Looks like I'll be in 4th again, with Kaxon getting even nearer and the ones atop going further away...

Afraid to touch my Yoshi pick. Seems low, but I figure I'd adjust for KH2, and for the fact Riku nearly beat Frog.
---
Einstein would turn over in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded.
Oracle:4th... bad change on snake / Runner of Winning Streak

Not knowing where lolx is? For shame!

thengamer.com/xstats

And yes, based on their performances last year, this was supposed to end

Tidus (2005c) VS Squall (2005c)

Tidus has a strength of 29.63.
Squall has a strength of 35.16.

Squall wins with 57.86% of the vote!
A win of 14,597 with 92,812 total votes cast.

---
thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator
thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives

Which points to...

- Kirby overperformed on Bowser for some reason, helping Tidus look better than he was

- Bowser overperformed on Snake with pic factor, again helping Tidus

- the post-FF7 FF crowd prefers Squall to Tidus, introducing some SFF

- a guy who gets a pic of himself looking hard and brandishing a huge sword is going to overperform against a swordless, feminine-looking opponent

---
thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator
thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives

Here another example of how you can play around with lolx. Just for fun, let's assume that all 4 of my previous points were wrong. The 2005 Tidus value was completely legit, and these current results are likewise a legitimate representation of Squall/Tidus strengths. Then compare

Squall Leonhart 73.03% 5770
Tidus 26.97% 2131
TOTAL VOTES 7901

Against what Link would have been expected to put up on this same Tidus last year.

Link (2005c) VS Tidus (2005c)

Link has a strength of 54.56.
Tidus has a strength of 29.63.

Link wins with 72.85% of the vote!

---
thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator
thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives

Squall is the new hero of.....heroes or something.


-D§R-
---
Currently 1st out of 158 in the Oracle Challenge.

And then I changed it!! Note to self: stop listening to the board.

Don't bother, that never works. I've been saying that since I started.

Not knowing where lolx is? For shame!

thengamer.com/xstats

Where? I was still on what...
---
Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v338/Camden409/OnNotice.jpg

Well, I just looked at the predictions of most everybody around me on the leaderboard. At 23rd place with a pick that's 10% off, I'll only be dropping about 4-5 places. Wow.
---
I've been called an idiot many times, mostly by people with poor grammar and a small vernicular. - ExtremeM65

Ok, let's start from the beginning, then.

What?

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/11

Where?

http://thengamer.com/xstats/

Why?

Terra (2005c) VS Sarah Kerrigan (2005c)

Terra has a strength of 18.65.
Sarah Kerrigan has a strength of 14.95.

Terra wins with 59.92% of the vote!
A win of 19,507 with 98,324 total votes cast.

Terra Branford 58.69% 58141
Sarah Kerrigan 41.31% 40922
TOTAL VOTES 99063

How?

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/11

Who?

http://board8wiki.com/Creativename

When?

Summer 2003 - Present Day

Which?

All.

---
thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator
thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives

My prediction is screwed!! ;_;

---
FFVI says, "A Love between Human and Esper".
"She's (Rikku) as deep as a mountain for God's sake" - Inviso.

Wait, Board 8 has a wiki? This is too much new information all at once...
---
Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
On Notice: photobucket.com/albums/v338/Camden409/OnNotice.jpg

Regarding the contest getting harder, I don't think it has much if anything to do with people getting better at predicting. It's simply that there are more competitors.
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery

Well, I was ALMOST best of the people that have missed one match, today is going to hurt a lot though. Went low with my prediction hoping for a close match, but this is a bit of a surprise to see such a huge gap. Maybe because KH2 is released in Europe today? Who knows. Knew this was a tough match to call.
---
~ Ringworm ~

*sees the result*

Oh my god...

Not much I can say about this one except "lol Tidus" and "lol SFF". Yesterday King Morgoth was saying he could see this one going 70-30... shoulda listened!
---
CATS's Road to the Character Battle V Championship
Round 1: Sonic

I think I'll fall out of the top 15 after today. >_> I need to start rebounding.
---
Best. Board/Card Game. Ever Contest:
http://www.bracketmaker.com/tlist.cfm?tid=171196

dammit. This will be my worst pick of the contest so far...
54% <_<;;

---
The end of the world is nigh! Earth Life Remaining: 4 days
SC2K6: 16/17 Today's pick: Squall Leonhart

Solid 64%. I should do well again. Well being relative, of course.
---
*Yoshifan*

Wow, I was hoping it would die down from last night but nothing happened. Hopefully not to many predicted it up there.

---
Board 8's #1 Duke Fan - Be Honest©
SC2K6; 16/17; 16 Points; T-2nd; Next Pick: Squall

Not much I can say about this one except "lol Tidus" and "lol SFF". Yesterday King Morgoth was saying he could see this one going 70-30... shoulda listened!

Honestly, how do you think I feel right now? This was the last match I'm listening to the crowd out of fear, and I'll be leading at the end of the round...
---
It looks like I got Z1mZum'd! Congrats to the greatest Guru!
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)

Well, with 64, I look pretty good for today...
---
Weird Kirby Dude - spud2002 is alive! >_>
Minnesota Twins: 89-61

If my calculations were right, I should only move one spot at the end of the day, but it's not any spot, it's a spot to the Top 15!

Also, the best pick in the Top 25 was made by KleenexTissue, which should jump to 14th (6 spots) with a 65% prediction.

Ness and Layzerbeam will be falling from the Top 15 for now.
---
Happy Happyists 4th on the Oracle Team Challenge. 3rd on Spread Betting!

My computer's dead, and I couldn't get online at all yesterday to change my pick. At least no one was close to what's going on today. >_<

Darn you, Tidus, for sucking so much.
---
Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
"i love you and aiya" - An IM from Richie259. Awww.

*finds his 68% pick*... when will my on again, off again luck finally turn off? Or on? On would be better, but I'm seriously expecting off.
---
Yeah, I'm a fur. So?
*proud participant in the Oracle Challenge*

UP 17 SPOTS!!! YAHOO!!!
I just realized, thats my 2nd 3rd place this season. It'd be hilarious if I ended up with 3.
---
...I have nothing to put here. *THIS SPACE FOR RENT*
*proud participant in the Oracle Challenge*

Phew, I thought it would stay at 67%

It drops to 61% now...

---
Board 8's #1 Duke Fan - Be Honest©
SC2K6; 17/18; 17 Points; T-2nd; Next Pick: Yoshi

Wow, my wuick reading typo'd me up a spot in my mind. I got 4th. Ah well. Still a top 5.
---
...I have nothing to put here. *THIS SPACE FOR RENT*
*proud participant in the Oracle Challenge*

4 bad picks in a row...I think I'll do alright today. Except I raised my pick by 1% up to 58%, darn it. I'm betting Riku gets Yoshi down below 57% at this rate.

---
Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799

I hate Yoshi.

---
Remember, remember. The 7th of October - the day Ganondorf was beat.
By the Valentine, who N fans despise - another win, another great feat.

Yoshi is falling rapidly. Even if Yoshi manages to fall around 4 to 5% by the end of this match, I can still have a pretty solid prediction to make up for yesterday.
---
Luster Soldier - Pwned by Repus_Yortsed
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30445079

1) DSRage 827.50 +0.00 0.00 Yoshi 57.84%
2) cyko 824.98 +0.00 -2.52 Yoshi 57.17%
3) Aprosenf 824.34 +0.00 -3.16 Yoshi 60.19%
4) ad00 822.21 +0.00 -5.29 Yoshi 58.08%
5) Kaxon 821.20 +0.00 -6.30 Yoshi 61.42%
6) Ngamer64 816.82 +0.00 -10.68 Yoshi 63.33%
7) Luster Soldier 815.71 +0.00 -11.79 Yoshi 54.38%
8) Draco1214 815.28 +0.00 -12.22 Yoshi 53.00%
9) Rodri316 814.35 +0.00 -13.15 Yoshi 53.88%
10) Karma Hunter 813.77 +0.00 -13.73 Yoshi 58.90%
11) PeaceOut64 812.44 +0.00 -15.06 Yoshi 59.70%
12) Ed Bellis 811.90 +0.00 -15.60 Yoshi 58.22%
13) KleenexTissue50 811.51 +0.00 -15.99 Yoshi 59.48%
14) Camden 811.42 +0.00 -16.08 Yoshi 60.50%
15) meche313 810.73 +0.00 -16.77 Yoshi 60.21%

well, i have no idea who will win the day vote this match. but it's already looking like the lower picks will wind up doing better. we could see some new faces on this leaderboard this time!!

---
i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!

... I think my luck has finally turned on.
---
...I have nothing to put here. *THIS SPACE FOR RENT*
*proud participant in the Oracle Challenge*

Finally! I've gotten four baddish picks in a row, and now I finally have a great one.
---
Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest
The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII

Wow, Riku is gonna pull Yoshi down quite a bit.


-D§R-
---
Currently 1st out of 158 in the Oracle Challenge.

Highest prediction of the Top 15?

...I have got to stop doing that.

---
thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator
thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives

I could have had a top 5 pick with 55.55 :/ But, once again.... I listened to consensus. It's evil.
---
Einstein would turn over in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded.
Oracle:4th... bad change on snake / Runner of Winning Streak

Come on Yoshi, at least keep it above 55.16%...
---
....TCELES B HSUP

No no, Yoshi, go down to 55.12%. I haven't had a top pick in a while, so now would be a good time.
---
Take off every sig.

Come on Yoshi, at least keep it above 55.16%...

It might happen. I just hope that Yoshi drops to at least 55.38%.
---
Luster Soldier - Pwned by Repus_Yortsed
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30445079

ad00 has 3 minutes to change before his 76.76% prediction for Dante becomes permanent.


-D§R-
---
Currently 1st out of 158 in the Oracle Challenge.

76.76? Ouch. Unless he knows something we don't, that's gonna hurt...
---
Take off every sig.

Yep, poor him. I think he's gonna drop from 4th to 14th now...


-D§R-
---
Currently 1st out of 158 in the Oracle Challenge.

Hmm...I just realized I never changed my Dante pick...and it's too late now. Hope this doesn't hurt me >_>

---
Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7

From Redtooth Posted 9/30/2006 8:57:33 PM
Hmm...I just realized I never changed my Dante pick...and it's too late now. Hope this doesn't hurt me >_>

Your pick looks pretty solid to me.


-D§R-
---
Currently 1st out of 158 in the Oracle Challenge.

I'm banking on a great performance by Ryu.
---
Meche313

Looking okay so far. Lets hope it drops near 62%...


-D§R-
---
Currently 1st out of 158 in the Oracle Challenge.

Crap. I knew I was undershooting yet again. It's just the first freeze, but it's hard for it to go down that much to my pick. Ah well..
---
Meche313

Bleh. I really need to get a good pick soon. >_>
---
Best. Board/Card Game. Ever Contest:
http://www.bracketmaker.com/tlist.cfm?tid=171196

Just drop a couple...

---
Board 8's #1 Duke Fan - Be Honest©
SC2K6; 18/19; 18 Points; T-2nd; Next Pick: Dante

Gawsh he isn't dropping >_<
---
I've been called an idiot many times, mostly by people with poor grammar and a small vernicular. - ExtremeM65

Seriously, I'm going to drop massively if Ryu doesn't start doing something about this soon.
---
Meche313

Darn, it's too high!


-D§R-
---
Currently 1st out of 158 in the Oracle Challenge.