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SC2k5 - Oracle Challenge - Round 1 - 20XX Division
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/5/2005 9:48:01 AM | Message Detail
Welcome to the Oracle Challenge, the contest that tests your prediction abilities down to the hundredth of a percent!

The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Summer Contest you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of the vote they will receive. New participants are still being accepted until at least the end of round 3 (please indicate that you are new and make a minimum of three picks).

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. Your predictions must be in one of these formats:

Link with 85%
Link 55.13%
Link over CATS with 67.55%
Link - 77.5%

See the next post for notes on entering predictions.

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most points at the end of the final match. For each match you can earn anywhere between 0 and 50 points. This depends on whether you correctly picked the winner and how close your guess was to the actual percentage. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-2x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the character's actual percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: Link with 65%
My guess: CATS with 55%
Actual result: Link 60%, CATS 40%
Your points: 50 - (65-60) = 45 points
My points: 45 - 2*(55-40) = 15 points

Bonus points are awarded for the closest five guesses each match but do not factor into the overall scoring. They are used only as a side ranking. Participants will also be ranked by average score from time to time.

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. They are:

1) A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. Link with 85.03%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%. No alts, please. All predictions should be made with your main account to make things easier on me. If you need to change accounts please let me know.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else’s guess. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will not be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made one full hour before the usual start time of that match’s poll (approx. 2:00am EST, 1:00am CST, 11:00pm PST). Predictions submitted after this time will not be counted or may be subject to penalty. No predictions will be accepted after a poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the rules above. Please indicate clearly that this is a change to a previous entry.
5) You may not delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rule (and to reduce confusion).
6) You may predict matches in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand so we can arrange this.
7) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 16/17 | Today: Donkey Kong over Sam Fisher
From: Kaxon | Posted: 8/5/2005 9:48:56 AM | Message Detail
Predictions (NEW)

In the past we were more flexible about prediction formatting, because predictions were painstakingly recorded by hand. This season, in order to make running the contest more managable, predictions are going to be recorded with a script. If you follow these rules you shouldn't have to worry about your predictions being entered incorrectly:

1. Always include the % sign at the end of your predictions.
2. Spell the character's name right. Short names are fine as long as they are part of the name that appears in the bracket. For example, "Carl" is fine, but unfortunately "CJ" is not.
3. Make sure you post predictions for the correct round in each topic. Each round will have a separate topic. If you need to make predictions for a future round ahead of time, tell me and we'll work something out.
4. Remember that anything that looks like a prediction may be entered as one. If you're discussing the match or quoting someone else, leaving out the % sign will ensure you don't say something that's counted as a prediction.

Don't worry too much, if the script makes an obvious mistake I will correct it.

ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

I am now accepting predictions for the remaining Round 1 matches:

Flood Division
Kefka vs Tommy Vercetti
Crono vs Zidane

Devil Division
Dante vs Terra
Sarah Kerrigan vs Vincent Valentine
Magus vs Knuckles
Squall Leonhart vs Geno

Chaos Division
Sonic vs Jin Kazama
Kratos Aurion vs Diablo
Tifa Lockheart vs Vyse
Luigi vs KOS-MOS

20XX Division
Mega Man vs Conker
Gordon Freeman vs Leon Kennedy
Yoshi vs Laharl
Revolver Ocelot vs Pac-Man
---
SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Current Score: 16/17 | Today: Donkey Kong over Sam Fisher
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 8/5/2005 9:52:41 AM | Message Detail
*tag*

Leave for the Carribean in 24 hours... so I will at least get to see the first half of Vercetti/Kefka.

---
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 18/18 (empty slots in brackets suck)
From: Starion | Posted: 8/5/2005 9:53:30 AM | Message Detail
tag for easy reference
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:02:54 AM | Message Detail
20XX DIVISION
Mega Man over Conker with 83.26%
Leon Kennedy over Gordon Freeman with 71.38%
Yoshi over Laharl with 73.12%
Revolver Ocelot over Pac-Man with 56.55%
---
Summer 2005 Contest - 15/17 points
Current Match Prediction: Donkey Kong vs. Sam Fisher
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:05:50 AM | Message Detail
TSOP-ER

Flood Division
Kefka with 50.01%
Cronowith 77.32%

Devil Division
Dante with 59.22%
Vincent Valentine with 57.52%
Magus with 57.11%
Squall Leonhart with 76.33%

Chaos Division
Sonic with 81.46%
Diablo with 60.57%
Tifa Lockheart with 70.24%
Luigi with 54.98%

SCKIP WEN

Mega Man with 80.43%
Leon Kennedy with 64.32%
Yoshi with 70.13%
Revolver Ocelot with 68.94%
---
Moltar's Comics - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Donkey Kong vs. Sam Fisher - Bracket: DK - Vote: DK (16/17)
From: Sephirot1 Returns | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:10:51 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man with 89.75%
Leon Kennedy with 62.17%
Yoshi with 69.69%
Revolver Ocelot with 70.54%

---
Proud supporter of Samus and Megaman in the S2K5C!
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:12:42 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man with 77.63%
Leon Kennedy with 67.65%
Yoshi with 74.76%
Revolver Ocelot with 57.23%
---
Summer Contest 2005: 16/17
Today: Donkey Kong, Tomorrow: Kefka
From: Alanna82 | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:15:43 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man with 77.77%
Leon Kennedy with 55.55%
Yoshi with 75.00%
Revolver Ocelot with 66.66%

sadly Laharl is so weak. ;_;


---
Happiliy married to Wiggumfan267 on Valentines day, 2005. "My Father? You mean my Dad?" Fei Fong Wong
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:16:33 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man with 77.65%
Leon Kennedy with 56.00%
Yoshi with 71.50%
Revolver Ocelot with 64.00%
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: Rufus Shinra 18 | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:17:28 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man with 71 %
Leon Kennedy with 68 %
Yoshi with 72.50 %
Revolver Ocelot with 60 %
---
Proud supporter of SOLID SNAKE for the SC2K5
From: Haste2 | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:24:23 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man - 76%
Leon Kennedy - 65%
Yoshi - 73%
Revolver Ocelot - 58%

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: meche313 | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:27:58 AM | Message Detail
Devil Division
Dante with 63%
Vincent with 58.49%
Magus with 57.30%
Squall Leonhart with 76.88%

Chaos Division
Sonic with 82.99%
Diablo with 56.80%
Tifa Lockheart with 67.60%
Luigi with 54.21%

---
That's right. Cloud N. Candy would get a NEGATIVE percentage, and RPGuy's extrapolated calculator would crash. - therealmnm
From: Garsha | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:29:01 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man with 76.76%
Leon Kennedy with 57.84%
Yoshi with 70.03%
Revolver Ocelot with 55%
---
Look at my Winter Contest 2K4/2K5 Analysis Fanfic: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579546
End of message. ~ Garsha
From: Lagoona | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:34:31 AM | Message Detail
.Tag and change:

Yoshi with 64.67%
---
SC2k5 Prediction Percentage Challenge:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=21997510
From: Camden | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:38:33 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man with 81.26%
Leon with 54.99%
Yoshi with 69.78%
Revolver Ocelot with 58.12%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 16/17 - Current:Donkey Kong over Sam Fisher
From: spawnofdarkness9 | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:42:26 AM | Message Detail
20XX Division
Mega Man with 80.12%
Leon Kennedy with 57.34%
Yoshi with 65.53%
Revolver Ocelot with 63.54%
---
http://www.fanfiction.net/s/2489122/1/
- Daredevil's 2005 Fanfiction Project: Grand Dream
From: Salient | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:46:46 AM | Message Detail
Sonic - 77.50%
Diablo - 67.00%
Tifa - 73.00%
Luigi - 52.50%

Mega Man - 78.00%
Leon Kennedy - 58.50%
Yoshi - 72.50%
Revolver Ocelot - 65.00%

Change:

Tommy - 51.00%
---
~~Teh Frue Blob of Pwnage~~
http://www.geocities.com/bernardalgain/Lufia2/Lufia2_Wacky/Salient.png
From: dethwing | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:48:04 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man 85.56%
Leon Kennedy 57.65%
Yoshi 67.54%
Revolver Ocelot 52.35%
---
"Kefka and pictures go together like gordon freeman and winning."
From: mr_BRIAN | Posted: 8/5/2005 10:49:24 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man with 77.36%
Leon Kennedy with 57.21%
Yoshi with 71.17%
Revolver Ocelot with 65.31%
---
The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: Yesmar | Posted: 8/5/2005 12:49:38 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Vercetti with 53.36%
---
http://www.cbs.com/primetime/bigbrother6/_polls/amc_poll.shtml
VOTE FOR KAYSAR!
From: jonthomson | Posted: 8/5/2005 1:01:31 PM | Message Detail
Sonic with 81.38%
Diablo with 62.47%
Tifa Lockheart with 65.38%
Luigi with 58.27%

Mega Man with 80.03%
Leon Kennedy with 53.57%
Yoshi with 69.92%
Revolver Ocelot with 53.85%


---
Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: daniel2424 | Posted: 8/5/2005 1:05:18 PM | Message Detail
Chaos Division
Sonic 79.24%
Diablo 58.24%
Tifa Lockheart 77.24%
Luigi 61.24%
20XX Division
Mega Man 93.24%
Leon Kennedy 55.24%
Yoshi 69.24%
Revolver Ocelot 71.24%
---
If you think the fastest way to a man's heart is through his stomach, you're aiming about 8 inches too high.
From: LuniNutz99 | Posted: 8/5/2005 1:50:45 PM | Message Detail
Tag

Will post my predictions later

---
Lunatic Under Narcotic Influence
Score:15/16 Next Match: M Chief
From: LuniNutz99 | Posted: 8/5/2005 1:59:05 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Crono with 74.91%

---
Lunatic Under Narcotic Influence
Score:15/16 Next Match: M Chief
From: LuniNutz99 | Posted: 8/5/2005 2:06:16 PM | Message Detail
Sonic the Hedgehog with 84.21%
Diablo with 60.41%
Tifa Lockheart with 63.47%
Luigi with 55.97%

---
Lunatic Under Narcotic Influence
Score:15/16 Next Match: M Chief
From: LuniNutz99 | Posted: 8/5/2005 2:09:32 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man with 82.78%
Leon Kennedy with 56.28%
Yoshi with 66.20%
Revolver Ocelot with 54.71%

---
Lunatic Under Narcotic Influence
Score:15/16 Next Match: M Chief
From: BigtoeOfJebus | Posted: 8/5/2005 2:09:45 PM | Message Detail
Chaos Division
Sonic with 85%
Diablo with 66.66%
Tifa Lockheart with 65%
Luigi with 54%

20XX Division
Mega Man with 85%
Leon Kennedy with 65%
Yoshi with 66.66%
Revolver Ocelot with 57%
---
*Commits Harakiri*
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 8/5/2005 2:10:51 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man with 81%
Leon Kennedy WITH 58.5%
Yoshi with 77%
Revolver Ocelot with 69%

---
"It takes but a man to gaze into his own twilight and approach it with fear. It takes but a legend to approach it with open arms." - The Unheard Z
From: Garsha | Posted: 8/5/2005 2:28:11 PM | Message Detail
Change: Tommy Vercetti with 50.00%
---
Look at my Winter Contest 2K4/2K5 Analysis Fanfic: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579546
End of message. ~ Garsha
From: Darkash | Posted: 8/5/2005 2:55:23 PM | Message Detail
Tag
---
1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4!
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 8/5/2005 2:59:32 PM | Message Detail
ok here goes, not feelin too good about tomorrow tho...

Tommy Vercetti with 54.32%
Crono with 73.76

Dante with 69.65%
Kerrigan with 52.65%
Magus with 68.43%
Squall with 76.54%

Sonic with 78.65%
Diablo with 58.87%
Tifa with 68.43%
Luigi wtih 64.32%

Mega Man with 81.43%
Leon Kennedy with 62.43%
Yoshi with 64.32%
Revolver Ocelot with 65.55%

---
"If it bleeds we can kill it" - My governer, Arnold S.
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 8/5/2005 4:20:02 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man with 82.34%
Leon Kennedy with 69.88%
Yoshi with 78.21%
Revolver Ocelot with 61.23%
---
Summer Contest 2005 --- Score: 16/17 --- Rank: T-981
From: GrapefruitKing | Posted: 8/5/2005 4:23:34 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man with 73.98%
Leon Kennedy with 52.66%
Yoshi with 72.96%
Revolver Ocelot with 59.16%

---
I expect Lloyd vs. Zero to be close, but Lloyd's gonna win. -MoogleKupo141
LOL -Me
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/5/2005 4:30:56 PM | Message Detail
Tommy Vercetti with 54%
---
Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Menji76 | Posted: 8/5/2005 5:30:07 PM | Message Detail
Mega Man 86.56%
Leon Kennedy 68.43%
Yoshi 75.54%
Revolver Ocelot 68.54%


---
SC2K5; T-2nd: Current Points: 16; Correct Picks 16/17; Today's Pick: Donkey Kong Tommorow's pick: Tommy Vercetti #1 Gamefaqs Duke fan
From: Ed_Bellis | Posted: 8/5/2005 6:14:23 PM | Message Detail
Let's go for some actual decent picks this time.

The following are CHANGES:
Vercetti over Kefka with 55.34%
Crono over Zidane with 65.04%
Dante over Terra with 60.08%
Vincent over Kerrigan with 75.34%
Magus over Knuckles with 61.25%
Squall over Geno with 68.35%

The following are NEW PICKS:
Sonic over Jin with 85.85%
Diablo over Kratos with 52.37%
Tifa over Vyse with 72.35%
Luigi over KOS-MOS with 55.24%

Mega Man over Conker with 76.84%
Leon over Gordon with 55.68%
Yoshi over Laharl with 67.68%
Ocelot over Pac Man with 54.30%
---
Huh-CHA!
From: alpha door | Posted: 8/5/2005 6:17:53 PM | Message Detail
Repostings and new predictions:

Tommy Vercetti with 55.54%
Crono with 73.64%

Devil Division
Dante with 73.47%
Vincent Valentine with 55.73%
Magus with 64.83%
Squall Leonhart with 76.24%

Chaos Division
Sonic with 82.57%
Diablo with 63.12%
Tifa Lockheart with 70.74%
Luigi with 52.11%

20XX Division
Mega Man with 80.62%
Leon Kennedy with 59.63%
Yoshi with 73.15%
Revolver Ocelot with 65.53%

---
Official Chrono Trigger Fan
This line is filler.
From: lol_internet | Posted: 8/5/2005 6:19:39 PM | Message Detail
Just quickly I'll say

Tommy Vecetti with 50.05%
Crono with 69.85%
---
get set to have a blast
From: SuperSmash Master | Posted: 8/5/2005 6:20:53 PM | Message Detail
20XX Division
Mega Man with 74.93%
Leon Kennedy with 56.71%
Yoshi with 68.14%
Revolver Ocelot with 68.16%
---
"This Pina Colada in REALLY GOOD!" - Decline of Video Gaming 3
From: Do not even ask | Posted: 8/5/2005 6:25:19 PM | Message Detail
20XX Division
Mega Man with 74.73%
Leon Kennedy with 56.22%
Yoshi with 68.58%
Pac-Man with 50.72 (Bias)
---
No, DNEA! You must not give up so quickly! Think about your love! Your hopes! Your dreams!
Think about the possible three-way man sex orgy, dammit! - Seijun
From: Darkash | Posted: 8/5/2005 6:27:14 PM | Message Detail
I'm going to regret this. I know I am going to regret this. This is going against both my bracket and my gut, but...

CHANGE:

Tommy w/ 51.48%

Well, it's official, I just gave Kefka the win.
---
1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4!
From: Rodri316 | Posted: 8/5/2005 6:29:47 PM | Message Detail
Tommy Vercetti - 50.91%
---
Summer 2005 Contest -- Current Score: 16/17
Today's Prediction -- Donkey Kong vs. Sam Fisher
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/5/2005 6:34:02 PM | Message Detail
I'm kinda out of this contest I think... but never give up!

Mega Man - 80.07%
Leon Kennedy - 60.99%
Yoshi - 73.12%
Revolver Ocelot - 54.67%
---
Raiden fact of the contest: Alucard is a plagiarist, this year Raiden will prove it!
From: BigtoeOfJebus | Posted: 8/5/2005 6:41:45 PM | Message Detail
CHANGE:

Tommy Vercetti with 50.01%
---
*Commits Harakiri*
From: Camden | Posted: 8/5/2005 7:13:09 PM | Message Detail
Tommy Vercetti with 51%
^^^^
http://users.ign.com/collection/Black_Rabite (718)
SC2K5 - 17/18 - Current:Vercetti over Kefka
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 8/5/2005 7:28:47 PM | Message Detail
Vercetti with 55.00%
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 8/5/2005 7:38:33 PM | Message Detail
Ehh... I'll go ahead and change it again. :/

Tommy Vercetti with 53.00%
---
Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 8/5/2005 7:41:31 PM | Message Detail
Vercetti with 53.22%
---
Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~Old Klingon Proverb
From: KingBartz | Posted: 8/5/2005 8:08:54 PM | Message Detail
NEW:

Dante - 61.06%
Vincent Valentine - 59.45%
Magus - 55.97%
Squall Leonhart - 76.12%


oh and I'm prolly gonna drop to 80th after today. I don't think I'll see the top 10 again this year.

---
My Summer Contest Score: 16/17 - Todays Upset: Sam Fisher
KingBartz: Been a full Virgin since '87
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