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SC2k7 Oracle Challenge Discussion Topic 2
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/21/2007 12:13:11 AM | Message Detail
4) Boondock Saints - 96.07 (yoshifan823: +49.33 / MaxedOutRyu: +0.00)

This is ridiculous... yoshifan is a freaking master of the solo team top 5. Seven times last contest and now this...
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R.I.P. Robert Jordan, 1948-2007
From: Haste_2 | Posted: 9/21/2007 12:39:41 AM | Message Detail
Alright, I give up now. Vercetti = DK = MC one on one, and MC is tripling the guy now. Seriously, WTF!

Hm, if this took place in 2K3 we'd probably see something like... MC = 35%; Yuna = 25%; Vercetti = 30%; Parappa = 10%. What's weird to me is that I expected to MC to get like 46% on Yuna if it was one-on-one, but he could possibly hit that mark against two other guys on top of that. I guess Yuna wasn't at that 30% on BL mark as I thought, or she's just garbage in this format. Of course, Yuna IS doubling Vercetti, so it isn't that bad... on the other hand, Vercetti is kinda struggling with PaRappa.

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Xuxon | Posted: 9/21/2007 1:03:10 AM | Message Detail
30% BL is kind of laughable for Yuna at this point. She's probably around her 2005 value (perhaps slightly stronger), and lol female bracket. I still think she would have beat MC heads up last year, but it'd be really hard to argue that she would now.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 9/21/2007 4:45:30 PM | Message Detail
Tomorrow's match looks to be up in the air to the point where a small factor could swing it, so to clear my head before making my pick here's some pic analysis!

Alucard gets that cruddy shield pic I've never been too fond of, and the voters seem to agree with me. He used the same thing in his match against Auron last year, except there is was larger and less blurry, and got smoked to the tune of 64%, resulting in a pretty poor value of under 25 for the season. To be fair, he didn't completely collapse with this same picture back in 2004, when he held Ganon to only 57%, but with Link taking Ganon apart in the following match who knows what that result was really worth.

It's clear that Alucard performs his best with his closeup face profile, the one he used to score 61% on Duke, beat Kirby with 52%, and take care of Kratos with well over 55%. Give him that and I might agree with the consensus who are calling him the favorite tomorrow, but with this shield picture instead... I just don't see it.

Liquid Snake, ugh. For a guy with a reputation for being cool, Lake's had a truly awful match pic history. His only worthwhile result came when he was probably MOST out-pic'd, back in 2004 when he was just a random blob in a trench coat squaring off against an awesome, sword-wielding Frog sprite. So even with as bad as I think tomorrow's picture is, and even though his Twin Snakes look has got to be his least recognizable, I'd got to give him a pic advantage over every other time we've seen him. He could very well perform over the 21 he earned in 2005 - good for him!

Zidane had it rough using this same pic back in 2005 - not only dealing with Square PSX RPG SFF, but having to face off against full-on DBZ Crono on top of it. Given all that his value of just under 19 isn't bad at all. This pic should serve him well enough; certainly think a second place finish is still a real possibility.

Ness is in classic form. Not only does he stand out from the pack, but he gets that SSB-era look that everyone loved him for. Well, maybe not the look, but they certainly loved playing as him. This is a closeup of the same picture Ness used to pull his first surprising upset, that 55% no-doubter against Jak. Finally we'll get a chance to judge Ness off something other than a Nintendo SFF beatdown, and with the best picture of the bunch (not that it's great; the competition is just that much worse), I expect big things from the Boy Wonder.

Goooo Ness!

---
The 2007 Guru Rankings! thengamer.com/guru
thengamer.com/xstats = lol x-stats
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/21/2007 10:06:35 PM | Message Detail
Match # 19 Results
Master Chief 45.69%
Yuna 30.18%
Tommy Vercetti 14.69%
PaRappa The Rapper 9.44%

Looks like the hardcore Master Chief fans theory was confirmed today - MC destroyed his competition. Vercetti came out looking like a chump, while Yuna and Parappa were both a little below expectations. The consensus was Master Chief - 35.22%; PaRappa The Rapper - 10.23%; Tommy Vercetti - 21.04%; Yuna - 33.44%.

Best Five Picks:
1) BlAcK TuRtLe - Master Chief 40.00% - PaRappa The Rapper 10.00% - Vercetti 15.00% - Yuna 35.00% (+47.15)
2) AlecTrevelyan006 - Master Chief 40.00% - PaRappa The Rapper 10.00% - Vercetti 20.00% - Yuna 30.00% (+47.06)
3) Yonex - Master Chief 45.78% - PaRappa The Rapper 11.45% - Vercetti 19.22% - Yuna 23.55% (+46.68)
4) KingBartz - Master Chief 39.00% - PaRappa The Rapper 13.00% - Vercetti 18.00% - Yuna 30.00% (+46.56)
5) ActJef1077 - Master Chief 40.00% - PaRappa The Rapper 8.00% - Vercetti 17.00% - Yuna 35.00% (+46.43)

Today's best pick goes to Black Turtle, his first of the contest. Second place was AlecTrevelyan - he and Turtle both used multiples of 5 for their predictions, but Alec gave 5% more to Vercetti and 5% less to Yuna, which caused him to score .09 fewer points total. Yonex had the third place prediction, his first top 5 ever. KingBartz managed a 4th place pick in absentia while ActJef got the fifth place pick.

Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=match&match=19

Current Leaderboard:
1) The n00b Avenger - 886.54
2) supdawg - 885.35
3) creativename - 882.19
4) Master Moltar - 881.77
5) Ngamer64 - 880.65

The n00b Avenger reclaims his lead after just a single day in second... it looks like he's working on one of the more impressive contest runs right now, but we'll have to see where he ends up. Supdawg is back in second after a day in first, but he still enjoys a comfortable three point lead over third. Creativename climbs into third - before yesterday, he was last seen on the overall leaderboard on the final day of SC2k5. Master Moltar returns to the leaderboard he left four days ago, while Ngamer hangs on to fifth today.

The names on the leaderboard have rotated this contest, but by any measure they've been filled by some of the best Oracle competitors ever. The current top 10 contains two former champions (Haste2 and King Morgoth) and 4 other people with multiple top 10 finishes (n00b Avenger, creativename, Ngamer, and Moltar).

Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=total&match=19
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R.I.P. Robert Jordan, 1948-2007
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/21/2007 10:06:50 PM | Message Detail
Top Team Scores:
1) The Shy Teds - 92.09 (Ayvuir: +45.41 / Yonex: +46.68)
2) OH IT'S NESS - 91.57 (Ness26: +46.02 / TheKnightOfNee: +45.55)
3) lol xstats - 91.33 (BlAcK TuRtLe: +47.15 / XxSoulxX: +0.00)
4) Ice Cream - 91.13 (BZer0: +45.93 / ShatteredElysium: +45.20)
5) Big Black Wangs - 91.11 (Master Moltar: +45.68 / Explicit Content: +45.43)

The Shy Teds get their second top score of the contest so far, thanks to Yonex's top 5 and a solid prediction from Ayvuir. Team OH IT'S NESS gets second, their fourth top 5 of the contest. Turtle's top pick puts Team lol xstats in the team top 5 despite no prediction from Soul. Team Ice Cream (BZer0 and ShatterdElysium get fourth, while Team Big Black Wangs gets fifth for their 6th team top 5 of the contest.

Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=teammatch&match=19

Team Leaderboard:
1) Team Predestined Divination (creativename / Ngamer64) - 1762.84
2) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 1756.31
3) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 1751.36
4) Team Big Black Wangs (Master Moltar / Explicit Content) - 1750.32
5) Team Happy Happyists (Camden / meche313) - 1747.43

No change in the team top 5, or even the top 9. Team Predestined Divination is still sitting pretty in first place, now that both members of the team are in the individual top 5.

Complete Team Standing:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=teamtotal&match=19
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R.I.P. Robert Jordan, 1948-2007
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 9/21/2007 10:09:02 PM | Message Detail
10 bucks says I'm completely off the leaderboard by the time round 2 starts
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
From: octoinky | Posted: 9/21/2007 10:42:35 PM | Message Detail
its amazing to hold such a lead, considering the unpredictability (IMO) of this contest, as well as how close everything is.
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Zero > HK-47, Luigi > Tingle, Ganondorf > Vergil
Upcoming Votes: Lloyd, Luigi, Ganondorf, Yuna
From: TheKnightOfNee | Posted: 9/21/2007 10:43:50 PM | Message Detail
aww yeah OH IT'S NESS
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Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
"i love you and aiya" - An IM from Richie259. Awww.
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/22/2007 12:03:03 AM | Message Detail
10 bucks says I'm completely off the leaderboard by the time round 2 starts

Eh, maybe... I'm familiar with painful collapses myself, but you do have a pretty good record.
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R.I.P. Robert Jordan, 1948-2007
From: Sack of Balls | Posted: 9/22/2007 12:10:51 AM | Message Detail
I think Alucard is actually getting SFFed a bit here. It's not a lot, but I feel like the presence of two prime PSX era characters is slowing him down. If it remains this close between he, Liquid and Ness, I would not be surprised if Ness is in the lead come this afternoon, though I'm not sure he'd hold it through until midnight.
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Cokes
Team C.R.E.A.M.
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 9/22/2007 12:52:04 PM | Message Detail
Whew, I was THIS close to continuing my argument with a vicious defense of Ness last night. Glad I held out!

Also glad I held off on confirming a Day Vote comeback victory for him, which I'd certainly have done late last night.

...no idea how I keep doing so well with the Oracle, really.

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The 2007 Guru Rankings! thengamer.com/guru
thengamer.com/xstats = lol x-stats
From: SF_Clowns | Posted: 9/22/2007 7:34:52 PM | Message Detail
Wow, I may actually have a chance at a good score for this match. I'm diggin' that.
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Biggest Phil Hartman Fan...R.I.P
Biggest Newsradio Fan...R.I.P.
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/22/2007 9:31:14 PM | Message Detail
Match # 20 Results
Alucard 27.79%
Liquid Snake 27.79%
Ness 25.42%
Zidane Tribal 19.01%

Epic Match! The match started out as a three-way brawl between Alucard, Liquid Snake, and Ness, and ended up with an Alucard comeback and Liquid Snake retaking the lead by 3 votes on the last update to win. The consensus predictions were Alucard - 29.00%; Liquid Snake - 26.32%; Ness - 24.72%; Zidane - 20.09%, and the average score was 47.17.

Best Five Picks:
1) Haste2 - Alucard 28.00% - Liquid Snake 28.00% - Ness 26.00% - Zidane 18.00% (+49.49)
2) Eggplant Lord - Alucard 28.00% - Liquid Snake 28.00% - Ness 24.00% - Zidane 20.00% (+49.29)
3) Starion - Alucard 28.77% - Liquid Snake 26.27% - Ness 25.99% - Zidane 18.97% (+49.22)
4) somdude04 - Alucard 27.00% - Liquid Snake 27.00% - Ness 27.00% - Zidane 19.00% (+49.20)
5) ps2rulezzz - Alucard 28.40% - Liquid Snake 27.20% - Ness 24.40% - Zidane 20.00% (+49.19)

Today's top 5 have a whopping 102 lifetime top 5 predictions between them. Haste2 had the top pick with a 49.49, the second best score of the contest. This is his 31st lifetime top 5. Eggplant Lord got second for his 10th top 5, followed by Starion with his 20th. Somdude finished in 4th, his 19th time in the top 5, and ps2rulezzz got his 22th in fifth place. All five predictions were 49.19 or higher, which is extremely high for this contest.

Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=match&match=20

Current Leaderboard:
1) The n00b Avenger - 935.45
2) supdawg - 933.75
3) creativename - 930.58
4) Master Moltar - 930.32
5) Haste2 - 930.07

The top 4 remain unchanged - all of them scored extremely close together, between 48.39 and 48.91. Haste2 moved up to fifth, passing Ngamer with his awesome prediction.

Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=total&match=20

Top Team Scores:
1) Drunkadelict Armadillos - 98.59 (Haste2: +49.49 / Dekar TKB: +49.10)
2) Better Bettors - 97.59 (FastFalcon05: +48.87 / kaonashi1: +48.72)
3) mvp's - 97.58 (ps2rulezzz: +49.19 / basmeyer42: +48.39)
4) Klonoa Alliance - 97.20 (raytan7585: +48.60 / amyvitality66: +48.60)
5) One-Two Punch - 96.77 (th3l3fty: +48.11 / yazzy14: +48.66)

The daily team top 5 seems to have some real regulars this season, and three of them finished up there today. Haste2 and Dekar's Drunkadelict Armadillos had the top score, their 5th time landing here. Team Better Bettors (FastFalcon and kaonashi1) was second, also their fifth time in the top 5 this contest, while Team mvp's was third for their 6th top 5 of the contest. Team Klonoa Alliance was fourth - no one gained ground in the sibling rivalry though, since ray and amy both had exactly the same score despite completely different predictions. Team One-Two Punch (th3l3fty and yazzy) was fifth.

Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=teammatch&match=20

Team Leaderboard:
1) Team Predestined Divination (creativename / Ngamer64) - 1859.50
2) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 1851.14
3) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 1847.11
4) Team Big Black Wangs (Master Moltar / Explicit Content) - 1846.97
5) Team Drunkadelict Armadillos (Haste2 / Dekar TKB) - 1843.34

Once again, the top of the team leaderboard has no action - the only change today is in 5th place, where Team Drunkadelict Armadillos displaces the Happy Happyists. They've been playing musical chairs for a while now, so I wouldn't be surprised to see Team Happy Happyists back up there again soon.

Complete Team Standing:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=teamtotal&match=20
---
R.I.P. Robert Jordan, 1948-2007
From: somdude04 | Posted: 9/23/2007 8:26:12 AM | Message Detail
I think I might be hitting back to back top 5's today :)

GJ
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http://www.facebook.com/p/Grant_Johnson/9202808
From: th3l3fty | Posted: 9/23/2007 10:30:42 AM | Message Detail
yay 5th place
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Knight of the Cross of Sir Chris' Court
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
From: Darkash | Posted: 9/23/2007 12:01:08 PM | Message Detail
Balthier Bunansa - 34.82%
Ada Wong - 28.73%
Frank West - 21.19%
Jade Curtiss - 15.26%

Tidus - 36.90%
Pikachu - 29.12%
Serge - 20.30%
Issac - 13.68%

Leon Kennedy - 34.69%
Vivi Ornitier - 31.85%
Ridley - 23.03%
Spyro the Dragon - 10.43%
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All-time record holder for most top 5's in a single Oracle Challenge(12)
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!
From: meche313 | Posted: 9/23/2007 2:19:43 PM | Message Detail
Wrong topic darkash...

also, that last prediction of mine was horrible...I fell off the top 30 with that!
From: Mojo goes to a Dojo | Posted: 9/23/2007 2:35:36 PM | Message Detail
i need to stop changing my original predictions...almost everytime i have, i've screwed myself over...live and learn i guess
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Is Supdawg
He does. I seen it with my own two eyes!
From: Camden | Posted: 9/23/2007 9:09:14 PM | Message Detail
Back to back sixth places? Oh, how you taunt me Top 5 list! At least we got a 1st place in team, meche.
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Earthbound: It's like living inside your gym shoes.
Huh? Finger!? What the hell? -Cloud
From: meche313 | Posted: 9/23/2007 9:21:40 PM | Message Detail
Yeah, just as I post complaining of that horrible prediction, I get one of my best so far. Up seven individually and our first place on team, woo.

I need to start complaining more often...*looks at today's match* oh ****.
From: TheKnightOfNee | Posted: 9/23/2007 9:24:16 PM | Message Detail
Oh my god, today's match is going to destroy so many people.
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Sushi, Kamikaze, Fujiyama, Nippon-Ichi...
Flamenco Strikes Back!! Return of Don!
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/23/2007 9:24:48 PM | Message Detail
All of us are going to get owned by Ada Wong.
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Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
From: Starion | Posted: 9/23/2007 9:29:46 PM | Message Detail
It's still early though. This could change in the morning.
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100% Frog Log Quest: Current Progress- 400 of 627 Completed: Jaster, Kisala, Deego
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 9/23/2007 9:30:01 PM | Message Detail
This is hilarious....

In a very very lawl-Morgoth-is-getting-killed-again way, but still....
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Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/23/2007 9:58:26 PM | Message Detail
Match # 21 Results
Dante 49.19%
Amaterasu 22.75%
Little Mac 16.54%
Matt (Wii Sports) 11.52%

For once a match went more or less as expected: Dante won big, and Amaterasu finished second, which was actually the Oracle consensus. Matt performed badly, as all non-Pokemon joke characters seem to be doing this contest. The consensus predictions were Amaterasu - 17.89%; Dante - 50.48%; Little Mac - 17.37%; Matt (Wii Sports) - 14.26%. The average score was 45.57.

Best Five Picks:
1) Starion - Amaterasu 22.05% - Dante 50.50% - Little Mac 15.12% - Matt 12.33% (+48.94)
2) capatillistpiglet - Amaterasu 19.85% - Dante 49.15% - Little Mac 18.22% - Matt 12.78% (+48.53)
3) Lieutenant Kettch - Amaterasu 22.00% - Dante 49.06% - Little Mac 19.56% - Matt 9.38% (+48.49)
4) Lagoona - Amaterasu 24.24% - Dante 51.15% - Little Mac 14.07% - Matt 10.54% (+48.27)
5) ActJef1077 - Amaterasu 20.00% - Dante 49.00% - Little Mac 16.00% - Matt 15.00% (+48.26)

All of today's top picks scored below 49. Starion had the best pick of the day, already his fifth top 5 of the contest, which puts him on pace for the most ever in one contest if he can keep it up. Capitallistpiglet made the 2nd best prediction, putting him in the top 5 for the second time. Lt. Kettch was third, followed by Lagoona and ActJef.

Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=match&match=21

Current Leaderboard:
1) The n00b Avenger - 982.63
2) supdawg - 979.61
3) creativename - 978.19
4) Haste2 - 977.92
5) Lieutenant Kettch - 977.13

The game of musical chairs continues! Lieutenant Kettch: on, Master Moltar: off. Haste2 also moves up one spot to fourth, while the top 3 (n00b Avenger, supdawg, and creativename) remain unchanged from yesterday.

Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=total&match=21

Top Team Scores:
1) Happy Happyists - 96.02 (Camden: +48.12 / meche313: +47.90)
2) mvp's - 95.74 (ps2rulezzz: +47.62 / basmeyer42: +48.12)
3) Predestined Divination - 95.61 (creativename: +47.61 / Ngamer64: +48.00)
4) Battle Royale - 95.47 (Darkash: +47.61 / Heroic Viktor: +47.86)
5) T-REX - 95.44 (Team Rocket Elite: +47.86 / Xcarvengerx: +47.58)

Team Happy Happyists gets the top score today for the first time this contest! They also had 1 third place, and 17 lifetime top 5's in the three team challenges. Team mvp's gets second, while the current top team (Predestined Divination) extends their lead even more with a third place score. Team Battle Royale (Darkash and Heroic Viktor) get their second top 5 of the contest, while team T-REX gets their 5th.

Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=teammatch&match=21

Team Leaderboard:
1) Team Predestined Divination (creativename / Ngamer64) - 1955.11
2) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 1945.95
3) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 1940.62
4) Team Big Black Wangs (Master Moltar / Explicit Content) - 1939.22
5) Team Happy Happyists (Camden / meche313) - 1939.10

Can we award the title yet? Team Predestined Divination now leads the field by nine points, and their lead over the third place team is almost 15. Teams We Used To Be Good? (new name: Team We Used To Be A Lot Less Far Behind), Team Rage of Warcraft, and Team Big Black Wangs all keep their positions 2-4. Team Happy Happyists retakes 5th from the Drunkadelict Armadillos.

Complete Team Standing:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=teamtotal&match=21
---
R.I.P. Robert Jordan, 1948-2007
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 9/23/2007 10:56:49 PM | Message Detail
Unbelievable... thought I'd do well yesterday, checked and saw I finished ninth with (I think) my second best pick of the year so far in terms of being above the average score, so thought I'd be back into the Top Five. Then I check the ranks and I lost a spot!

You'll pay for this LtK! I'll get you back if it's the last thing I doooooooo!

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The 2007 Guru Rankings! thengamer.com/guru
thengamer.com/xstats = lol x-stats
From: Haste_2 | Posted: 9/23/2007 11:08:51 PM | Message Detail
*comes back* Holy HECK is Balthier a bust... worse than Midna. That's Amano characters for you (Vivi doesn't count >_>).

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Seginustemple | Posted: 9/23/2007 11:15:25 PM | Message Detail
Sorry I've been sending our scores down the crapper lately, Menji. I seem to fall in the middle of every year. Some of my friends have been coming down from other states for parties and I have to keep relying on these preliminary safety picks. I'm stepping up my game now!
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If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry...
From: Haste_2 | Posted: 9/24/2007 12:10:51 AM | Message Detail
Might as well get a whole bunch of x-stats in when I have the chance...and this is the correct topic now.

Morgoth:
Luigi 31.00% on BL
Mudkip 22.50%
Pit 16.50%
Tingle 7.25%

Haste2:
Luigi - 31.00%
Mudkip - 23.25%
Pit - 18.00%
Tingle - 8.75%

Advantage: Morgoth.

Morgoth:
Ganondorf 35.00%
Vergil 18.25%
Thrall 16.25%
Ratchet 14.25%

Haste2:
Ganondorf - 35.00%
Vergil - 19.75%
Thrall - 18.00%
Ratchet - 16.00%

Advantage: Morgoth.

Morgoth:
Master Chief 35.00%
Yuna 27.00%
Vercetti 15.00%
Parappa 10.00%

Haste2:
Master Chief - 35.00%
Yuna - 27.75%
Vercetti - 17.00%
Parappa = 12.00%

Advantage: Haste2

Morgoth:
Liquid Snake 25.00%
Alucard 25.00%
Ness 23.50%
Zidane 18.75%

Haste2:
Liquid Snake - 25.00%
Alucard - 25.00%
Ness - 24.00%
Zidane - 20.31%

Advantage: Morgoth

Morgoth:
Dante 32.00%
Amaterasu 19.00%
Little Mac 14.50%
Matt 10.50%

Haste2:
Dante - 32.00%
Amaterasu - 20.25%
Little Mac - 16.00%
Matt - 12.25%

Advantage: Morgoth

Anyway, the stats for LS's pack is especially intriguing...Zidane, LS, and Alucard are like...perfect. Ness was simply an unknown, but that number seemed reasonable, too.

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: DSRage_Revived | Posted: 9/24/2007 5:39:47 PM | Message Detail
http://i36.photobucket.com/albums/e12/DSRage/Adabalt.png

such a boring graph today, i do my graphs now using people significant to my progress.


-ЧRÀG£-
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Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.

Sig it and it will happen.
From: Leebo86 | Posted: 9/24/2007 7:40:48 PM | Message Detail
Where's all the confidence in Isaac coming from? The picks I've seen range from 14 to 20 % for tomorrow's match. Some even in the mid 20's.

preeow
From: Lieutenant Kettch | Posted: 9/24/2007 7:44:05 PM | Message Detail
You'll pay for this LtK! I'll get you back if it's the last thing I doooooooo!

Doubt you messed this one up as badly as I did, so I'm paying tonight. :(
From: Xuxon | Posted: 9/24/2007 8:13:33 PM | Message Detail
That isn't so much Isaac confidence as it is lack of confidence in the other 3. I expected pretty much no strength from Ada and still gave her a higher percentage than Isaac, so it's not like getting 20% is some impressive feat.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
From: Leebo86 | Posted: 9/24/2007 8:21:32 PM | Message Detail
The general consensus underestimated Ada. I have a feeling Isaac is going to perform like Jade did today.

preeow
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 9/24/2007 8:30:24 PM | Message Detail
Cool graph DSR, but afraid I'm going to have to insist on my being switched over to the dark blue. That's why they call it Ngamer Blue, after all.

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The 2007 Guru Rankings! thengamer.com/guru
thengamer.com/xstats = lol x-stats
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/24/2007 9:51:16 PM | Message Detail
Match # 22 Results
Ada Wong 38.42%
Balthier Bunansa 33.00%
Frank West 20.13%
Jade Curtiss 8.45%

Another day, another giant upset. The match that was made for Balthier to win, that wasn't supposed to test his range, ended up being won by Ada Wong by over 5%. Jade Curtiss confirmed her...excuse me, *him*self to be one of the weakest characters in contest history, while Frank performed about as expected. Only 7 out of 123 predictions had Ada finishing first. The consensus predictions were Ada - 27.20%; Balthier - 35.99%; Frank - 21.21%
Jade - 15.42%.

Best Five Picks:
1) Cokes - Ada Wong 36.93% - Balthier 36.61% - Frank 17.03% - Jade 9.43% (+47.70)
2) heroic_slb - Ada Wong 33.00% - Balthier 37.00% - Frank 21.00% - Jade 9.00% (+47.29)
3) Starion - Ada Wong 31.66% - Balthier 34.15% - Frank 22.95% - Jade 11.24% (+46.62)
4) cyko - Ada Wong 34.97% - Balthier 38.58% - Frank 15.90% - Jade 10.55% (+46.16)
5) Master Moltar - Ada Wong 30.40% - Balthier 38.50% - Frank 20.30% - Jade 10.80% (+45.99)

Cokes is today's top predictor! He had Ada narrowly beating Balthier, and also had Jade completely bombing, good enough for 47.70 points and the top pick today. This is his second top 5 of the contest. darkx5642358951 had the second best pick, his first of the contest and the only other one over 47 points. Starion continues his tear with his third top 5 in a row - he's now halfway to Darkash's record with almost 2/3 of the contest remaining. Defending champion cyko makes his first top 5 appearance of the season and 30th lifetime - he's struggled so far, but maybe this is the beginning of a comeback? Finally, Moltar gets his first top 5 of the contest, even though he's been near the leaderboard all along - demonstrating the importance of consistency.

Complete Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=match&match=22

Current Leaderboard:
1) The n00b Avenger - 1028.45
2) supdawg - 1024.02
3) Master Moltar - 1022.94
4) creativename - 1022.73
5) Haste2 - 1021.96

The top 2 remain unchanged, but The n00b Avenger widens his lead over supdawg to almost 4 and a half points. Moltar jumps up three spots to third place - he finished 2nd in 2005, and I'm sure he'd like to better that this time around. Creativename and Haste2 each drop a spot to 4th and 5th.

On the extended leaderboard, Lt. Kettch drops from 5th down to 8th - he's been alternating between awesome predictions that move him into the top 5 and below average ones that drop him out. Meanwhile, DSRage moved into the top 10 in 10th place.

Full Standings:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=total&match=22
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R.I.P. Robert Jordan, 1948-2007
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/24/2007 9:51:32 PM | Message Detail
Top Team Scores:
1) C.R.E.A.M. - 91.49 (Giggsalot: +43.79 / Cokes: +47.70)
2) Battle Royale - 90.87 (Darkash: +45.15 / Heroic Viktor: +45.72)
3) Discovery Channel - 90.51 (Jmast7: +44.79 / Leebo86: +45.72)
3) The Amazing Question Marks - 90.51 (AmazingKirby: +45.22 / entropyx: +45.29)
5) OH IT'S NESS - 90.00 (Ness26: +45.37 / TheKnightOfNee: +44.63)

The top scoring team is Team C.R.E.A.M., powered by Cokes's top pick. This is their third top 5 of the contest. Team Battle Royale (Darkash and Heroic Viktor) gets second, landing in the top 5 for the second day in a row. Team Discovery Channel (Jmast and Leebo) gets third, their first time placing in the top 5. The Amazing Question Marks get fourth and Team OH IT'S NESS is fifth - both have been in the top 5 numerous times this season.

Complete Team Match Ranking:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=teammatch&match=22

Team Leaderboard:
1) Team Predestined Divination (creativename / Ngamer64) - 2043.44
2) Team We Used To Be Good? (Kaxon / King Morgoth) - 2033.13
3) Team Rage of Warcraft (War13104 / DSRage) - 2029.10
4) Team mvp's (ps2rulezzz / basmeyer42) - 2028.57
5) Team Big Black Wangs (Master Moltar / Explicit Content) - 2028.57

Team Predestined Divination's lead is now over 10 points. Team WUTBG and Team Rage of Warcraft are still in second and third. Team mvp's, former team champions, enter the leaderboard at 4th, while Team Big Black Wangs drops to 5th.

Complete Team Standing:
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=teamtotal&match=22
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R.I.P. Robert Jordan, 1948-2007
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/24/2007 9:54:49 PM | Message Detail
http://i36.photobucket.com/albums/e12/DSRage/Adabalt.png

Awesome graph, DSR! Sadly, I think you had my prediction wrong, since I didn't do that well yesterday.
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R.I.P. Robert Jordan, 1948-2007
From: Sack of Balls | Posted: 9/24/2007 11:20:43 PM | Message Detail
awww yeah first win fo' cokes
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Cokes
Team C.R.E.A.M.
From: Sack of Balls | Posted: 9/24/2007 11:27:06 PM | Message Detail
also i need like 3 more individual wins to make up for the day that i missed :x
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Cokes
Team C.R.E.A.M.
From: Darkash | Posted: 9/25/2007 7:44:33 AM | Message Detail
What's this? A competator for my title? This cannot be! Watch your back, Starion. Watch your back.

(jk. Good luck; it's fun to go on a sweet run like that, isn't it?)
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All-time record holder for most top 5's in a single Oracle Challenge(12)
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 9/25/2007 12:54:10 PM | Message Detail
I can't even remember the last time I had a top 5. Apparently I only had 2 in the last 3 contests. Although being a part of 2K3 is like cheating. I have 9 top 5s in that contest, but only because there was only like, 20-30 competitors by the end. Yay for artificially boosting my top 5 record!
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
From: GrapefruitKing | Posted: 9/25/2007 1:52:18 PM | Message Detail
I have a newb question.
I'm looking at my user page and it says my All-Time Rank is 43rd. I suppose this is all your points combined.
But my Current rank is 18th. What's the Current Rank?

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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction:~ Meg Ryan 36.37% - Pika 30.44% - Isaac Hayes 18.51% - Serge 14.68% ~ Status: OK
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/25/2007 2:46:08 PM | Message Detail
I think current rank is weighted toward the more recent contests somehow - only Morgoth knows the actual formula he uses. All time rank isn't just your total points, it uses a formula that factors in a lot of things.
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R.I.P. Robert Jordan, 1948-2007
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 9/25/2007 3:30:37 PM | Message Detail
It's crazy number gibberish that you should ignore
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
From: Haste_2 | Posted: 9/25/2007 5:03:46 PM | Message Detail
Don't you hate how one character totally messes up your Oracle prediction sometimes? =p

Isaac - 21.50%
Pikachu - 27.00%
Serge - 15.00%
Tidus - 37.50%

Give 10% to Pikachu... take 3% from Isaac, 2% from Serge, 5% from Tidus...

Isaac - 18.50%
Pikachu - 37.00%
Serge - 13.00%
Tidus - 31.50%

Awww...

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: GrapefruitKing | Posted: 9/25/2007 5:52:50 PM | Message Detail
I like how I could finish in the top 10 today with such an average prediction
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction:~ Meg Ryan 36.37% - Pika 30.44% - Isaac Hayes 18.51% - Serge 14.68% ~ Status: OK
From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 9/25/2007 7:55:28 PM | Message Detail
I don't think I've posted here yet, so I will do that right now.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
From: King Morgoth | Posted: 9/25/2007 8:12:50 PM | Message Detail
Concerning Starion's 6 Top 5's at this point....

For the contest that gives him an efficiency rating of 8.079. For the record the best (luckiest?) predictors out there are a bit under 1.5 over all contests
3 is insane...
6 is godly...
8 is so far off the charts it's not even funny.....
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Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
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