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SpC2k6 Oracle Challenge - Round 1 - All Matches (part 3)
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/6/2006 10:54:59 AM | Message Detail
Welcome to the Oracle Challenge, the contest that tests your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!

Changes for spring 2006

Please note the new scoring system. The rest of the rules are the same as before.

The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Sprint Contest you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of the vote they will receive. New participants are still being accepted until at least the end of round 3 (please indicate that you are new and make a minimum of three picks).

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. Your predictions must start with the name of your winner and end with your predicted percentage. Examples:

Link with 85%
Link 55.13%
Link over CATS with 67.55%
Link - 77.5%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use a weird format.

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most points at the end of the final match. For each match you can earn anywhere from 0 and 50 points. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: Link with 65%
My guess: CATS with 55%
Actual result: Link 60%, CATS 40%
Your score: 50 - (65-60) = 45 points
My score: 45 - (55-40) = 30 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. Link with 85.03%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else’s. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made five minutes before the usual start time of that match’s poll (approx. 11:55pm EST, 10:55am CST, 8:55pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to a previous entry.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule and to reduce confusion.
6) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page <http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users>, I already know about it).
7) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
8) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Team Challenge

In addition to the main Oracle Challenge, this time we are testing a side contest involving teams. The rules for the team challenge are simple:

1. Sign up with a partner before the beginning of the first match.
2. Make just one prediction per match - it counts for the Oracle Challenge and the Oracle Team Challenge.
3. Your team score for the day is equal to both team members' scores added together.
4. If one player misses a prediction, the team will get either (partner's score * 2) or (partner's score + average score for the day), whichever is lower. This is to keep teams from being eliminated by one missed prediction, and ONLY applies to the team scores.
---
Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/6/2006 10:55:15 AM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

We are now accepting predictions for all remaining round 1 matches:

Snake Division
Fire Emblem vs Silent Hill
Castlevania vs Halo
Kingdom Hearts vs Harvest Moon

Mushroom Division
Super Mario Bros vs Madden NFL
Grand Theft Auto vs Warcraft
Sonic vs Devil May Cry
Super Smash Bros vs Dragon Quest

Ultima Division
Final Fantasy vs Diablo
Mega Man vs Mario Kart
The Elder Scrolls vs Street Fighter
Resident Evil vs Shadow Hearts

May the best predictor win!
---
Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: alpha door | Posted: 7/6/2006 10:56:40 AM | Message Detail
tag
---
Official Chrono Trigger Fan
I. Want. Spore. Now.
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 7/6/2006 10:59:41 AM | Message Detail
A new topic, eh? I'll counter that with a repost of my picks!

Fire Emblem with 55.28%
Halo with 57.29%
Kingdom Hearts with 76.34%

Mushroom Division
Super Mario Bros with 84.38%
Grand Theft Auto with 59.33%
Sonic with 64.34%
Super Smash Bros with 78.18%

Ultima Division
Final Fantasy with 85.22%
Mega Man with 50.22%
Street Fighter with 61.43%
Resident Evil with 73.93%
---
Moltar Status: Excited, the Contest is here at last!
Metal Gear vs. Soul Calibur - Bracket: MG - Vote: MG (4/4)
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 7/6/2006 11:02:42 AM | Message Detail
Trigger-happy eh Moltar? =P

Oh and Kaxon, next time around, "May the best predictor win!" should revert back to Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!, solar's classic line...
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SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/6/2006 11:44:21 AM | Message Detail
kawaiifan predictions
Fire Emblem with 50%
Halo with 55%
Kingdom Hearts with 78%

Super Mario Bros with 85%
Warcraft with 50%
Sonic with 64%
Super Smash Bros with 78%

Oh and Kaxon, next time around, "May the best predictor win!" should revert back to Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!, solar's classic line...

Eh, I decided to mix things up a bit, since the very first line talks about testing your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent. But I suppose the old-school version might return sometime...
---
Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: Layzerbeam | Posted: 7/6/2006 11:59:13 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Silent Hill with 50%

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ROCKET TROUSERS!
im not making these lies up ~ ertyu
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 7/6/2006 12:01:13 PM | Message Detail
Fire Emblem with 60%
Halo with 51%

Blowout in the first one, the second one, I'm going against my bracket.
---
Weird Kirby Dude - spud2002 is alive! >_>
Every fanboy war degenerates to a flame war over whether each debater likes the Halo series or not. -Android21A
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 7/6/2006 12:01:49 PM | Message Detail
Final Fantasy with 70.00%
Mega Man with 55.00%
Street Fighter with 58.00%
Resident Evil with 72.00%

---
Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/RPGuy.jpg
From: Javman162 | Posted: 7/6/2006 12:26:39 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Fire Emblem - 58.85%
From: basmeyer42 | Posted: 7/6/2006 12:32:24 PM | Message Detail
fire emblem with 56.04%
From: Rad Link 5 | Posted: 7/6/2006 1:30:10 PM | Message Detail
This match is killing me. >_<
---
um that dose that mean your a girl my immortal since you have a boy friend - ertyu
Detective in Sir Chris' Police
From: PeaceOut64 | Posted: 7/6/2006 1:32:45 PM | Message Detail
Change

Fire Emblem with 55.1%
---
My goal since I joined the Leafs has always been to have on the ice a team as good as our fans. We have never quite gotten there. Some day we will. - Ken Dryden
From: Rodri316 | Posted: 7/6/2006 1:40:38 PM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: Rodri316 | Posted: 7/6/2006 1:41:34 PM | Message Detail
Change

Fire Emblem - 61.14%
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Best. Series. Ever. Score: 4/4
Prediction: Metal Gear vs. Soul Calibur
From: IhatethisCPU | Posted: 7/6/2006 2:00:36 PM | Message Detail
Changes:

Snake Division
Silent Hill with 54%.
Castlevania with 52%.
Kingdom Hearts with 82%.

Mushroom Division
Super Mario Bros with 67%.
Warcraft with 55%.
Sonic with 70%.
Super Smash Bros with 85%.

Ultima Division
Diablo with 52%.
Mario Kart with 58%
The Elder Scrolls with 55%.
Resident Evil with 65%.

---
"Did you ever consider that they are happy being depressed?"- Icehawk
STEAMBOT CHRONICLES!
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/6/2006 2:15:33 PM | Message Detail
Haste2 Change:
Halo over Castlevania - 54%
---
Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: SergeantScruffy | Posted: 7/6/2006 2:42:06 PM | Message Detail
Fire Emblem with 52.25%
---
lol internet redux
From: trannyscience | Posted: 7/6/2006 3:06:07 PM | Message Detail
change:

Fire Emblem with 58.13%
---
xyzzy
From: Menji76 | Posted: 7/6/2006 3:07:00 PM | Message Detail
Hmm... seeing the pic;


CHANGE

Silent Hill; 53.45%
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#1 Gamefaqs Duke fan; http://www.theautolog.com
Spring 2K6; T-1st; 4/4; 4 Points; Next Pick; Metal Gear
From: Camden | Posted: 7/6/2006 3:19:48 PM | Message Detail
No time like the present to hedge.

Fire Emblem with 50.5%
---
Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
SpC2K6 - 5/5 - Currently: Fire Emblem
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 7/6/2006 4:13:54 PM | Message Detail
Did you get my Metal Gear prediction, I don't see it on the site

Fire Emblem - 56.27%
---
"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
From: stingers135 | Posted: 7/6/2006 4:14:25 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE
Fire Emblem with 55.67%
---
Goblin God of Sexiness of The Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
Owner of Wilhelm on the Xenosaga 3 Board. Rawr.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 7/6/2006 4:17:34 PM | Message Detail
Nevermind I found it in the other topic.
---
"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
From: creativename | Posted: 7/6/2006 4:19:39 PM | Message Detail
Change:

Fire Emblem with 58%

---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
From: JohnMaddenIsHot | Posted: 7/6/2006 4:20:41 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Fire Emblem with 55.12
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~Sess~ I'm due for some pretty bad karma by now becuase over the last few months i've conducted several moth holocausts with my trusty hoover. ~ Tombs
From: RX7InfinitiIII | Posted: 7/6/2006 4:24:01 PM | Message Detail
Sess, you have to include the percent sign or it won't be counted. Just a heads-up.


RX7
From: StopPokingMe | Posted: 7/6/2006 5:20:09 PM | Message Detail
Changes:
Halo with 55.55%
Super Mario Bros. with 85.85%
Grand Theft Auto with 62.62%
---
Champions of Time and Space: The Summer Contest 2003 Fanfiction Project
http://crolapras.tripod.com/ffproj.html
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 7/6/2006 5:22:29 PM | Message Detail
Fire Emblem with 57%
---
Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 7/6/2006 5:43:41 PM | Message Detail
Fire Emblem with 58.00%
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 7/6/2006 5:44:38 PM | Message Detail
Fire Emblem with 55.87%
---
I'm not here, this isn't happening.
From: Salient | Posted: 7/6/2006 5:49:30 PM | Message Detail
Fire Emblem with 58.50%
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: Evil_REmade | Posted: 7/6/2006 6:11:51 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Halo with 59.94
---
[=[_] =] Nintendo DS
[+[_]·:·] See double while sober!
From: cyko | Posted: 7/6/2006 6:52:39 PM | Message Detail
cyko's confidence levels up!!

FE prediction gains 2.5 points!!!

CHANGE -

Fire Emblem - 62.13%

---
"In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women...." - Homer Simpson
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 7/6/2006 6:54:27 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Fire Emblem with 57.10%
---
Moltar Status: Excited, the Contest is here at last!
Metal Gear vs. Soul Calibur - Bracket: MG - Vote: MG (4/4)
From: ad00 | Posted: 7/6/2006 7:04:40 PM | Message Detail
Is it normal none of the changes I made yesterday have been updated on the website?

eg I used to have 87.xx for MG, which is stil lthere, but I revised it to 76.06 or so way before the deadline, along with a few more changes, but none have been recorded.
---
You made the universe implode, what are we supposed to say? - Smurf
I apologize. It needed to happen sometime. - Josh Hartigan
From: Dekar TKB | Posted: 7/6/2006 7:12:01 PM | Message Detail
Change.

Fire Emblem with 53.82%
---
Chief of Patrol in Sir Chris' police force DA!
Captain Falcon for Sc2k6! www.rpgdl.com
From: therealmnm | Posted: 7/6/2006 7:13:58 PM | Message Detail
Fire Emblem with 57%
---
Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
From: Xuxon | Posted: 7/6/2006 7:18:18 PM | Message Detail
Fire Emblem with 59%
---
"Let's drop this Xbox statue on Naomi's head! Oof! This thing's big! It'll take over 3 years for it to start selling!" ~ Jaguar, Sega Fantasy VI
From: BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted: 7/6/2006 7:23:39 PM | Message Detail
Fire Emblem with 69.69%


TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
From: th3l3fty | Posted: 7/6/2006 7:24:32 PM | Message Detail
Change: Fire Emblem with 54.27%
---
.....________________Nominate Midgar Zolom for SC2k6!
.....|....O......__....O....| Patrolman in Sir Chris' Police
From: creativename | Posted: 7/6/2006 7:41:48 PM | Message Detail
Change:

Fire Emblem with 59%
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 7/6/2006 7:47:28 PM | Message Detail
cyko and BT just had to go higher than me, didn't you two? >_>
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Weird Kirby Dude - spud2002 is alive! >_>
Every fanboy war degenerates to a flame war over whether each debater likes the Halo series or not. -Android21A
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 7/6/2006 8:10:15 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Fire Emblem with 59.77%
---
For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 7/6/2006 8:12:39 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Fire Emblem with 59.82%
---
"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
From: Camden | Posted: 7/6/2006 8:18:13 PM | Message Detail
Fire Emblem with 54.7%

C'mon Metal Gear, go back up a little bit!
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
SpC2K6 - 5/5 - Currently: Fire Emblem
From: Darkash | Posted: 7/6/2006 8:18:19 PM | Message Detail
God, this Fire Emblem pick is a crapshoot:

CHANGE

Fire Emblem w/ 55.28%
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1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!
From: Kaxon | Posted: 7/6/2006 8:22:34 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE
Fire Emblem with 54%
---
Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
From: PeaceOut64 | Posted: 7/6/2006 8:24:30 PM | Message Detail
Change

Fire Emblem with 56.5%
---
My goal since I joined the Leafs has always been to have on the ice a team as good as our fans. We have never quite gotten there. Some day we will. - Ken Dryden
From: StopPokingMe | Posted: 7/6/2006 8:25:13 PM | Message Detail
Yeah, fine, I'm wimping out.

Change:
Fire Emblem with 50.50%
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Champions of Time and Space: The Summer Contest 2003 Fanfiction Project
http://crolapras.tripod.com/ffproj.html
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