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Oracle Challenge - BATTLE ROYALE Match 2
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/14/2006 12:50:54 AM | Message Detail
Welcome to the Oracle Challenge, the contest that tests your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!

The Challenge

You will try to predict the percentage of the vote that each competitor in the Battle Royale will receive. The winner will be the person who predicts all five matches of the Battle Royale the most accurately.

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. Your predictions must start with the name of the character and end with your predicted percentage. You must include a prediction for every character in the Battle Royale match. Example:

Link 37.16%
Cloud 20.81%
Snake 17.38%
Sephiroth 16.21%
Samus 8.43%
Mario 0.01%

Always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use a weird format.

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your prediction was to the actual outcome for each character. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most points at the end of the final match. For each character you predict you can earn anywhere from 0 and 50 points. This means that the first match is worth up to 300 points. For each character, you score 50-x points, where x is the difference between your prediction and their actual result. Example:

Your guess: Link with 35%
Actual result: Link 40%
Your score: 50 - (40-35) = 45 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of a prediction for each character in the match.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else's. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made five minutes before the usual start time of that match's poll (approx. 11:55pm EST, 10:55am CST, 8:55pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to a previous entry.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule and to reduce confusion.
ANYONE CAUGHT CHEATING (Including but not limited to deleting changes after the start of a match) WILL IMMEDIATELY BE DISQUALIFIED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CONTEST.

6) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page <http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users>, I already know about it).
7) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/14/2006 12:51:41 AM | Message Detail
ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

Oracle Discussion Topic
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=31154224

This topic is for the SECOND MATCH of the Battle Royale only. Please post your predictions for the following five characters here:

Link
Cloud Strife
Sephiroth
Mario
Solid Snake

I realize I'm calling the first match kind of early, but I want to give people as much time as possible for predictions.

Let the Oracle Challenge test your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: CyberMachine08 | Posted: 11/14/2006 12:57:15 AM | Message Detail
Link with 30.32%
Cloud Strife with 26.34%
Sephiroth with 20.55%
Mario with 10.21%
Solid Snake with 12.58%

---
I thought lolicon would mean LOL ICON as in Lol internet - XIII is cool
*is raytan7585* in the Purg'D Prison (15 days left)
From: Ringworm | Posted: 11/14/2006 12:58:54 AM | Message Detail
Link 31.02%
Cloud Strife 28.33%
Sephiroth 14.61%
Mario 13.79%
Solid Snake 16.42%
---
~ Ringworm ~
From: Xuxon | Posted: 11/14/2006 1:02:55 AM | Message Detail
Link with 32%
Cloud with 24%
Sephiroth with 15.5%
Snake with 15%
Mario with 13.5%
---
Take off every sig.
From: Claude Rena | Posted: 11/14/2006 1:11:41 AM | Message Detail
Link - 26.47%
Cloud Strife - 24.71%
Sephiroth - 17.05%
Mario - 15.89%
Solid Snake - 15.88%
---
Croc+Chocobo=Crocobo
Claude+Rena=Claude Rena
From: and now I dance | Posted: 11/14/2006 1:23:21 AM | Message Detail
Link 29.00%
Cloud 25.65%
Sephiroth 16.00%
Snake 14.90%
Mario 14.50%
---
*Dances* :D
From: TheKnightOfNee | Posted: 11/14/2006 1:31:28 AM | Message Detail
Link with 30.13%
Cloud Strife with 24.76%
Sephiroth with 16.05%
Mario with 13.81%
Solid Snake with 15.25%
---
Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
"i love you and aiya" - An IM from Richie259. Awww.
From: THE_TRUTH_01 | Posted: 11/14/2006 1:45:02 AM | Message Detail
Link with 20%
Cloud Strife with 20%
Sephiroth with 20%
Mario with 20%
Solid Snake with 20%
---
Wii? Wiiii!!! Current DS Games 23
http://www.MakeCountdowns.com/show.php?id=31619
From: Kaxon | Posted: 11/14/2006 2:30:52 AM | Message Detail
I need to make a ruling on Vlado's predictions from the last topic... what happened was, he posted his predictions after the deadline, for Samus he just said "what's left", and his other five added to over 100%. He then tried to correct them (still after the deadline), but they still added to over 100%.

I'm counting his first post as his prediction and not counting his change, because this is consistent with what we've always done where new predictions are accepted in the last 5 minutes but changes aren't. It doesn't matter that they added to over 100% because that wasn't a rule. However, I'm counting him as not having a Samus prediction, because he didn't give a percentage, and "what's left" doesn't mean anything when (a) there's no rule about what the numbers have to add to, and (b) his added to over 100% anyway.
---
....TCELES B HSUP
From: Agent M | Posted: 11/14/2006 2:33:21 AM | Message Detail
Link with 33%
Cloud Strife with 27%
Sephiroth with 16%
Mario with 11%
Solid Snake with 13%
From: Xuxon | Posted: 11/14/2006 2:35:48 AM | Message Detail
Heh, not even Samus with 0[Percent] for Vlado? That actually wouldn't be that terrible of a score at this rate.
---
Take off every sig.
From: Paratroopa1 | Posted: 11/14/2006 3:28:52 AM | Message Detail
Link with 30.52%
Cloud Strife with 22.53%
Sephiroth with 14.69%
Mario with 15.75%
Solid Snake with 16.51%
From: Ness26 | Posted: 11/14/2006 4:25:32 AM | Message Detail
Link with 28.22%
Cloud Strife with 22.90%
Sephiroth with 15.81%
Mario with 14.87%
Solid Snake with 15.10%
From: _Lagoona_ | Posted: 11/14/2006 4:32:24 AM | Message Detail
.Bah, I missed that you did an Oracle for the BR, too... damn... so does it make sense if I still join?

Link with 31.5%
Cloud Strife with 26.5%
Sephiroth with 17%
Mario with 15%
Solid Snake with 10%

---
PPC SC2k6:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30958879
From: ps2rulezzz | Posted: 11/14/2006 5:09:05 AM | Message Detail
Link with 30%
Cloud with 24%
Sephiroth with 16.50%
Snake with 15.50%
Mario with 14%
---
190/192 points in sc2004, winner team oracle challenge
30/32 sc 2006
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 11/14/2006 6:56:25 AM | Message Detail
Cloud with 25.01%
Link with 29.29%
Mario with 13.26%
Sephiroth with 17.42%
Solid Snake with 14.91%
---
ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
From: Metal Goomba | Posted: 11/14/2006 7:11:56 AM | Message Detail
Link 33.56
Cloud 23.05
Sephiroth 16.46
Mario 14.02
Snake 12.91
---
Now Playing: Resident Evil 4, Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance
From: Starion | Posted: 11/14/2006 7:22:25 AM | Message Detail
ROUND 2
---------------------------------------
Link with 32.25%
Cloud Strife with 23.63%
Sephiroth with 15.93%
Mario with 15.45%
Solid Snake with 12.75%

And just to be safe: If Samus somehow doesn't get eliminated, she gets the percentage of the person who did get eliminated (lol).

---
Finished: Okami | Now playing: FF12 | Waiting for: Castlevania:POR (yay!!)
From: Tapdancer | Posted: 11/14/2006 7:48:34 AM | Message Detail
Link with 32.13%
Cloud Strife with 27.01%
Sephiroth with 17.17%
Mario with 13.29%
Solid Snake with 10.40%

---
ZAP!
do a little dance
From: BZer0 | Posted: 11/14/2006 8:36:42 AM | Message Detail
Link with 29.88%
Cloud Strife with 24.64%
Sephiroth with 16.98%
Mario with 13.64%
Solid Snake with 14.86%
---
CBV: 120/144
From: BZer0 | Posted: 11/14/2006 8:37:28 AM | Message Detail
Oh, and same as Starion: If Samus somehow doesn't get eliminated, she gets the percentage of the person who did get eliminated.
---
CBV: 120/144
From: King_Zog | Posted: 11/14/2006 8:50:11 AM | Message Detail
Link with 30%
Cloud Strife with 26%
Sephiroth with 17%
Solid Snake with 13%
Mario with 14%
---
………………………………………………../|,-‘`ŻŻ`\(o)_\,----,,,_……….. LUEshi > Dante
………………„~*ŻŻ`”\,………... _„_………( `\(o),,_/` Ż : o : : :o `-, …...Darunia > King Zog
From: ScorpionX3 | Posted: 11/14/2006 10:12:12 AM | Message Detail
Link 29.69%
Cloud 24.33%
Sephiroth 16.86%
Mario 15.97%
Solid Snake 13.15%
_-Ż-_
4, 8, 15, 16, 23, 42 ... Would you push the button?
From: KleenexTissue50 | Posted: 11/14/2006 10:13:53 AM | Message Detail
Link with 30%
Cloud with 24%
Mario with 15%
Sephiroth with 17%
Snake with 14%
---
CB5 Points: 131/192, Current Oracle placement: 21/170
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 11/14/2006 10:13:55 AM | Message Detail
Since his intent was to have his stuff add up to 100, Vlado probably deserves to get a -15.14 prediction for Samus, just for the hilarity of it. >_>
---
It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: meche313 | Posted: 11/14/2006 10:40:52 AM | Message Detail
Link with 30%
Cloud Strife with 27.9%
Sephiroth with 18.23%
Mario with 14%
Solid Snake with 17.3%
---
You're in a clique with Vlado and Inviso. That's the nerdy group in the school cafeteria that sits away from everybody else gossiping about the cool kids in whispers, except instead of whispers, it's AIM, and instead of the school cafeteria, it's the board 8 community. -- Shake
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 11/14/2006 11:30:26 AM | Message Detail
Link with 32.00%
Cloud with 25.00%
Sephiroth with 17.00%
Solid Snake with 13.50%
Mario with 12.50%
---
"........!" ~Magus
From: goku z | Posted: 11/14/2006 11:33:26 AM | Message Detail
Link 29.5%
Cloud 25.9%
Sephiroth 17.2%
Mario 14.3%
Snake 14.1%
---
Dirty old men > Squall || Check out Contact, the GotY 2006!
Every time red13n mods a fad, a nerd gets his zits.
From: Lopen | Posted: 11/14/2006 11:35:31 AM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife with 26.64%
Link with 26.21%
Mario with 14.44%
Sephiroth with 18.19%
Solid Snake with 14.52%
---
Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
From: wingzfan3 | Posted: 11/14/2006 11:35:48 AM | Message Detail
Link-30.09%
Cloud-29.34
Mario-15.67%
Sephiroth-14.89%
Snake-10.01%

---
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=31536256
From: Weird Kirby Dude11 | Posted: 11/14/2006 12:02:06 PM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife with 24%
Link with 30%
Mario with 13%
Sephiroth with 18%
Solid Snake with 15%

---
Weird Kirby Dude - spud2002 is alive! >_>
From: basmeyer42 | Posted: 11/14/2006 12:25:30 PM | Message Detail
Link with 30.50%
Cloud with 25%
Sephiroth with 17%
Snake with 13.75%
Mario with 13.75%
From: Giggsalot | Posted: 11/14/2006 12:28:21 PM | Message Detail
Link - 29%
Cloud Strife - 23%
Sephiroth - 17%
Mario - 16%
Solid Snake - 15%
---
They don't sleep anymore on the beach...
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 11/14/2006 12:31:18 PM | Message Detail
Link with 30%
Cloud Strife with 24.5%
Sephiroth with 17.5%
Solid Snake with 14%
Mario with 14%
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
From: PeaceOut64 | Posted: 11/14/2006 12:37:18 PM | Message Detail
Link with 31%
Cloud with 24%
Sephiroth with 17%
Mario with 15%
Snake with 13%
---
My goal since I joined the Leafs has always been to have on the ice a team as good as our fans. We have never quite gotten there. Some day we will. - Ken Dryden
From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 11/14/2006 12:39:13 PM | Message Detail
I now understand from the first day of the Battle Royale how the SFF affects the results of the matches. Link does better than I expected in return for the other Nintendo character performing badly. Off of the first day of the Battle Royale, I should be able to get around 260 points. But I had Snake getting eliminated first so that will hurt me somewhat but it's not really a big deal though.

Link with 29.60%
Cloud Strife with 24.71%
Sephiroth with 18.53%
Mario with 13.92%
Solid Snake with 13.24%

I absolutely refuse to place Snake above Mario. Since Samus, a Nintendo character, was eliminated, there should be less SFF (only 2 Nintendo characters instead of 3) so Mario won't get beaten as badly tomorrow.

Also, will our Battle Royale predictions be placed on the Oracle Challenge site?
---
Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
From: EyeBeeTeeBee | Posted: 11/14/2006 12:50:15 PM | Message Detail
Cloud Strife with 24.76%
Link with 29.85%
Mario with 13.99%
Sephiroth with 17.53%
Solid Snake with 13.87%
---
th3l3fty
Patrolman in Sir Chris' Police
From: alpha door | Posted: 11/14/2006 1:30:54 PM | Message Detail
Link with 30.15%
Cloud Strife with 25.00%
Sephiroth with 16.21%
Mario with 14.40%
Solid Snake with 14.24%
---
Official Chrono Trigger Fan (I. Want. Spore. Now.)
Nominate Marina Liteyears for SC2k7!!
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 11/14/2006 1:35:06 PM | Message Detail
Link with 29.00%
Cloud with 25.00%
Sephiroth with 18.00%
Mario with 14.00%
Snake with 14.00%
---
Moltar Status: 5th on the leaderboard! Go my alt!
Battle Royale Day 1 - Bracket: Samus - Vote: Samus (152/192)
From: Xuxon | Posted: 11/14/2006 1:39:46 PM | Message Detail
Link with 31%
Cloud with 24.5%
Sephiroth with 17%
Snake with 14%
Mario with 13.5%
---
Take off every sig.
From: Ness26 | Posted: 11/14/2006 1:56:32 PM | Message Detail
Link with 30.22%
Cloud with 24.66%
Mario with 13.22%
Sephiroth with 16.02%
Snake with 13.88%

---
Best. Board/Card Game. Ever Contest:
http://www.bracketmaker.com/tlist.cfm?tid=171196
From: Rodri316 | Posted: 11/14/2006 2:09:16 PM | Message Detail
Link - 28.32%
Cloud Strife- 25.15%
Sephiroth - 17.44%
Mario - 15.23%
Solid Snake - 13.86%
---
Do not meddle in the affairs of dragons, for you are crunchy and good with ketchup.
From: meche313 | Posted: 11/14/2006 2:45:42 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE

Link with 30%
Cloud Strife with 27.9%
Sephiroth with 16.55%
Mario with 14%
Solid Snake with 15.3%
---
You're in a clique with Vlado and Inviso. That's the nerdy group in the school cafeteria that sits away from everybody else gossiping about the cool kids in whispers, except instead of whispers, it's AIM, and instead of the school cafeteria, it's the board 8 community. -- Shake
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 11/14/2006 2:46:32 PM | Message Detail
Link with 30%
Cloud Strife with 25%
Sephiroth with 17%
Solid Snake with 15%
Mario with 13%
---
Currently Playing: Xenosaga Episode 3, Final Fantasy XII, Tales of the Abyss, King of Fighters 2002/2003
From: StopPokingMe | Posted: 11/14/2006 3:16:32 PM | Message Detail
Cloud with 24.24%
Link with 31.31%
Mario with 14.14%
Sephiroth with 16.16%
Snake with 14.14%
---
Champions of Time and Space: The Summer Contest 2003 Fanfiction Project
http://crolapras.tripod.com/ffproj.html
From: Salient | Posted: 11/14/2006 3:21:00 PM | Message Detail
Cloud with 24%
Link with 31.5%
Mario with 13.5%
Sephiroth with 16.75%
Snake with 14.25%
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 11/14/2006 3:24:10 PM | Message Detail
Link with 32.46%
Cloud Strife with 24.01%
Sephiroth with 16.78%
Mario with 13.21%
Solid Snake with 13.54%
---
"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
From: Jmast7 | Posted: 11/14/2006 3:28:02 PM | Message Detail
Link with 32.33
Cloud Strife with 27.33%
Sephiroth with 17.34%
Mario with 13.50%
Solid Snake with 9.50%

---
"I've tried 'em all, I really have, and the only church that truly feeds the soul, day in, day out, is the Church of Baseball." - Annie Savoy
From: Tsunami70 | Posted: 11/14/2006 3:29:02 PM | Message Detail
Hmmmm....... Link didn't dominate quite as much as i thought...

Link with 39.15%
Cloud Strife with 24.81%
Sephiroth with 13.09%
Mario with 11.48%
Solid Snake with 11.47%
---
"You need a spanking!" - Mystere (Lunar 2) ^_~
I, however, was spanked by Z1mZum.
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