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SpC2k6 Oracle Challenge - Round 1
From: Salient | Posted: 6/23/2006 10:17:59 AM | Message Detail
Zelda with 83.50%
Mega Man X with 65.00%
Pokemon with 53.00%
Metroid with 59.00%
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 6/23/2006 10:19:06 AM | Message Detail
Moltar, where are you?

---
=DC=
Chemistry can be a good and bad thing. Chemistry is good when you make love with it. Chemistry is bad when you make crack with it.
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 6/23/2006 10:21:30 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Pokemon with 54%

---
=DC=
Chemistry can be a good and bad thing. Chemistry is good when you make love with it. Chemistry is bad when you make crack with it.
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 6/23/2006 10:23:09 AM | Message Detail
And another CHANGE

Mario Kart with 52%

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=DC=
Chemistry can be a good and bad thing. Chemistry is good when you make love with it. Chemistry is bad when you make crack with it.
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/23/2006 3:22:06 PM | Message Detail
This is shaping up to be our biggest Oracle Challenge yet... with Salient's predictions we hit 107 competitors, which breaks the previous record of 106 for a single match.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Menji76 | Posted: 6/23/2006 3:34:23 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE
Castlevania 53.5%
Grand Theft Auto 58.3%
Final Fantasy 76.34%

---
#1 Gamefaqs Duke fan; http://theautolog.com
Now Playing: CT, Fifa World Cup '02, CC, SSBM
From: antiertyu | Posted: 6/23/2006 8:18:38 PM | Message Detail
i dno if longblade sumbited mine yet, but if he didn't (i'm warning_crazy btw) here they are.

Zelda over Civ with 92.2%

MMX over Suikoden with 59.3%

Pokemon over Star Ocean with 71.2%

Metroid over Kirby with 59.6%

Metal Gear over Soul Calibur with 76.2%

Fire Emblem over Silent Hill with 60.1%

Halo over Castlevania with 54.3%

Kingdom Hearts over Harvest Moon with 79.4%

Mario over Madden with 85.4%

Warcraft over GTA with 65.4%

Sonic over Devil May Cry with 72.4%


Super Smash Bros over Dragon Quest with 85.4%

Final Fantasy over Diablo 77.6%

Mario Kart over Mega Man with 50.4%

Elder Scrolls over Street Fighter with 57.4%

Resident Evil over Shadow Hearts with 79.5%

---
"In my opinion, you have a stupid opinion." Alex Shelly
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/24/2006 12:29:57 PM | Message Detail
One week left...
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 6/24/2006 12:32:09 PM | Message Detail
*awaits Tops 10 Competitors list*

Stupid Knux...

---
=DC=
Chemistry can be a good and bad thing. Chemistry is good when you make love with it. Chemistry is bad when you make crack with it.
From: GalacticMage777 | Posted: 6/24/2006 5:59:59 PM | Message Detail
Hyrule Division
Legend of Zelda with 88.98%
Mega Man X with 69.40%
Pokemon with 55.06%
Metroid with 65.94%

Snake Division
Metal Gear with 64.42%
Fire Emblem with 56.54%
Halo with 51.30%
Kingdom Hearts with 83.65%

Mushroom Division
Super Mario Bros with 84.33%
Warcraft with 50.11%
Sonic with 71.76%
Super Smash Bros with 77.27%

Ultima Division
Final Fantasy with 87.17%
Mega Man with 59.97%
Street Fighter with 60.02%
Resident Evil with 85.22%

Let's see if I make it to the end this time...
---
It's funny that violence is socially acceptable when sex isn't; violence is the one that will kill you most of the time.- Ultimaterilizer
From: swirIdude | Posted: 6/24/2006 9:42:38 PM | Message Detail
LoZ with 89.54%
Mega Man X with 71.23%
Pokemon with 61.91%
Metroid with 72.19%
---
Xbox 360 melts disks!
And people made jokes about the PS3 being a grill. ~bokunokuso
From: outback | Posted: 6/24/2006 9:47:31 PM | Message Detail
Hyrule Division
Legend of Zelda with 86.79%
Mega Man X with 62.77%
Pokemon with 56.24%
Metroid with 74.55%

Snake Division
Metal Gear with 63.67%
Fire Emblem with 52.23%
Halo with 59.91%
Kingdom Hearts with 78.89%

Mushroom Division
Super Mario Bros with 88.88%
Grand Theft Auto with 56.67%
Sonic with 63.21%
Super Smash Bros with 74.32%

Ultima Division
Final Fantasy with 82.21%
Mega Man with 53.35%
Street Fighter with 55.58%
Resident Evil with 70.01%
---
Don't quote me. - Blulum
řütßáŠk
From: Dekar TKB | Posted: 6/24/2006 9:49:22 PM | Message Detail
Change: Legend of Zelda with 81.82%
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Chief of Patrol in Sir Chris' police force DA!
Captain Falcon for Sc2k6! www.rpgdl.com
From: SythaWarrior | Posted: 6/24/2006 9:52:38 PM | Message Detail
Zelda with 87.9

Rest will come after I look at the number of Voters....
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Whatever...
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/25/2006 9:19:01 AM | Message Detail
kawaiifan's predictions
Legend of Zelda with 87% ;.;
Mega Man X with 67%
Pokémon with 57%
Metroid with 77% <(;.;<)
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: ad00 | Posted: 6/25/2006 4:52:42 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Pokemon with 74.09%
Metroid with 51.88%
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You made the universe implode, what are we supposed to say? - Smurf
I apologize. It needed to happen sometime. - Josh Hartigan
From: therealmnm | Posted: 6/25/2006 8:11:50 PM | Message Detail
I'm not having a partner in this. You can take me off the list. I'm just going solo. I'm on the Contest Analysis crew in the stats topic as well, so I can't give all my predictions early. I'll be giving my predictions for each match after they are posted in Master Moltar's analysis crew. That will be before the 15 min deadline BTW.
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/25/2006 11:32:01 PM | Message Detail
No prob.

People looking for a partner:
1. GoldSlime35 (? not sure if he's actually looking for a partner)
2. greatone10 (random partner ok)
3. dethwing (random partner ok)
4. SephirothG (requested solarshadow or agasonex)
5. Grand_Healer (requested windmage)
7. supdawg (any partner ok)
8. Sephirot1 Returns
9. Sir Chris
10. Lieutenant Kettch (random partner ok)
11. Rufus Shinra 18 (random partner ok)
12. fortybelowsummer (any partner ok)
13. yoshifan823 (requested rx7's sister, otherwise any partner ok)
14. BlAcK TuRtLe (random partner ok)
15. Menji76 (random partner ok)
16. LasVegas
17. jonthomson (random partner ok)
18. Weird Kirby Dude11 (any partner ok)
19. chocoboslayer (random partner ok)
20. Tsunami70 (random partner ok)
21. swirIdude (requested therealmnm)
22. pikaness (any partner ok)
23. XxSoulxX (any partner and any team name)


Current Teams:
1. Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon/King Morgoth)
2. Team Horrible Rivalry (KleenexTissue50/Applekidjosh)
3. Team Robo Chocobo Remix (Vlado/Inviso)
4. Team Indestructable Jerky (Shoenin_Kakashi/Lopen)
5. Team Umbrella Corporation (FFDragon/Luis_Sera89)
6. Team Elton John's Time Machine (Paratroopa1/GrapefruitKing)
7. Team Loop Troops (Zylo the wolf/yoblazer33)
8. Team Predestined Divination (Ngamer64/creativename)
9. Team Crab People (th3l3fty/Caelus)
10. Team The Flying Buttresses (Draco1214/Rodri316)
11. Team M-O-O-N That Spells Hoss (warning_crazy/longbladeofhiko)
12. Team The Drunkadelict Armadillos (Dekar TKB/Giggsalot)
13. Team Happy Happyists (Camden/meche313)
14. Team We're Beyond Team Names (Lightbearer75/Ayvuir)
15. Team Fodder (Pats_Dynasty/Coffee Ninja)
16. Team Koopa Troopers (dethfddddh/ledfanatic4)
17. Team Auto-Lose (Ed Bellis/Explicit Content)
18. Team Organization II (Big Bob/SuperSmash Master)
19. Team Jay Solano (transience/Team Rocket Elite)
20. Team Jigglypuff (kawaiifan/Alanna82)
21. Team soxdude777 (red sox 777/somdude04)
22. Team ***** (Janus5000/LivingInAComa)
23. Team Moltar and DC are Going Down (Z1mZum/WiggumFan267)
24. Team Eden (ad00/TheCruelAngel)
25. Team ??? (MakeYourChance/Naye745)
26. Team ??? (outback/SythaWarrior)
27. Team Interception (Tweeeked/Theo72)
28. Team Midnight Revelations (Master Moltar/Dilated Chemist)
29. Team InSPOREational (alpha door/stingers135)
30. Team 4chan party van (RX7InfinitiIII/goku z)
31. Team Wii <3 Katamawii (Aprosenf/MegatokyoEd)
32. Team ??? (Dunkeroo23/Ringworm)
33. Team Obscuretemple (Seginustemple/ObscureMammoth)
34. Team Nebuchadnezzar (Shivan Reincarnated/Jecht)
35. Team I Voted For Kodos (cyko/Yesmar)
36. Team Shut up Kleenex (Repus_Yortsed/Luster Soldier)
37. Team Klonoa Alliance (raytan7585/amyvitality66)
38. Team ??? (Radix/Do not even ask)
39. Team ??? (Lagoona/Xuxon)
40. Team Double Red Card (Darkash/Heroic Viktor)
41. Team Magician's Magic Ballz (BBallman7/magicians magic hat)
---
Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 6/26/2006 1:34:53 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Kingdom Hearts over Harvest Moon with 77.22%
---
Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Shin Megami Tensei: Digital Devil Saga, Capcom vs. SNK 2
From: therealmnm | Posted: 6/26/2006 2:15:57 AM | Message Detail
Wait, I didn't notice that swirldude requested me as a partner. The team contest is in ADDITION to going solo right? If so, sign me up with Swirl.
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
From: meche313 | Posted: 6/26/2006 6:43:24 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Legend of Zelda with 87.45%
---
Currently playing: Zelda: Alttp, Donkey Kong Country, Star Fox: Assault, Rogue Squadron II.
From: Darkash | Posted: 6/26/2006 8:11:56 AM | Message Detail
I'm going to be away from a computer until the 4th, so here are my first four picks, including a change on the first one.

Legend of Zelda w/ 91.03%
Mega Man X w/ 68.24%
Pokemon w/ 59.77%
Metroid w/ 69.96%

---
1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!
From: The_LeppreKhan | Posted: 6/26/2006 8:18:45 AM | Message Detail
Hyrule Division
Legend of Zelda with 95.55%
Mega Man X with 77.55%
Pokemon with 87.55%
Metroid with 71.55%

Snake Division
Metal Gear with 88.55%
Fire Emblem with 56.55%
Halo with 70.55%
Kingdom Hearts with 89.55%

Mushroom Division
Super Mario Bros 93.55%
Warcraft with 50.55%
Sonic with 90.55%
Super Smash Bros with 85.55%

Ultima Division
Final Fantasy with 97.55%
Mario Kart with 50.55%
Street Fighter with 53.55%
Resident Evil with 82.55%
---
"Always you have to contend with the stupidity of men." -- Thoreau
Gold in Pot: 49,023,865 & 1 leprechaun
From: The_LeppreKhan | Posted: 6/26/2006 8:19:31 AM | Message Detail
oops I AM A NEW CONTESTANT

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"Always you have to contend with the stupidity of men." -- Thoreau
Gold in Pot: 49,023,865 & 1 leprechaun
From: Lagoona | Posted: 6/26/2006 8:23:21 AM | Message Detail
.Kaxon (oder KM), when do you upload the predictions to oraclechallenge.com for us to see them? Or did I just not find them?
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PPC: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=28603610
Quick, Kaas, close the wrong topic! - Sashanan
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/26/2006 9:08:49 AM | Message Detail
Lagoona -

http://oraclechallenge.com/index.php?file=predictions
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/26/2006 9:11:34 AM | Message Detail
Wait, I didn't notice that swirldude requested me as a partner. The team contest is in ADDITION to going solo right? If so, sign me up with Swirl.

Yes, it's in addition, and you don't have to do any extra work. (One prediction counts for both). I'll sign you up.
---
Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/26/2006 9:24:47 AM | Message Detail
The Top 10 SpC2k6 Oracle Challenge Contenders

The popular pre-contest tradition is back! It's the moment Dilated Chemist has been waiting for, as we're bringing you the top 10 contenders to the Oracle Challenge title! Although the Oracle Challenge is a game of skill, predicting who will do well in any given contest is a challenge at least as difficult as the contest itself. King Morgoth and I have used all the stats at our disposal along with our intuition to pick out the ten contestants to watch out for in the spring 2006 Oracle Challenge. I'll be posting them about one an hour or so over the course of the day.

Only ten people can make the top 10 list, and there were several deserving people we couldn't find room for. I'll start by recognizing one here, our...

Honorable Mention - Heroic Viktor
All-Time User Standings: #14
SC2k3: N/A
SpC2k4: 27th place (Avg:43.22, 61 matches)
SC2k4: 30th place (Avg:43.70, 62 matches)
SpC2k5: 32nd place (Avg:41.05, 31 matches)
SC2k5: 4th place (Avg:44.28, 66 matches)

Lifetime Average: 43.37 (220 matches) - 18th
Modern Average: 43.37 (220 matches) - 21st
Points Above Average: 0.82/match (220 matches) - 23rd

Status: Competing

"I just used one simple equation you forgot to include on your godly-website:

Nintendo Boost + neck-up Tifa = Oracle underperformance"


Heroic Viktor, aka Tnote, made his impression on the Oracle Challenge during SC2k5. Demonstrating a willingness to go against popular opinion, Heroic Viktor took an early lead on day 4 and held it through day 16 of the contest. At one point he led his next closest competitor by 18.74 points, or over two and a half points per match that had been held at that point. He eventually dropped in the standings, and although his aggressive style cost him points in some matches such as Squall vs Vincent (Squall with 55.83%), he refused to give it up. This eventually paid off as he made a furious comeback in the final stages of the contest, and ended up finishing in 4th place. Heroic Viktor definitely has the potential to do well if his risky gameplan pays off.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: WiggumFan267 | Posted: 6/26/2006 10:04:15 AM | Message Detail
Metal Gear with 74.2%
Fire Emblem with 60%
Halo with 57.2%
Kingdom Hearts with 81.23%

Super Mario Bros with 88.2%
Warcraft with 54%
Sonic with 71%
Super Smash Bros with 82.7%

Final Fantasy with 84%
Mario Kart with 59.23%
Street Fighter with 53.45%
Resident Evil with 80%

---
"their is no sailor ertyu" ~The Man Who Will Save B8, ertyu
Happily married to Alanna82 on V-Day 2005
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/26/2006 10:24:27 AM | Message Detail
And now...

SC2k6 - Top 10 Contenders to the Title

#10 - Ngamer64
All-Time User Standings: #9
SC2k3: 8th place (Avg:42.23, 30 matches)
SpC2k4: 8th place (Avg:44.52, 63 matches)
SC2k4: 27th place (Avg: 44.90, 61 matches)
SpC2k5: 12th place (Avg:42.46, 31 matches)
SC2k5: 19th place (Avg:43.64, 66 matches)

Lifetime Average: 43.85 (251 matches) - 8th
Modern Average: 44.07 (221 matches) - 4th
Points Above Average: 1.60/match (251 matches) - 4th

Status: Competing

"Ngamer, predicting at the last minute? Shocking!"

Ngamer is known in Oracle land for both the quality and the lateness of his predictions, the later having been known to catch up with him on more than one occasion. In SC2k3, he became the only person to ever make the top 10 while missing a match, and posting an average that could have easily landed him in the top 5 otherwise. In SC2k4 he missed two matches, again finishing with an average that could have landed him in the top 5... if he hadn't missed the matches. In SC2k5 he completed the hat trick by missing a match due to a power outage - only excessive generosity from the host kept that one from counting against him.

Ngamer is always a dangerous competitor - his skills have managed to land him the 4th best modern average. And don't let the 8th place lifetime average fool you - that's due only to predicting in low-scoring SC2k3, where his average was 3rd best for the contest. This fact is reflected in his points above average score - in the matches he predicted, he outscored the field by an average of 1.6 points, 4th best out of all Oracle competitors. And although he's had a problem with missing matches in the past, this time he has a teammate to keep him on track, which may make him even more dangerous.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Kefkaesque | Posted: 6/26/2006 10:33:40 AM | Message Detail
kaxon you missed me in your list of people signed up

and i'm gonna solo

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KH2 won't be badass until you can snipe Bambi's mother. - The Challenger
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/26/2006 11:49:35 AM | Message Detail
kaxon you missed me in your list of people signed up

and i'm gonna solo


The signups are only for teams, if you want to go solo you just need to post your predictions. You're set:

http://oraclechallenge.com/index.php?file=predictions&id=275
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/26/2006 11:50:44 AM | Message Detail
#9 - Dilated Chemist
All-Time User Standings: #7
SC2k3: 43rd palce (Avg:41.12, 19 matches)
SpC2k4: 5th place (Avg:44.65, 63 matches)
SC2k4: 26th place (Avg:43.52, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: WINNER (Avg:43.97, 31 matches)
SC2k5: 30th place (Avg:43.74, 65 matches)

Lifetime Average: 43.74 (241 matches) - 11th
Modern Average: 43.97 (222 matches) - 9th
Points Above Average: 1.43/match (241 matches) - 8th

Status: Competing

"Hey, Morgoth, that's what you get for keeping me out of your Top 10 list!"

The first of the former champions to appear on our list, Dilated Chemist was the winner in the Villain contest and also finished 5th in the original spring contest, the Best Game Ever contest. Unfortunately he was gone for the majority of SC2k5, and his attempt to defend his title in absentia got derailed thanks to Magus - he had submitted no prediction for a Squall/Knuckles matchup. However, he still managed to rank on top of the contest's final phase leaderboard. Additionally, his average score for 2005 was actually slightly higher than creativename's - if he hadn't missed a match, he might have been 2005 Player of the Year. We'll have to see whether DC's spring contest mojo works in this contest, which is a spring contest technically being held in the summer.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: dethfdddddh | Posted: 6/26/2006 11:54:59 AM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 6/26/2006 11:59:01 AM | Message Detail
Booyah, Top Ten! *does a little jig*

I won't let you boys down this season; Games are my specialty.

---
"lol x-stats" - The Contest Simulator: http://thengamer.com/xstats
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/26/2006 1:20:14 PM | Message Detail
#8 - ps2rulezzz
All-Time User Standings: #11
SC2k3: N/A
SpC2k4: 6th place (Avg:44.60, 63 matches)
SC2k4: 3rd place (Avg: 44.95, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: N/A
SC2k5: 13th place (Avg:43.91, 66 matches)

Lifetime Average: 44.48 (192 matches) - 1st
Modern Average: 44.48 (192 matches) - 3rd
Points Above Average: 1.64/match (192 matches) - 2nd

Records and Accomplishments:
Highest Average Score - Lifetime Performance (44.48 points)

Status: Missing

"49 points? That's not good for my average!"

Next on our list of top contenders is ps2rulezzz. Best known for his amazing average, ps2rulezzz first appeared in 2004, where he placed 6th in the spring and 3rd in the summer. This consistency was good enough to rank 3rd in the combined 2004 standings behind only kawaiifan and King Morgoth. In 2005 ps2rulezzz placed 13th in the summer contest. ps2 has the highest lifetime average of any competitor, and his modern average ranks 3rd, only 0.01 points behind first place kawaiifan. Arguably even more impressive is his points above average number - in the matches he predicted, he's outscored his competition by more than anyone else except kawaiifan.

ps2rulezzz has a pattern of only predicting the full contests (SpC2k4, SC2k4, and SC2k5). If he decides to show up for this one, he'll definitely be a contender.
---
Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: IhatethisCPU | Posted: 6/26/2006 1:51:59 PM | Message Detail
I'll go with pika or Soul, if they don't mind...?
New for this OC...

Hyrule Division
LoZ. 70%.
Mega Man X. 70%.
Pokemon. 65%.
Metroid. 51%.

Snake Division
Metal Gear. 67%.
Silent Hill. 70%.
Castlevania. 55%.
Kingdom Hearts. 75%. *sigh*

Mushroom Division
Super Mario Bros. 70%.
Warcraft. 62%.
Sonic. 55%.
Super Smash Bros. 80%.

Ultima Division
Diablo with 65%. Yeah. I know.
Mega Man. 53%.
The Elder Scrolls. 51%.
Resident Evil. 75%.
---
Sadly, you mortals don't seem to realize that you are all merely dancing puppets in my marionette theatre of chaos. - Ghostsarecool
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/26/2006 2:29:22 PM | Message Detail
#7 - Haste2
All-Time User Standings: #3
SC2k3: WINNER (Avg:43.25, 31 matches)
SpC2k4: 11th place (Avg:44.11, 63 matches)
SC2k4: 8th place (Avg: 44.56, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: 20th place (Avg:41.86, 31 matches)
SC2k5: 6th place (Avg:44.26, 66 matches)

Lifetime Average: 43.84 (254 matches) - 9th
Modern Average: 43.92 (223 matches) - 11th
Points Above Average: 1.60/match (254 matches) - 3rd

Records and Accomplishments:
Player of the Year - 2003

Status: Competing by email

"I'm...on the decline? No."

Haste2 was the original Oracle champion, and you need look no farther than his contest finishes to see how he earned his spot on this list. 1st, 11th, 8th, 20th, and 6th demonstrates consistency and skill not many people can match. He also scores extremely well in the points above average metric, scoring 1.60 points better than average across all 254 Oracle matches. Haste2 ranks second in all-time total points. Unfortunately, Haste2 suicided his account and will be competing by email in this contest. It remains to be seen whether this will have a negative impact on his game.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/26/2006 3:40:22 PM | Message Detail
#6 - Master Moltar
All-Time User Standings: #5
SC2k3: 15th place (Avg:39.66, 31 matches)
SpC2k4: 10th place (Avg:44.03, 63 matches)
SC2k4: 18rd place (Avg:43.98, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: 16th place (Avg:42.28 31 matches
SC2k5: 2nd place (Avg:44.39, 66 matches)

Lifetime Average: 43.36 (254 matches) - 19th
Modern Average: 43.88 (223 matches) - 12th
Points Above Average: 1.13/match (254 matches) - 15th

Status: Signed up

"You bested me this year, but I've tasted first once, and I'm only coming back for more!"

The #6 spot on our list belongs to the man known for his analysis crew and his contest-inspired comic strips, Master Moltar. Moltar has been around since the first Oracle Challenge and had consistently performed in the upper-midcard range until his breakout performance in SC2k5. Moltar landed in the top 10 toward the end of the first round of SC2k5 and worked his way up, briefly taking over first place as late as day 62 of the contest. Moltar is also one of only four people to predict every Oracle match. His consistency indicates he should put up another solid finish in this contest.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/26/2006 3:41:19 PM | Message Detail
Anyone want to guess the top 5? =)
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 6/26/2006 3:43:01 PM | Message Detail
Top 5

Kaxon, King Morgoth, Kawaiifan, Myself? dont know the 5th.
---
Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. My Idol: ACE YOUNG. ^_^
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 6/26/2006 3:44:58 PM | Message Detail
oh, Creativename for the 5th person of my list.

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Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. My Idol: ACE YOUNG. ^_^
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 6/26/2006 3:45:01 PM | Message Detail
.Kaxon (oder KM), when do you upload the predictions to oraclechallenge.com for us to see them? Or did I just not find them?

In the event where Kaxon's link would stop working (shouldn't happen but I might move things around a bit), there's always a link on the main page (http://www.oraclechallenge.com)

Anyone want to guess the top 5? =)
I helped make the list and I'm not even sure =P
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: StopPokingMe | Posted: 6/26/2006 4:51:09 PM | Message Detail
Oh, I couldn't skip an Oracle Challenge. 'Twould hardly be proper. Now let's see... my multiples of 1.01 system worked out pretty well last year...

Legend of Zelda with 89.89%
Mega Man X with 73.73%
Pokemon with 53.53%
Metroid with 68.68%

Metal Gear with 61.61%
Silent Hill with 52.52%
Halo with 59.59%
Kingdom Hearts with 84.84%

Super Mario Bros. with 80.80%
Grand Theft Auto with 50.50%
Sonic the Hedgehog with 60.60%
Super Smash Bros. with 78.78%

Final Fantasy with 77.77%
Mega Man with 56.56%
Street Fighter with 68.68%
Resident Evil with 77.77%

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Champions of Time and Space: The Summer Contest 2003 Fanfiction Project
http://crolapras.tripod.com/ffproj.html
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/26/2006 5:36:36 PM | Message Detail
Moving on up...

#5 - Xuxon
All-Time User Standings: #6
SC2k3: 5th place (Avg:41.91, 31 matches)
SpC2k4: 16th place (Avg:43.22, 63 matches)
SC2k4: 44th place (Avg: 43.40, 59 matches)
SpC2k5: 22nd place (Avg:41.84, 31 matches)
SC2k5: WINNER (Avg:44.45, 66 matches)

Lifetime Average: 43.25 (250 matches) - 20th
Modern Average: 43.44 (219 matches) - 20th
Points Above Average: 1.08/match (250 matches) - 16th

Records and Accomplishments:
Most Points - Single Season (up to 66 matches) (2934.01 Points [SC2k5])
Bullseye Award - Most Perfect Predictions (2)

Status: Competing

"Hopefully I'll see you all again next contest to become the first two-time champ!"

Beginning our top 5 and placing just above Moltar is the man who defeated him in SC2k5, Xuxon. Xuxon is our current defending champion and two-time top 5 finisher. Last summer Xuxon made his way onto the leaderboard at the end of round 1 with a good pick in the Pac-Man/Ocelot match. From there he slowly worked his way up to the top on day 53 and 54, where he held a 0.01 point lead over creativename for first place. Xuxon took a more decisive lead on the Mario/Samus match, and after a scare from Master Moltar, held on to win the contest. He'll be trying to pick up where he left off, and has already stated his intention to repeat as champion. He has a strong desire to win and the skill to do so. Xuxon is also the only person with two perfect predictions in his Oracle Challenge career.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/26/2006 6:24:16 PM | Message Detail
#4 - Camden
All-Time User Standings: #21
SC2k3: N/A
SpC2k4: N/A
SC2k4: 9th place (Avg:44.44, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: 8th place (Avg: 42.67, 31 matches)
SC2k5: 7th place (Avg:44.20, 66 matches)

Lifetime Average: 43.99 (160 matches) - 6th
Modern Average: 43.99 (160 matches) - 8th
Points Above Average: 1.20/match (160 matches) - 13th

Status: Competing

"As long as the contests continue, I've got Summer 2008 all but wrapped up."

If this list has an up-and-comer, it's Camden. Camden first appeared in SC2k4, where he predicted his way to a 9th place finish. He's gone on to improve his ranking by one in every contest since then. In addition to finishing in the top 10 every contest he's been in, he's also managed the 8th best modern average, an impressive feat. Out of users who have predicted at least two contests, only two of them have finished in the top 10 every time: Camden and kawaiifan. Camden definitely has consistency and momentum on his side going into this contest, making him one to watch out for.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/26/2006 7:14:53 PM | Message Detail
#3 - King Morgoth
All-Time User Standings: #2
SC2k3: 42nd place (Avg:36.56, 22 matches)
SpC2k4: WINNER (Avg:45.40, 63 matches)
SC2k4: 2nd place (Avg: 44.97, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: 3rd place (Avg:43.26, 31 matches)
SC2k5: 18th place (Avg:43.69, 66 matches)

Lifetime Average: 43.76 (245 matches) - 10th
Modern Average: 44.48 (223 matches) - 2nd
Points Above Average: 1.40/match (245 matches) - 9th

Records and Accomplishments:
Most Leaderboard Presences - All-Time Total (124 days)
Most Points - Single Season (up to 63 matches) (2860.20 points [SpC2k4])
Highest Average Score - Single Contest ( 45.40 points [SpC2k4])
Player of the Year - 2004

Status: Competing

"Starcraft over Wind Waker with 50.02%...*gulp*"

King Morgoth is both one of the hosts of the Oracle Challenge and one of its greatest competitors... over the lifetime of this challenge, no one has contributed as much to it as he has. Morgoth can never be counted out, as he demonstrated back in spring 2004 when he pulled off the most amazing comeback the Oracle Challenge has seen. In that contest, he was one of only five people to predict Starcraft beating The Wind Waker, and he averaged 48.76 over the last ten matches to snatch victory from Bananaquest.

When solarshadow disappeared before summer 2004, King Morgoth took over running the contest... and incidentally also finished the summer in second place. His amazing streak continued with a 3rd place finish in the Villains contest. Although summer 2005 was a bit of a disappointment for King Morgoth, his modern average ranks second highest among all Oracle competitors, and there's no doubt he'll be looking for his fourth top 3 finish this time around - while no one else yet has three.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/26/2006 8:14:30 PM | Message Detail
#2 - kawaiifan
All-Time User Standings: #1
SC2k3: 4th place (Avg:42.00, 31 matches)
SpC2k4: 3rd place (Avg:45.04, 63 matches)
SC2k4: WINNER (Avg: 45.13, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: 6th place (Avg:42.80, 31 matches)
SC2k5: 8th place (Avg:44.14, 66 matches)

Lifetime Average: 44.19 (254 matches) - 2nd
Modern Average: 44.49 (223 matches) - 1st
Points Above Average: 1.95/match (254 matches) - 1st

Records and Accomplishments:
Most Points - All-Time Total (11223.42 points)
Highest Average Score - Modern Performance (44.49 points)

Status: Competing by email

"^.^"

Ever since winning the Summer 2004 Oracle Challenge, kawaiifan has been known as the Oracle Queen, and the title is well deserved. No one else can match her accomplishments or her consistency. kawaiifan has predicted every Oracle match and has finished in the top 8 in all five contests. She's finished in the top 5 three times, and has won one title. She's also got the best modern average of all competitors, and the second best lifetime average (despite the disadvantage of having predicted low-scoring SC2k3). Last but not least, she blows away the competition in points above average, scoring an average of 1.95 points better than the field in every match. It seems almost a given that she'll be up there near the top of the standings again this time.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 6/26/2006 9:15:33 PM | Message Detail
*drumroll*

#1 - creativename
All-Time User Standings: #4
SC2k3: 35th palce (Avg:43.83, 23 matches)
SpC2k4: 9th place (Avg:44.20, 63 matches)
SC2k4: 13th place (Avg:44.23, 63 matches)
SpC2k5: 5th place (Avg:42.81, 31 matches)
SC2k5: 5th place (Avg:44.28, 66 matches)

Lifetime Average: 44.02 (246 matches) - 5th
Modern Average: 44.04 (223 matches) - 6th
Points Above Average: 1.58/match (246 matches) - 5th

Records and Accomplishments:
Player of the Year - 2005

Status: Competing

"The popularity of each contestant can be treated as a statistical process, based on realizations of uniform random variables with a certain mean."

And the number one competitor to watch in the spring 2006 Oracle Challenge is... creativename! creativename is famous for popularizing the extrapolated standings, which he was one of the first people to use back in the original Oracle Challenge. However, creativename found his greatest Oracle Challenge success in 2005, when his performance in the spring and summer contests made him 2005 Player of the Year. He started by finishing fifth in the Villain contest, but that was just a warmup. During the summer of 2005, creativename showed us the most dominant run since Bananaquest, by grabbing first place on day 21 and staying there until day 45. Like Bananaquest, creativename eventually stumbled - in the end, picking Samus to beat Mario made the difference between finishing in 1st place and finishing in 5th place. Despite not winning the Summer Contest, creativename had the best total score for 2005 and is the hottest competitor coming into this contest.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: TheKnightOfNee | Posted: 6/26/2006 11:53:42 PM | Message Detail
Just starting with these four.

Legend of Zelda with 90.95%
Mega Man X with 77.04 %
Pokemon with 71.52%
Metroid with 71.70%
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Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
"i love you and aiya" - An IM from Richie259. Awww.
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