You see that KM? Here I am giving great "be a man" advice, and you throw it out with the bathwater! I certainly hope you learn your lesson from this result.

---
thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator
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do we have any idea of how the leaderboard will look after this?
---
xyzzy

If Sub-Zero wins, King Morgoth grabs first place. If Master chief wins with less than 51%(approx), KH steals the lead. If MC gets above 51%(approx), DSRage retains his top spot.

---
That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 30/31 Today's pick: Master Chief

nah, KM changed to Master Chief. (wuss!) it looks like KH will take first, but I don't know how high the Sub pickers will rocket up the leaderboard.
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xyzzy

yeah I just saw that right now...
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That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 30/31 Today's pick: Master Chief

Projected top 10 (if Sub-Zero wins):
1. Karma Hunter
2. DSRage
3. cyko
4. Draco
5. Kaxon
6. Rodri
7. King Morgoth
8. The n00b Avenger
9. transience
10. Ed Bellis
---
....TCELES B HSUP

1. Karma Hunter
2. DSRage
3. cyko
4. Draco
5. Kaxon
6. Rodri
7. King Morgoth
8. The n00b Avenger
9. transience
10. Ed Bellis

Me likey
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.

wow, 20 spot leap! woo!
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xyzzy

oh, it's only like 14 spots. I thought I was much lower on the scoreboard after a bunch of terrible picks.
---
xyzzy

From: KingBartz | Posted: 10/13/2006 8:41:26 AM | Message Detail
I'm sure KM is kicking himself now.

KM is going to go crazy when he gets back. A change that will cost him 14 points and a spot very close to being in the lead.
I'd be leading actually...

You see that KM? Here I am giving great "be a man" advice, and you throw it out with the bathwater! I certainly hope you learn your lesson from this result.

I don't know what to say really...
Can't even find a loophole to throw that change away, really. Well I could delete my post but we all know where it will end...

I didn't think that one last change out, didn't have time, really. And I just had a really awful day, so that sums it up...

I'm not even sure I'll even try predicting Round 2 at this point... I really hate myself for being this stupid, there's no way in hell I can win this anymore...
---
It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)

yeah, you're doing horrible! seventh!
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xyzzy

Cheer up Morgy. You'll always be MY king!
---
ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.

Actually, I think that projection didn't account for changes made in the 4-5 hours before the match.

He changed to MC with 58+% 40 minutes before the match started
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.

That projection accounts for all the predictions - a lot of people went high with Master Chief, so he'll still be in seventh.

I'm not even sure I'll even try predicting Round 2 at this point... I really hate myself for being this stupid, there's no way in hell I can win this anymore...

Dude, you're in seventh place! Of course you can win!
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....TCELES B HSUP

yeah, you're doing horrible! seventh!
Legends have high standards =P

Cheer up Morgy. You'll always be MY king!
=P
Had a fight with my gf so I stopped at work on the way back to make my change before getting there, wasn't really in a hurry see? So I made a dumbass change as I was kinda pissed and didn't think it out. In retrospect I didn't realize it but I would have missed the deadline had I not done that....I let real life interfere with the Oracle Challenge, and that's unacceptable =P

Actually, I think that projection didn't account for changes made in the 4-5 hours before the match.

That projection is accurate, had I not been an idiot I'd be leading...

So yeah, if I listen to myself and make very ugly calls I can live with that, but going against my guts and getting burned, I just really hate it...

Hey, I'll be pretty mad for 2-3 days so as long as Kaxon keeps kicking my ass to stay in this you can all just stop predicting as you won't be winning at the end =P
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)

Oh and I'll be good sport and dig it out myself before someone else does...

From: King Morgoth | Posted: 9/29/2006 10:19:41 AM | Message Detail
Not much I can say about this one except "lol Tidus" and "lol SFF". Yesterday King Morgoth was saying he could see this one going 70-30... shoulda listened!

Honestly, how do you think I feel right now? This was the last match I'm listening to the crowd out of fear, and I'll be leading at the end of the round...


I don't know yet which will hurt more, my feet or my ass......
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It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)

I hate to correct the host, but you wouldn't quite be leading. You're 7.88 points behind Karma Hunter, who has MC with 52.38. So you'd get 5 + 2.38 = 7.38 points more in this match, and only be half a point behind him.
---
Take off every sig.

yeah yeah KARMA HUNTER IS INVINCIBLE
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.

Clearly my greatness is infectious, teammate!
---
This was Ed Bellis.

But man, I wish I had known about Armageddon. I definitely would have predicted Sub-Zero to be higher; might have gone for the upset even.
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Take off every sig.

I hate to correct the host, but you wouldn't quite be leading. You're 7.88 points behind Karma Hunter, who has MC with 52.38. So you'd get 5 + 2.38 = 7.38 points more in this match, and only be half a point behind him.

yikes, I counted 6.88, that explains it...

I'd still be in much friggin' better way than I am now, wouldn't I?
---
It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)

Heh. I hate to be this optimistic, but I'm still pulling for a Master Chief victory. That'd only be a loss of not even 4 points if it happened!

The match has followed Frog/Chief so closely it's scary, and if anyone can pull off a 4000 vote comeback, it's Master Chief.

I know it's not that likely, but I can't help but think it's more likely than people are giving it credit for...
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Take off every sig.

Yeah but MC has to start now or else he is toast. We're already a bit past the halfway point in terms of time and total votes.
---
Now playing: Castlevania:DOS | Queue: Okami | Waiting for: SMT:Devil Summoner, FF12, Castlevania:POR

I don't see any comeback today... not by a long shot. I imagine Sub-Zero and Master Chief share a pretty similar fanbase... which is actually the reason I originally ended up taking MC to win by so much.
---
Best. Username. Ever.
Salient

*looks at poll*

Needs more day vote...

>_>

Come on, Master Chief! You can do it!
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Beating FE5 and FE6 hard mode is a true test of manhood in the Japanese culture. However. This explains why they have a lot of effeminate men. ~Sytha

Wow, didn't expect this. And I went way high on this match... So Mortal Kombat>SFII? Something seems weird...
---
Weird Kirby Dude - spud2002 is alive! >_>

As a non-Legend, I wish I was in seventh. While my one position increment streak is now gone, I'm officially starting my Lucky Sevens streak, where I'll place 7th in three to five straight contests.
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Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Game over, what was a bad joke is now a reality show. -Sonata Arctica

How many Sub-Zero pickers were there anyways?
---
Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.

Jeez. And I thought 58.87 would have been low for MC. At least most everyone else chose MC to win <_<
---
I've been called an idiot many times, mostly by people with poor grammar and a small vernicular. - ExtremeM65

Wow, I was the first to pick Sub-Zero to win. I knew he would win, I even made a topic about it.

And then I see everyone picking MC with 58% so I change it to a low 53% for MC and I'm regretting it every second I think about it.

---
Board 8's #1 Duke Fan - Be Honest©
SC2K6; 29/32; 29 Points; T-4th; Next Pick: Samus Aran

well, MC completely failed me. for Samus now, i decided to stick with my original gut prediction and not make any changes!! let's see how this goes....

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!

78.88% !?!?!

oh ****.

---
i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!

...

XD @ Team Indie Cred
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This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy!

dammit, that's three second place picks in Master Chief's matches! and never a #1 pick ever!

darn you ringworm
---
xyzzy

Wait a minute, I just read about how Samus broke 80% on Lara Croft and Sam Fisher. What the hell were we all smoking with these sub-75% predictions?

In retrospect it's a bit weird.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery

Match #32 Results
Master Chief 49.05%
Sub-Zero 50.95%

In the surprise of the contest so far, Sub-Zero manages to defeat Master Chief and advance to round 2. Only 6 people out of 126 correctly predicted Sub-Zero winning the match, which makes it the fourth most difficult match to predict in Oracle history. The consensus was Master Chief with 58.16% and the average score was 36.09 points.

Best Five Picks:
1) Ringworm - Sub-Zero 51.23% (+49.72)
2) transience - Sub-Zero 51.24% (+49.71)
3) CaptainFlufflez - Sub-Zero 51.43% (+49.52)
4) King_Zog - Sub-Zero 50.22% (+49.27)
5) yoshifan823 - Sub-Zero 50.01% (+49.06)

Today's top predictor is Ringworm! Ringworm is no stranger to top five picks as he's racked up 30 of them in his career, currently ranking him second behind only Rodri. Transience gets the second best prediction, making the top five for the first time this contest despite his strong overall score. CaptainFlufflez had the third best pick and King_Zog was fourth best, each getting their third top five of the contest. Yoshifan had the fifth pick, for his second top five of the contest. IhatethisCPU was the one other Sub-Zero picker, who failed to make the top five.

Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=32

Current Leaderboard:
1) Karma Hunter - 1459.30
2) DSRage - 1458.47
3) cyko - 1455.94
4) Draco1214 - 1455.36
5) Kaxon - 1452.20

For the first time in ages, we have a shakeup on the leaderboard! Karma Hunter catapults to first, ending DSRage's 15 day run. DSRage drops down to second and cyko falls to third. Draco moves up one spot, passing Kaxon. There's currently an almost 6 point gap separating the top 5 from transience in sixth place, who jumped 17 spots yesterday by picking Sub-Zero.

Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=total&match=32
---
....TCELES B HSUP

Top Team Scores:
1) Team Indie Cred - 87.60 (the icon ownz all: +37.89 / transience: +49.71)
2) Team Rocket - 87.12 (Ringworm: +49.72 / BZer0: +37.40)
3) Team Lions on a Plane - 86.95 (yoshifan823: +49.06 / RX7InfinitiIII: +37.89)
4) Team Jonflufflez - 83.58 (CaptainFlufflez: +49.52 / jonthomson: +34.06)
5) Team Coinflip - 83.10 (red sox 777: +42.05 / Menji76: +41.05)

Team Indie Cred gets the top score for the day, but considering that they accomplished it with tranny picking Sub-Zero and icon not making a prediction at all, I'd say they maintain their indie cred this time. Team Rocket (but not Elite) gets second thanks to Ringworm's top pick. Team Lions on a Plane also makes the top five despite one of its members being absent - yoshifan's prediction was enough to carry them to victory. Team Jonflufflez (CaptainFlufflez and jonthomson) gets fourth, and Team Coinflip gets fifth despite neither member picking Sub-Zero.

Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teammatch&match=32

Team Leaderboard:
1) Team The Spirit of Truth (Draco1214 / Rodri316) - 2901.08
2) Team Unfinished FFP (Ed Bellis / Karma Hunter) - 2898.64
3) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 2897.12
4) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 2884.45
5) Team Romanian Potato Soup (The n00b Avenger / GrapefruitKing) - 2876.90

Team The Spirit of Truth retakes the lead today! It's a close race at the top, as Team Unfinished FFP trails by less than two and a half points. Today was a tough day for the Oracle hosts, as their team falls out of first place with a combined score of less than 70 - however, they're still in third overall and within striking distance of the lead. Team Rage of Warcraft remains in fourth place today, and Team Romanian Potato Soup returns to fifth, continuing their pattern of alternating between fifth and sixth every day.

Complete Team Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=teamtotal&match=32
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....TCELES B HSUP

Wait a minute, I just read about how Samus broke 80% on Lara Croft and Sam Fisher. What the hell were we all smoking with these sub-75% predictions?

In retrospect it's a bit weird.

Well, personally I was thinking that RE had been looking good, between Leon's match against Bowser and Ada's match against Jade. I did consider Samus's matches against Lara and Sam a little bit, but those two matches were the only surprising blowouts she's had, when she performed worse than I'd have expected against Yuri and Nidoran F. She scored right around 70% against Frog and KOS-MOS, and I was thinking that if RE4 was as big as Leon made it look, Ada might be close to their level. In retrospect that probably was foolish, but I don't think it was totally ridiculous.
---
....TCELES B HSUP

psh, I don't need a partner! take that!
---
xyzzy

Sub-Zero never lets down his fans
---
Ladies and Gentlemen, your attention please. The Orient Express is now departing... All passengers should be on board.

dammit, that's three second place picks in Master Chief's matches! and never a #1 pick ever!

darn you ringworm

Sorry transience, but it was only 0.01%, that's a close second =). Didn't realise until after the match started I was so close to anyone else to be honest, when I checked how many had gone for the upset.
---
~ Ringworm ~

Holy crap, do I seriously have a higher prediction than all 20 people above me? I thought it'd be an average prediction, and I was thinking if anything I was too low.
---
Take off every sig.

Rikku with 59%
Tifa with 67%
Peach with 54%
---
190/192 points in sc2004, winner team oracle challenge
2 perfect brackets sc 2006

oh wrong topic, will post it in other
---
190/192 points in sc2004, winner team oracle challenge
2 perfect brackets sc 2006

man. 4 absolutely terrible picks in 6 days. i need to pull up and out of this slump!!

---
i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!

Team Jonflufflez (CaptainFlufflez and jonthomson) gets fourth

DESPITE MY BEST EFFORTS roflcopters
---
Jon Thomson - Z1mZum pwned me good and proper.

I wish I could go back and see what my very first picks were for each match, so I could compare it to my score now.
---
Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
Game over, what was a bad joke is now a reality show. -Sonata Arctica

I wish I could go back and see what my very first picks were for each match, so I could compare it to my score now.

I'm sure every one of us would like to have that stat in hand now.
---
Happy Happyists 4th on the Oracle Team Challenge. 3rd on Spread Betting!

To avoid "changer's remorse", I decided that I wouldn't make any changes after the first 5 minutes of me posting the initial prediction.
---
~~~Kemonozume~~~
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDtkvswXMn0

KM has all the old Oracle topics archived, I'm sure he could upload them for you if you want to see your earliest guesses.

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thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator
thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives