Message Detail
Board: ARCHIVE - SpC2k5 to SC2k6
Topic: SC2k7 Oracle Challenge - Pre-contest / Team Signup Topic
From: Darkash Posted: 8/14/2007 4:19:38 PM
Troubles in the Oracle contest!? No fear, it's DARKASH to the rescue!!!!

Ok, in all seriousness, I have an idea for scoring to float. Let me run it down;

Let's say we have a 4-way vote between A, B, C, and D. I guess

A with 35%
B with 30%.

Because I'm just so HAX, the final scoring is

A with 40%
B with 30%
C with 20%
D with 10%

Now, i propose that we score on a 100-X-Y scale. Under my proposed system, I would score 95 points. X would be the difference between one of my predictions(let's say the one for A, 35%) and its actual score(40%), or 5. Y would be the difference between B's prediction and actual score.(0, since I'm just that good).

"But, Darkash" (I hear you cry) "What if you're not so hax, and guess the wrong winners?"

Ah, that's where it gets interesting.

Lets say I picked B with 40% and C with 30%. Oh noes, I had one wrong! Well, we would do the scoring the same....

EXCEPT

The score would be 95-X-Y. In other words, 75. 95 - (40-30)-(30-20).

This penalizes you for guessing one winner wrong. Of course, if you GUESS both winners wrong, it would be 90-X-Y.

Now, the 100, 95, and 90 constants can be tweaked however Kaxon and KM desire. (Heck, so can all of this). Maybe 100/90/80 is the way to go? I don't know, that's up to the bosses. Opinions?
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All-time record holder for most top 5's in a single Oracle Challenge(12)
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!

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