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SC2k5 - Oracle Challenge - Round 1 - 20XX Division
From: OmegaRagnarok | Posted: 8/10/2005 7:49:24 AM | Message Detail
Do I see a #1 Pick for me today?

OH YEAH!

GO KNUCKLES!

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Holy crap, I was banned! oh well. Life goes on.
From: meche313 | Posted: 8/10/2005 8:37:51 AM | Message Detail
From: meche313 | Posted: 8/8/2005 6:17:58 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Dante with 64.89%



WTF!?! I put Dante instead of Vincent? I would had 4% more! I suck, really. Another stupid error and this one can't be change I think ;__;

When you're going down, there's nothing that can help you out, really.
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/10/2005 9:32:37 AM | Message Detail
What's the consensus Kaxon?

60.77% for Magus. No Knuckles predictions. Still not as bad as Squall-Luigi, but the fact that no one got it right is amazing.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 21/22 | Today: Magus over Knuckles
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/10/2005 9:33:19 AM | Message Detail
What's that mean? Does everyone incur a penalty of some sorts?
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Javman162 | Posted: 8/10/2005 9:46:27 AM | Message Detail
Sonic - 88.12%
Diablo - 59.43%
Tifa - 77.89%
Luigi - 83.65%
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:14:09 AM | Message Detail
60.77% for Magus. No Knuckles predictions. Still not as bad as Squall-Luigi, but the fact that no one got it right is amazing.

So this is true....a WIN with the wrong character....you have got to be kidding me. At least I'm gaining a point and a half on the consensus, but damn, this is one of those unexpected things that noone ever thought was possible...

Knuckles: 40.46 on Snake ->
Snake: 42.81 on Mega Man ->
Mega Man: 32.39 on Link

Crono: 34.93 on Link

I love how everyone's blaming it on the X-Sts. Seriously, you don't need to have X-Sts to figure out what should have happened *points up*; it's not a matter of the X-Sts being wrong, it's a matter of 2k3 results being now totally worthless due to some (unexpectedly drastic) voter pool change....

oh and while I'm at it:
Geno with 50.00%

>_>
<_<
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:27:43 AM | Message Detail
What's that mean? Does everyone incur a penalty of some sorts?

We'll be using the same scoring as always, but since everyone's wrong that means everyone gets 45-2x points.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 21/22 | Today: Magus over Knuckles
From: Starion | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:39:51 AM | Message Detail
But do you think this will be the worst performance ever in Oracle History? You said something earlier about Squall/Luigi but that one had some people who picked the correct winner. Since no one guessed Magus (and he loses), this has to be even worse than the Squall/Luigi one, right?
From: meche313 | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:44:30 AM | Message Detail
so...Kaxon, can you help me out on that last one? I'd jump 7 spots if that 'Dante' changes into Vincent.

PS: At that moment, you couldn't pick for Dante as the match had started already, and everyone was picking for Vincent, being me the only one who didn't. I can't believe no one that posted on those minutes saw that I put Dante, or even yourself.

So, sorry if I'm getting on your nerves. If you can't change it, well, I'd undertand.
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 8/10/2005 11:00:34 AM | Message Detail
But do you think this will be the worst performance ever in Oracle History? You said something earlier about Squall/Luigi but that one had some people who picked the correct winner. Since no one guessed Magus (and he loses), this has to be even worse than the Squall/Luigi one, right?

The difference is that most people were TWENTY % off on Squall/Luigi, our average today is going to score 10-12 points more than that match actually.
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/10/2005 11:38:26 AM | Message Detail
so...Kaxon, can you help me out on that last one? I'd jump 7 spots if that 'Dante' changes into Vincent.

Sorry meche, I can't change it. Although I know you probably meant Vincent, there's nothing in the post that said it. I have to go by the name that's written.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 21/22 | Today: Magus over Knuckles
From: meche313 | Posted: 8/10/2005 11:54:39 AM | Message Detail
That's ok then. Guess I have no luck in this kinds of things. I'll soon go all the way down, so don't worry.


Though, I'd like to know what made me write Dante instead of Vincent <.<

I suck.
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: Camden | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:03:16 PM | Message Detail
Damn, and I have Magus taking the division.

Squall with 65%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 21/22 - Current:Magus over Knuckles
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:27:44 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Squall with 72.84%
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:29:36 PM | Message Detail
Man I'd have been much better off if I was avidly paying attention to this. (from Terra and Kerrigan)

Anyway, CHANGE.

Squall with 70.02%.
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Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: Darkash | Posted: 8/10/2005 12:56:05 PM | Message Detail
Wow. Let's see, If Magus finishes at 49.99, with my prediction of 65.34.. carry the 2, add 3... I get 15 points. Ouch. No more top 5 for Darkash.
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1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4!
From: Paratroopa1 | Posted: 8/10/2005 1:52:07 PM | Message Detail
Wow, a 58% prediction for Magus might not be so horrible today...

CHANGE -

Squall with 74.50%
Diablo with 65.78%
From: Xuxon | Posted: 8/10/2005 2:23:50 PM | Message Detail
Squall with 74%
Sonic with 82%
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"Let's drop this Xbox statue on Naomi's head! Oof! This thing's big! It'll take over 3 years for it to start selling!" ~ Jaguar, Sega Fantasy VI
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 8/10/2005 2:35:17 PM | Message Detail
well, at least no one will be getting any points today.....

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Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. "My Father? You mean my Dad?" Fei Fong Wong
From: Dekar TKB | Posted: 8/10/2005 4:09:15 PM | Message Detail
Change: Squall with 66.66

I hate going this high. :^(.
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If you knew the number of the steps you would ever take, bitter I wonder: would you run or cease to walk?
www.rpgdl.com
From: Dekar TKB | Posted: 8/10/2005 4:09:58 PM | Message Detail
Change: Squall with 66.66%

Yay forgetting percentages.
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If you knew the number of the steps you would ever take, bitter I wonder: would you run or cease to walk?
www.rpgdl.com
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/10/2005 4:10:42 PM | Message Detail
From: Darkash | Posted: 8/10/2005 8:56:05 PM | #366
Wow. Let's see, If Magus finishes at 49.99, with my prediction of 65.34.. carry the 2, add 3... I get 15 points. Ouch. No more top 5 for Darkash.

Could be worse, you could have picked Kerrigan yesterday. No points whatsoever. At least I've got a low Magus pick as compensation.
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: Rodri316 | Posted: 8/10/2005 4:21:47 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 74.00%
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Summer 2005 Contest -- Current Score: 21/22
Today's Prediction -- Magus vs. Knuckles the Echidna
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/10/2005 6:19:12 PM | Message Detail
Squall with 71.50%.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 8/10/2005 6:20:35 PM | Message Detail
This is gonna be worse than Ness/CJ. At least 4 guys had Ness winning.
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Summer 2005 Contest - 20/22 points
Current Match Prediction: Magus vs. Knuckles the Echidna
From: meche313 | Posted: 8/10/2005 6:23:19 PM | Message Detail
Let's see if I have enough luck by not changing my safe pick for this match. It may be a little high, but with the weird things we've seen here, I would expect Squall to kill Geno.
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That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 8/10/2005 6:38:21 PM | Message Detail
Chaos Division
Sonic over Jin Kazama with 78.2%
Kratos Aurion over Diablo with 50.2%
Tifa Lockheart over Vyse with 69.2%
Luigi over KOS-MOS with 51.2%

===
Oh. My. God.
Did the PS2's light just change color...?!
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 8/10/2005 6:51:07 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Squall with 72.77%
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: Camden | Posted: 8/10/2005 6:53:02 PM | Message Detail
Squall with 76.54%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 21/22 - Current:Magus over Knuckles
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/10/2005 8:09:46 PM | Message Detail
Squall with 77.5%
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 21/22 | Today: Magus over Knuckles
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 8/10/2005 8:53:02 PM | Message Detail
Wow, I'd like to go low on Square after today's astounding result, but... sorry, just not sold on a half-Square RPGer being able to wholly avoid SFF. But then again, look what KoaC did a while back. Ok, I'll say

Squall 72.62%

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the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 8/10/2005 9:03:08 PM | Message Detail
Squall with 69.00%
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: cyko | Posted: 8/10/2005 9:06:16 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Squall - 74.28%

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Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
Yoblazer
is officially THE MAN for beating us all in SpC2K5!!
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 8/10/2005 9:14:40 PM | Message Detail
Slight change:

Squall with 77.50%
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 8/10/2005 9:20:36 PM | Message Detail
Squall with 74.89%
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: cyko | Posted: 8/10/2005 9:21:07 PM | Message Detail
ya know what, CHANGE again:

Squall - 76.53%

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Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
Yoblazer
is officially THE MAN for beating us all in SpC2K5!!
From: Z1mZum | Posted: 8/10/2005 9:24:34 PM | Message Detail
I don't even know anymore.

Squall with 66.90%
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I'm charming, but I dip into the Prozac now and then.
I did pretty good in the guru challenge but yoblazer did slightly better.
From: Camden | Posted: 8/10/2005 9:32:51 PM | Message Detail
Squall with 72.1%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 21/22 - Current:Magus over Knuckles
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:13:54 PM | Message Detail
Squall Leonhart - 70.25%
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"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (540 points)
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:15:59 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Squall with 71%
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Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Magus vs. Knuckles - Bracket: Magus - Vote: Knuckles (20/22)
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:38:48 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Squall with 79.02%
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:40:20 PM | Message Detail
I feel so cowardly...another small change:

Squall with 76.50%
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:44:55 PM | Message Detail
Geno should be a total chump, but I've been wrong about everything lately...

Squall with 75.75%
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 21/22 | Today: Magus over Knuckles
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:49:29 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE: (again)

Squall with 77.80%
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: lol_internet | Posted: 8/10/2005 10:51:37 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Squall with 74.55%
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get set to have a blast
From: Camden | Posted: 8/11/2005 12:06:52 AM | Message Detail
I went up, how about that?

Sonic with 83%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 21/23 - Current: Squall over Geno
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/11/2005 12:18:41 AM | Message Detail
Match #23 Results:
Magus 49.14%
Knuckles the Echidna 50.86%

Knuckles over Magus - the biggest upset in contest history. Today we had zero Knuckles predictions, 98 Magus predictions, and a consensus of 60.77% for Magus. The average score was 21.73. (Surprisingly, better than Ness vs. CJ... but this is a bigger upset because no one had the right winner).

Best Five Picks:
1) OmegaRagnarok - Magus 50.67% (+41.94)
2) Starion - Magus 51.00% (+41.28)
3) xycos - Magus 52.00% (+39.28)
4) radadam - Magus 52.45% (+38.38)
5) CaptainFlufflez - Magus 52.54% (+38.20)

Before today, only one person had ever made the top 5 while predicting the wrong winner - today, all five did. OmegaRagnarok had the best prediction of the day, his second top 5 of the contest. Starion was the only other person to score above 40 points, and is also on his second top 5. Xycos gets his first top 5, radadam gets his second in a row, and CaptainFlufflez gets his third.

Complete match ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=match&match=23

Current Leaderboard:
1) creativename - 1002.31
2) Heroic Viktor - 993.38
3) Dilated Chemist - 990.27
4) BeTheMan - 987.23
5) TenkoStar17 - 986.18

Creativename is the first to break the 1000 point barrier, and Heroic Viktor is still in second, narrowing the gap a little today. Dilated Chemist climbs two more spots to third. We have a new face on the leaderboard today in fourth as BeTheMan jumps seven spots, and TenkoStar17 climbs back into 5th after spending one day in 6th.

Full standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=total&match=23
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 21/22 | Today: Magus over Knuckles
From: octoinky | Posted: 8/11/2005 12:48:57 AM | Message Detail
ROUND ONE PICKS:

Sonic with 80.15%
Diablo with 58.62%
Tifa with 64.94%
Luigi with 59.72%
Mega Man with 83.95%
Leon with 54.92%
Yoshi with 62.92%
Ocelot with 61.96%


Noticed just in time that I needed to finish this round off. I call them safeties, but I rarely get around to changing them
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/11/2005 1:16:41 AM | Message Detail
This topic is closed to predictions.

The round 2 topic is up here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=22802905
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 21/23 | Today: Squall over Geno
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