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Oracle Challenge Discussion Topic 3
From: The Real Truth | Posted: 10/20/2006 1:00:32 AM | Message Detail
As long as Yuna can keep this up, I should end with a great pick.
---
Nominate Barret Wallace for SC2k7, you know you want to
From: Lopen | Posted: 10/20/2006 3:47:01 AM | Message Detail
Okay, I just realized... my Yuna prediction is mysteriously missing. I know I made one... I predict in blocks! I wouldn't just leave one match out.

Tell me you archive these things!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
From: Lopen | Posted: 10/20/2006 3:53:27 AM | Message Detail
I think I had Yuna with like 67%..

However, if it turns out you don't archive these topics... you could... use my Analysis Crew prediction! ...what? It's a great idea! I may be in one of the last positions, but I want all 63 matches, by gawd!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
From: cyko | Posted: 10/20/2006 6:51:47 AM | Message Detail
i am SOOOOOO glad i didn't chicken out and lower my pick! ^_^

of course, this is still quite a bit more of a beating than i was expececting.....

---
i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 10/20/2006 12:48:56 PM | Message Detail
Tell me you archive these things!

We archive these things!
Speaking of which...

From: Lopen | Posted: 10/4/2006 11:40:04 PM | Message Detail
...
Yuna with 70.08

You forgot the % sign!
OMG LOPEN PREDICTION!!!
Yuna with 70.08%
---
It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 10/20/2006 12:50:21 PM | Message Detail
Obviously, I'll need to post it in the right topic....
---
It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 10/20/2006 12:57:23 PM | Message Detail
Oh and I'll obviously join in the fun with a

wtf Yuna > Mario!!!

I. Don't. Get it. Plus people have no taste...
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: Lopen | Posted: 10/20/2006 1:40:07 PM | Message Detail
In the right topic? What are you talking about?

Are you going to fix it or not, Morgoth!? DON'T TOY WITH MY EMOTIONS LIKE THIS! Heh...
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
From: Xuxon | Posted: 10/20/2006 3:42:31 PM | Message Detail
This is the discussion topic, not the topic to make predictions. He was making an official post for your prediction to count that the script could read, but of course the script goes through the other topic, not this one.
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Take off every sig.
From: Xuxon | Posted: 10/20/2006 4:01:15 PM | Message Detail
This match is baffling. I figured Joanna wasn't as strong as the stats said, and that she benefitted from anti-Mario votes. But that she'd at least get a touch stronger with PD0, and Yuna would get even more anti-voted than Mario. HOW IS YUNA NOT GETTING ANTIVOTED???

I even figured in Yuna being underrated from Samus/Ganon SFF, predicted higher than like 90% of people here, and I'm still 6.5% off. Truely baffling.
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Take off every sig.
From: Salient | Posted: 10/20/2006 4:34:11 PM | Message Detail
Wow, the whole rest of the of the 2nd round looks like it could be crazy for the Oracle. Every match really has a pretty good arguable percentage range... It would seem now is the best chance I'm going to get to make my move...

~grasps Dual Blade and dons Pearl armaments~

!
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~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: Applekidjosh | Posted: 10/20/2006 8:51:10 PM | Message Detail
She was sitting at 77.77 for so long... I wanted the perfect prediction ;_;
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Pikaness is number-a one! AKJ is zero!
AKJ @ Work
From: King_Zog | Posted: 10/20/2006 8:54:46 PM | Message Detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb5/cb541.jpg

......Old Man Snake?!

Squall may actually have a chance!
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Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.
From: Camden | Posted: 10/20/2006 10:40:20 PM | Message Detail
If it was a sprite round I'd take Squall over Snake. That's one of a few different upsets I could still see happening.
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Game over, what was a bad joke is now a reality show. -Sonata Arctica
From: Starion | Posted: 10/20/2006 10:56:13 PM | Message Detail
That Yoshi pic is hilariously cute. Makes for quite a contrast with Dante's image.
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Now playing: Castlevania:DOS | Queue: Okami | Waiting for: SMT:Devil Summoner, FF12, Castlevania:POR
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/21/2006 12:33:22 AM | Message Detail
Match #39 Results
Yuna 78.05%
Joanna Dark 21.95%

The latest surprising blowout of the contest belongs to Yuna, who performed within three percent of "freaking Mario" against Joanna Dark. It's hard to see the trend between some of these over and under performances, but if you can figure them out it should give you a big advantage in the Oracle. The consensus was Yuna with 67.48% and the average score was 39.13. 123 people took Yuna while two people, steve illumina and IhatethisCPU, took Joanna.

Best Five Picks:
1) Ikon - Yuna 78.00% (+49.95)
2) The Real Truth - Yuna 78.19% (+49.86)
3) Brakmaster - Yuna 78.20% (+49.85)
4) Applekidjosh - Yuna 77.77% (+49.72)
5) Evil_REmade - Yuna 78.65% (+49.40)

Ikon makes the best pick of the day, appearing in the top 5 for the first time this contest. The Real Truth is second, and Brakmaster trails him by 0.01 for third. Brak's team mate, Applekidjosh, is right behind him with the fourth best prediction. Finally, Evil_REmade has the fifth best pick. This is the third top 5 for The Real Truth and Josh, the second for Brakmaster, and the first for Evil_REmade.

Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=39

Current Leaderboard:
1) Karma Hunter - 1767.22
2) cyko - 1763.98
3) DSRage - 1762.07
4) Kaxon - 1759.72
5) Draco1214 - 1758.45

Karma Hunter remains in first today for the fifth day in a row. Cyko passes up former leader DSRage to take second. DSRage drops to third, while Kaxon and Draco remain in fourth and fifth.

Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=total&match=39

Top Team Scores:
1) Team Shemale Shanty - 99.57 (Applekidjosh: +49.72 / Brakmaster: +49.85)
2) Team AAA - 87.21 (Aprosenf: +38.97 / Ayvuir: +48.24)
3) Team Robo Chocobo Remix - 86.84 (Inviso: +42.78 / Vlado: +44.06)
4) Team Lions on a Plane - 86.01 (yoshifan823: +46.84 / RX7InfinitiIII: +39.17)
5) Team Bartar - 85.76 (Master Moltar: +40.37 / KingBartz: +45.39)

Team Shemale Shanty seems to be making a real effort to turn things around! After being the lowest ranked team to predict every match, they've now gotten a first and a second in the last three days. They still have to gain 19 points to pass the next-lowest team, but that's 20 points less than they needed yesterday! Team AAA is second best today with a score 12 points lower than Josh and Brakmaster. Team Robo Chocobo Remix gets third, followed by Team Lions on a Plane (actually yoshifan flying solo, since RX7 disappeared) and Team Bartar.

Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teammatch&match=39

Team Leaderboard:
1) Team Unfinished FFP (Ed Bellis / Karma Hunter) - 3514.27
2) Team The Spirit of Truth (Draco1214 / Rodri316) - 3512.50
3) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 3502.83
4) Team Romanian Potato Soup (The n00b Avenger / GrapefruitKing) - 3490.72
5) Team mvp's (ps2rulezzz / basmeyer42) - 3489.76

The top three teams remain the same today, and still have a fairly comfortable lead over the pack despite somewhat weak recent scores. Team Romanian Potato Soup moves up one spot, and Team mvp's yet again retakes fifth place, pushing Team Rage of Warcraft out of the top 5.

Complete Team Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teamtotal&match=39
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....TCELES B HSUP
From: Applekidjosh | Posted: 10/21/2006 1:31:06 AM | Message Detail
XFD I love it

Go Brak!
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Pikaness is number-a one! AKJ is zero!
From: Ed Bellis | Posted: 10/21/2006 2:17:14 AM | Message Detail
...

GRAAAHH
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This was Ed Bellis.
From: transience | Posted: 10/21/2006 2:28:08 AM | Message Detail
hey, a match I didn't suck at predicting. GO GO MALE HALF
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xyzzy
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 10/21/2006 2:35:28 AM | Message Detail
Ed's latest picks are just KILLING us.

*This* is what I was hoping for when I signed up with him! =D
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
From: TheKnightOfNee | Posted: 10/21/2006 3:12:16 AM | Message Detail
Hey, I finally got a top 5 two days ago! Awesome!

I've really been failing at the contest this year. Through match 14, I was on a roll and kicking ass, then my computer broke. So, I've only been able to get online via other people's computers, and some days I haven't been able to change bad predictions or see match pics ahead of time. So I've been stuck with a lot of bad picks. =(
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Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
"i love you and aiya" - An IM from Richie259. Awww.
From: Leebo86 | Posted: 10/21/2006 8:25:07 AM | Message Detail
I've never seen a percentage change this steep... 0.67% in the last hour alone and no signs of stopping. Good thing I went low ^_^
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~~~Kemonozume~~~
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDtkvswXMn0
From: Starion | Posted: 10/21/2006 8:34:00 AM | Message Detail
Well, ChunLi did go from getting 60% of the votes per update in the evening down to practically even now. I can't remember ever seeing that before in other matches.
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Now playing: Castlevania:DOS | Queue: Okami | Waiting for: SMT:Devil Summoner, FF12, Castlevania:POR
From: jonthomson | Posted: 10/21/2006 10:20:21 AM | Message Detail
God, this percentage collapse is horrible, esp. considering I've got a high-57 prediction here.
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Jon Thomson - Z1mZum pwned me good and proper.
From: BZer0 | Posted: 10/21/2006 10:22:19 AM | Message Detail
Currently at 50.00 points, woot!
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CBV: 40/46
Next: Chun Li vs. Lara Croft
From: Leebo86 | Posted: 10/21/2006 10:29:55 AM | Message Detail
To see the % drop by a tenth of a point this late in the day is usually unheard of... but it's happened quite a few times now.
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~~~Kemonozume~~~
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDtkvswXMn0
From: yoshifan823 | Posted: 10/21/2006 10:36:34 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake with 67.23%
Yoshi with 51.97%
Sora with 76.34%
Mega Man with 67.62%
Sonic the Hedgehog with 54.63%
Kirby with 56.27%
Bowser with 50.01%
Sub-Zero with 50.01%

*Yoshifan*
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/21/2006 1:37:15 PM | Message Detail
Today's the second day in a row that my instinct performed better than my logic. Good thing my 2% raise was 1 second late!
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....TCELES B HSUP
From: TheKnightOfNee | Posted: 10/21/2006 1:46:36 PM | Message Detail
My pick is still at 66% from a couple days ago. Ugh. >_<
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Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
"i love you and aiya" - An IM from Richie259. Awww.
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 10/21/2006 1:51:07 PM | Message Detail
Today's the second day in a row that my instinct performed better than my logic. Good thing my 2% raise was 1 second late!

Really trying to jinx it eh? =P
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: Xuxon | Posted: 10/21/2006 4:13:57 PM | Message Detail
Should have kept it at 55... maybe 54. Ah well. I think I should stay in the top 10, anyway.
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Take off every sig.
From: cyko | Posted: 10/21/2006 4:26:28 PM | Message Detail
so far, i'm loving this female bracket! ^_^

FIRST PLACE HERE I COME!!!! el w00t0!

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 10/21/2006 4:42:10 PM | Message Detail
Just for cyko!

FEMALE BRACKET STANDINGS
1. Aprosenf - 1050.75
2 .ad00 - 1048.58
3. cyko - 1045.15
4. DSRage - 1043.87
5. Kaxon - 1041.59
6. Ed Bellis - 1041.44
7. PeaceOut64 - 1039.92
8. Rodri316 - 1036.74
9. Draco1214 - 1036.54
10. raytan7585 - 1036.52

MALE BRACKET STANDINGS
1. King_Zog - 740.84
2. Karma Hunter - 73217
3. Janus5000 - 729.99
4. CaptainFlufflez - 729.07
5. King Morgoth - 727.55
6. Shivan Reincarnated - 727.45
7. Dekar TKB - 724.79
8. red sox 777 - 724.26
9. GrapefruitKing - 724.18
10. Leebo86 - 723.34
---
It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: Leebo86 | Posted: 10/21/2006 4:45:36 PM | Message Detail
10. Leebo86 - 723.34

Heh, nice.

I'm actually doing better in the female bracket I think, but I didn't start until the 8 match :(
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~~~Kemonozume~~~
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDtkvswXMn0
From: cyko | Posted: 10/21/2006 5:33:24 PM | Message Detail
heh, i knew i was doing much better in the female bracket than the male side. nice work, KM!

---
i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
From: Camden | Posted: 10/21/2006 9:56:36 PM | Message Detail
Oh my, a good prediction? How did that happen?
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Game over, what was a bad joke is now a reality show. -Sonata Arctica
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 10/21/2006 10:01:31 PM | Message Detail
Camden | Posted 10/21/2006 9:56:36 PM | message detail
Oh my, a good prediction? How did that happen?


How indeed. I might get a Top 5 for this match...

And I really want to go with Squall, but I'm not taking this risk this time... I'm going to regret it (maybe).
---
Weird Kirby Dude - spud2002 is alive! >_>
From: meche313 | Posted: 10/21/2006 10:22:49 PM | Message Detail
Camden, you need a few of those soon! There you have the first one. My pick is not that great for today, nothing new <.<
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I still need a good sig.
From: Dekar TKB | Posted: 10/21/2006 10:24:05 PM | Message Detail
This reinforces my hatred of the female bracket. Not something that needed reinforcing, either. :^(.
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Chief of Patrol in Sir Chris' police force DA!
Captain Falcon for Sc2k6! www.rpgdl.com
From: Camden | Posted: 10/21/2006 11:23:19 PM | Message Detail
My pick is not that great for today, nothing new <.<

You've done a lot better than me in the second round.
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Game over, what was a bad joke is now a reality show. -Sonata Arctica
From: Redtooth | Posted: 10/21/2006 11:59:28 PM | Message Detail
Come on Snake, don't dissapoint me >_>

---
Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
From: Starion | Posted: 10/22/2006 12:10:19 AM | Message Detail
Heh. I'm going to hate myself for lowering Snake's pick if he keeps up his current performance. Good thing he has a fairly mediocre day vote.
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Now playing: Castlevania:DOS | Queue: Okami | Waiting for: SMT:Devil Summoner, FF12, Castlevania:POR
From: King_Zog | Posted: 10/22/2006 12:12:05 AM | Message Detail
Forgot to turn in an Oracle pick today...shoot

Anyways, I'm feeling better about my Snake>MM pick if it's any consolation for me
---
Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 10/22/2006 12:54:11 AM | Message Detail
FEMALE BRACKET STANDINGS
1. Aprosenf - 1050.75


What a pleasant surprise!
---
If life gives you lemons, make lemonade. Then try to find someone whose life has given them vodka.
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/22/2006 1:08:06 AM | Message Detail
Match #40 Results
Lara Croft 44.46%
Chun Li 55.54%

Lara started out poorly, but ended up keeping things respectable thanks to the famously bad Street Fighter day vote. It looks like Tomb Raider: Legend may have helped return Lara to respectability after all. The consensus was Chun Li with 57.78% and the average score was 45.29. 114 predictors took Chun Li and 9 put their faith in Lara Croft.

Best Five Picks:
1) Javman162 - Chun Li 55.55% (+49.99)
1) King Morgoth - Chun Li 55.55% (+49.99)
1) Weird Kirby Dude11 - Chun Li 55.55% (+49.99)
1) creativename - Chun Li 55.55% (+49.99)
5) Camden - Chun Li 55.70% (+49.84)

The top pick today is a four way tie for first, among four people with 49.99 point predictions! Javman, King Morgoth, Weird Kirby Dude, and creativename tie for first, while Camden gets a solo fifth place. This is the 28th top five for King Morgoth, 25th for creativename, 9th for Weird Kirby Dude, and 4th for Javman. This is Camden's 12th top 5.

Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=40

Current Leaderboard:
1) cyko - 1813.77
2) Karma Hunter - 1811.92
3) DSRage - 1811.29
4) Kaxon - 1809.26
5) Rodri316 - 1803.57

Cyko takes the lead! After spending 16 days in second place this contest, cyko finally gets to enjoy first place. Karma Hunter drops down to second with an agressive Chun Li prediction. DSRage remains in third and Kaxon remains in fourth. Rodri, who's spent a lot of time in the lower half of the top 10, finally moves back on to the leaderboard for the first time since day 8.

Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=total&match=40

Top Team Scores:
1) Team We Used To Be Good? - 99.53 (Kaxon: +49.54 / King Morgoth: +49.99)
2) Team Predestined Divination - 98.76 (creativename: +49.99 / Ngamer64: +48.77)
3) Team The Returners - 98.68 (cyko: +49.79 / steve illumina: +48.89)
4) Team mvp's - 97.56 (ps2rulezzz: +48.46 / basmeyer42: +49.10)
5) Team Klonoa Alliance - 97.41 (raytan7585: +48.65 / amyvitality66: +48.76)

The top team of the day is Team We Used To Be Good?, thanks to King Morgoth's near-perfect prediction and a decent prediction from Kaxon. Another superteam, Team Predestined Divination, ranks second for the day - they've been relatively quiet recently. The Returners (cyko and steve illumina) recover from a bad day yesterday to take third, followed by Team mvp's. Finally, Team Klonoa Alliance gets the fifth best score as the rivalry continues.

Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teammatch&match=40

Team Leaderboard:
1) Team The Spirit of Truth (Draco1214 / Rodri316) - 3606.56
2) Team Unfinished FFP (Ed Bellis / Karma Hunter) - 3604.44
3) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 3602.36
4) Team mvp's (ps2rulezzz / basmeyer42) - 3587.32
5) Team Romanian Potato Soup (The n00b Avenger / GrapefruitKing) - 3585.98

The Spirit of Truth retakes the lead from Team Unfinished FFP today, pushing Karma Hunter and Eddie B. down to second. Team We Used To Be Good? makes the race close again, closing from 11 points back to only 4 with their top score. Team mvp's switch places with Team Romanian Potato Soup, moving from fifth to fourth.

Complete Team Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teamtotal&match=40
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 10/22/2006 1:09:11 AM | Message Detail
The previous match was bad for us...but my team and I are soaring back in a big way today!
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
From: Ed Bellis | Posted: 10/22/2006 1:09:45 AM | Message Detail
I like how I've fallen like eleven places over the past four days. Oh well, today should help me back up.
---
This was Ed Bellis.
From: Menji76 | Posted: 10/22/2006 1:13:02 AM | Message Detail
So I have this problem, my computer's been acting really bad lately and at random times I try and login but it won't let me. Not because I'm putting in the wrong password or anything, it just doesn't. I'm banking that my computer has a virus so that's probably the reason.

Anyway, today and a few days ago I wasn't able to get my prediction changed and it's gonna cost me (lol 67% for Snake) - so my question is, is there some other way I can send a prediction in, if this occurs again?

---
Board 8's #1 Duke Fan - Be Honest©
SC2K6; 37/40; 45 Points; T-3rd; Next Pick: Solid Snake
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/22/2006 1:14:42 AM | Message Detail
You can always email your predictions to oracle@oraclechallenge.com if for some reason you can't post to the board.
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....TCELES B HSUP
From: ad00 | Posted: 10/22/2006 1:43:32 AM | Message Detail
Make one bad female bracket prediction and Aprosenf passes me... bleh =p

---
Einstein would turn over in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded.
Oracle:33rd and dropping :( / Runner of Winning Streak
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