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Oracle Challenge Discussion Topic 2
From: cyko | Posted: 10/11/2006 4:34:50 AM | Message Detail
well, so much for defying the x-stats. they just ***** slapped my pick all over the place. >_<

---
i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
From: BZer0 | Posted: 10/11/2006 7:41:54 AM | Message Detail
Well, at least I saved myself 4.18 points by adjusting my prediction down...
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CBV: 24/29
Next: Bowser vs. Leon
From: satai_delenn | Posted: 10/11/2006 8:56:52 AM | Message Detail
Come on, Bowser, where's that day vote? You disappoint me, Koopa King...

Okay, when I come back from class, Bowser had better be above 60%...
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Beating FE5 and FE6 hard mode is a true test of manhood in the Japanese culture. However. This explains why they have a lot of effeminate men. ~Sytha
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 10/11/2006 9:28:18 AM | Message Detail
What else can I say....

I'll take Ouch! for $400 Alex

This one's painful...
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: Haste_2 | Posted: 10/11/2006 9:41:27 AM | Message Detail
I can't fathom Leon doing better than Ryu, but that seems to be what's happening...

I was kind of thinking the same thing. However, Jill Valentine got 27% on Link a few years...I think that really showed that Resident Evil characters indeed have potential. Then, with RE4 being such a big hit and a respected game, not to mention Leon is rather high on the badness factor, Leon being above Ryu isn't too hard to swallow.

I predicted 61% for Leon...my partner Dekar predicted 56/57%, though, so it looks like we'll be in the Top 5 Team Predictions today.

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Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799
From: Salient | Posted: 10/11/2006 9:42:11 AM | Message Detail
I'm not really sure why Leon is so strong and Bowser is so weak...

Well, realistically, RE4's fanbase has literally doubled since last contest... there's not too much you can say about Bowser at this point, except everyone kind of knew he was a bit overrated in last years stats, and he doesn't exactly have the most vote-drawing pic today...
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~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: meche313 | Posted: 10/11/2006 11:29:58 AM | Message Detail
Yeah, but that's the same Leon that although he did pretty good on Mega Man, allowed Gordon Freeman to break 40% like all his other matches before this contest. Unless that means...Gordon can break 40% on Sora? Hmm....

Still, I expected a better showing from the Koopa King.
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Happy Happyists 4th on the Oracle Team Challenge. 3rd on Spread Betting!
From: King_Zog | Posted: 10/11/2006 1:21:16 PM | Message Detail
Since 2004 I've always thought Gordon was stronger than people gave him credit...we'll see R2 I guess but if the KH2 boost for Sora is really that crazy possibly not
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Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.
From: Darkash | Posted: 10/11/2006 8:17:29 PM | Message Detail
You think you've got it bad, KM? I made it a true Daily Double.....then BLANKED on the question.

(On a positive note, 900 Karma today!)
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1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!
From: cyko | Posted: 10/11/2006 9:22:02 PM | Message Detail
man. i really wanted to boost my prediction more than an extra 1.5%, but i just couldn't do it. >_<

thank goodness i did make my change just in time, though. that's gotta be as close to the wire as anyone as ever made a positive change.

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
From: Redtooth | Posted: 10/11/2006 9:25:31 PM | Message Detail
Hey, first top twenty prediction in like 10 matches...


yay?

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
From: MyWorldIsTerra | Posted: 10/11/2006 9:26:37 PM | Message Detail
*slaps forehead*

What am I doing?!! >_<
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No.1 in my Final Fantasy female rankings.
*is raytan7585* at work
From: Haste_2 | Posted: 10/11/2006 9:27:23 PM | Message Detail
Okay, Alucard...now don't go crazy with your night vote or something.

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Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799
From: DSRage_Revived | Posted: 10/11/2006 9:29:03 PM | Message Detail
You bum!

Now you gain 0.7 on me due to that last minute change! Heh, we are gonna pull away from everyone, cyko!


-D§R-
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From: Camden | Posted: 10/11/2006 9:32:04 PM | Message Detail
I gained a spot? Incredible, I thought my prediction was one of the higher ones.

Stupid Alucard, trying to use the Alucart Shield. Didn't you notice the T! It's the wrong shield, Alucard!
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Game over, what was a bad joke is now a reality show. -Sonata Arctica
From: Haste_2 | Posted: 10/11/2006 9:51:21 PM | Message Detail
This is two updates in a row where Auron had 61.55%! That's my Oracle pick! I finally know what Alucard's plan is... to give me a perfect Oracle prediction!

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Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799
From: TheKnightOfNee | Posted: 10/11/2006 9:55:12 PM | Message Detail
I'm having trouble stringing together two good predictions in a row. >_<
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Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
"i love you and aiya" - An IM from Richie259. Awww.
From: The Real Truth | Posted: 10/11/2006 10:15:34 PM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: The Real Truth | Posted: 10/11/2006 10:16:31 PM | Message Detail
^...Accidentally posted a change in this topic.
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Nominate Barret Wallace for SC2k7, you know you want to
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/11/2006 11:06:12 PM | Message Detail
Match #30 Results
Bowser 55.45%
Leon Kennedy 44.55%

Leon manages to put up a very impressive performance on Bowser, making Bowser's upset chances against Crono look that much less likely. The consensus was Bowser with 63.44%, leading to an average score of 41.98 points. All 128 predictions were for Bowser.

Best Five Picks:
1) OmegaRagnarok - Bowser 55.00% (+49.55)
1) AlecTrevelyan006 - Bowser 55.00% (+49.55)
3) Ayvuir - Bowser 54.92% (+49.47)
4) Heroic Viktor - Bowser 54.83% (+49.38)
5) Dekar TKB - Bowser 56.82% (+48.63)

The top 5 was a little lower scoring than usual today, since Bowser fell so far below expectations. OmegaRagnarok got his first top five of the contest by tying AlecTravelyan for the top pick - this is AlecTravelyan's second top 5 of the contest. Ayvuir had the third best prediction for his fourth top five of the contest. Tnote gets his third top 5 of the contest (21st overall), and Dekar TKB gets his 2nd of the contest.

Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=30

Current Leaderboard:
1) DSRage - 1378.82
2) cyko - 1375.73
3) Kaxon - 1372.43
4) Karma Hunter - 1370.58
5) Draco1214 - 1368.71

Once again, our boring leaders don't budge. DSRage is now celebrating his 14th consecutive day in first, which leaves him behind only Bananaquest, creativename, and Dilated Chemist for longest streak. On the extended leaderboard, Aprosenf makes it back up into 10th place after spending a couple days out of the top 10.

Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=total&match=30

Top Team Scores:
1) Team Fluke - 93.98 (phlyerphan1: +47.51 / MoogleKupo141: +46.47)
2) Team AAA - 93.62 (Aprosenf: +44.15 / Ayvuir: +49.47)
3) Team Drunkadelict Armadillos - 92.78 (Haste2: +44.15 / Dekar TKB: +48.63)
4) Team Obscuretemple - 90.33 (Seginustemple: +45.00 / ObscureMammoth: +45.33)
5) Team Better Than Last Time - 89.34 (Darkash: +39.96 / Heroic Viktor: +49.38)

Today's highest scoring team was Team Fluke (phlyerphan1 and MoogleKupo141). Team AAA (Aprosenf and Ayvuir) gets the second best score, followed by Team Drunkadelict Armadillos (Haste2 and Dekar TKB). Team Obscuretemple (Seginustemple and ObscureMammoth) is fourth, and Team Better Than Last Time (Darkash and Tnote) is fifth.

Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teammatch&match=30

Team Leaderboard:
1) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 2734.92
2) Team The Spirit of Truth (Draco1214 / Rodri316) - 2730.21
3) Team Unfinished FFP (Ed Bellis / Karma Hunter) - 2726.39
4) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 2718.66
5) Team Romanian Potato Soup (The n00b Avenger / GrapefruitKing) - 2712.05

Team We Used To Be Good? remains in first for the third day in a row. The Spirit of Truth narrows the gap to a little under five points, passing Team Unfinished FFP and taking second place. Team Rage of Warcraft remains in fourth, and Team Romanian Potato soup swaps places with Team mvp's again, retaking fifth.
INSERT TEAM LEADERBOARD DESCRIPTION

Complete Team Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teamtotal&match=30
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....TCELES B HSUP
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/11/2006 11:15:08 PM | Message Detail
Looks like I'm dropping out of third tomorrow... time to get my act together!
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....TCELES B HSUP
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 10/12/2006 12:15:49 AM | Message Detail
Heh, you forgot to remove the "INSERT TEAM LEADBOARD DESCRIPTION" line.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 10/12/2006 12:16:24 AM | Message Detail
Or DID he?
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/12/2006 1:04:40 AM | Message Detail
Whoops. Oh well, it was bound to happen eventually.
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....TCELES B HSUP
From: Starion | Posted: 10/12/2006 8:14:57 AM | Message Detail
Unless the percentages drastically change from now, the x-stats for this match are very accurate. Same thing with the Bowser and Leon match (if you use Bowser 2004). *goes to change future oracle predictions.
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Now playing: Castlevania:DOS | Queue: Okami | Waiting for: SMT:Devil Summoner, FF12, Castlevania:POR
From: Ed Bellis | Posted: 10/12/2006 8:16:45 AM | Message Detail
More like INSERT TEAM LEADERSHIP DARSH
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This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy!
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 10/12/2006 9:04:51 AM | Message Detail
thank goodness i did make my change just in time, though. that's gotta be as close to the wire as anyone as ever made a positive change.

You weren't there back in SpC2k4 were you? >_>

Oh and INSERT TEAM LEADERBOARD DESCRIPTION'D!

Surprisingly enough that's our first slip up forgetting to delete that...
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: Lufia II | Posted: 10/12/2006 11:43:06 AM | Message Detail
Unless the percentages drastically change from now, the x-stats for this match are very accurate. Same thing with the Bowser and Leon match (if you use Bowser 2004). *goes to change future oracle predictions.

Eh, there's just no way I can see Leon staying the same as last year, though. Bowser's strength is still pretty much up in the air, IMO.
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Best. Username. Ever.
From: Darkash | Posted: 10/12/2006 4:50:07 PM | Message Detail
Sorry I'm hurting us so bad in the team, HV, I can't seem to get anything right this run. Although at least I'll have more time to atone then I did in the Spring Contest.
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1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!
From: Camden | Posted: 10/12/2006 5:32:55 PM | Message Detail
Where the hell is that damned Plan when you need it...
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Game over, what was a bad joke is now a reality show. -Sonata Arctica
From: cyko | Posted: 10/12/2006 7:26:43 PM | Message Detail

You weren't there back in SpC2k4 were you? >_>

you bet i was!! but, i really wasn't into last second changes during that contest. >_>

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/12/2006 8:19:25 PM | Message Detail
Morgoth and Bananaquest had some awesome last second changes going back and forth back then... I wish I had the 2004 topics archived.
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....TCELES B HSUP
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/12/2006 8:55:38 PM | Message Detail
I'm feeling pretty clueless about tomorrow's match.
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....TCELES B HSUP
From: King_Zog | Posted: 10/12/2006 9:04:03 PM | Message Detail
Awsome start for Sub-Zero

I may lose a point in my bracket but this is totally worth it
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Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.
From: DSRage_Revived | Posted: 10/12/2006 9:09:17 PM | Message Detail
Oh my...

*loses lunch*


-D§R-
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From: cyko | Posted: 10/12/2006 9:10:11 PM | Message Detail
bah. MC can easily sway a match 10 points with his might day vote. oh, and it appears that the oracle site isn't updating, either.

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
From: DSRage_Revived | Posted: 10/12/2006 9:12:36 PM | Message Detail
Well, he's gonna need a GODLY day vote to get as high as our picks, cyko.


-D§R-
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From: Darkash | Posted: 10/12/2006 9:19:46 PM | Message Detail
Yeah, I'm just gonna go hang myself. Be back later.
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1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/12/2006 9:21:28 PM | Message Detail
Guess I shouldn't have changed from my 55%...

The site didn't update because Ceej changed the format of the results page. I need to fix the updater.
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....TCELES B HSUP
From: alpha door | Posted: 10/12/2006 9:22:12 PM | Message Detail
yay first
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Official Chrono Trigger Fan (I. Want. Spore. Now.)
Nominate Marina Liteyears for SC2k7!!
From: DSRage_Revived | Posted: 10/12/2006 9:22:22 PM | Message Detail
If MC cant get 53.21%, I lose my lead to Karma Hunter.


-D§R-
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From: creativename | Posted: 10/12/2006 9:32:48 PM | Message Detail
Then congrats to Karma Hunter on his inevitable first place :) Going from -7 to first in a single match should feel pretty good.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
From: Camden | Posted: 10/12/2006 9:36:37 PM | Message Detail
bah. MC can easily sway a match 10 points with his might day vote.

Castlevania.
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Game over, what was a bad joke is now a reality show. -Sonata Arctica
From: Haste_2 | Posted: 10/12/2006 9:46:45 PM | Message Detail
Aha...FINALLY I get a change for the better...though I'll still be quite a bit off.

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Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here:
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From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/12/2006 9:46:48 PM | Message Detail
MC is the new Gordon Freeman, in that he seems to find new ways to humiliate himself every contest. Man, this is pathetic.
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....TCELES B HSUP
From: King_Zog | Posted: 10/12/2006 9:51:25 PM | Message Detail
I chickened out and took MC in a last minute bracket change (I messed up I admit it, I calculated Armageddon to be released after the match took place) but what ticked me off was off little discussion this match got. This is like Revolver Ocelot vs Pac-Man all over again. Win or lose, Sub-Zero has impressed me and hopefully he becomes a permanent character in these contests.
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Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.
From: Xuxon | Posted: 10/12/2006 10:01:30 PM | Message Detail
KM is going to go crazy when he gets back. A change that will cost him 14 points and a spot very close to being in the lead.
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Take off every sig.
From: transience | Posted: 10/12/2006 10:02:03 PM | Message Detail
*smiles*
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xyzzy
From: Kaxon | Posted: 10/12/2006 10:02:15 PM | Message Detail
Match #31 Results
Alucard 35.60%
Auron 64.40%

Auron handed Alucard his biggest loss since he faced Sephiroth in 2003, easily outdoing Ganon's numbers from two years ago. The consensus was Auron with 59.69% and the average score was 44.86. There were 127 predictions for Auron and 2 predictions for Alucard.

Best Five Picks:
1) alpha door - Auron 64.12% (+49.72)
2) Radix - Auron 64.11% (+49.71)
3) War13104 - Auron 63.84% (+49.44)
4) ertyu001 - Auron 65.00% (+49.40)
4) Shivan Reincarnated - Auron 65.00% (+49.40)
4) Inviso - Auron 65.00% (+49.40)

Alpha door gets today's top pick, for his third top 5 of the contest and 10th overall. Radix misses out by .01 points and has to settle for second instead, his first top 5 of the contest. War gets third for his second top 5 of the contest. In fourth we have a three way tie between Ertyu, Inviso, and Shivan Reincarnated. All three picked Auron with 65%. This is the second top five of the contest for both Ertyu and Shivan Reincarnated, and the first for Inviso.

Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=31

Current Leaderboard:
1) DSRage - 1424.92
2) cyko - 1422.61
3) Karma Hunter - 1417.63
4) Kaxon - 1417.40
5) Draco1214 - 1415.31

We finally have a change on the leaderboard, but it's not quite what I was hoping for - Karma Hunter moves up to third, bumping Kaxon down to fourth! The other positions remain unchanged, but it looks like we may see a bigger shakeup tomorrow.

Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=total&match=31

Top Team Scores:
1) Team Accident - 96.29 (MegatokyoEd: +47.71 / Rufus Shinra 18: +48.58)
2) Team Rage of Warcraft - 95.54 (War13104: +49.44 / DSRage: +46.10)
3) Team Dartboard - 95.43 (Starion: +45.72 / Radix: +49.71)
4) Team Bartar - 95.30 (Master Moltar: +47.37 / KingBartz: +47.93)
5) Team Go Go Gadget Copter! - 93.35 (Ness26: +47.71 / Redtooth: +45.64)

Team Accident captures the top score today - they've been in the top 5 a number of times already, most recently on Vincent vs Ganondorf. Team Rage of Warcraft gets the second best pick. Team Dartboard, another one of the randomly paired teams (Starion and Radix), gets third. Team Bartar (Master Moltar and KingBartz) gets fourth, and Team Go Go Gadget Copter (Ness and Redtooth) has the fifth best score of the day (2 points behind the number four team).

Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teammatch&match=31

Team Leaderboard:
1) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 2827.15
2) Team The Spirit of Truth (Draco1214 / Rodri316) - 2819.73
3) Team Unfinished FFP (Ed Bellis / Karma Hunter) - 2817.92
4) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 2814.20
5) Team Accident (MegatokyoEd / Rufus Shinra 18) - 2805.29

The Oracle Hosts continue their reign of terror on the team leaderboard. Teams 2-4 also remain the same - Team The Spirit of Truth in second, Team Unfinished FFP in third, and Team Rage of Warcraft in fourth. Team Accident takes fifth today, moving up three spots to land on the leaderboard.

Complete Team Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teamtotal&match=31
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....TCELES B HSUP
From: TheKnightOfNee | Posted: 10/13/2006 12:35:21 AM | Message Detail
fwejhfwekofj

The male side of the bracket has torn me a new spleen. Thank god we're going back to the female side after this, maybe I can get some decent scores.
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Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
"i love you and aiya" - An IM from Richie259. Awww.
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