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SC2k5 - Oracle Challenge - Round 2 - Mushroom, Zebes, Gear, and Dream Divisions
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/11/2005 1:13:44 AM | Message Detail
Welcome to the Oracle Challenge, the contest that tests your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!

The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Summer Contest you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of the vote they will receive. New participants are still being accepted until at least the end of round 3 (please indicate that you are new and make a minimum of three picks).

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. Your predictions must be in one of these formats:

Link with 85%
Link 55.13%
Link over CATS with 67.55%
Link - 77.5%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Do not use other formats such as "Link w/" or "Link: ".

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most points at the end of the final match. For each match you can earn anywhere between 0 and 50 points. This depends on whether you correctly picked the winner and how close your guess was to the actual percentage. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-2x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: Link with 65%
My guess: CATS with 55%
Actual result: Link 60%, CATS 40%
Your points: 50 - (65-60) = 45 points
My points: 45 - 2*(55-40) = 15 points

Bonus points are awarded for the closest five guesses each match but do not factor into the overall scoring. They are used only as a side ranking. Participants will also be ranked by average score from time to time.

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. Link with 85.03%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%. No alts, please. All predictions should be made with your main account to make things easier on me. If you need to change accounts please let me know.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else’s guess. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made one full hour before the usual start time of that match’s poll (approx. 2:00am EST, 1:00am CST, 11:00pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to a previous entry.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule (and to reduce confusion).
6) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
7) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 21/23 | Today: Squall over Geno
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/11/2005 1:14:37 AM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

I'm now accepting predictions for the rest of round 1 and the first half of round 2:

Round 1
Chaos Division
Sonic vs Jin Kazama
Kratos Aurion vs Diablo
Tifa Lockheart vs Vyse
Luigi vs KOS-MOS

20XX Division
Mega Man vs Conker
Gordon Freeman vs Leon Kennedy
Yoshi vs Laharl
Revolver Ocelot vs Pac-Man

Round 2
Mushroom Division
Mario vs Ness
Zero vs Lloyd Irving

Zebes Division
Samus vs Frog
Ganondorf vs Auron

Gear Division
Solid Snake vs Zelda
Alucard vs Sora

Dream Division
Kirby vs Tidus
Bowser vs Ryu (Street Fighter)

Note: Do not post predict matches for the second half of Round 2 yet. If you post a second round prediction for someone who hasn't had their first round match yet, your prediction may count for that character's first round match. If you need to predict farther in advance, let me know and we'll set it up.
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 21/23 | Today: Squall over Geno
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 8/11/2005 1:17:36 AM | Message Detail
Mushroom Division
Mario with 81.94%
Zero with 69.31%

Zebes Division
Samus with 65.69%
Ganondorf with 51.42%

Gear Division
Solid Snake with 52.07%
Alucard with 50.02%

Dream Division
Kirby with 52.01%
Bowser with 55.02%
---
The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: ECW RVD420 | Posted: 8/11/2005 1:24:46 AM | Message Detail
*tag*
---
The Whole F'n Show
From: and now I dance | Posted: 8/11/2005 1:26:35 AM | Message Detail
R2

Mushroom
Mario 88.45%
Zero 75.35%

Zebes
Samus 78.50%
Ganondorf 54.10%

Gear
Snake 59.60%
Sora 62.30%

Dream
Tidus 51.20%
Bowser 54.25%

---
*Dances, trips and falls* XP
From: Paratroopa1 | Posted: 8/11/2005 1:30:21 AM | Message Detail
Mario with 77.93%
Zero with 64.68%
Samus with 67.21%
Ganondorf with 52.86%
Solid Snake with 55.44%
Sora with 54.11%
Tidus with 53.29%
Bowser with 50.22%
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 8/11/2005 1:39:31 AM | Message Detail
Mario with 76.80%
Zero with 70.00%
Samus with 66.85%
Auron with 50.00%
Zelda with 52.75%
Sora with 50.75%
Tidus with 51.00%
Bowser with 54.25%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 8/11/2005 3:13:23 AM | Message Detail
Sonic with 80.14%
---
"No, you see. Here's the problem. You don't know the history of psychiatry. I do." - Tom Cruise
From: cyko | Posted: 8/11/2005 4:21:40 AM | Message Detail
Sonic - 82.31%
Diablo - 58.49%
Tifa - 76.42%
Luigi - 54.30%

Megaman - 74.92%
Leon Kennedy - 59.28%
Yoshi - 68.47%
Revolver Ocelot - 58.73%

---
Official Co-Host for PUB TRIVIA XV
Yoblazer
is officially THE MAN for beating us all in SpC2K5!!
From: ps2rulezzz | Posted: 8/11/2005 4:44:10 AM | Message Detail
Great, 1.5 week on vacation and I get down by about 35 places. Nice upset of knuckles, it will cost me 3 points though but it's worth it.
---
190/192 points in sc2004
tiebrakowned by nifboy
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 8/11/2005 5:21:48 AM | Message Detail
Squall is looking like a beast, it's not going to be pretty this afternoon...

Dilated Chemist's Round 2 Predictions
Mario over Ness with 80.25%
Zero over Lloyd with 68%
Samus over Frog with 65%
Ganondorf over Auron with 51%
Snake over Zelda with 54%
Alucard over Sora with 51%
Tidus over Kirby with 52.5%
Bowser over Ryu with 52.75%

If Squall could be nice and stop gaining, I'd have a decent prediction for today...

And wow, as many people had Knuckles winning that one than Vercetti beating Kefka?!? Stats are weird this year.
---
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/11/2005 5:26:20 AM | Message Detail
I can't believe five people had a lower Magus pick than me.

Mario with 77.47%
Zero with 61.85%
Samus with 68.83%
Ganondorf with 51.37%
Solid Snake with 56.23%
Alucard with 52.83%
Tidus with 53.85%
Bowser with 58.27%

---
Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: PeaceOut64 | Posted: 8/11/2005 7:23:35 AM | Message Detail
Sonic with 81.8%
Diablo with 61.4%
Tifa with 73.9%
Luigi with 59.8%

Mega Man with 79.5%
Leon with 57.6%
Yoshi with 70.6%
Ocelot with 57.5%

Mario with 81.3%
Zero with 66.4%

Samus with 70.2%
Ganondorf with 53.8%

Snake with 50.2%
Sora with 54.6%

Tidus with 52.9%
Bowser with 57.5%
---
My goal since I joined the Leafs has always been to have on the ice a team as good as our fans. We have never quite gotten there. Some day we will. - Ken Dryden
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 8/11/2005 7:27:15 AM | Message Detail
This is only a tag.

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 8/11/2005 7:29:38 AM | Message Detail
Mario vs Ness- Mario with 75.00%
Zero vs Lloyd Irving- Zero with 70.00%

Zebes Division
Samus vs Frog- Samus with 66.66%
Ganondorf vs Auron- Ganondorf with 52.25%

Gear Division
Solid Snake vs Zelda- Snake with 52.25%
Alucard vs Sora- Sora with 50.01% (hello upset!)

Dream Division
Kirby vs Tidus- Kirby with 50.01% (hello another upset)
Bowser vs Ryu (Street Fighter)- Bowser with 55.55%



---
Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. "My Father? You mean my Dad?" Fei Fong Wong
From: GrapefruitKing | Posted: 8/11/2005 7:32:40 AM | Message Detail
Mario with 71.01%
Zero with 67.16%

Samus with 69.55%
Ganondorf with 53.11%

Solid Snake with 52.66%
Sora with 50.58%

Tidus with 59.27%
Bowser wtih 56.88%


---
I expect Lloyd vs. Zero to be close, but Lloyd's gonna win. -MoogleKupo141
LOL -Me
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 8/11/2005 7:33:39 AM | Message Detail
Round 1
Chaos Division
Sonic with 80.3%
Diablo with 54.3%
Tifa Lockheart with 69.43%
Luigi with 56.11%

20XX Division
Mega Man with 77.77%
Leon Kennedy with 55.55%
Yoshi with 70%
Revolver Ocelot with 64.98%

Round 2
Mushroom Division
Mario with 81%
Zero with 69.54%

Zebes Division
Samus with 63.43%
Ganondorf with 50.43%

Gear Division
Solid Snake with 54.75%
Sora with 50% (My upset hopeful)

Dream Division
Kirby with 50% (Will probably change)
Bowser with 54.03%
---
Weird Kirby Dude ~Board Hunter~
Every fanboy war degenerates to a flame war over whether each debater likes the Halo series or not. - Android21A
From: Dekar TKB | Posted: 8/11/2005 7:39:57 AM | Message Detail
Mario with 79.97%
Zero with 72.12%
Samus with 61.07%
Auron with 50.92%
Snake with 52.10%
Alucard with 51.01%
Tidus with 53.09%
Bowser with 56.78%
---
If you knew the number of the steps you would ever take, bitter I wonder: would you run or cease to walk?
www.rpgdl.com
From: KingBartz | Posted: 8/11/2005 7:58:58 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man - 72.98%
Gordon Freeman - 50.01%
Yoshi - 57.40%
Revolver Ocelot - 58.14%

It's gonna be awhile before i catch up.... only gained 3 ranks today... but i did gain 11 points on the leader ^_^

---
My Summer Contest Score: 19/23 - Todays Pick: Squall Leonhart
KingBartz: Been a full Virgin since '87
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 8/11/2005 8:01:58 AM | Message Detail
It's a bird! It's a plane! It's....a re-post?!

Chaos Division
Sonic with 81.46%
Diablo with 60.57%
Tifa Lockheart with 70.24%
Luigi with 54.98%

Mega Man with 80.43%
Leon Kennedy with 64.32%
Yoshi with 70.13%
Revolver Ocelot with 68.94%
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Squall vs. Geno - Bracket: Squall - Vote: Geno (20/23)
From: Yesmar | Posted: 8/11/2005 8:15:20 AM | Message Detail
Sonic over Jin with 78.73%
Diablo over Kratos (TOS) with 59.56%
Tifa over Vyse with 67.70%
Luigi over KOS-MOS with 53.44%

Mega Man over Conker with 75.12%
Leon over Gordon with 61.79%
Yoshi over Laharl with 74.76%
Ocelot over Pac-Man with 50%
---
http://www.cbs.com/primetime/bigbrother6/_polls/amc_poll.shtml
VOTE FOR KAYSAR!
From: Figlar20000 | Posted: 8/11/2005 9:50:47 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Sonic with 85%

NEW:
Diablo with 60%
Tifa with 68%
Luigi with 55%
Megaman with 80%
Leon with 52%
Yoshi with 72%
Revolver Ocelot with 55%

---
It's pitch black except for the light!
From: outback | Posted: 8/11/2005 10:42:21 AM | Message Detail
Round 1
Chaos Division
Sonic with 82.22%
Diablo with 54.67%
Tifa Lockheart with 64.67%
Luigi with 52.21%
---
NOMINATE KEN MASTERS FOR SC2K5
http://img291.echo.cx/img291/3398/ken23rc.gif
From: Haste2 | Posted: 8/11/2005 10:48:16 AM | Message Detail
Mario - 81%
Zero - 75%

Samus - 67%
Ganondorf - 50%

Solid Snake - 50%
Sora - 50%

Kirby - 50%
Bowser - 54%

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: ertyu001 | Posted: 8/11/2005 11:02:09 AM | Message Detail
Mario well win by 75%
Zero with 70%

Samus by 65%
Ganondorf by 65%

Snake by 75%
Sora by 60%

Tidus 55%
Bowser 60%

Dante 60%
Squall 65%
---
ertyu is back run for you life now Kirby its time to die showing full surport for Dante in the 2005 contest
From: octoinky | Posted: 8/11/2005 11:24:39 AM | Message Detail
Mario with 76.26%%
Zero with 64.92%
Samus with 63.19%
Ganondorf with 54.28%
Snake with 53.30%
Sora with 50.01%
Tidus with 51.00%
Bowser with 58.10%

Didn't realize how many awesome matches in a row we're gonna get! Looks like 5 straight to be looking forward to after the next few boring weeks.
From: Salient | Posted: 8/11/2005 11:27:24 AM | Message Detail
Change:

Sonic with 78.50%
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: BigtoeOfJebus | Posted: 8/11/2005 11:29:04 AM | Message Detail
Round 2

Mushroom Division
Mario with 70%
Zero with 70%

Zebes Division
Samus with 63%
Ganondorf with 53%

Gear Division
Solid Snake with 55%
Sora with 55%

Dream Division
Tidus with 55%
Bowser with 53%
---
*Commits Harakiri*
From: BigtoeOfJebus | Posted: 8/11/2005 11:30:57 AM | Message Detail
And my prediction for today is looking whopping. ^_^
---
*Commits Harakiri*
From: Garsha | Posted: 8/11/2005 11:31:01 AM | Message Detail
Mushroom Division
Mario with 82.51%
Zero with 67.09%

Zebes Division
Samus with 68.13%
Ganondorf with 51.53%

Gear Division
Solid Snake with 52.07%
Sora with *gasp* 53.19%

Dream Division
Tidus with 50.01%
Bowser with 55.55%
---
Look at my Winter Contest 2K4/2K5 Analysis Fanfic: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579546
End of message. ~ Garsha
From: Darkash | Posted: 8/11/2005 11:46:04 AM | Message Detail
Well, I liked being in third... for a while. But my Squall prediction is looking sexy indeed. A high note to end my version of DC's Nightmare division.

Sonic w/ 81.89%
Diablo w/ 56.25%
Tifa w/ 65.73%
Luigi w/ 57.99%
---
1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4!
From: SuperSmash Master | Posted: 8/11/2005 11:48:51 AM | Message Detail
Mushroom Division
Mario with 84.16% (SFF'D)
Zero with 61.28%

Zebes Division
Samus with 59.18%
Auron with 50.68%

Gear Division
Solid Snake with 56.49%
Sora with 52.91%

Dream Division
Tidus with 57.44%
Bowser with 60.02%
---
There is no sig here. Go away.
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/11/2005 11:54:14 AM | Message Detail
Mushroom Division
Mario - 81.74%
Zero - 63.19%

Zebes Division
Samus - 65.85%
Auron - 54%

Gear Division
Solid Snake - 57.17%
Alucard - 51.39%

Dream Division
Tidus - 50.21%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 52.22%

---
Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/11/2005 12:40:10 PM | Message Detail
Dilated Chemist's predictions (this only works when I do it)
Mario over Ness with 80.25%
Zero over Lloyd with 68%
Samus over Frog with 65%
Ganondorf over Auron with 51%
Snake over Zelda with 54%
Alucard over Sora with 51%
Tidus over Kirby with 52.5%
Bowser over Ryu with 52.75%
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 21/23 | Today: Squall over Geno
From: LuniNutz99 | Posted: 8/11/2005 12:50:24 PM | Message Detail
Tag for later

---
Lunatic Under Narcotic Influence
Score:20/23 Next Match: Squall
From: meche313 | Posted: 8/11/2005 1:09:10 PM | Message Detail
RE-POST:

Chaos Division
Sonic with 81.99% <-- CHANGE
Diablo with 60.1% <-- CHANGE
Tifa Lockheart with 67.60%
Luigi with 54.21%

---
That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: Rodri316 | Posted: 8/11/2005 1:14:55 PM | Message Detail
Sonic the Hedgehog - 82.87%
---
Summer 2005 Contest -- Current Score: 21/23
Today's Prediction -- Squall Leonhart vs. Geno
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 8/11/2005 1:17:26 PM | Message Detail
Round 2
Mushroom Division
Mario with 71.75%
Zero with 61.42%

Zebes Division
Samus with 57.63%
Ganondorf with 52.95%

Gear Division
Solid Snake with 56.87%
Sora with 53.85%

Dream Division
Tidus with 55.66%
Bowser with 54.86%
---
"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, Pack, Go!
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 8/11/2005 3:16:14 PM | Message Detail
MUSHROOM DIVISION
Mario over Ness with 79.86%
Zero over Lloyd Irving with 65.35%

ZEBES DIVISION
Samus over Frog with 64.56%
Ganondorf over Auron with 51.22%

GEAR DIVISION
Solid Snake over Zelda with 55.19%
Sora over Alucard with 52.16%

DREAM DIVISION
Tidus over Kirby with 56.23%
Ryu (Street Fighter) over Bowser with 50.34%
---
Summer 2005 Contest - 20/23 points
Current Match Prediction: Squall Leonhart vs. Geno
From: Camden | Posted: 8/11/2005 3:55:54 PM | Message Detail
Sonic with 82.5%
Diablo with 54%
Tifa Lockheart with 81.03%
Luigi with 50.77%

Mega Man with 79.79%
Leon with 53.35%
Yoshi with 69.7%
Pac-Man with 50.32%

Mario with 68.44%
Zero with 61.23%

Samus with 68.75%
Ganondorf with 51%

Solid Snake with 58.73%
Alucard vwith 50.8%

Kirby with 52.26%
Bowser with 53.44%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 21/23 - Current: Squall over Geno
From: Paratroopa1 | Posted: 8/11/2005 5:05:57 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE - Sonic with 80.02%
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 8/11/2005 6:14:33 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE: Sonic with 82.01%
---
Weird Kirby Dude ~Board Hunter~
Every fanboy war degenerates to a flame war over whether each debater likes the Halo series or not. - Android21A
From: somdude04 | Posted: 8/11/2005 6:33:15 PM | Message Detail
Sonic w/ 83.38%

GJ
---
Missed Points: 2 Ness & Knuckles
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 8/11/2005 6:56:14 PM | Message Detail
Change:

Sonic with 83.20%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 8/11/2005 7:06:54 PM | Message Detail
Sonic the Hedgehog - 77.79%
---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (540 points)
From: meche313 | Posted: 8/11/2005 7:19:46 PM | Message Detail
Megaman - 73.72%
Leon Kennedy - 63%
Yoshi - 69.96%
Revolver Ocelot - 56.01%

---
That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 8/11/2005 7:57:46 PM | Message Detail
Sonic with 80.85%
Diablo with 68.80%
Tifa Lockheart with 72.48%
Luigi with 52.81%

Mega Man with 75.86%
Leon Kennedy with 67.33%
Yoshi with 72.09%
Revolver Ocelot with 60.94%
---
For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: transience | Posted: 8/11/2005 8:07:09 PM | Message Detail
crap, I almost forgot to give new, awful predictions:

Sonic with 84.54%
Diablo with 51.54%
Tifa with 72.45%
Yoshi with 70.00%

---
"HOLY ****ING HELL, I JUST WOKE UP, VOTED MAGUS, WENT TO CLICK CONTEST STATS, DOUBLE TOOK, AND COULD NOT ****ING BELIEVE IT." - Explicit Content
From: Z1mZum | Posted: 8/11/2005 8:13:48 PM | Message Detail
Sonic the Hedgehog with 83.28%
---
I'm charming, but I dip into the Prozac now and then.
I did pretty good in the guru challenge but yoblazer did slightly better.
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 8/11/2005 8:15:02 PM | Message Detail
Sonic with 85.00%
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
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