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SC2k8 Oracle Challenge - Round 5
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:05:39 PM | Message Detail
Welcome to the GameFAQs Oracle Challenge!

The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Summer Contest you need to predict the percentage of the vote that each contestant will receive. New participants are always accepted - please indicate that you are new and predict at least three matches.

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. This means you need four predictions and four lines per match. Your predictions must start with the name of the character and end with your predicted percentage. Examples:

Strider Hiryu - 45%
Tina Armstrong - 24%
Bub 27%
Chop Chop Master Onion with 4%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use a weird format. Your predictions don't have to add up to 100%, but it is recommended. =)

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. The winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most total points at the end of the contest. For each match you can score between 0 and 50 points, depending on how close your guesses were to the actual results. The scoring system works as follows:

You will earn 50-(w+x+y+z)/4 points
(Where w,x,y and z are the differences between your guesses and the characters' actual percentages.)
You can also think of this as 50 - the average difference between your guesses and the actual results.

Example:

Your guess:
Strider Hiryu - 65%
Tina Armstrong - 15%
Bub - 10%
Chop Chop Master Onion - 10%

My guess:
Strider Hiryu - 50%
Tina Armstrong - 20%
Bub - 17%
Chop Chop Master Onion - 13%

Actual result:
Strider Hiryu 60%, Tina Armstrong 22%, Chop Chop Master Onion 11%, Bub 7%

Your points: 50 - [(65-60) + (22-15) + (10-7) + (11-10)]/4 = 46 points
My points: 50 - [(60-50) + (22-20) + (17-7) + (13-11)]/4 = 44 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of four clear predictions per match. The sum of your predictions in a match does not need to be equal to 100.00%.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else's. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made before the usual start time of the match (Midnight Eastern, 9pm Pacific, 5am GMT). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent cheating and to reduce confusion.
6) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users, I already know about it).
7) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
8) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Prizes

Given the difficulty of predicting four different characters, King Morgoth and I have decided to offer a special prize this contest. Anyone who gets a perfect score of 50.00 for a match will get a free new game of their choice! (Maximum cost of $60 USD). The overall contest winner also gets a free game, courtesy of solarshadow, creator of the Oracle Challenge!
---
Explicit Content is shaped like a boot to kick my ass!
Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:06:06 PM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

Oracle Discussion Topic
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=45756075

This topic is ONLY accepting predictions for the semi-final matches. A separate topic will be setup soon for the final match.

ROUND 5
Link -
Mario -
Samus Aran -
Crono -

Cloud Strife -
Solid Snake -
Sephiroth -
Sonic the Hedgehog -

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
---
Explicit Content is shaped like a boot to kick my ass!
Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
From: Xcarvenger | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:08:07 PM | Message Detail
Link - 41.11%
Mario - 22.44%
Crono - 21.21%
Samus Aran - 15.24%

Cloud Strife - 33.77%
Solid Snake - 31.35%
Sephiroth - 17.77%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 17.11%

Sonic may not win <_<

---
Kweh! Kweh!!! --> http://backloggery.com/main.php?user=xcarvenger
For all your board 8 needs: www.board8.wikia.com
From: WalrusJump | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:11:46 PM | Message Detail
Link - 43.05%
Mario - 20.05%
Samus Aran - 14.25%
Crono - 22.65%

Cloud Strife - 34.85%
Solid Snake - 29.65%
Sephiroth - 20.35%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 15.15%
---
Some mistakes are good. You were not. - Alec
http://img126.imageshack.us/img126/8787/1174485118442ge3.jpg
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:14:41 PM | Message Detail
Some round 5 predictions from the last topic (hope I didn't miss any) -
Starion:
Link - 39.33%
Mario - 21.75%
Samus Aran - 15.47%
Crono - 23.45%
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:15:01 PM | Message Detail
Whoops... Starion
Link - 40%
Mario - 23%
Samus - 14%
Crono - 23%
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:15:36 PM | Message Detail
We are now also accepting prediction for this Round 5 match:

ROUND 5
Cloud Strife -
Solid Snake -
Sephiroth -
Kirby -

Calling a match 10-minutes in >> Calling a match 5-minutes in
---
Explicit Content is shaped like a boot to kick my ass!
Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:16:07 PM | Message Detail
Metal Goomba
Link - 39.33%
Mario - 21.75%
Samus Aran - 15.47%
Crono - 23.45%
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: paulg235 | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:19:23 PM | Message Detail
Link - 38.00%
Mario - 21.50%
Samus Aran - 16.00%
Crono - 24.50%
---
The Gamer In Me
From: Xuxon | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:19:38 PM | Message Detail
Link - 40%
Mario - 20.5%
Samus Aran - 16%
Crono - 23.5%
---
DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts)
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:22:32 PM | Message Detail
Link - 40%
Mario - 22%
Samus Aran - 13%
Crono - 25%
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: PeaceOut64 | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:29:50 PM | Message Detail
Link - 39.1%
Mario - 22.7%
Samus Aran - 14.9%
Crono - 23.3%

Cloud Strife - 34.1%
Solid Snake - 29.2%
Sephiroth - 19.4%
Kirby - 17.3%
---
My goal since I joined the Leafs has always been to have on the ice a team as good as our fans. We have never quite gotten there. Some day we will. - Ken Dryden
From: Camden | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:33:17 PM | Message Detail
ROUND 5
Link - 38%
Mario - 21%
Samus Aran - 16%
Crono - 25%
---
Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Wildcard, *****es! Yeeeeeehaaaaw! -Charlie
From: Iubaris | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:35:06 PM | Message Detail
Link - 38.00%
Mario - 23.00%
Samus Aran - 14.00%
Crono - 25.00%

Cloud Strife - 34.00%
Solid Snake - 27.00%
Sephiroth - 22.00%
Kirby - 17.00%
---
It's iubaris, not Lubaris.
Bracket: 359 points || Oracle: 27th
From: Menji76 | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:37:13 PM | Message Detail
Link - 36.20%
Mario - 22.00%
Samus Aran - 18.00%
Crono - 20.00%

---
Menji
From: Xuxon | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:42:03 PM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife - 32%
Solid Snake - 28%
Sephiroth - 19%
Kirby - 21%
---
DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts)
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:52:29 PM | Message Detail
Luster Soldier:
Link - 37.61%
Mario - 21.68%
Samus Aran - 16.53%
Crono - 24.18%
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 11/15/2008 9:59:12 PM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife - 34.92%
Solid Snake - 25.43%
Sephiroth - 21.45%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 18.20%

Cloud Strife - 35.06%
Solid Snake - 25.01%
Sephiroth - 20.95%
Kirby - 18.98%
---
Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/15/2008 10:53:18 PM | Message Detail
DON'T PREDICT BOTH POSSIBLE MATCHES, IT WON'T WORK. If possible just wait until we know who's going to win today before you try to predict match 62.
---
I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 11/15/2008 10:58:37 PM | Message Detail
Link - 39.00%
Mario - 17.00%
Samus Aran - 15.00%
Crono - 29.00%
---
Crono's quest to beat Link:
Link vs. Crono vs. Mario vs. Samus
From: _Lagoona_ | Posted: 11/15/2008 11:01:25 PM | Message Detail
.Don't have much time, but I need to get a pred in:

Link - 38.5%
Mario - 22.5%
Crono - 20.5%
Samus Aran - 18.5%


---
.Nobody is perfect, I'm nobody. :-
*Blob*
From: creativename | Posted: 11/16/2008 12:12:48 AM | Message Detail
Link - 39%
Mario - 21.5%
Samus Aran - 15.5%
Crono - 24%

Cloud Strife - 33%
Solid Snake - 28%
Sephiroth - 20%
Kirby - 19%

Cloud Strife - 33%
Solid Snake - 28%
Sephiroth - 20%
Kirby - 19%
---
Save_Us.RAT
BREAK THE BLOCK DOWN
From: creativename | Posted: 11/16/2008 12:13:30 AM | Message Detail
That second one is meant to be...

Cloud Strife - 33%
Solid Snake - 28%
Sephiroth - 20%
Sonic - 19%
---
Save_Us.RAT
BREAK THE BLOCK DOWN
From: Xuxon | Posted: 11/16/2008 12:16:39 AM | Message Detail
You can't predict for both scenarios, creative. Though I just noticed now Sonic actually still has a chance here.
---
DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/24, Marcello defeated (12 attempts)
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
From: GrapefruitKing | Posted: 11/16/2008 1:56:35 AM | Message Detail
safety!

Link 39.00%
Mario 22.00%
Samus Aran 17.00%
Crono 22.00%
From: linkhatesganon | Posted: 11/16/2008 3:00:32 AM | Message Detail
Link - 41.48%
Mario - 21.54%
Samus Aran - 15.46%
Crono - 21.52%
---
Please, don't insult me - Vlado about British blood
SSBB FC code - 3007-9626-4713
From: Gaddswell | Posted: 11/16/2008 3:15:13 AM | Message Detail
Link - 39.03%
Mario - 23.24%
Samus Aran - 14.76%
Crono - 22.97%

And since Kirby's up by almost 1100...

Cloud Strife - 35.13%
Solid Snake - 25.36%
Sephiroth - 18.87%
Kirby - 20.64%
---
http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDaGWrPcjb8
From: Scumach Volas | Posted: 11/16/2008 3:57:06 AM | Message Detail
Link - 39%
Mario - 22%
Samus Aran - 14%
Crono - 25%

---
I could be wrong now, but I don't think so.
From: Sephirot1 Returns | Posted: 11/16/2008 5:31:37 AM | Message Detail
Link - 37.23%
Mario - 20.01%
Samus Aran - 17.15%
Crono - 25.61%

---
Pokemon FC (Shinies and Eved): 1461 3516 7136
Pokemon FC: (Events): 3523 0783 7797
From: cyko | Posted: 11/16/2008 5:57:02 AM | Message Detail
Link - 39.19%
Mario - 22.34%
Samus Aran - 16.10%
Crono - 22.37%

---
WARNING: EXPLICIT CONTENT...
is the guru champion of awesomeness.
From: linkhatesganon | Posted: 11/16/2008 5:58:28 AM | Message Detail
Link - 40.48%
Mario - 21.54%
Samus Aran - 16.46%
Crono - 21.52%
---
Please, don't insult me - Vlado about British blood
SSBB FC code - 3007-9626-4713
From: Ayvuir | Posted: 11/16/2008 6:08:06 AM | Message Detail
Link - 39.11%
Mario - 24.44%
Crono - 22.21%
Samus Aran - 15.24%

Cloud Strife - 31.77%
Solid Snake - 31.35%
Sephiroth - 21.77%
Kirby - 15.11%

---
~C~
Thinking people wouldn't vote Vincent was YOUR final fantasy - Some_Character
From: meche313 | Posted: 11/16/2008 8:00:45 AM | Message Detail
Link - 36%
Mario - 22%
Samus Aran - 23%
Crono - 19%

---
The one and only.
[The Happy Happyists]
From: meche313 | Posted: 11/16/2008 8:03:35 AM | Message Detail
It looks having faith in Samus is getting me no where.

CHANGE:

Link - 37%
Mario - 22.5%
Samus Aran - 18%
Crono - 22.5%

---
The one and only.
[The Happy Happyists]
From: oneills1 | Posted: 11/16/2008 8:11:07 AM | Message Detail
I'll do the other one when it's more clear what's happening...

Link - 39.95%
Mario - 21.05%
Samus Aran - 19.05%
Crono - 19.95%
---
Axalon0
From: _Yonex_ | Posted: 11/16/2008 8:16:01 AM | Message Detail
ROUND 5
Link - 36%
Mario - 23%
Samus Aran - 16%
Crono - 25%

Cloud Strife - 33%
Solid Snake - 27%
Sephiroth - 21%
Kirby - 19%
---
I ask out girls that look like they've got STDs. I feel bad for them. - Princess Anri
http://img.imgcake.com/Yonex/lyricalwizard.gif
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 11/16/2008 8:21:27 AM | Message Detail
Link - 37.00%
Mario - 20.00%
Samus Aran - 15.00%
Crono - 28.00%
---
What do you think of the planetarium? The beautiful twinkling of eternity that will never fade, no matter when. All the stars in all the sky are waiting for you
From: Osmachenko | Posted: 11/16/2008 8:59:40 AM | Message Detail
Link - 37%
Mario - 20%
Samus Aran - 16%
Crono - 27%
---
I'm DS, with more functionality than ever ...
... RAAAAAAAAAAAAGE
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 11/16/2008 10:22:01 AM | Message Detail
Link - 39.22%
Mario - 21.26%
Samus Aran - 17.28%
Crono - 22.24%

Cloud Strife - 32.84%
Solid Snake - 24.33%
Sephiroth - 23.61%
Kirby - 19.22%
---
http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg
Stay a while and breathe me in.
From: BZer0 | Posted: 11/16/2008 10:30:26 AM | Message Detail
Link - 37.46%
Mario - 21.52%
Samus Aran - 18.16%
Crono - 22.86%
---
SC2k8: 337/480
Next: Sephiroth > Master Chief
From: Ghost Cyborg | Posted: 11/16/2008 10:50:04 AM | Message Detail
Link 37.5%
Mario 22.5%
Samus Aran 15%
Crono 25%

---
Don't finish what you can't start.
From: RockMFR 5 | Posted: 11/16/2008 11:00:10 AM | Message Detail
Link - 37%
Mario - 23%
Samus Aran - 16%
Crono - 24%

Cloud Strife - 30%
Solid Snake - 26%
Sephiroth - 21%
Kirby - 23%
---
Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
From: neonreaper777 | Posted: 11/16/2008 11:28:23 AM | Message Detail
Link - 41%
Mario - 23%
Samus Aran - 18%
Crono - 18%

Cloud Strife - 37.5%
Solid Snake - 23.1%
Sephiroth - 23%
Kirby - 16.6%
---
Seriously neon you fail soooooooo much at being a user all the time. You're like Moar Fightos.
-Link The Midgit
From: KleenexTissue50 | Posted: 11/16/2008 12:21:02 PM | Message Detail
Link - 40.03%
Mario - 22.71%
Samus Aran - 12.74%
Crono - 24.52%

Cloud Strife - 34.26%
Solid Snake - 31.44%
Sephiroth - 19.63%
Kirby - 14.67%
---
CB7 Score: 376/480
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg
From: Lopen | Posted: 11/16/2008 12:39:29 PM | Message Detail
XD, Kirby owned the Oracle Challenge

Link - 39.45%
Crono - 21.72%
Mario - 21.71%
Samus - 17.12%

Cloud Strife - 25.67%
Solid Snake - 27.11%
Sephiroth - 19.11%
Kirby - 28.11%
---
Kirby's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 4 - Seph/Sonic/Dante.
Target: 48% GAME FUEL, Nekkid Cartwheels, Snake Proxy, all powers belong to Kirby.
From: SenpaiDessus | Posted: 11/16/2008 1:29:35 PM | Message Detail
Link - 39%
Mario - 21%
Samus Aran - 16%
Crono - 24%

Cloud Strife - 35%
Solid Snake - 26%
Sephiroth - 21%
Kirby - 18%
---
Gandhi loved you, and look what happened to Gandhi.
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 11/16/2008 1:34:24 PM | Message Detail
Link - 40%
Mario - 20%
Samus Aran - 15%
Crono - 25%

Cloud Strife - 32%
Solid Snake - 26%
Sephiroth - 20%
Kirby - 22%
---
This is not my GameFOX sig...
Therefore, it doesn't exist!
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 11/16/2008 1:44:21 PM | Message Detail
Link - 36%
Mario - 22%
Samus Aran - 18%
Crono - 24%

Cloud Strife - 40%
Solid Snake - 20%
Sephiroth - 20%
Kirby - 20%
---
spud2002 is alive! >_>
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 11/16/2008 1:45:25 PM | Message Detail
Link - 37.5%
Mario - 22%
Samus Aran - 16.5%
Crono - 24%
---
spud2002 is alive! >_>
From: GoldSlime35 | Posted: 11/16/2008 1:47:24 PM | Message Detail
Link - 38%
Mario - 21%
Samus Aran - 18%
Crono - 23%
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