 14.60%
Mega Man X - 42.60%

Crash Bandicoot - 16%
Nightmare - 25%
Raz - 9%
Samus Aran - 50%

Frog - 27%
Ganondorf - 39%
KOS-MOS - 21%
Neku Sakuraba - 13%

Falco Lombardi - 27%
GlaDOS - 23%
Vincent Valentine - 42%
Wander - 8%

Balthier Bunansa - 22%
Big Daddy - 17%
Gordon Freeman - 28%
Scorpion - 35%

Amaterasu - 24%
Crono - 44%
Frank West - 18%
Kaim Argonar - 14%

L-Block - 27%
Meta Knight - 22%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 35%
The Dog - 15%

Alucard - 35%
Captain Falcon - 20%
Diddy Kong - 25%
Kratos Aurion - 20%

Arthas Menethil - 25%
Ike - 21%
Pikachu - 39%
Spy - 15%
---
Moltar Status: augh
Fei/Knuckles/Mario/Zelda - Bracket: Mario > Knuckles - Vote: Knuckles (16/24)
From: TVontheRadio | Posted: 9/24/2008 7:16:59 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Lloyd Irving - 19.31%
Mudkip - 24.46%
Tom Nook - 14.72%
Mega Man X - 41.51%
---
all you need
From: Z1mZum | Posted: 9/24/2008 7:31:54 PM | Message Detail
Going out of town, so I'm posting some really terrible guesses, which are about the same as my usual guesses.

Division 2
Lloyd Irving - 21%
Mudkip - 24%
Tom Nook - 13%
Mega Man X - 42%

Division 3
Crash Bandicoot - 21%
Nightmare - 30%
Raz - 10%
Samus Aran - 39%

Frog - 29%
Ganondorf - 41%
KOS-MOS - 21%
Neku Sakuraba - 9%

Falco Lombardi - 27.5%
GlaDOS - 29.5%
Vincent Valentine - 35%
Wander - 8%

Balthier Bunansa - 18%
Big Daddy - 17%
Gordon Freeman - 30%
Scorpion - 35%

Division 4
Amaterasu - 29%
Crono - 43%
Frank West - 13%
Kaim Argonar - 15%

L-Block - 27%
Meta Knight - 24%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 30%
The Dog - 19%

Alucard- 31%
Captain Falcon - 25%
Diddy Kong- 23%
Kratos Aurion - 21%

Arthas Menethil - 23%
Ike - 30%
Pikachu - 27%
Spy - 20%
---
Former All-knowing guru.
Explicit Content and the L-Block were in bed together for a Guru win.
From: Billy Blaze | Posted: 9/24/2008 7:35:11 PM | Message Detail
Change

Lloyd Irving - 16.00%
Mega Man X - 49.00%
Mudkip - 25.00%
Tom Nook - 10.00%

---
Redtooth
From: Lady Ashe | Posted: 9/24/2008 7:48:01 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 17%
Mega Man X - 43%
Mudkip - 25%
Tom Nook - 15%
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 9/24/2008 7:53:50 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Lloyd Irving - 17.89%
Mudkip - 23.25%
Toom Nook - 11.92%
Mega Man X - 46.94%

---
[Multiple Scorgasms]
Score: 18/28 Today's Pick: Mega Man X > Mudkip
From: Paratroopa1 | Posted: 9/24/2008 7:54:15 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 20.34%
Mudkip - 24.15%
Tom Nook - 13.78%
Mega Man X - 41.73%
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:10:50 PM | Message Detail
Change -

Lloyd Irving - 19.50%
Mega Man X - 44.00%
Mudkip - 25.00%
Tom Nook - 11.50%
---
caps
From: meche313 | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:16:31 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Lloyd Irving - 20%
Mega Man X - 41.7%
Mudkip - 26.3%
Tom Nook - 12%

---
The one and only.
Brawl FC: 1375-6860-1887
From: Metal Goomba | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:18:07 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Lloyd Irving - 17.21%
Mega Man X - 42.53%
Mudkip - 27.68%
Tom Nook - 12.58%
---
-MG-
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:19:17 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 17.87%
Mudkip - 24.27%
Tom Nook - 16.54%
Mega Man X - 41.32%
---
One of the most troublesome things in life is that what you do or do not want has little to do with what does or does not happen. 4983 - 4640 - 3352 Brawl Code
From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:21:28 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 18.18%
Mudkip - 25.06%
Tom Nook - 12.15%
Mega Man X - 44.61%
---
Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:29:01 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Lloyd Irving - 18.50%
Mudkip - 24.00%
Tom Nook - 12.00%
Mega Man X - 45.50%
---
What do you think of the planetarium? The beautiful twinkling of eternity that will never fade, no matter when. All the stars in all the sky are waiting for you
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:33:09 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 18.25%
Mudkip - 26.25%
Tom Nook - 15.64%
Mega Man X - 39.86%

---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 16/24 Today's Match: Mario > Knuckles
From: kaonashi1 | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:33:37 PM | Message Detail
Change:
Lloyd Irving - 18.46%
Mudkip - 23.88%
Tom Nook - 11.24%
Mega Man X - 46.42%
From: Gaddswell | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:34:23 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE
Lloyd Irving - 18.17%
Mega Man X - 42.32%
Mudkip - 25.67%
Tom Nook - 13.84%
---
http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
From: mammerjammer | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:35:35 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 19%
Mudkip - 23%
Tom Nook - 11%
Mega Man X - 47%
From: raytan7585 | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:37:01 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 21.00%
Mega Man X - 35.00%
Mudkip - 27.00%
Tom Nook - 17.00%

---
raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
Haruhi/Mikuru vs Kyon/Koizumi: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ORRx7gfebCE
From: mammerjammer | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:37:57 PM | Message Detail
Crash Bandicoot - 10%
Nightmare - 30%
Raz - 5%
Samus Aran - 55%
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:40:06 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Lloyd Irving - 18.00%
Mudkip - 23.50%
Tom Nook - 11.50%
Mega Man X - 47.00%
---
What do you think of the planetarium? The beautiful twinkling of eternity that will never fade, no matter when. All the stars in all the sky are waiting for you
From: amyvitality66 | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:40:12 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 20.00%
Mega Man X - 39.00%
Mudkip - 31.00%
Tom Nook - 10.00%

---
amyvitality, The Cream of Final Fantasy IX Fangirlism.
"Ecchi is bad." - Mahoro Andou
From: amyvitality66 | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:41:11 PM | Message Detail
Change:

Lloyd Irving - 20.00%
Mega Man X - 43.00%
Mudkip - 27.00%
Tom Nook - 10.00%


---
amyvitality, The Cream of Final Fantasy IX Fangirlism.
"Ecchi is bad." - Mahoro Andou
From: PeaceOut64 | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:42:07 PM | Message Detail
Change

Lloyd Irving - 17.7%
Mega Man X - 44.3%
Mudkip - 24.9%
Tom Nook - 13.1%
---
My goal since I joined the Leafs has always been to have on the ice a team as good as our fans. We have never quite gotten there. Some day we will. - Ken Dryden
From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 9/24/2008 8:42:11 PM | Message Detail
Lloyd Irving - 18.01%
Mudkip - 24.59%
Tom Nook - 12.10%
Mega Man X - 45.30%
---
Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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