Keep tellin' yourself that, Kleenix.


-D§R-
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Get yourself a teammate today! http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30822201

By popular request...

Match #21 Results
Sora 75.61%
Tingle 24.39%

Today one of the biggest wildcards of the contest, Tingle, went up against Sora and used his Legend of Zelda fanbase to perform better than expected. This was still the biggest blowout of Sora's career as he managed to get the tripling, something he couldn't do against either of the 47's. The consensus was Sora with 78.41% and the average score was 45.62. All 135 predictions were for Sora.

Best Five Picks:
1) ps2rulezzz - Sora 75.63% (+49.98)
2) KrusTy the KloWn - Sora 75.57% (+49.96)
3) GoldSlime35 - Sora 75.66% (+49.95)
4) Rodri316 - Sora 75.55% (+49.94)
4) JayLv100 - Sora 75.55% (+49.94)

Today's top predictor is the guy known for his amazing average, ps2rulezzz! This is his third top 5 of the contest and 16th lifetime. Second is Krusty the Klown, with his second 2nd place (and second top 5) this contest. The guy who almost won last contest's Oracle, GoldSlime35, places third. Rodri and JayLv100 tie for 4th in this high scoring top 5 with 49.94 points.

Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=21

Current Leaderboard:
1) DSRage - 970.23
2) cyko - 967.81
3) Aprosenf - 961.57
4) Kaxon - 961.17
5) Luster Soldier - 959.71

DSRage once again holds on to the top spot, gaining a little bit of ground against cyko and Aprosenf, who both had higher predictions. Kaxon finally gets tired of fifth place after five days and moves up to fourth! He's celebrating his 69th day on the leaderboard today. Meanwhile, Luster Soldier is enjoying his second day on the leaderboard, but he falls behind Kaxon, dropping down to fifth.

Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=total&match=21

Top Team Scores:
1) Team mvp's - 99.39 (ps2rulezzz: +49.98 / basmeyer42: +49.41)
2) Team The Spirit of Truth - 98.55 (Draco1214: +48.61 / Rodri316: +49.94)
3) Team Unfinished FFP - 98.42 (Ed Bellis: +49.39 / Karma Hunter: +49.03)
4) Team Happy Happyists - 98.12 (Camden: +48.61 / meche313: +49.51)
5) Team Random - 97.90 (XIII is cool: +49.19 / Giggsalot: +48.71)

The defending champs, Team mvp's, make some noise today, getting the top score (powered by ps2rulezzz's top prediction). The leaderboard teams do well overall, as Team The Spirit of Truth, Team Unfinished FFP, and Team Happy Happyists are 2-3-4. Team Random (XIII is cool and Giggsalot) manages fifth with an impressive 97.9 points.

Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teammatch&match=21

Team Leaderboard:
1) Team Unfinished FFP (Ed Bellis / Karma Hunter) - 1916.56
2) Team The Spirit of Truth (Draco1214 / Rodri316) - 1912.37
3) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 1911.37
4) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 1908.53
5) Team Happy Happyists (Camden / meche313) - 1902.96

There aren't too many changes on the leaderboard today, which isn't surprising considering how well three of the top 5 teams did. Team Unfinished FFP holds on to first place, while Team The Spirit of Truth moves back up one spot to second. Team Rage of Warcraft drops to third, while Teams We Used To Be Good? and Happy Happyists hold on to fourth and fifth, respectively.

Complete Team Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teamtotal&match=21
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....TCELES B HSUP

Also, I've noticed how changing the numbers on the match results will show us the predictions for matches that haven't happened yet, but for some reason, this doesn't work when viewing team results. The match listed changes, but the predictions will all read "Dante with xx.xx%" instead of changing also.

Actually, it seems like it DOES work on the team results page, you just need to be on the overall results and not the match results.
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....TCELES B HSUP

I just thought about something. How come that many popular people from the stats topic, who find themselves to be very good predictors, using x-stats and all kind of things, don't predict in the oracle challenge. Also some people from the Contest Analysis Crew. Is it because they are afraid that they will get below a lot of unexperienced predictors and lose their status? BEcause I always see them make predictions but not in the oracle topics.
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190/192 points in sc2004, winner team oracle challenge
Z1mzum owned me this spring

heh, "lose their status". some people just don't do it - Leonhart never participates in the Guru contest either. others are just lazy. I highly doubt it has anything to do with internet message board status.

a good chunk of us from the stats topic do (cyko, for example, is second and Karma Hunter's somewhere in the top ten). Moltar's also up there.
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xyzzy

I've wondered about that before myself. I think most likely they're just not that interested - HM and Ulti both predict sometimes, but they never stick around for the whole contest. I'm not really sure why they're not into it since anyone who cares enough to post in the stats topic seems like they would enjoy this contest, but oh well.
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....TCELES B HSUP

OmegaRagnarok predicted 70% as well...
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UNIVERSE IMPLOSION IMMINENT! Time Remaining: 12 hours!
SC2K6: 20/21 Today's pick: Gordon Freeman

7 out of the last 8 matches (including today) I was below average! Also, I've dropped 27 places plus whatever amount of places I'll drop today! Yes!

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Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799

Man, Gordon is gonna hurt, unless he starts doubling now and somehow starts tripling with the after-school vote. I can hope, right?
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Take off every sig.

Phoenix needs to start fighting! When I woke up and saw Gordon with 54.5, I didn't think he was going to go over my 57% prediction. Now he's there and we haven't even gotten to the after school vote yet.
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....TCELES B HSUP

Good prediction for Gordon this time for me. There were quite a few people who overrated Gordon, the very few Phoenix pickers, you can pretty much say that the predictions were all over the place, so I should do fine today.

Tomorrow's match was the one I had to analyze so I'l be appearing on the Analysis Crew, yay!
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Meche313

Bah... thought I had a good pick going but seems everyone crowded around the same area to the point my 56% looks bad now. Funny how most of these guys had PW to start with =p

[too bad no one distracted them long enough for them to forget to change their pick.... ;)]
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Einstein would turn over in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded.
Oracle:10th =( / Runner of Winning Streak

Cyko is boostin on me unless Gord somehow reaches 59%..


-D§R-
---
Get yourself a teammate today! http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30822201

i'm slowing catching up to you, DSRage!! one of these years, i might try to pull ahead, too!! >_>

but, hey, me and steve both had great picks today, so The Returners should move up a bit!!

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!

Match #22 - Gordon Freeman vs Phoenix Wright
Winner: -

Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic

whoa
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters

looks like Gordon winning made the oracle website implode.
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Einstein would turn over in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded.
Oracle:9th, but it was cause of sex / Runner of Winning Streak

>>>XD

Oracle Challenge IMPLODE'd!!

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FFVI says, "A Love between Human and Esper".
"She's (Rikku) as deep as a mountain for God's sake" - Inviso.

damn, and that was my 2nd best pick of all-time too!
off by 0.10%

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Call me Jeff Official midget of The Book Club
If you paint a W on each of your buttcheeks and do cartwheels it will say WoW MoM WoW! -C Bar

Don't let us down Kratos!
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Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.

Kratos looks good here. I'd expect 54-55% for Ryu when all is said and done.
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters

Kratos is much stronger then I expected...I was hoping for the doubling. I still don't think Ryu will drop under 60 though.

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7

I think I found what the screwup is (and for the record it's right before what gets printed in the error, though I did chuckle for 3 seconds before realizing I had to fix it), but Kaxon will have to fix it when he gets up in a few hours. It's only results display being affected, the database is intact and you can still see your predictions and everything...
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)

Haha! Kudos on the hilarious error message, boys. Kudos.

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thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator
thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives

Oh, and good work posting the results in here as well, Kax. I agree, it makes the most sense to display them in both topics. In the first because it's 'official' and deserves the recognition, and here because it helps inspire discussion.

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thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator
thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives

Match #22 Results
Gordon Freeman 58.20%
Phoenix Wright 41.80%

Somehow, the universe and the Oracle Challenge manage to (narrowly) survive Gordon Freeman's victory, so let's get on with the results! Gordon continued his tradition of matches that are closer than 60-40, and Phoenix impressed many doubters in the early hours of the poll, before struggling later in the day. There was a stampede of changes to Gordon the night before the poll, so the most divided match we've had in a while was still well in Gordon's favor. 105 people picked Gordon to win and 32 backed Phoenix. The consensus was Gordon with 57.15% and the average score was 43.54.

Best Five Picks:
1) Ayvuir - Gordon Freeman 58.29% (+49.91)
1) ActJef1077 - Gordon Freeman 58.29% (+49.91)
3) alpha door - Gordon Freeman 58.47% (+49.73)
4) Salient - Gordon Freeman 58.50% (+49.70)
5) Karma Hunter - Gordon Freeman 58.53% (+49.67)

Today we have a tie for the top spot, between Ayvuir and ActJef1077! This is Ayvuir's second top 5 of the contest and ActJef's third... and they both had one top 5 prior to this contest. Alpha door takes third place, followed by Salient. Karma Hunter, who up until now has mostly been visible in the team contest, gets his first individual top 5.

Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=22

Current Leaderboard:
1) DSRage - 1019.15
2) cyko - 1017.23
3) Kaxon - 1009.97
4) Aprosenf - 1009.30
5) Karma Hunter - 1008.11

DSRage hangs on to first place for the sixth straight day today, which brings him just one day away from tying the 10th longest streak for days in first (along with Samberdog from 2k3, pikaness from this contest, and King Morgoth's 3rd longest streak, from Sp2k4.) Meanwhile, cyko narrows the gap a little, pulling within two points of DSRage. Kaxon moves up to third, bumping Aprosenf down to fourth, and Karma Hunter moves onto the leaderboard for the first time in his Oracle career in fifth.

Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=total&match=22

Top Team Scores:
1) Team mvp's - 98.92 (ps2rulezzz: +49.62 / basmeyer42: +49.30)
2) Team Don't Get Too Cocky - 98.76 (Lopen: +49.61 / satai_delenn: +49.15)
3) Team The Returners - 98.75 (cyko: +49.42 / steve illumina: +49.33)
4) Team Unfinished FFP - 97.86 (Ed Bellis: +48.19 / Karma Hunter: +49.67)
5) Team AAA - 97.64 (Aprosenf: +47.73 / Ayvuir: +49.91)

The mvp's appear to be making a bid for a repeat, with their second straight top score. Team Don't Get Took Cocky (Lopen and satai_delenn) is second, beating out The Returners by just 0.01 points. Team Unfinished FFP has a good day thanks to Karma Hunter's 5th place prediction and ranks fourth, while Team AAA (Aprosenf and Ayvuir) ranks fifth.

Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teammatch&match=22

Team Leaderboard:
1) Team Unfinished FFP (Ed Bellis / Karma Hunter) - 2014.42
2) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 2004.42
3) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 2003.94
4) Team mvp's (ps2rulezzz / basmeyer42) - 2000.70
5) Team Happy Happyists (Camden / meche313) - 1998.76

Team Unfinished FFP remains in the lead for the third day in a row, and now leads by exactly 10 points. Team We Used To Be Good? climbs two spots to second while the former #2 team, The Spirit of Truth, tumbles to sixth. Team Rage of Warcraft stays in third and Team mvp's moves up two spots to fourth. Team Happy Happyists remains in fifth for another day.

Complete Team Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teamtotal&match=22
---
....TCELES B HSUP

Ugh. I was expecting Phoenix Wright to do good, and Gordon Freeman to underperform as usual. At least I switched to the right winner in time.
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Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
"i love you and aiya" - An IM from Richie259. Awww.

First number 1! I think

SCORE!
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Being drunk doesn't make me do stupid things, it gives me an excuse to do stupid things - Caelus

W00T


-D§R-
---
Get yourself a teammate today! http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30822201

damn. Snubbed from the two top 5's again.
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I'm, ohhh, I'm still alive...
SC2K6: 21/22 Today's pick: Ryu

Kratos has been doing extremely well for himself for the last 4+ hours. Looks like I'll probably be gaining some ground on DSR and Cyko but losing ground on Karma Hunter today. Oh well, I guess the race getting closer is a good thing! Of course, this is all just jockeying for position before the big shakeup on Saturday... I'm looking forward to it!
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....TCELES B HSUP

I wouldn't say it's that likely that you'll lose ground to KH. Kratos's best hour has still only given him 42.5% of the vote. Ryu is generally not that bad in the afternoon, and also there is the night vote after that to go back up even if he does keep falling a bit.
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Take off every sig.

Kratos has a good day vote though. he should be able to cut into Ryu's percentage all day.
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Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic

Of course, for all I know with the new poll time, Ryu could just keep falling til the end of the poll (other than early afternoon) like Chun-Li against Kasumi. That'd be nice, considering I have about the same pick as KH.
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Take off every sig.

The day vote right now isn't Kratos' real day vote. We have to wait until the afterschool hours for that. IIRC, it was still a few weeks before most people started school with Alucard vs. Kratos.

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Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799

and I'm lower than all of you guys. I'd expect this to be similar to yesterday, where Kratos just slowly gains .01 throughout the later hours. plus, with the new poll time I wouldn't expect a night vote. those seem to have pretty much disappeared.

I dunno, 58.5 seems reasonable. it could go lower, but I'm not convinced on Kratos's day vote power since his one match was against Alucard.
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Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic

This is hard to predict. Even though Bowser's matches with Chun-Li and Ryu went nearly the same, Chun-Li actually peaked before the "real" night vote even started (2am) against Kasumi, but Ryu was going up or staying even long after that today. That sort of indicates to me that Kasumi isn't that good with the day vote, and even she kept it 1% lower from this time until midnight. Depending on the logic you use, you could project this ending anywhere from like 57 to 60.5. Or maybe that's my bias because my pick is almost exactly half-way between those 2 :P.
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Take off every sig.

Dropping 16 spots was well worth it!

By the looks of today, I should already be on my way back up.
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CB5 Points: 20/22, Current Oracle placement: 32/162
Now playing: Okami

Is there some kind of record for "Most picks where you had to use psychiatric help to retain yourself from kicking your own ass all day in a row"? This has to be the 5th day in a row where I just need to kick myself....arrrrrrrrrgh, getting killed by n00bs =P

and tranny now has the greatest sig ever! First time I ever get quoted too >_>
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)

2nd 1st place finish, 1st being my perfect Rikku prediction
up to 15th, I'm so proud of me

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Call me Jeff Official midget of The Book Club
If you paint a W on each of your buttcheeks and do cartwheels it will say WoW MoM WoW! -C Bar

what is this oravcle challange?
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Character Contest V
Current Score: 22/22 Up Next: Ryu, Mega Man, Sonic...

If those last two updates were the start of the after school vote, Ryu's percentage is about to take a beating. I'm going to guess that they weren't, because the number of votes hasn't started going up yet, but the next 30 minutes will be interesting.
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....TCELES B HSUP

Around 3:00 EST is the general concensus for when the KIDDIES!!!! start voting.
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CB5 Points: 20/22, Current Oracle placement: 32/162
Now playing: Okami

what is this oravcle challange?

It's a contest where you try to predict the percentage result of each match. It's a lot of fun. The main topic, which explains the rules, is over here:

http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30924037
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....TCELES B HSUP

Fresh meat! Muahahahaha.

>_>
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CB5 Points: 20/22, Current Oracle placement: 32/162
Now playing: Okami

For the love of God, can I get within SHOUTING distance of a top 5 pick? I haven't had one since the last regular match of SC2005, for cryin out loud!
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1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!

My observation suggests they start coming in at 2:30, and their numbers increase until 3.
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....TCELES B HSUP

yet again another bad pick today. Thought Kratos was uber fodder

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Happily married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. "Most unusual tastes ever" - The RPGDL

Let's compromise. 2:45.

>_>
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CB5 Points: 20/22, Current Oracle placement: 32/162
Now playing: Okami

Total votes per five minutes:

14:00 - 379
14:05 - 380
14:10 - 352
14:15 - 387
14:20 - 403
14:25 - 375
14:30 - 407
14:35 - 426
14:40 - 426
14:45 - 465

And just for reference, Kairi vs Claire:

14:00 - 377
14:05 - 348
14:10 - 315
14:15 - 324
14:20 - 353
14:25 - 379
14:30 - 381
14:35 - 412
14:40 - 422
14:45 - 441
14:50 - 459
14:55 - 464
15:00 - 533
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....TCELES B HSUP

I hope Kratos doesn't go up...

And I have no clue what I'm doing anymore...
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Weird Kirby Dude - spud2002 is alive! >_>
Minnesota Twins: 95-65