Message Detail
Board: ARCHIVE - SpC2k5 to SC2k6
Topic: SC2k7 Oracle Challenge Discussion Topic 2
From: creativename Posted: 10/8/2007 6:04:14 PM
Well it took me a lot longer than I anticipated, but I've put up a generalized percentage estimator using King Morgoth's conditional probability formula.

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/48

Doesn't really work for more than about 12 characters, I suppose because the computational order of the set combinatorics starts to get ridiculous at that point.

King Morgoth, do you have any ideas on working backwards using your formula? Going from actual percentages to 1-on-1 strength estimations?
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