Message Detail
Board: ARCHIVE - SpC2k5 to SC2k6
Topic: SC2k8 Oracle Challenge Discussion Topic 2
From: -LusterSoldier- Posted: 10/21/2008 10:53:06 PM
So, I remember in the first Oracle Challenge discussion topic, Xuxon copy and pasted a post into there. It was a post from transience where he said "who's up for some Oracle Challenge: Obama Edition?". Morgoth apparently showed no interest in being the host of that. I can't blame him, since he's busy running the Oracle site and this year's Oracle Challenge. And I doubt Kaxon would run it either. So I think I'll go ahead and be the host for it.. I actually plan on calling it "Oracle Challenge: Election Edition". I realized that this would be boring if all we did was predict the percentage of votes received by the winner. So I have expanded it to include 3 challenges:

Percentage Prediction Challenge - For each of the major presidential candidates, you need to predict the percentage of votes they receive. Additionally, you must also predict the percentage of votes that all of the third party candidates receive combined.
Electoral College Prediction Challenge - Predict the number of electoral votes that the winner will receive (minimum 270, maximum 538).
Popular Vote Prediction Challenge - Predict the number of votes received by each major candidate, plus the total number of votes cast for all third party candidates combined. This final challenge shall be a true test of your prediction abilities.


Who here would be interested in "Oracle Challenge: Election Edition"?

I plan to have the prediction topic put up one week before the election day. Predictions would need to be submitted no later than 12:00 AM Eastern on November 4th (election day). I have already come up with the formulas I want to use in doing point calculations. In each challenge, you can earn up to 50 points. I shall also post 3 top 5 lists, one for each challenge. Consensus predictions and average scores will also be posted for each challenge.

Point calculations will be done in a spreadsheet. I could easily do point calculations without a script at all, since it's not like I'm working with huge amounts of data. I also have the actual message typed up that I shall post when making the prediction topic. In the prediction topic, I will also give a quick run-down of how the presidential election system works, since not everyone lives in the United States. Also in the prediction topic, will be a short disclaimer saying it's not related to the current Oracle Challenge going on right now. I'm just using the "Oracle Challenge" name for my little contest.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~

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