Message Detail
Board: ARCHIVE - SpC2k5 to SC2k6
Topic: SC2k7 Oracle Challenge Discussion Topic 2
From: King Morgoth Posted: 9/17/2007 7:23:52 PM
Is it really always sunny in Philadelphia? I've got my suspicions...
Look at some Phily Cheese....does that look sunny to you? =P

Yay cookie! *gives Bidoof to KM as a souvenir* ^_^
I hope that's a plushie.....I really hope it is.......arrrrrrrrrrrrrrgh pets =P


Actually, I bet it's at least slightly positive. There are basically three factors that can make you change your prediction:
- Changing your mind; should be completely neutral
- New info based on the picture; should be slightly positive
- Other people's predictions; this is actually a good signal


Define slightly =P
- I'd expect that to be neutral
- Except in a few rare cases, I think it's pretty much agreed that pic factor is nonexistant. That could actually be slightly negative in the end since it could sway you away in the wrong direction....
- This one's interesting. I'm pretty sure that usually the "better" predictors make more changes than the others...getting closer to the average could possibly cost them points in the long run... It's all speculation anyway...

Two questions off-topic:
Why do I make such both weird and interesting typos?
Why do I hate job interviews so much?
---
Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)

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