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SC2k8 Oracle Challenge - Round 3 (topic 2)
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:06:46 PM | Message Detail
The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Summer Contest you need to predict the percentage of the vote that each contestant will receive. New participants are always accepted - please indicate that you are new and predict at least three matches.

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. This means you need four predictions and four lines per match. Your predictions must start with the name of the character and end with your predicted percentage. Examples:

Strider Hiryu - 45%
Tina Armstrong - 24%
Bub 27%
Chop Chop Master Onion with 4%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use a weird format. Your predictions don't have to add up to 100%, but it is recommended. =)

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. The winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most total points at the end of the contest. For each match you can score between 0 and 50 points, depending on how close your guesses were to the actual results. The scoring system works as follows:

You will earn 50-(w+x+y+z)/4 points
(Where w,x,y and z are the differences between your guesses and the characters' actual percentages.)
You can also think of this as 50 - the average difference between your guesses and the actual results.

Example:

Your guess:
Strider Hiryu - 65%
Tina Armstrong - 15%
Bub - 10%
Chop Chop Master Onion - 10%

My guess:
Strider Hiryu - 50%
Tina Armstrong - 20%
Bub - 17%
Chop Chop Master Onion - 13%

Actual result:
Strider Hiryu 60%, Tina Armstrong 22%, Chop Chop Master Onion 11%, Bub 7%

Your points: 50 - [(65-60) + (22-15) + (10-7) + (11-10)]/4 = 46 points
My points: 50 - [(60-50) + (22-20) + (17-7) + (13-11)]/4 = 44 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of four clear predictions per match. The sum of your predictions in a match does not need to be equal to 100.00%.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else's. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made before the usual start time of the match (Midnight Eastern, 9pm Pacific, 5am GMT). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent cheating and to reduce confusion.
6) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users, I already know about it).
7) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
8) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Prizes

Given the difficulty of predicting four different characters, King Morgoth and I have decided to offer a special prize this contest. Anyone who gets a perfect score of 50.00 for a match will get a free new game of their choice! (Maximum cost of $60 USD). The overall contest winner also gets a free game, courtesy of solarshadow, creator of the Oracle Challenge!
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:07:05 PM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

Oracle Discussion Topic
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=45756075

We are now accepting predictions for all remaining round 3 matches.

Liquid Snake -
Luigi -
Mario -
Mega Man X -

Samus Aran -
Ganondorf -
Vincent Valentine -
Gordon Freeman -

Crono -
L-Block -
Pikachu -
Alucard -

Mega Man -
Weighted Companion Cube -
Solid Snake -
Zero -

Squall Leonhart -
Sora -
Cloud Strife -
Mewtwo -

Kirby -
Master Chief -
Dante -
Leon Kennedy -

Auron -
Sonic the Hedgehog -
Sephiroth -
Kratos (God of War) -

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: Xcarvenger | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:10:31 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man X - 29.92%
Mario - 29.29%
Liquid Snake - 22.92%
Luigi - 17.87%

Samus Aran - 34.50%
Vincent Valentine - 27.77%
Gordon Freeman - 19.19%
Ganondorf - 18.54%

Crono - 31.31%
L-Block - 26.26%
Pikachu - 23.23%
Alucard - 19.19%

Solid Snake - 35.11%
Mega Man - 25.52%
Weighted Companion Cube - 24.96%
Zero - 14.41%

Cloud Strife - 45.77%
Squall Leonhart - 18.88%
Sora - 18.11%
Mewtwo - 17.24%

Dante - 28.89%
Kirby - 28.08%
Leon Kennedy - 22.02%
Master Chief - 21.01%

Sephiroth - 40.77%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 22.11%
Kratos (God of War) - 19.30%
Auron - 17.82%

---
Kweh! Kweh!!! --> http://backloggery.com/main.php?user=xcarvenger
For all your board 8 needs: www.board8.wikia.com
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:10:46 PM | Message Detail
Predictions from KingBartz:

Megaman - 28%
Cube - 19%
Snake - 32%
Zero - 21%

Squall - 20%
Sora - 16%
Cloud - 37%
Mewtwo - 27%

Kirby - 26%
Master Chief - 27%
Dante - 26%
Leon - 21%

Auron - 26%
Sonic - 27%
Sephiroth - 27%
Kratos - 20%

Link - 32%
Zack - 17%
Mario - 25%
Mega Man X - 26%
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: Xuxon | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:13:19 PM | Message Detail
safeteeeeeeeee

Mega Man - 23%
Weighted Companion Cube - 27%
Solid Snake - 35%
Zero - 15%

Squall Leonhart - 18%
Sora - 19%
Cloud Strife - 45%
Mewtwo - 18%

Kirby - 27%
Master Chief - 25%
Dante - 24%
Leon Kennedy - 24%

Auron - 20%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 25%
Sephiroth - 35%
Kratos (God of War) - 20%
---
DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts)
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:15:56 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 23.98%
Luigi - 16.48%
Mario - 30.09%
Mega Man X - 29.46%
---
A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:16:36 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man - 28.05%
Weighted Companion Cube - 26.55%
Solid Snake - 32.10%
Zero - 13.30%

Squall Leonhart - 21.06%
Sora - 20.87%
Cloud Strife - 45.28%
Mewtwo - 12.79%

Kirby - 22.43%
Master Chief - 22.43%
Dante - 30.03%
Leon Kennedy - 25.11%

Auron - 25.02%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 25.52%
Sephiroth - 35.15%
Kratos (God of War) - 14.31%
---
Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
From: Justin_Crossing | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:17:41 PM | Message Detail
Mario - 31.16%
Luigi - 17.22%
Mega Man X - 29.11%
Liquid Snake - 22.51%
---
Gaaah my GameFOX sig reset and I'm too lazy to change it back.
From: Camden | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:23:20 PM | Message Detail
Can't decide if I want to take the X risk or not.

Liquid Snake - 24%
Luigi - 17%
Mario - 30%
Mega Man X - 29%

Samus Aran - 29%
Ganondorf - 23%
Vincent Valentine - 30%
Gordon Freeman - 18%

Crono - 32%
L-Block - 28%
Pikachu - 22%
Alucard - 18%

Mega Man - 26%
Weighted Companion Cube - 27%
Solid Snake - 32%
Zero - 15%

Squall Leonhart - 23%
Sora - 23%
Cloud Strife - 30%
Mewtwo - 24%

Kirby - 27%
Master Chief - 22%
Dante - 25%
Leon Kennedy - 26%

Auron - 20%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 27%
Sephiroth - 32%
Kratos (God of War) - 21%
---
Wildcard, *****es! Yeeeeeehaaaaw! -Charlie
Orange poop! Orange poop! -Billy
From: Salient | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:27:40 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 22.00%
Luigi - 17.00%
Mario - 31.00%
Mega Man X - 30.00%
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:32:51 PM | Message Detail
Kirby - 24.43%
Master Chief - 22.43%
Dante - 29.53%
Leon Kennedy - 23.61%

Auron - 23.52%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 24.52%
Sephiroth - 34.75%
Kratos (God of War) - 16.21%
---
Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:33:07 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man X - 31.07%
Mario - 30.97%
Liquid Snake - 22.92%
Luigi - 15.04%

---
Check out the '08 Guru Site! http://thengamer.com/guru/
Other Hot Content: thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com
From: th3l3fty | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:37:10 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 21.86%
Luigi - 16.67%
Mario - 30.91%
Mega Man X - 30.56%
---
thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:45:33 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 25.42%
Luigi - 8.23%
Mario - 33.52%
Mega Man X - 32.83%

---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 179/256 Today's Match: Link > Lucario
From: Iubaris | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:47:10 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 24.00%
Luigi - 19.00%
Mario - 28.00%
Mega Man X - 29.00%
---
It's iubaris, not Lubaris.
Bracket: 199 points || Oracle: 29th || Guru: 4th || Leaderboard: 12th
From: oneills1 | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:47:51 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Liquid Snake - 20.20%
Luigi - 17.95%
Mario - 31.10%
Mega Man X - 30.75%

New

Samus Aran - 32.90%
Ganondorf - 22.15%
Vincent Valentine - 27.55%
Gordon Freeman - 17.40%

Crono - 32.65%
L-Block - 27.25%
Pikachu - 22.45%
Alucard - 17.65%
---
Axalon0
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:50:55 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 24%
Luigi - 16%
Mario - 30%
Mega Man X - 30%
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: Justin_Crossing | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:51:55 PM | Message Detail
Mario - 31.16%
Luigi - 16.52%
Mega Man X - 29.41%
Liquid Snake - 22.91%
---
Gaaah my GameFOX sig reset and I'm too lazy to change it back.
From: DpObliVion | Posted: 11/5/2008 7:54:41 PM | Message Detail
Mario - 32%
Mega Man X - 29%
Liquid Snake - 23.50%
Luigi - 15.50%

---
NEW YORK GIANTS: SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS!!
Shea Stadium - My home. You will be missed. 1964-2008
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:00:39 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 22.30%
Luigi - 16.10%
Mario - 32.10%
Mega Man X - 29.50%

Samus Aran - 35%
Ganondorf - 17%
Vincent Valentine - 31%
Gordon Freeman - 17%

Crono - 35%
L-Block - 30%
Pikachu - 20%
Alucard - 15%
---
This is not my GameFOX sig...
Therefore, it doesn't exist!
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:03:05 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 23.43%
Luigi - 20.43%
Mario - 33.54%
Mega Man X - 30.54%
---
One of the most troublesome things in life is that what you do or do not want has little to do with what does or does not happen. 0946 - 2039 - 9847 Brawl Code
From: paulg235 | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:05:08 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man - 26.50%
Weighted Companion Cube - 25.15%
Solid Snake - 33.50%
Zero - 14.85%

Squall Leonhart - 21.75%
Sora - 24.25%
Cloud Strife - 32.50%
Mewtwo - 21.50%

Kirby - 29.30%
Master Chief - 26.15%
Dante - 23.45%
Leon Kennedy - 21.10%

Auron - 21.25%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 27.50%
Sephiroth - 32.50%
Kratos (God of War) - 18.75%

---
The Gamer In Me
From: GoldSlime35 | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:05:26 PM | Message Detail
Change:

Liquid Snake - 24.00%
Luigi - 17.00%
Mario - 30.00%
Mega Man X - 29.00%
From: Camden | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:07:57 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 24%
Luigi - 16%
Mario - 30.5%
Mega Man X - 29.5%
---
Wildcard, *****es! Yeeeeeehaaaaw! -Charlie
Orange poop! Orange poop! -Billy
From: amyvitality66 | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:08:37 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 25.00%
Luigi - 17.50%
Mario - 29.50%
Mega Man X - 28.00%

---
amyvitality, The Cream of Final Fantasy IX Fangirlism.
"Ecchi is bad." - Mahoro Andou
From: kaonashi1 | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:11:04 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 23.42%
Luigi - 14.55%
Mario - 31.60%
Mega Man X - 30.43%
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:12:39 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 23.75%
Luigi - 17.25%
Mario - 29.85%
Mega Man X - 29.15%
---
caps
From: Metal Goomba | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:19:26 PM | Message Detail
NEW

Mega Man - 26.81%
Weighted Companion Cube - 22.86%
Solid Snake - 34.24%
Zero - 16.09%

Squall Leonhart - 17.16%
Sora - 19.73%
Cloud Strife - 40.56%
Mewtwo - 22.55%

Kirby - 27.76%
Master Chief - 28.02%
Dante - 22.56%
Leon Kennedy - 21.66%

Auron - 20.45%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 25.22%
Sephiroth - 34.94%
Kratos (God of War) - 19.39%
---
-MG-
From: Z1mZum | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:20:23 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 19%
Luigi - 21%
Mario - 30%
Mega Man X - 30%
---
Former All-knowing guru.
Explicit Content and the L-Block were in bed together for a Guru win.
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:20:53 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 23.00%
Luigi - 15.00%
Mario - 31.00%
Mega Man X - 31.00%
---
What do you think of the planetarium? The beautiful twinkling of eternity that will never fade, no matter when. All the stars in all the sky are waiting for you
From: PeaceOut64 | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:24:09 PM | Message Detail
Change

Liquid Snake - 24.8%
Luigi - 15.3%
Mario - 30.7%
Mega Man X - 29.2%
---
My goal since I joined the Leafs has always been to have on the ice a team as good as our fans. We have never quite gotten there. Some day we will. - Ken Dryden
From: mammerjammer | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:26:17 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 19%
Luigi - 17%
Mario - 32%
Mega Man X - 32%
From: Ed Bellis | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:28:24 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 23%
Luigi - 17%
Mario - 28%
Mega Man X - 32%
---
This was KING BELLIS LOL
ed status: that's not news, it's just a coffee
From: Redtooth | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:31:05 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 24%
Luigi - 22%
Mario - 24%
Mega Man X - 30%

Samus Aran - 31%
Ganondorf - 20%
Vincent Valentine - 30%
Gordon Freeman - 19%

Crono - 30%
L-Block - 25%
Pikachu - 25%
Alucard - 20%

Mega Man - 25%
Weighted Companion Cube - 25%
Solid Snake - 33%
Zero - 17%

Squall Leonhart - 23%
Sora - 17%
Cloud Strife - 37%
Mewtwo - 23%

---
Explicit Content, what else has to be said?
From: KleenexTissue50 | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:41:30 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 24.21%
Luigi - 19.37%
Mario - 28.97%
Mega Man X - 27.45%
---
CB7 Score: 188/256
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg
From: DSiRage | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:42:44 PM | Message Detail
Let's do this

Liquid Snake - 25%
Luigi - 15%
Mario - 31%
Mega Man X - 29%
---
I'm DS, with more functionality than ever ...
... RAAAAAAAAAAAAGE
From: creativename | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:44:12 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 23.75%
Luigi - 15.50%
Mario - 30.75%
Mega Man X - 30%
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:48:02 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 23.98%
Luigi - 16.25%
Mario - 30.32%
Mega Man X - 29.46%
---
A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
From: Xeybozn | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:48:46 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 26%
Luigi - 16%
Mario - 29%
Mega Man X - 29%
---
Character Battle VII: Current score: 189/256
My bracket: http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=27
From: meche313 | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:51:11 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 23.50%
Luigi - 16.70%
Mario - 29.90%
Mega Man X - 29.90%
---
The one and only.
[The Happy Happyists]
From: Camden | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:51:14 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 24%
Luigi - 15.75%
Mario - 30.5%
Mega Man X - 29.75%
---
Wildcard, *****es! Yeeeeeehaaaaw! -Charlie
Orange poop! Orange poop! -Billy
From: WalrusJump | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:51:27 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man - 28.9%
Weighted Companion Cube - 25.05%
Solid Snake - 31.45%
Zero - 15.6%

Squall Leonhart - 16.3%
Sora - 17.45%
Cloud Strife - 47.8%
Mewtwo - 18.45%

Kirby - 28.15%
Master Chief - 27.05%
Dante - 25.45%
Leon Kennedy - 19.35%

Auron - 13.25%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 32.6%
Sephiroth - 39.15%
Kratos (God of War) - 15%
---
Some mistakes are good. You were not. - Alec
http://img126.imageshack.us/img126/8787/1174485118442ge3.jpg
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:52:45 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 23.50%
Luigi - 16.25%
Mario - 30.50%
Mega Man X - 29.75%
---
Explicit Content is shaped like a boot to kick my ass!
Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:54:07 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 23.65%
Luigi - 16.19%
Mario - 30.55%
Mega Man X - 29.62%
---
A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
From: Salient | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:55:48 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 23.00%
Luigi - 16.60%
Mario - 30.70%
Mega Man X - 29.70%
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:56:58 PM | Message Detail
*shrugs*

Liquid Snake - 23.50%
Luigi - 16.25%
Mario - 30.25%
Mega Man X - 30.00%
---
Explicit Content is shaped like a boot to kick my ass!
Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
From: smitelf | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:57:07 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 21%
Luigi - 17.5%
Mario - 29.5%
Mega Man X - 31%
---
Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Biden/Obama...er, I mean Obama/Biden '08!
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:57:38 PM | Message Detail
Liquid Snake - 23.35%
Luigi - 16.19%
Mario - 30.70%
Mega Man X - 29.77%
---
A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
From: Justin_Crossing | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:57:40 PM | Message Detail
Mario - 31.16%
Luigi - 16.12%
Mega Man X - 29.81%
Liquid Snake - 22.91%
---
Gaaah my GameFOX sig reset and I'm too lazy to change it back.
From: smitelf | Posted: 11/5/2008 8:57:51 PM | Message Detail
Whoops, that's just 99%...

Liquid Snake - 22%
Luigi - 17.5%
Mario - 29.5%
Mega Man X - 31%
---
Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Biden/Obama...er, I mean Obama/Biden '08!
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