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SpC2k5 - Oracle Challenge - Round 4 - Final Four
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 5/29/2005 2:46:38 PM | Message Detail
The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs SpringContest you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of thevote they will receive. New participants are still being accepted untilat least the end of round 3 (please indicate that you are new and makea minimum of three picks).

Here are some examples of a valid entry:

Link with 85%
CATS - 60.05
Link over CATS 70.6%
Link vs. CATS 52%
Link 55.13

Thefirst option is preferable, but as long as it is clear which characteryou expect to win and what percentage you think it will achieve, youshould be alright.

The Scoring

For each match youwill earn points based on how close your guess was to the actualoutcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challengewill be the person with the most points at the end of the final match.For each match you can earn anywhere between 0 and 50 points. Thisdepends on whether you correctly picked the winner and how close yourguess was to the actual percentage. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-2x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: Link - 65%
My guess: CATS - 55%
Actual result: Link 60%, CATS 40%
Your points: 50 - (65-60) = 45 points
My points: 45 - 2*(55-40) = 15 points

Bonuspoints are awarded for the closest five guesses each match but do notfactor into the overall scoring. They are used only as a side ranking.Participants will also be ranked by average score from time to time.

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1)A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. Link -85.03%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%. Noalts, please. All predictions should be made with your main account tomake things easier on me. If you need to change accounts please let meknow.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different fromeverybody else’s guess. However, intentional and continuous predictionmimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made onefull hour before the usual start time of that match’s poll (approx.2:00am EST, 1:00am CST, 11:00pm PST). Predictions submitted after thistime will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictionswill be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4)You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject tothe rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to aprevious entry.
5) You many not delete any post in a predictiontopic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain thedeletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule (and to reduceconfusion).
6) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please make this very clear.
7) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
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SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 5/29/2005 2:47:52 PM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://members.lycos.co.uk/oraclechallenge/

I am now accepting predictions for both Final Four matches:
Bowser vs Sephiroth
Diablo vs Ganondorf

I am also still accepting predictions for the remaining match in Round 3:
Triforce Division
Ganondorf vs Dr. Robotnik

Please, if you are making Round 4 predictions for Diablo vs Ganondorf before the deadline for Ganondorf vs Dr. Robotnik, state so very clearly. Any prediction that does not clearly state so will be assumed to be for Round 3

Thefinal topic will be online around 10am, Pacific, on May 31st (Bowser vsSephiroth). If you can't make a prediction between that time and thefinal match, I will allow final match predictions in this topic. If youcan though, please refrain from making a prediction for the final matchin this topic, as it only makes my job harder. Thanks.
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SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 5/29/2005 2:48:57 PM | Message Detail
Match #26 Results:
Sephiroth 75.92%
Liquid Snake 24.08%

Sephirothdoesn't even break a sweat, tripling Liquid in an unexpected manner.The consensus was Sephiroth with 69.39% and the average was 43.47 points

Current Leaderboard

1) Dilated Chemist - 1143.63
2) King Morgoth - 1142.03
3) Rodri316 - 1139.86
4) creativename - 1122.44
5) Rufus Shinra 18 - 1112.63

Nochanges to the leaderboard today. Dilated Chemist makes himself somespace as he get a 1.60 point lead, everyone else follows pretty much asyesterday.

Full standings: http://members.lycos.co.uk/oraclechallenge/current.php?total=26

Best Five Picks:

1) CaptainFluffez - Sephiroth 75.58% (+49.66)
2) Starion - Sephiroth 74.81% (+48.89)
3) Heroic Viktor - Sephiroth 73.83% (+47.91)
4) Sephirot1 Returns - Sephiroth 73.57% (+47.65)
5) somdude04 - Sephiroth 72.12% (+46.20)

Everyoneundershot today, as CaptainFluffez grabs his 5th Top 5 for the win.Starion follows with his 3rd Top 5 while Heroic Viktor and somedude04get their 2nd. Sephirot1 Returns appears on the list for the first timethis season.

Complete match ranking: http://members.lycos.co.uk/oraclechallenge/current.php?match=26

Jenova Division Leaderboard
WINNER) King Morgoth - 321.55
2) SlayerofDeitys - 321.42
3) creativename - 319.37
4) Master Moltar - 317.74
5) Rodri316 - 317.53

KingMorgoth barely nails the Jenova Division title, as he tries to jinxhimself too! And considering he has Kefka winning today, it worked...

Second Phase Leaderboard
1) Rodri316 - 451.55
2) FastFalcon05 - 450.62
3) Janus5000 - 442.56
4) King Morgoth - 440.43
5) Garsha - 439.86

Rodri316 grabs 1st place from FastFalcon05 as they both have a good lead over the rest of the pack.

Coming up next:
Ruin Division Leaderboard
1) King Morgoth - 276.45
2) creativename - 270.14
3) cyko - 269.24
4) Dilated Chemist - 267.27
5) Rodri316 - 267.18
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SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 5/29/2005 2:50:00 PM | Message Detail
I appeared to have dropped my CHANGE AND NEW PICKS

Round 3
Old - Ganondorf with 60.94%
CHANGE - Ganondorf with 65.45%

Round 4
Sephiroth with 65.99%
Ganondorf with 60.35%
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar (GAC)
Kefka vs. Diablo - Bracket: Ridley - Vote: Kefka (34/40)
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 5/29/2005 2:51:03 PM | Message Detail
not sure what I predicted for this before. Ganon over Robotnik: 60.00%

Sephiroth over Bowser with 66.66%
Ganon over Diablo: 55.55%


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Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. "What game is Diablo from"- My friend
From: mr_BRIAN | Posted: 5/29/2005 2:54:46 PM | Message Detail
Sephiroth with 67.42%
Ganondorf with 66.66%
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SpC2k5: 32/36 Final four: Bowser, SEPHIROTH, Kefka, GANONDORF
*is Janus5000*
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 5/29/2005 2:56:14 PM | Message Detail
FINAL FOUR PREDICTIONS

Sephiroth wins with 65.34%
Ganondorf wins with 62.45%
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Spring Contest 2005 - Today's Pick: Ridley, Tomorrow's Pick: Ganondorf - 32/40 points
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 5/29/2005 2:59:59 PM | Message Detail
Round 3:

Change to Ganondorf with 59.62%

Round 4:

Sephiroth with 69.85%
Ganondorf with 56.97%
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO CATS
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 5/29/2005 3:04:27 PM | Message Detail
Oh, and sorry Morgoth, but I'm going away on the morning of the 31st, so...

Prediction for Championship:
Sephiroth with 70.50%
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO CATS
From: Camden | Posted: 5/29/2005 3:19:50 PM | Message Detail
Ganon with 62.5%
^^^^
Don't worry. Have a nectarine. -Christopher Walken
Good evening. I'm a talking rock. -Talking Rock
From: Salient | Posted: 5/29/2005 6:53:17 PM | Message Detail
Round 4 Predictions:

Sephy - 66.67%
Ganon - 61.48%
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: jonthomson | Posted: 5/29/2005 6:57:24 PM | Message Detail
Repost: Seph with 65.98%
Diablo with 50.01% (need to gambool)
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Jon Thomson - 34/40, today: Ridley, tomorrow: Ganondorf
Nominate Ridley for Summer Contest 2005
From: jonthomson | Posted: 5/29/2005 6:58:00 PM | Message Detail
Those are both round 4 predictions, obviously.
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Jon Thomson - 34/40, today: Ridley, tomorrow: Ganondorf
Nominate Ridley for Summer Contest 2005
From: Phediuk | Posted: 5/29/2005 7:46:33 PM | Message Detail
Sephiroth w/66%
Ganondorf w/60%
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 5/29/2005 7:48:15 PM | Message Detail
Tentative Final Four Updates

Sephiroth with 68.27%
Ganondorf with 58.27%

---
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
Team Dragostea Din Tei for Trivia XV
From: Paratroopa1 | Posted: 5/29/2005 7:48:17 PM | Message Detail
NEW PICKS FOR ROUND 4-

Sephiroth with 66.25%
Ganondorf with 58.72%
From: PeaceOut64 | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:23:47 PM | Message Detail
Ganondorf with 66.1%
---
My goal since Ijoined the Leafs has always been to have on the ice a team as good asour fans. We have never quite gotten there. Some day we will. - KenDryden
From: kaonashi1 | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:37:35 PM | Message Detail
Gwarg.

Round 3:
Ganondorf - 68%

Round 4:
Sephiroth - 69%
Ganondorf - 60.5%

And in case I can't make it for the final (highly possible),

Finals:
Sephiroth - 65.5%
From: alpha door | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:49:57 PM | Message Detail
Change for Ganondorf vs Robotnik:

Ganondorf with 63.86%
---
Official Chrono Trigger Fan
Currently Playing: Spc2k5
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:55:49 PM | Message Detail
Round 4:
Sephiroth with 62.9%

***
Albedo and I got PSYCHO CRUSHER'D by M.Bison and PepsiPlunge.
From: Fiop | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:56:36 PM | Message Detail
Seph over Bowser with 65.2%
---
He is always faithful.
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:58:47 PM | Message Detail
Actually...

Round 4: Sephiroth with 67.1%

***
Albedo and I got PSYCHO CRUSHER'D by M.Bison and PepsiPlunge.
From: Starion | Posted: 5/29/2005 9:59:25 PM | Message Detail
Repost thingy.

Rd3.
---------
Ganondorf 66.67%

Rd4.
---------
Sephiroth 57.93%
Ganondorf 56.78%

---
A soda a day invites tooth decay.
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:05:29 PM | Message Detail
Round 4:
Ganondorf with 58.1%

***
Albedo and I got PSYCHO CRUSHER'D by M.Bison and PepsiPlunge.
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:07:49 PM | Message Detail
Change: Ganondorf with 65.78%

Round 4

Sephiroth with 67.56%
Ganondorf with 57.86%
From: Rodri316 | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:28:13 PM | Message Detail
Last CHANGE:

Round 3:

Ganondorf - 61.76%
---
Current Match Prediction -- Kefka vs. Diablo
Spring 2005 Contest -- 39/40 points
From: Darkash | Posted: 5/29/2005 10:47:40 PM | Message Detail
Ganondorf: 64.74%
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Winner of The GOLD Triforce in scientist pg's riddle contest!
From: creativename | Posted: 5/29/2005 11:33:29 PM | Message Detail
Round 3:

Change:
Ganon with 62%

Final Four:

Sephiroth with 68%
Ganon with 59%
---
www.SC2K5.com
From: Haste2 | Posted: 5/29/2005 11:35:14 PM | Message Detail
Change: Ganondorf - 67.02%

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Heroic Mario | Posted: 5/29/2005 11:43:21 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE: Ganon with 65%

Sephiroth with 68%
Ganon with 60%

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“Yousee, at this point… I’m pretty much the Queen ***** of the Universe.And not all of your little soldiers or space ships will stand in my wayagain.”
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 5/29/2005 11:46:26 PM | Message Detail
For tomorrow I predict that Ganondorf will win with 66.78% of the vote,but I submit that I have no idea what I'm doing anymore. or rather thatthis whole contest, filled to the brim with weaklings, has warpedreality.
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One who knows nothing can understand nothing.
"Revenge is a dish best served cold." - Old Klingon Proverb
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 5/30/2005 12:00:11 AM | Message Detail
Hey, I got the last post in the last topic ^_^

... That post is valid, right?

***
Albedo and I got PSYCHO CRUSHER'D by M.Bison and PepsiPlunge.
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 5/30/2005 12:14:21 AM | Message Detail
kawaiifan's predictions:
Sephiroth with 67% (over Bowser)
Ganondorf with 58% (over Diablo)

Eggplant Lord:
Everything posted in the previous topic has been entered.
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SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 5/30/2005 12:33:06 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE: Ganondorf with 52.5%

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Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 5/30/2005 12:33:44 AM | Message Detail
Round 3:
CHANGE: Ganondorf with 62.5%

I almost did it again!

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Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 5/30/2005 1:15:18 AM | Message Detail
Round 3:
Ganondorf with 62.00%
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 5/30/2005 1:16:52 AM | Message Detail
I'm still afraid that I'm underestimating Robotnik, somehow...final change for tomorrow's match:

Ganondorf with 58.68%
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO CATS
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 5/30/2005 1:25:34 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE: Ganondorf with 64.75%

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Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 5/30/2005 1:29:33 AM | Message Detail
Seph shocked us against a Lake we had thought was decently strong. Ithink Ganon's going to show his strength tomorrow in about the samefashion.

Ganon with-

Wait, just saw the pic. Ok, he probably can't blow Robo out looking like that.

Ganon with 65.67%

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: Xuxon | Posted: 5/30/2005 1:36:09 AM | Message Detail
Ganondorf over Dr. Robotnik with 60.86%
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"Let'sdrop this Xbox statue on Naomi's head! Oof! This thing's big! It'lltake over 3 years for it to start selling!" ~ Jaguar, Sega Fantasy VI
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 5/30/2005 1:38:19 AM | Message Detail
Ganondorf - 63.79%
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"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 2: "Sundial" (260 points)
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 5/30/2005 1:58:10 AM | Message Detail
Time to take some kind of risk...
Ganondorf with 57.95%
---
SpC2k4 - Triple Crown Winner! (Spread Betting, Betting, Oracle)
SC2k4 - 12th place!
From: Z1mZum | Posted: 5/30/2005 2:00:22 AM | Message Detail
Sephiroth with 66.66%

Oh hell. Give me Diablo with 50.50%.
---
I'm charming, but I dip into the Prozac now and then.
Team Six!
From: Lagoona | Posted: 5/30/2005 2:29:32 AM | Message Detail
.Round 4 predictions.

Bowser vs Sephiroth - Sephiroth with 64.61%
Diablo vs Ganondorf - Ganondorf with 56.84%

---
Nobody's perfect, I'm nobody.
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 5/30/2005 3:10:18 AM | Message Detail
Ganondorf 72.53% 631
Dr. Robotnik 27.47% 239
TOTAL VOTES 870

Should've went with my gut feeling on this one, eh Morgoth?

---
Beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder.
From: Ringworm | Posted: 5/30/2005 3:35:20 AM | Message Detail
Sephiroth: 58.19%

Ganondorf 55.48%

I'll leave the final match prediction for later, but I'll probably forget about it. I'll TRY to remember.
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~ Ringworm ~
From: Ringworm | Posted: 5/30/2005 3:37:05 AM | Message Detail
I'm going to plummet down the rankings with these last few tips - mayas well go even lower. Seems I may have undershot on both predictions Ijust made, just last my last two picks :)
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~ Ringworm ~
From: CaptainFlufflez | Posted: 5/30/2005 4:04:35 AM | Message Detail
Sephiroth with 67.82%
Diablo with 50.02%

I'mnot exactly doing very well for someone with 5 top 5's. that'sbasically 20% top 5 finishes. So I may as well go with the stupid pickof Diablo since it's all for giggles anyways. ggz everyone.

---
Against Kefka, HaRRicH said Wesker < 43%. I said Wesker > 43%...
...turns out 29.63% < 43%, as well as HaRRicH > CaptainFlufflez. Learn to love it.
From: Lagoona | Posted: 5/30/2005 5:11:03 AM | Message Detail
.Wow, did anyone predict even 70% for G? Everyone seems to have underestimated him by a lot...
---
Nobody's perfect, I'm nobody.
From: Rufus Shinra 18 | Posted: 5/30/2005 8:04:22 AM | Message Detail
FINAL FOUR PICKS

Sephiroth with 61.99
Ganondorf with 58.90



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Nel mezzo del cammin di nostra vita - mi ritrovai per una selva oscura - che la diritta via era smarrita
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