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SC2k6 Oracle Challenge - Round 5
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/9/2006 12:25:13 AM | Message Detail
Welcome to the Oracle Challenge, the contest that tests your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!

The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Summer Contest you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of the vote they will receive. New participants are still being accepted until at least the end of round 3 (please indicate that you are new and make a minimum of three picks).

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. Your predictions must start with the name of your winner and end with your predicted percentage. Examples:

Link with 85%
Link 55.13%
Link over CATS with 67.55%
Link - 77.5%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use a weird format.

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most points at the end of the final match. For each match you can earn anywhere from 0 and 50 points. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: Link with 65%
My guess: CATS with 55%
Actual result: Link 60%, CATS 40%
Your score: 50 - (65-60) = 45 points
My score: 45 - (55-40) = 30 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. Link with 85.03%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else's. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made five minutes before the usual start time of that match's poll (approx. 11:55pm EST, 10:55am CST, 8:55pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to a previous entry.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule and to reduce confusion.
ANYONE CAUGHT CHEATING (Including but not limited to deleting changes after the start of a match) WILL IMMEDIATELY BE DISQUALIFIED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CONTEST.

6) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page <http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users>, I already know about it).
7) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
8) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.

Team Challenge

The popular team challenge is returning for a second contest. The rules for the team challenge are simple:

1. Sign up with a partner before the beginning of the first match.
2. Make just one prediction per match - it counts for the Oracle Challenge and the Oracle Team Challenge.
3. Your team score for the day is equal to both team members' scores added together.
4. If one player misses a prediction, the team will get either (partner's score * 2) or (partner's score + average score for the day), whichever is lower. This is to keep teams from being eliminated by one missed prediction, and ONLY applies to the team scores.
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/9/2006 12:25:44 AM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

Oracle Discussion Topic
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=31154224

We are now accepting predictions for the remainder of round 4 and the round 5 female final. Predictions for the male final will be accepted as soon as the Sonic/Crono match is complete.

ROUND 4
Sonic the Hedgehog vs Crono

ROUND 5
Samus Aran vs Zelda

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: TheKnightOfNee | Posted: 11/9/2006 12:26:15 AM | Message Detail
Samus with 51.99%
---
Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
"i love you and aiya" - An IM from Richie259. Awww.
From: XIII_rocks | Posted: 11/9/2006 12:27:02 AM | Message Detail
*phew*

Sonic with 50.38%
Samus with 53.96%
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
From: Haste_2 | Posted: 11/9/2006 12:28:48 AM | Message Detail
Better repost...

Samus Aran - 55.55%

---
Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/9/2006 12:33:07 AM | Message Detail
KingBartz's predictions
Round 4
Sonic - 51.15%

Round 5
Samus - 54.09%
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: ps2rulezzz | Posted: 11/9/2006 12:34:49 AM | Message Detail
Samus with 53.90%
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190/192 points in sc2004, winner team oracle challenge
30/32 sc 2006
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 11/9/2006 12:36:52 AM | Message Detail
Not sure if this registered before (since it was half an hour after Zelda/Yuna ended), so I'll post it again:

Why the hell not:

Zelda with 50.51%
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If life gives you lemons, make lemonade. Then try to find someone whose life has given them vodka.
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 11/9/2006 12:51:19 AM | Message Detail
Change:

Sonic with 50.00%

New pick:

Zelda with 50.00%
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO Z1mZum FOR ROCKING THE GURU WORLD
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/9/2006 1:03:12 AM | Message Detail
Match #58 Results
Yuna 42.98%
Zelda 57.02%

In what could be the last predictable match of the contest, Zelda wins comfortably over Yuna. Yuna did do a great job at limiting the damage during the day, and did almost as well as Aeris did against Zelda a week ago. The consensus was Zelda with 57.99% and the average score was 47.63. 101 people picked Zelda to win the match and 2 picked Yuna.

Best Five Picks:
1) Layzerbeam - Zelda 57.01% (+49.99)
2) ps2rulezzz - Zelda 57.05% (+49.97)
3) AmazingKirby - Zelda 57.17% (+49.85)
4) Ngamer64 - Zelda 57.23% (+49.79)
5) Agent M - Zelda 56.80% (+49.78)

Layzerbeam picks up today's top pick with a near-perfect prediction. This is his fourth time in the top 5 this contest. Ps2rulezzz gets the second best pick, his 5th top 5 of the contest. AmazingKirby is in third for his second top 5, followed by Ngamer, who manages to sneak into the top 5 for the first time this contest. Agent M gets fifth, his second top 5 pick.

Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=58

Current Leaderboard:
1) cyko - 2661.16
2) Aprosenf - 2656.00
3) Draco1214 - 2649.90
4) PeaceOut64 - 2649.62
5) Salient - 2648.93

The leaderboard remained unchanged today, but that's not likely to last. Cyko has a 5.16 point lead over Aprosenf and an 11.26 point lead over everyone else, so he has a little bit of room to work with in the upcoming tossup matches.

Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=total&match=58

Top Team Scores:
1) Team mvp's - 98.94 (ps2rulezzz: +49.97 / basmeyer42: +48.97)
2) Team Predestined Divination - 98.81 (creativename: +49.02 / Ngamer64: +49.79)
3) Team Coinflip - 98.61 (red sox 777: +49.02 / Menji76: +49.59)
4) Team Klonoa Alliance - 98.34 (raytan7585: +49.47 / amyvitality66: +48.87)
5) Team Don't Get Too Cocky - 98.01 (Lopen: +49.54 / satai_delenn: +48.47)

Team mvp's, already on top of the standings, widens their lead today with the top score of the day. Team Predestined Divination is close behind, continuing their own hot streak. Team Coinflip is up there for the second time in a row and fourth time this week with the third best score. Team Klonoa Alliance puts up another top 5, followed by Team Don't Get Too Cocky (Lopen and satai_delenn). As a change of pace, no one-person teams made the top 5 today. Teamwork does occasionally pay off!

Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teammatch&match=58

Team Leaderboard:
1) Team mvp's (ps2rulezzz / basmeyer42) - 5290.21
2) Team Romanian Potato Soup (The n00b Avenger / GrapefruitKing) - 5279.96
3) Team Predestined Divination (creativename / Ngamer64) - 5275.34
4) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 5274.63
5) Team Happy Happyists (Camden / meche313) - 5270.67

Team mvp's continues to lead, and builds their margin up to 10 points with the top score today. Team Romanian Potato Soup is still in second. Team Predestined Divination passes Team We Used To Be Good? to take third place today, but they're still neck and neck. Team Happy Happyists has reason to be happy as they return to the team leaderboard today in fifth place.

Complete Team Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teamtotal&match=58
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/9/2006 1:05:17 AM | Message Detail
Black Turtle prediction (from the last topic)
Samus with 55%
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/9/2006 1:05:57 AM | Message Detail
Starion prediction (from the last topic)
Samus with 51.23%
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/9/2006 1:06:46 AM | Message Detail
Xuxon prediction (from the last topic)
Samus with 53.5%
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/9/2006 1:07:25 AM | Message Detail
Draco prediction (from the last topic)
Samus Aran over Zelda with 57%
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/9/2006 1:08:06 AM | Message Detail
KleenexTissue50 prediction (from the last topic)
Samus with 53.00%
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: cyko | Posted: 11/9/2006 5:39:51 AM | Message Detail
Samus - 56.83%

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
From: Ed Bellis | Posted: 11/9/2006 6:05:14 AM | Message Detail
Crono with 51.01%.
---
This was Ed Bellis.
From: roofroofroof | Posted: 11/9/2006 6:07:56 AM | Message Detail
ROUND 4
Sonic the Hedgehog with 52.01%

ROUND 5
Samus Aran with 52.01%

---
ZAP!
do a little dance
From: Tapdancer | Posted: 11/9/2006 6:09:19 AM | Message Detail
roofroofroof is my alt btw.

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ZAP!
do a little dance
From: Pats_Dynasty | Posted: 11/9/2006 6:31:14 AM | Message Detail
Samus with 53.32%
---
"Everyone is born right handed, only the best can overcome it." - Super Janitor
From: jonthomson | Posted: 11/9/2006 7:05:36 AM | Message Detail
Zelda with 50.01%
---
Jon Thomson - Z1mZum pwned me good and proper.
From: King_Zog | Posted: 11/9/2006 7:24:51 AM | Message Detail
Samus with 61.22%
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Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.
From: IhatethisCPU | Posted: 11/9/2006 9:40:22 AM | Message Detail
Based on the fact that Samus can't SFF her way out of a wet paper bag...

Zelda with 64%.
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"No more deals child, it is your flesh we want to experience, not your skill at bargaining."- Pinhead
From: goku z | Posted: 11/9/2006 9:41:19 AM | Message Detail
Samus with 56.1%
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Dirty old men > Squall || Check out Contact, the GotY 2006!
Every time red13n mods a fad, a nerd gets his zits.
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 11/9/2006 10:44:35 AM | Message Detail
Samus with 50.50%

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Happily married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. "Most unusual tastes ever" - The RPGDL
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 11/9/2006 10:46:06 AM | Message Detail
also a note to Kaxon and Morgoth. I wont be here on the weekend, so will I be allowed to make a prediction early for the final match? I assume after Cronos match tomorrow I can make the round 5 match, but since the final match is monday, and I wont be online Saturday or Sunday, can I be allowed to make it tomorrow?

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Happily married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. "Most unusual tastes ever" - The RPGDL
From: The Real Truth | Posted: 11/9/2006 11:36:08 AM | Message Detail
Samus with 57.01%
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Nominate Barret Wallace for SC2k7, you know you want to
From: The Real Truth | Posted: 11/9/2006 11:37:17 AM | Message Detail
Actually,

CHANGE

Samus with 60.73%
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Nominate Barret Wallace for SC2k7, you know you want to
From: meche313 | Posted: 11/9/2006 11:41:15 AM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Crono with 50.9%
---
You're in a clique with Vlado and Inviso. That's the nerdy group in the school cafeteria that sits away from everybody else gossiping about the cool kids in whispers, except instead of whispers, it's AIM, and instead of the school cafeteria, it's the board 8 community. -- Shake
From: Lufia II | Posted: 11/9/2006 11:54:25 AM | Message Detail
Crono with 51.05%
---
Best. Username. Ever.
From: BZer0 | Posted: 11/9/2006 12:19:28 PM | Message Detail
Crono with 52.05%
---
CBV: 104/112
Next: Snake vs. Mega Man
From: Paratroopa1 | Posted: 11/9/2006 12:20:05 PM | Message Detail
Crono with 53.23%
Samus with 53.99%
From: Lopen | Posted: 11/9/2006 12:41:40 PM | Message Detail
ROUND 4
Sonic the Hedgehog with 50.89%

ROUND 5
Samus Aran with 56.15%
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
From: satai_delenn | Posted: 11/9/2006 12:43:31 PM | Message Detail
ROUND 4
Crono with 52.00%

ROUND 5
Samus with 53.62%
---
Beating FE5 and FE6 hard mode is a true test of manhood in the Japanese culture. However. This explains why they have a lot of effeminate men. ~Sytha
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 11/9/2006 12:57:08 PM | Message Detail
Crono with 50.5%
Samus with 52%
---
Weird Kirby Dude - spud2002 is alive! >_>
From: King_Zog | Posted: 11/9/2006 12:59:55 PM | Message Detail
<_< Too many "Crono with 52%" for my tastes...so to show my faith that he'll win the entire thing I'll raise it up

CHANGE

Crono with 53.27%
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Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.
From: yoshifan823 | Posted: 11/9/2006 1:00:35 PM | Message Detail
Samus with 55.55%

*Yoshifan*
From: RPGLord95 | Posted: 11/9/2006 1:01:03 PM | Message Detail
samus 52.07%
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FFXI: Asura: Rpglord 75Drk/75Mnk/73Blm
Linkshell: Illuminaire (Pearlsack Holder)
From: EyeBeeTeeBee | Posted: 11/9/2006 1:16:16 PM | Message Detail
Samus Aran with 53.24%
---
th3l3fty
Patrolman in Sir Chris' Police
From: EyeBeeTeeBee | Posted: 11/9/2006 1:16:42 PM | Message Detail
And this is th3l3fty. >_>
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th3l3fty
Patrolman in Sir Chris' Police
From: Ness26 | Posted: 11/9/2006 2:01:39 PM | Message Detail
Crono with 51.22%
Samus with 52.12%
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Best. Board/Card Game. Ever Contest:
http://www.bracketmaker.com/tlist.cfm?tid=171196
From: Starion | Posted: 11/9/2006 2:13:56 PM | Message Detail
Tag for now
---
Finished: Okami | Now playing: FF12 | Waiting for: Castlevania:POR (yay!!)
From: Ed Bellis | Posted: 11/9/2006 2:22:20 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Crono with 53.12%.
---
This was Ed Bellis.
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 11/9/2006 2:27:16 PM | Message Detail
What's this? Kax still at 54 on Crono? In that case I'll have to stick with my bold prediction for Sonic

*practices his leapfrogging motion*

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thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator
thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 11/9/2006 2:43:04 PM | Message Detail
Sonic - 50.00%
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"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (560 points)
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 11/9/2006 2:44:04 PM | Message Detail
Err...wrong winner. Almost didn't catch it.

Crono - 50.00%
---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (560 points)
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/9/2006 3:44:35 PM | Message Detail
also a note to Kaxon and Morgoth. I wont be here on the weekend, so will I be allowed to make a prediction early for the final match? I assume after Cronos match tomorrow I can make the round 5 match, but since the final match is monday, and I wont be online Saturday or Sunday, can I be allowed to make it tomorrow?

Yes, you can - email your predictions to me, don't post it in the topic.

What's this? Kax still at 54 on Crono? In that case I'll have to stick with my bold prediction for Sonic

That's not actually a prediction, that was the result of his last match which the script thought was a prediction. My prediction was Crono with 51%.

Crono with 51%.
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 11/9/2006 3:46:43 PM | Message Detail
I was wondering... if you could implement some sort of conditional picking system.

Like, If Sonic gets a pic of Super sonic, then X pick, and if not, Y pick.

Because in the off-chance that Sonic gets super sonic, I would definitely change my pick to Sonic >_>
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 11/9/2006 3:51:26 PM | Message Detail
Crono with 51.87%
Samus with 54.43%
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I've been called an idiot many times, mostly by people with poor grammar and a small vernicular. - ExtremeM65
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 11/9/2006 3:55:47 PM | Message Detail
Samus with 55.11%
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
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