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SpC2k6 Oracle Challenge - Round 1 - All matches
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 7/2/2006 5:01:32 PM | Message Detail
Welcome to the Oracle Challenge, the contest that tests your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!

Changes for spring 2006

Please note the new scoring system and the team challenge. The rest of the rules are the same as before.

The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Sprint Contest you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of the vote they will receive. New participants are still being accepted until at least the end of round 3 (please indicate that you are new and make a minimum of three picks).

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. Your predictions must start with the name of your winner and end with your predicted percentage. Examples:

Link with 85%
Link 55.13%
Link over CATS with 67.55%
Link - 77.5%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use a weird format.

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most points at the end of the final match. For each match you can earn anywhere from 0 and 50 points. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: Link with 65%
My guess: CATS with 55%
Actual result: Link 60%, CATS 40%
Your score: 50 - (65-60) = 45 points
My score: 45 - (55-40) = 30 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. Link with
85.03%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else’s. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made fifteen minutes before the usual start time of that match’s poll (approx. 2:45am EST, 1:45am CST, 11:45pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to a previous entry.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule and to reduce confusion.
6) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page
<http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users>, I already know about it).
7) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me
beforehand so we can arrange this.
8) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Team Challenge

In addition to the main Oracle Challenge, this time we are testing a
side contest involving teams. The rules for the team challenge are simple:

1. Sign up with a partner before the beginning of the first match.
2. Make just one prediction per match - it counts for the Oracle Challenge and the Oracle Team Challenge.
3. Your team score for the day is equal to both team members' scores added together.
4. If one player misses a prediction, the team will get either
(partner's score * 2) or (partner's score + average score for the day), whichever is lower. This ONLY applies to the team scores.
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 7/2/2006 5:01:44 PM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

We are now accepting predictions for all remaining round 1 matches:

Hyrule Division
Suikoden vs Mega Man X
Pokemon vs Star Ocean
Metroid vs Kirby

Snake Division
Metal Gear vs Soul Calibur
Fire Emblem vs Silent Hill
Castlevania vs Halo
Kingdom Hearts vs Harvest Moon

Mushroom Division
Super Mario Bros vs Madden NFL
Grand Theft Auto vs Warcraft
Sonic vs Devil May Cry
Super Smash Bros vs Dragon Quest

Ultima Division
Final Fantasy vs Diablo
Mega Man vs Mario Kart
The Elder Scrolls vs Street Fighter
Resident Evil vs Shadow Hearts

May the best predictor win!

(Kids these days...)
---
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: stingers135 | Posted: 7/2/2006 5:02:22 PM | Message Detail
TO 500!

<_<
---
Goblin God of Sexiness of The Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
Owner of Wilhelm on the Xenosaga 3 Board. Rawr.
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 7/2/2006 5:12:39 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man X with 69.50%
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: ad00 | Posted: 7/2/2006 5:14:33 PM | Message Detail
Bleh, TCA didn't submit predictions it seems.

So much for the team challenge >_<
From: ad00 | Posted: 7/2/2006 5:14:57 PM | Message Detail
In other news, I'm rather dead on for this match, I have 89.81
---
You made the universe implode, what are we supposed to say? - Smurf
I apologize. It needed to happen sometime. - Josh Hartigan
From: outback | Posted: 7/2/2006 5:17:04 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE: Mega Man X with 72.56%
---
Don't quote me. - Blulum
øütßá©k
From: devilnightvamp | Posted: 7/2/2006 5:20:52 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man X with 61,35%
Pokemon with 54,67%
Metroid with 82,22%

Snake Division
Metal Gear with 87,77%
Fire Emblem with 59,59%
Castlevania with 50,76%
Kingdom Hearts with 80,19%

Mushroom Division
Super Mario Bros with 84,00%
Grand Theft Auto with 50,50%
Sonic with 83,33%
Super Smash Bros with 85,54%

Ultima Division
Final Fantasy with 87,77%
Mega Man with 61,61%
Street Fighter with 56,97%
Resident Evil with 69,87%

---
This sig is there so I can post only numbers in posts.
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 7/2/2006 5:34:54 PM | Message Detail
Hyrule Division
Mega Man X with 71.34%
Pokemon with 66.89%
Metroid with 56.23%

Snake Division
Metal Gear with 74.28%
Fire Emblem with 59.62%
Halo with 68.84%
Kingdom Hearts with 83.97%

Mushroom Division
Super Mario Bros with 79.57%
Warcraft with 52.13%
Sonic with 67.88%
Super Smash Bros with 76.61%

Ultima Division
Final Fantasy with 84.73%
Mega Man with 55.32%
Street Fighter with 61.76%
Resident Evil with 77.35%

---
Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: Soup Blazer | Posted: 7/2/2006 5:39:17 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE
Mega Man X with 71.05%
---
lol internet redux
From: GoldSlime35 | Posted: 7/2/2006 5:54:52 PM | Message Detail
This might be my first ever change. Hopefully raising by 10 doesn't screw me.

Mega Man X with 67.32%
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 7/2/2006 5:59:16 PM | Message Detail
Change:

Mega Man X with 73.50%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: RX7InfinitiIII | Posted: 7/2/2006 6:05:09 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man X with 65.23%


RX7
From: Agent M | Posted: 7/2/2006 6:08:20 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man X wins with 75%
From: meche313 | Posted: 7/2/2006 6:11:53 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Megaman X with 70.70%
---
“Impossible is a word people use to make themselves feel better when they quit.” - Vyse
Currently playing: Zelda: Alttp, Donkey Kong Country, Rogue Squadron II. Resident Evil: Code Veronica X
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 7/2/2006 6:42:15 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man X with 73.93%
---
"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
From: Yesmar | Posted: 7/2/2006 7:09:41 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Mega Man X with 69.99%
---
"Dropo! You're the laziest man on Mars."
From: cyko | Posted: 7/2/2006 7:14:41 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE -

Mega Man X with 74.84%

---
"In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women...." - Homer Simpson
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 7/2/2006 7:17:08 PM | Message Detail
Repost!

Mega Man X with 72.10%
Pokemon with 53.85%
Metroid with 63.95%

Snake Division
Metal Gear with 61.85%
Fire Emblem with 55.28%
Halo with 57.29%
Kingdom Hearts with 76.34%

Mushroom Division
Super Mario Bros with 84.38%
Grand Theft Auto with 59.33%
Sonic with 64.34%
Super Smash Bros with 78.18%

Ultima Division
Final Fantasy with 85.22%
Mega Man with 50.22%
Street Fighter with 61.43%
Resident Evil with 73.93%
---
Moltar Status: Excited, the Contest is here at last!
LoZ vs. Civilization - Bracket: LoZ - Vote: LoZ (0/0)
From: DragonsFury | Posted: 7/2/2006 7:18:05 PM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: th3l3fty | Posted: 7/2/2006 7:21:18 PM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/2/2006 7:21:32 PM | Message Detail
Thanks for the save, Morgoth. I apologize to everyone for not making a new topic... the other one was at 470 when I checked this morning, and I forgot I'd be out most of the day.
---
Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Yesmar | Posted: 7/2/2006 7:24:05 PM | Message Detail
Mario over Madden with 87.88%
GTA over Warcraft with 61.04%
Sonic over Devil May Cry with 70.97%
SSB over Dragon Quest with 73.44%

Final Fantasy over Diablo with 68.99%
Mario Kart over Mega Man with 52.25%
Street Fighter over The Elder Scrolls with 64.55%
Resident Evil over Shadow Hearts with 72.37%
---
"Dropo! You're the laziest man on Mars."
From: th3l3fty | Posted: 7/2/2006 7:24:31 PM | Message Detail
Right now I'm about three-tenths of a percent off here and 700 votes off in the Prophet Challenge >_>
---
.....________________Nominate Midgar Zolom for SC2k6!
.....|....O......__....O....| Patrolman in Sir Chris' Police
From: therealmnm | Posted: 7/2/2006 7:26:32 PM | Message Detail
MMX with 77.56% I'm upping my analysis crew prediction due to the huge vote totals. MMX still might end up in the 80s...
---
Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
From: Javman162 | Posted: 7/2/2006 7:47:12 PM | Message Detail
New paticipant here

Mega Man X - 70.07%
Pokemon - 65.56%
Metroid - 83.38%
From: PeaceOut64 | Posted: 7/2/2006 7:48:08 PM | Message Detail
Change

Mega Man X with 74.6%
---
My goal since I joined the Leafs has always been to have on the ice a team as good as our fans. We have never quite gotten there. Some day we will. - Ken Dryden
From: marioinblack | Posted: 7/2/2006 7:48:47 PM | Message Detail
Change
Super Mario Bros. with 85.72%

Civilization is stronger than I thought. I'm gonna play this one safe.

---
I am not changing this sig until the Devil Rays get into 3rd place in the division with at least 20 games played. (Started 9/16/04)
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 7/2/2006 7:49:00 PM | Message Detail
Reposting my pics, with one change (to MMX):

Zelda with 91.18%
Mega Man X with 74.35%
Pokemon with 53.33%
Metroid with 54.66%
Metal Gear with 63.25%
Fire Emblem with 62.15%
Halo with 57.67%
Kingdom Hearts with 76.44%
Super Mario Bros with 88.45%
Grand Theft Auto with 60.91%
Sonic with 57.50%
Super Smash Bros with 79.47%
Final Fantasy with 75.24%
Mega Man with 56.25%
Street Fighter with 59.24%
Resident Evil with 81.45%

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne
From: meche313 | Posted: 7/2/2006 8:00:26 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Megaman X with 72.90%
---
“Impossible is a word people use to make themselves feel better when they quit.” - Vyse
Currently playing: Zelda: Alttp, Donkey Kong Country, Rogue Squadron II. Resident Evil: Code Veronica X
From: DragonsFury | Posted: 7/2/2006 8:12:04 PM | Message Detail
Deleted other post because I never saw this part: (please indicate that you are new and make a minimum of three picks).

Well, since I'm new:

Megaman X with 71.72%
Pokemon with 54.43%
Metroid with 55.83%
Metal Gear with 58.64%
Fire Emblem with 73.85%
Halo with 68.73%
Kingdom Hearts with 83.95%
Super Mario Bros with 86.81%
Grand Theft Auto with 52.53%
Sonic with 76.43%
Super Smash Bros with 77.55%
Final Fantasy with 79.52%
Mega Man with 72.85%
Street Fighter with 68.68%
Resident Evil with 75.43
---
I dislike anyone who has a sig.
>.>
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 7/2/2006 8:16:36 PM | Message Detail
Legend of Zelda - 83.52%
Mega Man X - 78.25%
Star Ocean - 50.00%
Metroid - 59.95%
---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (560 points)
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 7/2/2006 8:17:57 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man X with 75.00%
---
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 7/2/2006 8:19:21 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Mega Man X with 76.43%
---
Moltar Status: Excited, the Contest is here at last!
LoZ vs. Civilization - Bracket: LoZ - Vote: LoZ (0/0)
From: SA2Tails | Posted: 7/2/2006 8:20:10 PM | Message Detail
MMX with 60%
---
My Homestar Runner Board: 575567 =P-L=
Super Mod at alt.8 http://alt8.proboards56.com/
From: Camden | Posted: 7/2/2006 8:21:54 PM | Message Detail
I just can't imagine Suikoden getting over 30% on anything with any sort of strength.

Mega Man X with 72.5%
---
Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Don’t worry. Have a nectarine. -Christopher Walken
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 7/2/2006 8:26:43 PM | Message Detail
Not expecting MMX to be as strong as MM this Contest, and Suik should have a decentish RPG following. Game Contest is or course useless since it was PSX RPG SFFed to heck and back by FF7. Great match pic for MMX, but, still can't see an RPG series being manhandled worse than Conker.

MMX with 75.73%

---
"lol x-stats" - The Contest Simulator: http://thengamer.com/xstats
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: transience | Posted: 7/2/2006 8:30:11 PM | Message Detail
last second change!

MMX with 70.54%
---
xyzzy
From: Sir Chris | Posted: 7/2/2006 8:31:38 PM | Message Detail
Changing to Mega Man X by 81.65%
---
Sir Chris, Chief of Police @ Board 8
AND THAT'S THE BOTTOM LINE, CAUSE SIR CHRIS SAID SO.
From: ad00 | Posted: 7/2/2006 8:33:08 PM | Message Detail
Is it too late to say that I'm new this year?
---
You made the universe implode, what are we supposed to say? - Smurf
I apologize. It needed to happen sometime. - Josh Hartigan
From: Ninja_Freac | Posted: 7/2/2006 8:35:30 PM | Message Detail
Again, these predictions are under the name "freac"

CHANGE TO:

Hyrule Division
Legend of Zelda with 87.74%
Mega Man X with 65.04%
Pokemon with 56.94%
Metroid with 70.04%

Snake Division
Metal Gear with 63.94%
Fire Emblem with 63.94%
Halo with 57.55%
Kingdom Hearts with 81.04%

Mushroom division
Super Mario bros. with 92.14%
Grand Theft Auto with 52.14%
Sonic with 59.94%
Super Smash bros. with 70.04%

Ultima Division
Final Fantasy with 79.04%
Mega Man with 53.44%
Street Fighter with 54.54%
Resident Evil with 77.84

---
Ness has the catholic priest vote - Badguy NYC
From: Menji76 | Posted: 7/2/2006 8:49:42 PM | Message Detail
I know it's past 15, but can I change it?


MMX win by 67.35%


---
#1 Gamefaqs Duke fan; JS/Rxs/Jde/Drt/Fx/CF/Srg
Spring 2K6; T-1st; 0/0; 0 Points; Next Pick; Zelda
From: Menji76 | Posted: 7/2/2006 8:49:53 PM | Message Detail
not by, just with that
---
#1 Gamefaqs Duke fan; JS/Rxs/Jde/Drt/Fx/CF/Srg
Spring 2K6; T-1st; 0/0; 0 Points; Next Pick; Zelda
From: Rad Link 5 | Posted: 7/2/2006 9:09:51 PM | Message Detail
Right around my prediction so far MMX.

Wait, that's not good, I can't see Suikoden getting the day vote. I don't think I guessed high enough. >_<
---
"Everybody hates Sora. You're thinking of reese cups" - DeathChicken
Detective in Sir Chris' Police
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/2/2006 9:12:18 PM | Message Detail
Results are going to take a little while longer than usual tonight while we iron out some kinks.

And I was so busy getting set up for this that I forgot to change my prediction. Sigh.
---
Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: GoldSlime35 | Posted: 7/2/2006 9:16:42 PM | Message Detail
Didn't go high enough, but I saved myself 10 points with my change.
From: Ness26 | Posted: 7/2/2006 9:32:33 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Metal Gear with 79.71%
Super Mario Bros with 88.62%
Sonic with 74.33%
Final Fantasy with 87.22%
Resident Evil with 86.91%
---
http://astralle.phpwebhosting.com/hte2/
From: Menji76 | Posted: 7/2/2006 9:35:19 PM | Message Detail
Good grief, 148/150


I always seem to start like this and finish strong.
---
#1 Gamefaqs Duke fan; JS/Rxs/Jde/Drt/Fx/CF/Srg
Spring 2K6; T-1st; 1/1; 1 Point; Next Pick; MMX
From: Rad Link 5 | Posted: 7/2/2006 9:39:00 PM | Message Detail
71st! And what *****es!
---
"Everybody hates Sora. You're thinking of reese cups" - DeathChicken
Detective in Sir Chris' Police
From: XxSoulxX | Posted: 7/2/2006 9:39:22 PM | Message Detail
Heh, cool. Top 5 baby!
--- -
"ertyu is actually a language. For example, 'dum' is ertyunese for 'godly'." - Topaz Kitsune
^5 SOWL IMHO - Explicit Content
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