ARCHIVE - SpC2k5 to SC2k7
Board List | Topic List

This Topic has been marked closed. No additional messages may be posted.
Page 1 of 10 | Next Page | Last Page
SC2k5 - Oracle Challenge - Round 4
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/6/2005 4:49:11 PM | Message Detail
Welcome to the Oracle Challenge, the contest that tests your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent! Please note the new deadline for predictions - you now have 45 extra minutes to get your predictions in.

The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Summer Contest you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of the vote they will receive. New participants are still being accepted until at least the end of round 3 (please indicate that you are new and make a minimum of three picks).

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. Your predictions must be in one of these formats:

Link with 85%
Link 55.13%
Link over CATS with 67.55%
Link - 77.5%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Do not use other formats such as "Link w/" or "Link: ".

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most points at the end of the final match. For each match you can earn anywhere between 0 and 50 points. This depends on whether you correctly picked the winner and how close your guess was to the actual percentage. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-2x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: Link with 65%
My guess: CATS with 55%
Actual result: Link 60%, CATS 40%
Your points: 50 - (65-60) = 45 points
My points: 45 - 2*(55-40) = 15 points

Bonus points are awarded for the closest five guesses each match but do not factor into the overall scoring. They are used only as a side ranking. Participants will also be ranked by average score from time to time.

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. Link with 85.03%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%. No alts, please. If you make a prediction with an alternate account, make it clear what the name of your normal account is.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else’s guess. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made fifteen minutes before the usual start time of that match’s poll (approx. 2:45am EST, 1:45am CST, 11:45pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to a previous entry.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule (and to reduce confusion).
6) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
7) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/6/2005 4:50:28 PM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

I'm now accepting predictions for every match in which the competitors are already fixed:

ROUND 3
Gear Division
Solid Snake vs Sora

Dream Division
Kirby vs Bowser

Flood Division
Master Chief vs Crono

Devil Division
Vincent vs Squall

Chaos Division
Sonic vs Tifa

20XX Division
Mega Man vs Yoshi

ROUND 4
Mario vs Samus

You can predict additional Round 4 matches as soon as the competitors have been decided for certain. No conditional predictions, please. We'll probably need conditional predictions in round 5, but for now you can still predict everything 4 days in advance without them.
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/6/2005 4:52:06 PM | Message Detail
Samus over Mario with 51.17%
---
Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 9/6/2005 4:53:10 PM | Message Detail
*tag*

---
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 65/72 (Kefka, Magus (x2), Ocelot, Tidus)
From: Menji76 | Posted: 9/6/2005 4:54:08 PM | Message Detail
All though I have Samus... I'm going mario

NEW ROUND 4

Mario over Samus 51.32%

---
#1 Gamefaqs Duke fan
She was so hot in that movie my girlfriend didn't want to watch it with me. ~underloud
From: SuperSmash Master | Posted: 9/6/2005 4:55:58 PM | Message Detail
Samus - 51.13%
---
"This Pina Colada is REALLY GOOD!" - Decline of Video Gaming
Gamefaqs: Where Vivi, Frog, Kirby, and Shadow can lose to girls.
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 9/6/2005 5:29:58 PM | Message Detail
Crono with 69.58%
Squall with 51.08%
Sonic with 51.87%
Mega Man with 50.89%
Mario with 50.05%

---
Summer Contest 2005 --- Score: 53/64 --- Rank: T-1658
From: Ikon | Posted: 9/6/2005 5:46:38 PM | Message Detail
Flood Division
Crono with 54.11%

Devil Division
Vincent with 50.50%

Chaos Division
Sonic with 53.12%

20XX Division
Mega Man with 59.21%

ROUND 4
Samus with 50.10%

---
%$*&@!!
From: Dekar TKB | Posted: 9/6/2005 5:47:25 PM | Message Detail
New picks...

Solid Snake with 54.87%
Bowser with 62.22%
Crono with 56.99%
Vincent with 54.40%
Sonic with 54.60%
Mega Man with 57.53%
---
If you knew the number of the steps you would ever take, bitter I wonder: would you run or cease to walk?
www.rpgdl.com
From: somdude04 | Posted: 9/6/2005 5:47:53 PM | Message Detail
Yay for new deadline!

GJ
---
Missed Points: 9 Ness, Knuckles(x7), Pac-Man
Me: http://i09-8.thefacebook.com/pics/8/2/n9202808_9627.jpg
From: Paratroopa1 | Posted: 9/6/2005 5:49:47 PM | Message Detail
ROUND 3:

Crono with 69.42%
Squall with 51.93%
Sonic with 56.64%
Mega Man with 59.01%

ROUND 4:

Samus with 50.19%
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 9/6/2005 5:49:51 PM | Message Detail
New prediction:

Samus over Mario with 51.15%

---
Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. "My Father? You mean my Dad?" Fei Fong Wong
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 9/6/2005 5:50:49 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake with 54.2%

===
Oh. My. God.
Did the PS2's light just change color...?!
From: bigkevinm84 | Posted: 9/6/2005 5:56:37 PM | Message Detail
Ok, I put my Crono prediction in the last topic, but forgot about the rest.. here goes:

Devil Division
Vincent over Squall with 51.12%

Chaos Division
Sonic over Tifa with 55.20%

20XX Division
Mega Man over Yoshi with 54.80%

ROUND 4
Mario over Samus with 50.00%
---
Vote for Yoshi
You have no chance to survive make your time.
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 9/6/2005 6:06:42 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Solid Snake with 54.79%
---
The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: Salient | Posted: 9/6/2005 7:56:35 PM | Message Detail
Snake - 56.50%
Bowser - 60.00%
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 9/6/2005 7:58:31 PM | Message Detail
REEEEEEEEEEPOST!

Bowser with 54.39%
Vincent with 53.44%
Crono with 64.29%
Sonic with 51.12%
Mega Man with 56.84%
---
SC2K5: Samus is going all the way!
Snake vs. Sora - Bracket: Snake - Vote: Snake (64/72)
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/6/2005 7:59:35 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Bowser over Kirby with 53.27%
---
Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 9/6/2005 8:32:37 PM | Message Detail
Change:

Solid Snake with 60.85%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/6/2005 8:34:33 PM | Message Detail
Snake with 53.27%


But go Sora!
---
Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: Z1mZum | Posted: 9/6/2005 8:42:56 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake with 54.54%
---
I'm charming, but I dip into the Prozac now and then.
I did pretty good in the guru challenge but yoblazer did slightly better.
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 9/6/2005 9:44:05 PM | Message Detail
The farther this tourney progresses, this Nintendo Boost is making itself more and more apparent, and as a result, Snake's big win over Zelda just keeps looking more and more impressive. And I know pics shouldn't matter this late in the game, but, holy smokes, tomorrow's is almost too cool for words, and is sure to bring out the Snake-fan in anyone. All the pieces seem to be in place for a big win here.

Snake 59.19%

---
the-elite.net
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 9/6/2005 9:45:25 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake - 56.74%
---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (560 points)
From: StopPokingMe | Posted: 9/6/2005 9:49:39 PM | Message Detail
Yet another dinky change:
Snake with 57.57%
---
Champions of Time and Space: The Summer Contest 2003 Fanfiction Project
http://crolapras.tripod.com/ffproj.html
From: Xuxon | Posted: 9/6/2005 9:51:42 PM | Message Detail
I think I'm going to drop my pick just a bit. Was more of a two-second safety pick.

Solid Snake with 59.08%
---
"Let's drop this Xbox statue on Naomi's head! Oof! This thing's big! It'll take over 3 years for it to start selling!" ~ Jaguar, Sega Fantasy VI
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 9/6/2005 9:55:22 PM | Message Detail
Change:
Solid Snake - 58.74%
---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (560 points)
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/6/2005 9:58:37 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake with 57.91%
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 9/6/2005 10:25:19 PM | Message Detail
Time to show the kids to respect the elderly around here =P
*casts Comeback on self*
Solid Snake with 61.14%
---
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
SC2k4 - 12th place
From: octoinky | Posted: 9/6/2005 10:29:01 PM | Message Detail
Crono with 73.25%
Squall with 53.92%
Sonic with 55.27%
Mega Man with 58.08%
From: and now I dance | Posted: 9/6/2005 10:32:58 PM | Message Detail
Samus 50.05%
---
*Dances, trips and falls* XP
From: Swiss_Bean_2 | Posted: 9/6/2005 10:34:35 PM | Message Detail
Solid Snake with 57.75%
From: Eggplant Lord | Posted: 9/6/2005 10:36:18 PM | Message Detail
Bowser with 56.2%

===
Oh. My. God.
Did the PS2's light just change color...?!
From: Lagoona | Posted: 9/6/2005 10:42:52 PM | Message Detail
That Snake vs Sora pic is almost unfair. Sora is smaller, is more in the background, and his name is smaller. WTF?

But the pic effect is overrated and my change yesterday was for the worse and I can't picture Sora to be very much weaker than Zelda, so I'll settle at
Snake with 56.88%

And new, going against my bracket here:
Mario with 50.1%
---
SC2k5 Prediction Percentage Challenge:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=23266034
From: Lagoona | Posted: 9/6/2005 10:54:43 PM | Message Detail
Btw, Kaxon, you only entered predictions in the PPC until Samus' match, they are missing for Snake and further... (this also goes to Paratroopa1)
---
SC2k5 Prediction Percentage Challenge:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=23266034
From: Camden | Posted: 9/6/2005 10:54:56 PM | Message Detail
Snake with 59.49%

Bowser with 57.99%
Crono with 65.99%
Vincent with 57.99%
Sonic with 58.99%
Mega Man with 54.99%

Mario with 50.99%
---
Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
The ships hung in the sky in much the same way that bricks don't. -Douglas Adams
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 9/6/2005 11:18:16 PM | Message Detail
Sorry this is late again.

Solid Snake with 58.00%
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/6/2005 11:34:26 PM | Message Detail
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 9/6/2005 11:18:16 PM | Message Detail
Sorry this is late again.


It's not late, we changed the deadline. =)
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6
From: CaptainFlufflez | Posted: 9/7/2005 12:04:45 AM | Message Detail
Vincent with 50.34%

Sonic with 52.05%

Mega Man with 53.25%

Mario with 54.96%
---
All my base are belong to Yoblazer, winner of the Guru Contest.
From: TenkoStar17 | Posted: 9/7/2005 12:16:11 AM | Message Detail
Wow, I got owned by the 60.00 people.
---
"Tenko sleeping on me = Cowboy Ackbar! (proof inside)" - perdevious
Level 5: "Digital Watch" (560 points)
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/7/2005 12:19:21 AM | Message Detail
Match #50 Results:
Samus Aran 59.66%
Ganondorf 40.34%

Samus manages to outperform Sephiroth against Ganondorf, but still looks a little disappointing as she fails to break 60%. Today we had 70 Samus predictions and 1 Ganondorf prediction. The consensus was Samus with 62.47% and the average score was 44.35.

Best Five Picks:
1) Lagoona - Samus Aran 59.86% (+49.80)
2) Who Cares? - Samus Aran 59.34% (+49.68)
3) FastFalcon05 - Samus Aran 60.00% (+49.66)
3) transience - Samus Aran 60.00% (+49.66)
3) BeTheMan - Samus Aran 60.00% (+49.66)
3) kawaiifan - Samus Aran 60.00% (+49.66)
3) Alanna82 - Samus Aran 60.00% (+49.66)
3) Haste2 - Samus Aran 60.00% (+49.66)

Today Prediction Percentage Challenge host Lagoona had the best prediction. This is the fourth time he's been in the top 5 this contest, and his first win. Who Cares? was second, with his fifth top 5. Right behind Who Cares? was a 6 way tie for third - FastFalcon05, transience, BeTheMan, kawaiifan, Alanna82, and Haste2 all predicted Samus with 60%.

Complete match ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=match&match=50

Current Leaderboard:
1) creativename - 2196.48
2) Xuxon - 2190.66
3) Heroic Viktor - 2189.75
4) StopPokingMe - 2189.50
5) Master Moltar - 2187.71

We have some action on the leaderboard today, starting with creativename reclaiming the top spot from Heroic Viktor. Heroic Viktor drops down to third on an extremely aggressive Samus prediction, allowing Xuxon to move up two spots to second. StopPokingMe drops one spot as he's passed by Xuxon, and MasterMoltar holds on to fifth place.

Full standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=total&match=50

Zebes Division Leaderboard (Final):
1) outback - 331.90
2) PeaceOut64 - 330.49
3) Alanna82 - 328.35
4) Claude Rena - 327.13
5) kawaiifan - 326.79

Former division leader LuniNutz99 failed to make a prediction today, allowing outback to come from 7 points behind to take the title. PeaceOut64 stayed in second and was passed by outback in the division's final day. Alanna82, Claude Rena, and kawaiifan all climbed onto the leaderboard today, passing Weird Kirby Dude (who finished 6th) and StopPokingMe.

Complete division standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/divisions.php?division=27
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/7/2005 12:21:44 AM | Message Detail
yay, my first top five of the season!!
---
Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: Lagoona | Posted: 9/7/2005 12:23:06 AM | Message Detail
Yay, my first Top prediction today. It doesn't even bug me anymore that I last minute changed from 59.73 to 59.86. :-)
---
SC2k5 Prediction Percentage Challenge:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=23266034
From: Xuxon | Posted: 9/7/2005 1:06:11 AM | Message Detail
Bowser with 55.25%
---
"Let's drop this Xbox statue on Naomi's head! Oof! This thing's big! It'll take over 3 years for it to start selling!" ~ Jaguar, Sega Fantasy VI
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 9/7/2005 4:18:52 AM | Message Detail
I hate you Sora.

---
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 65/72 (Kefka, Magus (x2), Ocelot, Tidus)
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 9/7/2005 5:00:42 AM | Message Detail
Crono with 68.27%
Squall with 55.83%
Sonic with 55.83%
Mega Man with 55.83%

No guts, no glory.

Mario with 58.27%

---
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 69/76 (Kefka, Magus (x2), Ocelot, Tidus)
From: transience | Posted: 9/7/2005 5:03:53 AM | Message Detail
man, next time I'll predict 59.99 or something. yay for six way ties!
---
http://picturesofwalls.com
From: Ringworm | Posted: 9/7/2005 5:46:21 AM | Message Detail
Crono 58.22%
Squall 54.91%
Sonic 62.08%
Mega Man 54.1%

I'll leave round 4 for a little while.
---
~ Ringworm ~
From: Sephirot1 Returns | Posted: 9/7/2005 5:51:52 AM | Message Detail
Crono with 61.24%

Vincent with 51.79%

Sonic with 57.77%

Mega Man with 64.20%

---
Proud supporter of Samus and Megaman in the S2K5C!
From: somdude04 | Posted: 9/7/2005 7:13:25 AM | Message Detail
Bowser with 56.12%

GJ
---
Missed Points: 9 Ness, Knuckles(x7), Pac-Man
Me: http://i09-8.thefacebook.com/pics/8/2/n9202808_9627.jpg
From: somdude04 | Posted: 9/7/2005 7:16:57 AM | Message Detail
4 New predictions: (for some reason 3 of them got copied from last found, so technically may be a change)

Crono with 63.31%
Vincent with 57.19%
Sonic with 52.12%
Meg Man with 57.34%

GJ
---
Missed Points: 9 Ness, Knuckles(x7), Pac-Man
Me: http://i09-8.thefacebook.com/pics/8/2/n9202808_9627.jpg
Jump to Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10