Message Detail
Board: ARCHIVE - SpC2k5 to SC2k6
Topic: SC2k8 Oracle Challenge Discussion Topic 2
From: creativename Posted: 10/12/2008 1:59:40 PM
Xuxon
Not if Kirby shoots up to like 38 with the day vote, which I'm half expecting now. 37 at least, anyway. Then I'm basically tied with everyone who didn't hugely overestimate Kirby, predicted Jinjo >= his final percent, and had Jinjo+Lucas about equal to mine (24).

OK...couldn't quite follow this >_> I tried to but it made my head hurt, so I gave up.


Kaxon
Sadly, I'm probably going to be dropping 7 spots or more today... I don't know what I was thinking with Lucas at 15%! His game never came out in the US!

Really doubt you'll drop very much actually. Your Lucas pred is probably not that much above most people's actually. I had Lucas at 12.5% myself, and I know mine was lower than the good majority, and your's is only 2.5 points higher than mine. I doubt you're more than 1-1.5 points above the consensus.

The average prediction for Lucas was probably well over double what he's actually getting. Which has to be some sort of historic thing, come to think of it.
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