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From: Xcarvengerx
| Posted: 9/4/2007 9:50:12 PM | Message Detail
I think TRE agree that our team name is Team T-REX, so can you please change it on the site? It is really difficult to browse through the team leaderboard with all those ???s...
---
Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
---
Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
From: Xuxon
| Posted: 9/4/2007 10:01:59 PM | Message Detail
They added up to 112.5% because they're x-stats values. If you take those numbers, and work your formula on them, you get the percentages of the actual match-up.
Also, Pleasantly surprised that I didn't drop nearly as much as I thought I would. Not in a bad spot overall I don't think.
---
FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
Also, Pleasantly surprised that I didn't drop nearly as much as I thought I would. Not in a bad spot overall I don't think.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
From: creativename
| Posted: 9/4/2007 10:14:24 PM | Message Detail
They added up to 112.5% because they're x-stats values. If you take those numbers, and work your formula on them, you get the percentages of the actual match-up.
Ahhh, I see. That's what you meant by reverse - he was obtaining the strength values. That's pretty neat. Thanks for explaining.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
Ahhh, I see. That's what you meant by reverse - he was obtaining the strength values. That's pretty neat. Thanks for explaining.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
From: Haste_2
| Posted: 9/4/2007 10:19:09 PM | Message Detail
creative, those are not predicted results. They are using the results and I'm working BACKWARDS to "create" the x-stats (in relation to 2K3 Link) for each character, and seeing how they compare to the x-stats we'd expect.
I'll be doing the same thing again for yesterday's match in a little bit. ;)
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
I'll be doing the same thing again for yesterday's match in a little bit. ;)
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Haste_2
| Posted: 9/4/2007 10:45:06 PM | Message Detail
Latest 4-way calculator tests:
Morgoth:
Mega Man - 40%
KOS-MOS - 19.75%
Arthas - 17.25%
Diablo - 17.25%
I tried my best to optimize Mega Man and KOS-MOS here, while Arthas and Diablo have shown to split the fanbase...
creative:
Mega Man -36.25%
KOS-MOS - 24.75%
Arthas - 23.75%
Diablo - 23.50%
Pretty reasonable x-stats, but all three losers seem sorta high... wouldn't you expect Arthas and Diablo to have SFF?
It's another tough call today... I'll say the winner here is Morgoth, as I figure there was some SFF between Arthas and Diablo.
Haste2's noobish linear method:
Mega Man - 38%
KOS-MOS - 20.25%
Arthas - 18.80%
Diablo - 17.75%
OMG I like mine the best... again.
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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
Morgoth:
Mega Man - 40%
KOS-MOS - 19.75%
Arthas - 17.25%
Diablo - 17.25%
I tried my best to optimize Mega Man and KOS-MOS here, while Arthas and Diablo have shown to split the fanbase...
creative:
Mega Man -36.25%
KOS-MOS - 24.75%
Arthas - 23.75%
Diablo - 23.50%
Pretty reasonable x-stats, but all three losers seem sorta high... wouldn't you expect Arthas and Diablo to have SFF?
It's another tough call today... I'll say the winner here is Morgoth, as I figure there was some SFF between Arthas and Diablo.
Haste2's noobish linear method:
Mega Man - 38%
KOS-MOS - 20.25%
Arthas - 18.80%
Diablo - 17.75%
OMG I like mine the best... again.
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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Xuxon
| Posted: 9/4/2007 10:51:13 PM | Message Detail
Actually, I like creative's the best there, by far.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
From: Xuxon
| Posted: 9/4/2007 10:54:12 PM | Message Detail
Of course, that's merely by coincidence because of SFF, but it's the most reasonable values for everyone except Arthas, at least. KOS is a bit high there, but her and Diablo are too low in the others and Mega Man is too high.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
From: Haste_2
| Posted: 9/5/2007 12:33:37 AM | Message Detail
I'm liking these results. I might not be more than 2% off my prediction on anything today. I've been doing pretty well so far because it's mostly involved characters I know the strengths of... but that predictability is coming to an end once we get to tomorrow, where I predict I'll start to tumble.
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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: The Mana Sword
| Posted: 9/5/2007 7:47:26 AM | Message Detail
Oh wow, I made 2nd place yesterday? And first on the leaderboard? Kickass.
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Kleenex - Not on his computer.
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Kleenex - Not on his computer.
From: DpObliVion
| Posted: 9/5/2007 9:12:14 AM | Message Detail
.07% off on KOS-MOS, but I still finished 51st for the day, that's how terrible my other predictions were....
Mets and Sonic at the Oracle Games up into the Top 50 overall, whoo!
---
Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket
Mets and Sonic at the Oracle Games up into the Top 50 overall, whoo!
---
Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket
From: GrapefruitKing
| Posted: 9/5/2007 9:17:47 AM | Message Detail
Well I got from 103rd to...... 131st. >_<
I always start off badly in these but not that much
Hopefully I'll go up by a good amount of spots after today's match
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: ~ Axel 16.20% - Frog 20.72% - Samus 52.80% - Kerrigan 10.28% ~ Status: Grrreat
I always start off badly in these but not that much
Hopefully I'll go up by a good amount of spots after today's match
---
Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: ~ Axel 16.20% - Frog 20.72% - Samus 52.80% - Kerrigan 10.28% ~ Status: Grrreat
From: Maniac64
| Posted: 9/5/2007 10:01:55 AM | Message Detail
Up 20 spots! Nice.
Now if my partner would just do his...
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SoaP on a Rope - SoaR Secretary of Defense
[Browncoat] ~Board 570901~
Now if my partner would just do his...
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SoaP on a Rope - SoaR Secretary of Defense
[Browncoat] ~Board 570901~
From: entropyx
| Posted: 9/5/2007 10:14:17 AM | Message Detail
ATTN: Amazing Kirby
Make up a team name >_>
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Philadelphia Phillies [73 - 65]
4 days until the Eagles kickoff!
Make up a team name >_>
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Philadelphia Phillies [73 - 65]
4 days until the Eagles kickoff!
From: Kaxon
| Posted: 9/5/2007 10:30:41 AM | Message Detail
Somehow my prediction got a lot better over night! If Frog keeps dropping and Axel keeps rising it won't be that great anymore, but it looks like they've been pretty steady for the last couple hours.
I think TRE agree that our team name is Team T-REX, so can you please change it on the site? It is really difficult to browse through the team leaderboard with all those ???s...
Done. Sometime soon I'm going to be assigning all the ??? teams names.
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Tia mi aven Moridin isainde vadin
I think TRE agree that our team name is Team T-REX, so can you please change it on the site? It is really difficult to browse through the team leaderboard with all those ???s...
Done. Sometime soon I'm going to be assigning all the ??? teams names.
---
Tia mi aven Moridin isainde vadin
From: entropyx
| Posted: 9/5/2007 10:36:23 AM | Message Detail
If it's alright with Amazing Kirby, then change our team name to:
The Amazing Question marks
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Philadelphia Phillies [73 - 65]
4 days until the Eagles kickoff!
The Amazing Question marks
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Philadelphia Phillies [73 - 65]
4 days until the Eagles kickoff!
From: raytan7585
| Posted: 9/5/2007 4:16:43 PM | Message Detail
There's hope in my Oracle.
Let's hope Samus stayed at her percentage.
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raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
http://img142.imageshack.us/img142/2675/11584879241lc9.jpg
Let's hope Samus stayed at her percentage.
---
raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
http://img142.imageshack.us/img142/2675/11584879241lc9.jpg
From: Leebo86
| Posted: 9/5/2007 4:58:07 PM | Message Detail
Today's match is why there should be a penalty for the wrong picks. It takes all the excitement out of the comeback when you know it really doesn't change the score at all.
preeow
preeow
From: Kaidyn04
| Posted: 9/5/2007 5:38:52 PM | Message Detail
Our team name will be Ghost Cat for now <.<
~~~
Kaidyn. The Cream of The Hundred Years War Fanboyism.
Jeanne D'Arc (PSP) and Bladestorm (PS3) are better than your GotY.
~~~
Kaidyn. The Cream of The Hundred Years War Fanboyism.
Jeanne D'Arc (PSP) and Bladestorm (PS3) are better than your GotY.
From: Starion
| Posted: 9/5/2007 6:08:07 PM | Message Detail
Yes but how will you implement it without making it too difficult for King Morgoth and company though? I personally think there should be a penalty for getting the positions wrong - 2 pts per wrong spot. You could even limit it to just the 1st and 2nd spots but that might be too much of a pain to program (plus it would get screwed by picks that have the same % for two or more characters).
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100% Frog Log Quest: Current Progress- 400 of 627 Completed: Jaster, Kisala, Deego
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100% Frog Log Quest: Current Progress- 400 of 627 Completed: Jaster, Kisala, Deego
From: Weird Kirby Dude11
| Posted: 9/5/2007 6:11:38 PM | Message Detail
Stupid Frog. And stupid Axel... If I had evened out those two predictions, I'd be right on now... >_>
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spud2002 is alive! >_>
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spud2002 is alive! >_>
From: DSRage_Revived
| Posted: 9/5/2007 6:19:17 PM | Message Detail
Here is the trend of my(and war's) picks. Times are mountain (-7, I believe)
http://i36.photobucket.com/albums/e12/DSRage/pointa.jpg
starting to decline now....augh.
-ЧRÀG£-
---
Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
Sig it and it will happen.
http://i36.photobucket.com/albums/e12/DSRage/pointa.jpg
starting to decline now....augh.
-ЧRÀG£-
---
Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
Sig it and it will happen.
From: King Morgoth
| Posted: 9/5/2007 7:20:19 PM | Message Detail
Today's match is why there should be a penalty for the wrong picks. It takes all the excitement out of the comeback when you know it really doesn't change the score at all.
Yes but how will you implement it without making it too difficult for King Morgoth and company though? I personally think there should be a penalty for getting the positions wrong - 2 pts per wrong spot. You could even limit it to just the 1st and 2nd spots but that might be too much of a pain to program (plus it would get screwed by picks that have the same % for two or more characters).
Answer pretty much says it all. It's been enough of a pain to code everything and make sure it worked, the penalties would have made the scoring system a pain and there were too many exceptions to make it worth it. In an ideal world, we'd probably have some sort of penalty system but it wasn't (sadly) viable right now...
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Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
Yes but how will you implement it without making it too difficult for King Morgoth and company though? I personally think there should be a penalty for getting the positions wrong - 2 pts per wrong spot. You could even limit it to just the 1st and 2nd spots but that might be too much of a pain to program (plus it would get screwed by picks that have the same % for two or more characters).
Answer pretty much says it all. It's been enough of a pain to code everything and make sure it worked, the penalties would have made the scoring system a pain and there were too many exceptions to make it worth it. In an ideal world, we'd probably have some sort of penalty system but it wasn't (sadly) viable right now...
---
Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: CherryCokes
| Posted: 9/5/2007 7:40:16 PM | Message Detail
If I gave my +8 from Samus to Axel, I would be within striking distance of the leaderboard for today >_>
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Cokes
Jubilant Exuberance
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Cokes
Jubilant Exuberance
From: GrapefruitKing
| Posted: 9/5/2007 9:04:22 PM | Message Detail
Up 50 spots, eh? At last some good news.
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: ~ Agent 47 12.88% - Kratos 26.78% - Midna 31.29% - Scorp 29.05% ~ Status: Unknown
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: ~ Agent 47 12.88% - Kratos 26.78% - Midna 31.29% - Scorp 29.05% ~ Status: Unknown
From: Menji76
| Posted: 9/5/2007 9:07:21 PM | Message Detail
I'm glad my Agent 47 pick was two seconds now.
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Board 8's #1 Duke Fan Diamond: 4424 8857 3905
SC2K7; 12 Points; T-1st; Next Pick; Scorpion > Midna
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Board 8's #1 Duke Fan Diamond: 4424 8857 3905
SC2K7; 12 Points; T-1st; Next Pick; Scorpion > Midna
From: raytan7585
| Posted: 9/5/2007 9:09:57 PM | Message Detail
I FORGOT TO CHANGE MY PREDICTIONS!!
I'M SCREWED! ;_;
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raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
http://img142.imageshack.us/img142/2675/11584879241lc9.jpg
I'M SCREWED! ;_;
---
raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
http://img142.imageshack.us/img142/2675/11584879241lc9.jpg
From: King Morgoth
| Posted: 9/5/2007 9:23:22 PM | Message Detail
And I moved Midna and Scorpion closer at the last second to play it safe....arrrrrrrrgh
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Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
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Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: TheKnightOfNee
| Posted: 9/5/2007 9:25:29 PM | Message Detail
Thank god I dropped Midna by about 10% and raised Agent 47's percentage. I'm still not too close, but I saved myself a bunch of points, it looks like.
Also, darn Axel for doing so well yesterday. I expected him to be the lazy fodder in that match.
---
Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
"i love you and aiya" - An IM from Richie259. Awww.
Also, darn Axel for doing so well yesterday. I expected him to be the lazy fodder in that match.
---
Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
"i love you and aiya" - An IM from Richie259. Awww.
From: DpObliVion
| Posted: 9/5/2007 9:27:21 PM | Message Detail
Answer pretty much says it all. It's been enough of a pain to code everything and make sure it worked, the penalties would have made the scoring system a pain and there were too many exceptions to make it worth it. In an ideal world, we'd probably have some sort of penalty system but it wasn't (sadly) viable right now...
So that means someone with a better Samus > Axel > Frog > Sarah prediction than me will still score higher, even though I got the order right? Ugh....oh well....
---
Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket 12/12
So that means someone with a better Samus > Axel > Frog > Sarah prediction than me will still score higher, even though I got the order right? Ugh....oh well....
---
Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket 12/12
From: King Morgoth
| Posted: 9/5/2007 9:28:57 PM | Message Detail
So that means someone with a better Samus > Axel > Frog > Sarah prediction than me will still score higher, even though I got the order right? Ugh....oh well....
We figured this was still better than no Oracle at all =P
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Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
We figured this was still better than no Oracle at all =P
---
Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: DpObliVion
| Posted: 9/5/2007 9:31:38 PM | Message Detail
Yes, an acceptable compromise.
---
Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket 12/12
---
Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket 12/12
From: Xuxon
| Posted: 9/5/2007 9:44:19 PM | Message Detail
Whoa, I went back up with that pick? I was way off on Axel and not too close on Samus. I guess the other two made up for it. I'm cringing at my pick for today, though.
---
FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
From: King Morgoth
| Posted: 9/5/2007 9:51:20 PM | Message Detail
Match # 3 Results
Samus Aran 51.75%
Frog 18.64%
Axel 18.55%
Sarah Kerrigan 11.06%
A Morgoth update? Aw yeah! For those who thought about missing the match, Frog took an insurmountable lead, Axel fought back gaining himself an insurmountable lead of his own and Frog figured he'd finish the job instead of choking. Samus didn't really mind, she was getting over half the votes anyway. Our 176 predictions averaged 45.76 points and while 158 were right on with Samus>Frog, 13 others came really close to kickign their asses. The consensus was Samus - 53.28%, Frog - 21.15%, Axel - 14.94%, Kerrigan - 10.71%
Best Five Picks:
1) ps2rulezzz - Axel 17.50% - Frog 19.50% - Kerrigan 11.00% - Samus 52.00% (+49.44)
2) raytan7585 - Axel 18.64% - Frog 19.05% - Kerrigan 9.90% - Samus 52.41% (+49.42)
3) Heroic Viktor - Axel 17.00% - Frog 19.00% - Kerrigan 11.00% - Samus 53.00% (+49.19)
4) Haste2 - Axel 17.45% - Frog 20.45% - Kerrigan 10.55% - Samus 51.45% (+49.07)
4) StopPokingMe - Axel 18.03% - Frog 20.49% - Kerrigan 9.99% - Samus 51.49% (+49.07)
49 points meant a Top 5 appearance today. ps2 wins this one with his second TOp 5 in a row (20th all-time) barely edging raytan who grabs his 3rd Top 5 ever. The other three are used to being here as Heroix Viktor grabs his 23rd while Haste2 (30th) and StopPokingMe (28th) tie for 5th.
Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=match&match=3
Current Leaderboard:
1) KleenexTissue50 - 144.79
2) transience - 143.91
3) ps2rulezzz - 143.55
4) kaonashi1 - 143.38
5) AmazingKirby - 143.05
Kleenex and transience hold onto their small lead and spots 1 and 2 but they're the only ones who held! ps2 rides on his top prediction to take 3rd while kaonashi1 and AmazingKirby each climb 3 spots to take 4th and 5th
Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=total&match=3
Top Team Scores:
1) mvp's - 98.29 (ps2rulezzz: +49.44 / basmeyer42: +48.85)
2) Klonoa Alliance - 96.74 (raytan7585: +49.42 / amyvitality66: +47.32)
2) Drunkadelict Armadillos - 96.74 (Haste2: +49.07 / Dekar TKB: +47.67)
4) We Used To Be Good? - 96.57 (Kaxon: +48.39 / King Morgoth: +48.18)
5) Better Bettors - 96.43 (FastFalcon05: +47.82 / kaonashi1: +48.61)
SpC2k6 team champions easily grab the best pick yesterday over a point and a half in front of Klonoa Alliance and Drunkadelict Armadillos who tie for 2nd with their 2nd Top 5 each. Your favorite hosts and defending champions grab the 4th spots while Spread Betting hosts, past and present show their skill with the 5th prediction.
Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=teammatch&match=3
Team Leaderboard:
1) Team Battle with Gilgamesh < JENOVA (Janus5000 / KleenexTissue50) - 287.04
2) Team Better Bettors (FastFalcon05 / kaonashi1) - 284.17
3) Team Drunkadelict Armadillos (Haste2 / Dekar TKB) - 283.58
4) Team mvp's (ps2rulezzz / basmeyer42) - 282.91
5) Team The Amazing Question Marks (AmazingKirby / entropyx) - 282.53
Our favorite team with a lying name keeps first place and their 3 point lead as everyone moves below! The Better Bettors jump up 3 spots to 2nd, Team Drunkadelict Armadillos climb 6 to 3rd and Team mvp's try to steal the show by taking a whoopin 15 spots to 4th, all thanks to their Top 5 Team Pick. The Amazing Question Marks manage to barely hold onto the leaderboard in 5th, down 2 spots from yesterday.
Complete Team Standing:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=teamtotal&match=3
---
Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
Samus Aran 51.75%
Frog 18.64%
Axel 18.55%
Sarah Kerrigan 11.06%
A Morgoth update? Aw yeah! For those who thought about missing the match, Frog took an insurmountable lead, Axel fought back gaining himself an insurmountable lead of his own and Frog figured he'd finish the job instead of choking. Samus didn't really mind, she was getting over half the votes anyway. Our 176 predictions averaged 45.76 points and while 158 were right on with Samus>Frog, 13 others came really close to kickign their asses. The consensus was Samus - 53.28%, Frog - 21.15%, Axel - 14.94%, Kerrigan - 10.71%
Best Five Picks:
1) ps2rulezzz - Axel 17.50% - Frog 19.50% - Kerrigan 11.00% - Samus 52.00% (+49.44)
2) raytan7585 - Axel 18.64% - Frog 19.05% - Kerrigan 9.90% - Samus 52.41% (+49.42)
3) Heroic Viktor - Axel 17.00% - Frog 19.00% - Kerrigan 11.00% - Samus 53.00% (+49.19)
4) Haste2 - Axel 17.45% - Frog 20.45% - Kerrigan 10.55% - Samus 51.45% (+49.07)
4) StopPokingMe - Axel 18.03% - Frog 20.49% - Kerrigan 9.99% - Samus 51.49% (+49.07)
49 points meant a Top 5 appearance today. ps2 wins this one with his second TOp 5 in a row (20th all-time) barely edging raytan who grabs his 3rd Top 5 ever. The other three are used to being here as Heroix Viktor grabs his 23rd while Haste2 (30th) and StopPokingMe (28th) tie for 5th.
Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=match&match=3
Current Leaderboard:
1) KleenexTissue50 - 144.79
2) transience - 143.91
3) ps2rulezzz - 143.55
4) kaonashi1 - 143.38
5) AmazingKirby - 143.05
Kleenex and transience hold onto their small lead and spots 1 and 2 but they're the only ones who held! ps2 rides on his top prediction to take 3rd while kaonashi1 and AmazingKirby each climb 3 spots to take 4th and 5th
Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=total&match=3
Top Team Scores:
1) mvp's - 98.29 (ps2rulezzz: +49.44 / basmeyer42: +48.85)
2) Klonoa Alliance - 96.74 (raytan7585: +49.42 / amyvitality66: +47.32)
2) Drunkadelict Armadillos - 96.74 (Haste2: +49.07 / Dekar TKB: +47.67)
4) We Used To Be Good? - 96.57 (Kaxon: +48.39 / King Morgoth: +48.18)
5) Better Bettors - 96.43 (FastFalcon05: +47.82 / kaonashi1: +48.61)
SpC2k6 team champions easily grab the best pick yesterday over a point and a half in front of Klonoa Alliance and Drunkadelict Armadillos who tie for 2nd with their 2nd Top 5 each. Your favorite hosts and defending champions grab the 4th spots while Spread Betting hosts, past and present show their skill with the 5th prediction.
Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=teammatch&match=3
Team Leaderboard:
1) Team Battle with Gilgamesh < JENOVA (Janus5000 / KleenexTissue50) - 287.04
2) Team Better Bettors (FastFalcon05 / kaonashi1) - 284.17
3) Team Drunkadelict Armadillos (Haste2 / Dekar TKB) - 283.58
4) Team mvp's (ps2rulezzz / basmeyer42) - 282.91
5) Team The Amazing Question Marks (AmazingKirby / entropyx) - 282.53
Our favorite team with a lying name keeps first place and their 3 point lead as everyone moves below! The Better Bettors jump up 3 spots to 2nd, Team Drunkadelict Armadillos climb 6 to 3rd and Team mvp's try to steal the show by taking a whoopin 15 spots to 4th, all thanks to their Top 5 Team Pick. The Amazing Question Marks manage to barely hold onto the leaderboard in 5th, down 2 spots from yesterday.
Complete Team Standing:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=teamtotal&match=3
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Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: Ngamer64
| Posted: 9/5/2007 10:29:26 PM | Message Detail
-3 7) Predestined Divination 282.21 +95.74 -4.83 94.07 (3)
-7 8) We Used To Be Good? 281.85 +96.57 -5.19 93.95 (3
Nice try boys, but I'm afraid we're still a bit too much for you!
---
thengamer.com/xstats = lol x-stats
Still smarting from the beatdown Rufus applied in the Guru Contest!
-7 8) We Used To Be Good? 281.85 +96.57 -5.19 93.95 (3
Nice try boys, but I'm afraid we're still a bit too much for you!
---
thengamer.com/xstats = lol x-stats
Still smarting from the beatdown Rufus applied in the Guru Contest!
From: King Morgoth
| Posted: 9/5/2007 10:33:31 PM | Message Detail
^13 24) King Morgoth 141.35 +48.18 -3.44 47.12 (3)
^4 34) Ngamer64 140.68 +47.55 -4.11 46.89 (3)
To each his own! ;)
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Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
^4 34) Ngamer64 140.68 +47.55 -4.11 46.89 (3)
To each his own! ;)
---
Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: Kaxon
| Posted: 9/5/2007 10:55:03 PM | Message Detail
From: DSRage_Revived | Posted: 9/5/2007 6:19:17 PM | Message Detail | #221
Here is the trend of my(and war's) picks. Times are mountain (-7, I believe)
http://i36.photobucket.com/albums/e12/DSRage/pointa.jpg
starting to decline now....augh.
Awesome graph! It would be great to have something like that on our site... but that's far in the future, unless someone else wants to write it.
So that means someone with a better Samus > Axel > Frog > Sarah prediction than me will still score higher, even though I got the order right? Ugh....oh well....
I'm not sure if I see that as a problem. The point is to predict the percentage, not the winner, so it seems like someone who had Axel with 19, Frog with 18 should score better than someone who had Frog with 22, Axel with 15. Having a penalty does make things a little more exciting, it's true.
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Tia mi aven Moridin isainde vadin
Here is the trend of my(and war's) picks. Times are mountain (-7, I believe)
http://i36.photobucket.com/albums/e12/DSRage/pointa.jpg
starting to decline now....augh.
Awesome graph! It would be great to have something like that on our site... but that's far in the future, unless someone else wants to write it.
So that means someone with a better Samus > Axel > Frog > Sarah prediction than me will still score higher, even though I got the order right? Ugh....oh well....
I'm not sure if I see that as a problem. The point is to predict the percentage, not the winner, so it seems like someone who had Axel with 19, Frog with 18 should score better than someone who had Frog with 22, Axel with 15. Having a penalty does make things a little more exciting, it's true.
---
Tia mi aven Moridin isainde vadin
From: somdude04
| Posted: 9/5/2007 11:08:39 PM | Message Detail
I'm liking the way this match is shaping up with my predictions... Scorpion's just a tad high, but no worries.
GJ
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http://www.facebook.com/p/Grant_Johnson/9202808
GJ
---
http://www.facebook.com/p/Grant_Johnson/9202808
From: transience
| Posted: 9/5/2007 11:14:30 PM | Message Detail
yeah, you can wipe me off the leaderboard after this disaster.
---
"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
From: Haste_2
| Posted: 9/6/2007 12:04:35 AM | Message Detail
Gee, I was pretty off with Scorpion and Midna... but then again, most people were, I suppose.
The moment you've been waiting for... the 4-way poll calculator comparisons!
King Morgoth:
Samus - 45.75% on BL
Frog - 22.5%
Axel - 22.5%
Kerrigan - 14.25%
creativename:
Samus - 36%
Frog -24.25%
Axel - 24.25%
Kerrigan - 21%
Yeah, we can obviously see Morgoth's method is better here, as I was expecting. The formula will get destroyed whenever characters of significantly different strengths get blown out.
NewbHaste2's:
Samus - 43%
Frog - 22.75%
Axel - 22.75%
Kerrigan - 15.14%
It actually looks pretty good, unless you were expecting MP:C to do something massive.
As for Frog/Axel SFF... it looks like there wasn't much.
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
The moment you've been waiting for... the 4-way poll calculator comparisons!
King Morgoth:
Samus - 45.75% on BL
Frog - 22.5%
Axel - 22.5%
Kerrigan - 14.25%
creativename:
Samus - 36%
Frog -24.25%
Axel - 24.25%
Kerrigan - 21%
Yeah, we can obviously see Morgoth's method is better here, as I was expecting. The formula will get destroyed whenever characters of significantly different strengths get blown out.
NewbHaste2's:
Samus - 43%
Frog - 22.75%
Axel - 22.75%
Kerrigan - 15.14%
It actually looks pretty good, unless you were expecting MP:C to do something massive.
As for Frog/Axel SFF... it looks like there wasn't much.
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Xuxon
| Posted: 9/6/2007 12:15:23 AM | Message Detail
This time your method looks the best proportionally, just adjust all of them down some more.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
From: Camden
| Posted: 9/6/2007 12:15:43 AM | Message Detail
Ugh. I went from 9th to 28th and I'm going to plummet after today. And for some reason I have Kratos > Midna in my bracket...
---
Earthbound: It's like living inside your gym shoes.
Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
---
Earthbound: It's like living inside your gym shoes.
Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
From: DpObliVion
| Posted: 9/6/2007 8:21:44 AM | Message Detail
Okay, continuing from last night, help me figure this out....
If you're able to give bonus points to the top 5 finishers, why can't you take penalty points away for picking the wrong order?
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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket 12/12
If you're able to give bonus points to the top 5 finishers, why can't you take penalty points away for picking the wrong order?
---
Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket 12/12
From: meche313
| Posted: 9/6/2007 8:24:31 AM | Message Detail
Those points aren't added to your total, those are for other stats.
From: DpObliVion
| Posted: 9/6/2007 8:25:12 AM | Message Detail
Okay.
This is my first time in the Oracle, so I don't really know how the stats work.
---
Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket 12/12
This is my first time in the Oracle, so I don't really know how the stats work.
---
Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket 12/12
From: King Morgoth
| Posted: 9/6/2007 9:12:34 AM | Message Detail
I thought I had something good going here but I lost another whole point since I last checked this before going to sleep.
Seriously, Agent 47? Interesting result anyway...
Yeah, we can obviously see Morgoth's method is better here, as I was expecting. The formula will get destroyed whenever characters of significantly different strengths get blown out.
NewbHaste2's:
Samus - 43%
Frog - 22.75%
Axel - 22.75%
Kerrigan - 15.14%
It actually looks pretty good, unless you were expecting MP:C to do something massive.
As for Frog/Axel SFF... it looks like there wasn't much.
As I said, I usually like your numbers better than mine Haste but they're not relying on anything other than say common sense and instinct. I'd love to figure out a way to justify the thinking though!
And I'm not exactly surprised that mine are holding better in non-SFF matches, I already knew that my technique was going to be heavily affected by SFF (unlike creative's which in its construction implies some sort of "inherent SFF" by "reserving" sections of voters for the strongest character(s) if I could say that). It's always nice to see those comparaisons every day though!
Okay, continuing from last night, help me figure this out....
If you're able to give bonus points to the top 5 finishers, why can't you take penalty points away for picking the wrong order?
This is my first time in the Oracle, so I don't really know how the stats work.
You can ask anything and we'll do our best to answer as soon as possible. Bonus points are fossils of the early Oracle era (we're talking SC2k3 here) where solar thought it was a good idea to give bonus points to the Top 5 each day. By the end of the contest (or was the first week ever done?) it was generally agreed that it basically more or less rewarded luck which wasn't what was wanted. He kept them there, giving out a side "including Bonus points" rankings every few days. I've always kept them there as a tradition but never really bothered to add rankings including them since there didn't seem to be any demand for that...
As far as taking penalty points away, it's much (much much much) easier to just display bonus points if(rank<6) than ordering the result, then the predictions and writing situations for if(Char1 = CHar2){}elseif(Char 2 = Char 3){}elseif(Char 1 = Char 2 = Char 3){}elseif{}....
The change by itself would be possible but it would be awfully complicated to code and it would potentially slow down the loading times beyond reasonable measures on the more complicated pages...
---
Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
Seriously, Agent 47? Interesting result anyway...
Yeah, we can obviously see Morgoth's method is better here, as I was expecting. The formula will get destroyed whenever characters of significantly different strengths get blown out.
NewbHaste2's:
Samus - 43%
Frog - 22.75%
Axel - 22.75%
Kerrigan - 15.14%
It actually looks pretty good, unless you were expecting MP:C to do something massive.
As for Frog/Axel SFF... it looks like there wasn't much.
As I said, I usually like your numbers better than mine Haste but they're not relying on anything other than say common sense and instinct. I'd love to figure out a way to justify the thinking though!
And I'm not exactly surprised that mine are holding better in non-SFF matches, I already knew that my technique was going to be heavily affected by SFF (unlike creative's which in its construction implies some sort of "inherent SFF" by "reserving" sections of voters for the strongest character(s) if I could say that). It's always nice to see those comparaisons every day though!
Okay, continuing from last night, help me figure this out....
If you're able to give bonus points to the top 5 finishers, why can't you take penalty points away for picking the wrong order?
This is my first time in the Oracle, so I don't really know how the stats work.
You can ask anything and we'll do our best to answer as soon as possible. Bonus points are fossils of the early Oracle era (we're talking SC2k3 here) where solar thought it was a good idea to give bonus points to the Top 5 each day. By the end of the contest (or was the first week ever done?) it was generally agreed that it basically more or less rewarded luck which wasn't what was wanted. He kept them there, giving out a side "including Bonus points" rankings every few days. I've always kept them there as a tradition but never really bothered to add rankings including them since there didn't seem to be any demand for that...
As far as taking penalty points away, it's much (much much much) easier to just display bonus points if(rank<6) than ordering the result, then the predictions and writing situations for if(Char1 = CHar2){}elseif(Char 2 = Char 3){}elseif(Char 1 = Char 2 = Char 3){}elseif{}....
The change by itself would be possible but it would be awfully complicated to code and it would potentially slow down the loading times beyond reasonable measures on the more complicated pages...
---
Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: DaruniaTheGoron
| Posted: 9/6/2007 11:01:53 AM | Message Detail
Is there a way to see your Oracle picks? The other topic was purged.
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SC2k7: 12/12, tied for 1st
Today's Pick: Scorpion > Midna
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SC2k7: 12/12, tied for 1st
Today's Pick: Scorpion > Midna
From: Xcarvengerx
| Posted: 9/6/2007 11:10:16 AM | Message Detail
Is there a way to see your Oracle picks? The other topic was purged?
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/index.php?file=predictions
---
Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/index.php?file=predictions
---
Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
From: DSRage_Revived
| Posted: 9/6/2007 11:29:02 AM | Message Detail
http://i36.photobucket.com/albums/e12/DSRage/ScorpMid.jpg
Scorpion/Midna trend graph. This doesn't look good :(
-ЧRÀG£-
---
Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
Sig it and it will happen.
Scorpion/Midna trend graph. This doesn't look good :(
-ЧRÀG£-
---
Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
Sig it and it will happen.
From: BBallman7
| Posted: 9/6/2007 3:08:56 PM | Message Detail
does anyone have the original picks archived by any chance? I was just wondering if the pick on the site for me today is a mistake or if I was just on drugs lol. Because all of my matches add up exactly to 100 and today it adds up to 135.11% with Midna having a really high %, when I could have sworn I typed out 35 or something close to it. Probably a mistake on my part, but I'm just curious.
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If we're not supposed to eat animals, then why are they made out of meat?
Board 8's Head of Covert Operations
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If we're not supposed to eat animals, then why are they made out of meat?
Board 8's Head of Covert Operations
From: DpObliVion
| Posted: 9/6/2007 4:16:52 PM | Message Detail
Hm, okay. Thanks for the answer.
Would it be possible to make rankings including such penalties just for fun after the contest is over?
---
Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket 16/16
Would it be possible to make rankings including such penalties just for fun after the contest is over?
---
Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket 16/16